FC Isloch Minsk R. are favoured to win this Premier League encounter, with a 46% chance of triumph, 29% for a draw and 25% for FC Minsk to come away with the victory. The match is expected to see 2.5 goals on average, and the single most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a 13.7% probability. Home side Isloch, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.62 goals scored and 0.92 conceded, while Minsk, on the road, averages 1.0 scored and 1.25 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 82.1%, Under 3.5 cards at 76.7% (hit), Over 1.5 cards at 71.6% (miss) and Under 5.5 cards at 71.1%. The final result of the last match was a 0-0 draw.
Results analysis
The 0-0 draw shocked the pundits, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, failed to materialise. The model had given FC Isloch Minsk R. a 46% chance of triumph, yet the match finished level, extending their unbeaten run of five games. The prediction that the total would be 2 goals, with a 27% chance of the 2-goal outcome, proved wrong. The model’s selection of Under 3.5, at 76.7%, hit, while its choice of Over 1.5, at 71.6%, missed. FC Isloch’s home form remains strong, with an average of 1.62 goals scored and 0.92 conceded, whereas FC Minsk’s away record shows 1.0 goal scored and 1.25 conceded. The upset underscores the unpredictability of the Belarus Premier League.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R. win✗ Miss
46.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk win✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.07
1.64
1.00
1.56
1.12
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (24)
1.50
1.00
1.62
0.92
1.36
1.09
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
0.75
-
-
2.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Minsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.17
1.53
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.17
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.17
1.75
1.08
1.00
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.4%
Under 2.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
0-0 ✓
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
FC Isloch Minsk R. goals ↓
FC Minsk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.8%
7.3%
4.3%
1.4%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.2%
2.1%
0.5%
2
9.1%
9.1%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
3
4.4%
4.4%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Isloch Minsk R. goals (down), columns = FC Minsk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.46
Neman
2.21
FC Vitebsk
2.00
Torpedo Zhodino
1.75
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.68
Bate Borisov
1.68
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.57
FC Gomel
1.46
Slavia Mozyr
1.43
FC Slutsk
1.25
FC Minsk
1.18
Dinamo Brest
1.07
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.93
Smorgon
0.89
Naftan
0.75
Belshina
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 0.50 points better than FC Minsk in terms of average points per game (1.68 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.57
Neman
2.14
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.79
Bate Borisov
1.75
FC Gomel
1.61
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.43
FC Slutsk
1.36
Torpedo Zhodino
1.18
Dinamo Brest
1.18
Slavia Mozyr
1.14
Smorgon
1.07
Naftan
0.96
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.83
FC Minsk
0.75
Belshina
0.75
FC Vitebsk
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 0.68 goals better than FC Minsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 0.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.00
Torpedo Zhodino
0.64
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Neman
0.79
FC Minsk
0.93
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.04
Slavia Mozyr
1.07
Bate Borisov
1.14
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.43
FC Slutsk
1.43
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
FC Gomel
1.71
Dinamo Brest
1.79
Smorgon
2.07
Naftan
2.11
Belshina
2.18
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 0.11 goals worse than FC Minsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.04 vs 0.93).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R.
For 4.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC Minsk
For 3.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
9.8
9.8
9.8
1.2
1.0
1.4
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
9.8
9.8
9.7
1.2
1.1
1.4
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
10.0
-
10.0
1.6
0.0
2.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
50%
78%
19%
10%
27%
-
-
-
% under line
33%
50%
22%
81%
90%
73%
-
-
-
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Minsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
9.7
8.2
11.2
1.3
0.7
2.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (9)
9.7
8.0
13.0
0.9
0.7
1.3
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.7
8.3
11.0
1.5
0.7
2.2
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
33%
56%
23%
14%
33%
-
-
-
% under line
56%
67%
44%
77%
86%
67%
-
-
-
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Naftan
12.8
Slavia Mozyr
11.2
Smorgon
10.6
Bate Borisov
10.5
Belshina
10.2
FC Slutsk
10.1
Dinamo Brest
10.0
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
9.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
9.8
Dinamo Minsk
9.8
FC Minsk
9.7
FC Gomel
9.5
Neman
9.5
Shakhter Soligorsk
9.4
Torpedo Zhodino
9.3
FC Vitebsk
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bate Borisov
5.2
Neman
5.2
Naftan
5.0
Belshina
5.0
Dinamo Minsk
4.9
FC Minsk
4.8
Torpedo Zhodino
4.8
Dinamo Brest
4.5
Smorgon
4.4
Shakhter Soligorsk
4.3
Slavia Mozyr
4.3
FC Vitebsk
4.2
FC Isloch Minsk R.
4.2
FC Gomel
3.9
FC Slutsk
3.8
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Shakhter Soligorsk
32.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.4%
Under 9.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.0%
Under 3.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.57
0.29
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.38
0.46
0.15
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
-
-
1.25
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Minsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.80
0.27
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.07
0.71
0.81
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.62
1.15
0.77
0.73
0.45
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
-
-
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Minsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.73
0.73
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.67
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and FC Minsk have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
NAF (4)
€0m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and FC Minsk have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
SMO (7)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and FC Minsk have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and FC Minsk have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Belarus: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Minsk
Neman
Torpedo Zhodino
Bate Borisov
Shakhter Soligorsk
FC Gomel
Slavia Mozyr
FC Slutsk
Dinamo Brest
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Smorgon
Naftan
Belshina
FC Vitebsk