FC Isloch Minsk R. will look to keep the tight, low-scoring trend that has defined the model’s outlook. The odds lean heavily toward a home win, with a 51% chance, a 31% chance of a draw, and only 18% for FC Minsk to come out on top. The model’s pick is a home victory, and the most probable scoreline is 1-0, which carries a 16% probability. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a modest tally, with the most likely total being two goals at 28%. FC Isloch’s home form shows an average of 1.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while FC Minsk’s away record is weaker, with 0.45 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 86.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 84.7%, and Under 4.5 cards at 74.2%. The final score of 3-0 in the last match confirms FC Isloch’s defensive solidity and the model’s projection of a narrow, defensive contest.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as FC Isloch Minsk R. secured a 3-0 home win, extending their unbeaten run in the last five matches. The pre-match favourite was a home win, with a 51% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The model’s selections also performed well: Under 5.5 cards hit at 86.9%, Under 3.5 hit at 84.7%, and Under 4.5 cards hit at 74.2%. The most likely score of 1-0 and the expected total of 2.1 goals were not realised, but the overall outcome matched the model’s forecast. The result confirms the model’s strength in predicting the favoured result and the majority of its picks.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R. win✓ Hit
51.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk win✗ Miss
18.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.03
1.31
1.12
1.21
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.14
1.09
1.18
1.18
1.09
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
0.50
2.00
0.33
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Minsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.13
0.94
1.00
0.36
1.29
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.14
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (23)
0.74
1.13
1.00
1.08
0.45
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.1%
Under 1.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.8%
Under 2.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.3%
Under 3.5
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.7%
No
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.1%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.8%
3-0 ✓
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
FC Isloch Minsk R. goals ↓
FC Minsk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
7.8%
3.2%
0.7%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
4.3%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.2%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
3
5.3%
3.7%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.8%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Isloch Minsk R. goals (down), columns = FC Minsk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.27
Neman
2.17
Torpedo Zhodino
2.07
Dinamo Brest
1.63
FC Vitebsk
1.57
FC Gomel
1.47
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.37
Bate Borisov
1.33
FC Slutsk
1.30
Arsenal (Belarus)
1.27
Slavia Mozyr
1.17
Smorgon
1.07
Naftan
1.00
FC Minsk
0.93
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.73
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.60
Niva
0.00
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 0.43 points better than FC Minsk in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 0.93).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Brest
2.07
Dinamo Minsk
1.67
Neman
1.50
Torpedo Zhodino
1.50
Bate Borisov
1.27
FC Gomel
1.23
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.20
Smorgon
1.10
FC Vitebsk
1.10
Naftan
1.00
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.97
Slavia Mozyr
0.93
FC Minsk
0.93
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.90
FC Slutsk
0.87
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.63
Niva
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 0.27 goals better than FC Minsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Minsk
0.43
Neman
0.63
Torpedo Zhodino
0.70
FC Vitebsk
0.83
FC Gomel
0.93
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.00
Slavia Mozyr
1.10
Arsenal (Belarus)
1.20
Dinamo Brest
1.23
Bate Borisov
1.27
FC Slutsk
1.37
Naftan
1.41
FC Minsk
1.47
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.50
Smorgon
1.70
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.93
Niva
2.50
FC Isloch Minsk R. is 0.47 goals better than FC Minsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Isloch Minsk R.
For 4.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC Minsk
For 4.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 19.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.0
1.7
1.4
2.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
13.0
13.0
-
0.5
0.7
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
9.5
9.9
9.1
1.6
1.5
1.7
-
-
-
vs Weaker (8)
8.0
7.7
8.5
2.8
1.0
3.8
-
-
-
% over line
48%
50%
45%
26%
20%
32%
-
-
-
% under line
52%
50%
55%
74%
80%
68%
-
-
-
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Minsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.4
10.1
2.3
2.2
2.3
19.0
-
19.0
vs Stronger (10)
9.2
9.7
8.7
2.3
3.0
1.6
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
9.2
8.0
10.5
2.3
2.0
2.5
19.0
-
19.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
29%
57%
34%
38%
29%
0%
-
0%
% under line
57%
71%
43%
66%
62%
71%
100%
-
100%
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Naftan
13.1
Dinamo Brest
11.2
Slavia Mozyr
10.8
Bate Borisov
10.6
FC Gomel
10.2
FC Slutsk
10.2
Smorgon
10.1
Torpedo Zhodino
9.8
Dinamo Minsk
9.8
FC Minsk
9.7
FC Isloch Minsk R.
9.6
Shakhter Soligorsk
9.6
Neman
9.6
FC Vitebsk
8.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Minsk
4.6
Bate Borisov
4.5
FC Vitebsk
4.4
Dinamo Minsk
4.4
Slavia Mozyr
4.3
Dinamo Brest
4.3
Shakhter Soligorsk
4.2
Smorgon
4.1
Neman
4.1
Torpedo Zhodino
4.0
Arsenal (Belarus)
4.0
FC Slutsk
3.9
FC Gomel
3.9
FC Isloch Minsk R.
3.8
Naftan
3.6
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Shakhter Soligorsk
32.0
Torpedo Zhodino
27.0
Neman
22.2
FC Minsk
19.0
Bate Borisov
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.6%
Under 9.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.5%
Under 3.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.50
0.38
0.50
0.29
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.27
0.64
0.45
0.64
0.09
0.64
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Minsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.38
0.29
0.64
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
0.57
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.48
0.67
0.50
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
0.94
0.62
0.93
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.45
0.73
0.55
1.00
0.36
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.50
1.67
0.33
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Minsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.63
0.44
0.62
0.07
0.64
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.57
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.22
0.65
0.33
0.58
0.09
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
NAF (21)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and FC Minsk have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
NAF (4)
€0m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and FC Minsk have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
A( (5)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and FC Minsk have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
FC Isloch Minsk R. and FC Minsk have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Belarus: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Minsk
Neman
Torpedo Zhodino
Dinamo Brest
FC Vitebsk
FC Gomel
Bate Borisov
FC Slutsk
Arsenal (Belarus)
Slavia Mozyr
Naftan
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Niva