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FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2024
Time: 17:30
Final 1-0
FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar
Vs
69%
21%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Akhmat
Akhmat
Russia: Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Krasnodar win✓ Hit
69.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akhmat win✗ Miss
10.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L32W10W11D00D10W00D21WA·KRY29/04H·AKH04/05A·SPA11/05A·FC 18/05H·DYN25/05A·AKH21/07H·DIN28/07H·CSK31/07A·FAK04/08H·CSK10/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.971.530.731.131.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.000.701.330.500.501.00
vs Weaker (20)1.501.101.670.891.361.27
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkhmatAkhmat

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W10W20W15L02L11D00D41W05L00DH·NIZ28/04A·FC 04/05A·KRY10/05H·ZEN19/05A·FAK25/05H·FC 21/07A·FC 28/07H·NIZ31/07H·LOK04/08A·SPA11/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.471.271.870.671.07
vs Stronger (14)0.791.640.862.290.711.00
vs Similar (16)1.121.311.621.500.621.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.3%
Under 2.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.3%
No
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.9%
1-0 ✓
12.6%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.9%
FC Krasnodar goals ↓
Akhmat goals →
01234
07.4%3.5%1.4%0.3%0.1%
113%9.9%3.0%0.7%0.1%
214%9.3%3.1%0.7%0.1%
39.6%6.4%2.1%0.5%0.1%
44.9%3.3%1.1%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Krasnodar goals (down), columns = Akhmat goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Spartak Moscow
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Orel
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tver
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Murom
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Fakel
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Enisey
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
FC Krasnodar is 0.05 points better than Akhmat in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Orel
2.67
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Kristall
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
KDV
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Murom
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Tver
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
FC Orenburg
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
FC Krasnodar is 0.30 goals worse than Akhmat in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Kompozit
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Tver
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Orel
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Veles
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Murom
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
Urozhay
5.00
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
FC Krasnodar is 0.10 goals worse than Akhmat in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

For 5.4 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

16052211155586674451325373161014138658H·CSKA·FAKH·DINA·AKHH·DYNA·FC A·SPAH·AKHA·KRYH·BAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

801122234135212252122455821473H·CSKA·FAKH·DINA·AKHH·DYNA·FC A·SPAH·AKHA·KRYH·BAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.1 · Total 23.3

⚠️ Fouls

3001112131291019101412981211161413961323251929261723302219H·CSKA·FAKH·DINA·AKHH·DYNA·FC A·SPAH·AKHA·KRYH·BAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AkhmatAkhmat

For 4.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

120484646556338157332431210101091161057A·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·FC H·ZENA·KRYA·FC H·NIZH·FC A·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

8044253214311222621358755414838A·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·FC H·ZENA·KRYA·FC H·NIZH·FC A·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

30017111316101410191116712141612911152829242911719302126A·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·FC A·FAKH·ZENA·KRYA·FC H·NIZH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.89.28.44.44.14.823.223.223.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)9.810.98.84.84.45.123.523.423.6
vs Weaker (33)8.38.38.34.33.94.623.123.123.0
% over line37%38%36%58%60%56%61%62%60%
% under line63%62%64%42%40%44%39%38%40%
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkhmatAkhmat

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.09.85.05.14.923.823.723.9
vs Stronger (21)10.09.710.35.25.55.025.025.125.0
vs Similar (28)9.710.19.44.74.54.822.822.423.1
vs Weaker (1)13.013.0-8.08.0-24.024.0-
% over line60%67%54%68%76%60%67%79%56%
% under line40%33%46%32%24%40%33%21%44%
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lokomotiv
11.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
Dynamo
10.8
FC Orenburg
10.8
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Ural
10.4
Spartak Moscow
10.2
Baltika
10.1
FK Neftekhimik
10.0
Chernomorets
9.9
Akhmat
9.9
Zenit
9.8
Khimki
9.8
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
FC Rostov
9.6
Akron
9.6
Nizhny Novgorod
9.6
Enisey
9.5
CSKA Moscow
9.5
Veles
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Rubin
9.3
Fakel
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
FC Krasnodar
8.9
Rodina Moskva
8.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
KAMAZ
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
8.0
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.9
FC UFA
5.3
Lokomotiv
5.2
Akhmat
5.2
Fakel
5.0
Spartak Moscow
5.0
FC Rostov
4.9
Krylia Sovetov
4.9
Veles
4.7
Rubin
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
FC Krasnodar
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Dynamo
4.5
Rodina Moskva
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.4
CSKA Moscow
4.4
Khimki
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
Enisey
4.2
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
Ural
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Akron
4.0
FK Neftekhimik
4.0
FC Sochi
3.9
Baltika
3.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.8
Chernomorets
3.8
Tyumen
3.7
Zenit
3.7
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Khimki
27.6
Fakel
26.4
Rubin
24.4
Nizhny Novgorod
24.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
24.0
Akhmat
23.8
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Lokomotiv
23.4
FC Orenburg
23.4
Krylia Sovetov
23.4
Torpedo Moskva
23.3
FC Krasnodar
23.2
Spartak Moscow
23.1
Ural
22.8
FC Rostov
22.7
CSKA Moscow
22.7
Dynamo
22.4
Baltika
22.3
Akron
21.8
FC Sochi
21.5
Zenit
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.2%
Under 9.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.8%
Under 3.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.7%
Under 21.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Krasnodar or Draw✓ Hit
90.0%
Avg Implied -
69%
21%
10%
covers FC Krasnodar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar or Akhmat✓ Hit
79.1%
Avg Implied -
69%
21%
10%
covers FC Krasnodar + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Akhmat✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied -
69%
21%
10%
covers Draw + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.3%
Under
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
61.0%
Under
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.0%
Under
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
48.6%
Under
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
14.4%
Under
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Krasnodar, so a minus line means FC Krasnodar give that many goals of a start and Akhmat receive them. At -1, FC Krasnodar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Krasnodar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Krasnodar)Actual: Akhmat
FC Krasnodar -2
23.5%
Draw -2
21.5%
Akhmat +2
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Krasnodar)Actual: Draw
FC Krasnodar -1
44.9%
Draw -1
24.2%
Akhmat +1
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Krasnodar)Actual: FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar +1
90.0%
Draw +1
7.2%
Akhmat -1
2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Krasnodar)Actual: FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar +2
97.2%
Draw +2
2.2%
Akhmat -2
0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L11D00D11D00D00D00D10WA·KRY29/04H·AKH04/05A·SPA11/05A·FC 18/05H·DYN25/05A·AKH21/07H·DIN28/07H·CSK31/07A·FAK04/08H·CSK10/08
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.430.470.130.600.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.200.500.000.250.50
vs Weaker (20)0.600.550.440.220.730.82
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkhmatAkhmat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D10W13L01L11D00D21W03L00DH·NIZ28/04A·FC 04/05A·KRY10/05H·ZEN19/05A·FAK25/05H·FC 21/07A·FC 28/07H·NIZ31/07H·LOK04/08A·SPA11/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.900.731.200.200.60
vs Stronger (14)0.430.930.711.430.140.43
vs Similar (16)0.500.880.751.000.250.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D21W10W00D00D10W00D11DA·KRY29/04H·AKH04/05A·SPA11/05A·FC 18/05H·DYN25/05A·AKH21/07H·DIN28/07H·CSK31/07A·FAK04/08H·CSK10/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.531.070.600.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.500.830.500.250.50
vs Weaker (20)0.900.551.220.670.640.45
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkhmatAkhmat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W10W02L01L00D00D20W02L00DH·NIZ28/04A·FC 04/05A·KRY10/05H·ZEN19/05A·FAK25/05H·FC 21/07A·FC 28/07H·NIZ31/07H·LOK04/08A·SPA11/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.530.670.470.47
vs Stronger (14)0.360.710.140.860.570.57
vs Similar (16)0.620.440.880.500.380.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 3.5 goals99.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap97.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals97.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.1%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw90.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap90.0%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals87.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.585.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals85.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals84.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls84.2%--------
Over 2.5 cards82.0%--------
Home or Away79.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners73.2%--------
Over 21.5 fouls71.7%--------
Under 5.5 cards71.3%--------
Under 3.570.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Krasnodar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Córdoba40%
Yuriy Gazinskiy33%
Eduard Spertsyan32%
Nikita Krivtsov19%
João Batxi17%
Victor Sá16%
Moses David Cobnan12%
Kevin Lenini10%
Vítor Tormena9%
Danila Kozlov9%
Kaio8%
Aleksandr Chernikov7%
Kevin Castaño7%
Fedor Smolov6%
Olakunle Olusegun6%
Lucas Olaza4%
Diego Costa4%
Sergey Petrov0%
Giovanni González0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandr Chernikov33%
Jhon Córdoba28%
Diego Costa21%
Kevin Lenini21%
Giovanni González19%
Vítor Tormena17%
Victor Sá16%
Lucas Olaza15%
Danila Kozlov13%
Moses David Cobnan12%
Sergey Petrov11%
João Batxi10%
Kaio8%
Nikita Krivtsov8%
Eduard Spertsyan7%
Stanislav Agkatsev7%
Kevin Castaño7%
Fedor Smolov6%
Olakunle Olusegun6%
Yuriy Gazinskiy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eduard Spertsyan21%
Kevin Castaño20%
João Batxi17%
Jhon Córdoba16%
Victor Sá12%
Lucas Olaza7%
Fedor Smolov6%
Vítor Tormena4%
Moses David Cobnan4%
Sergey Petrov4%
Aleksandr Chernikov4%
Kevin Lenini3%
Yuriy Gazinskiy0%
Giovanni González0%
Kaio0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Diego Costa0%
Nikita Krivtsov0%
Olakunle Olusegun0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Córdoba52%
Eduard Spertsyan21%
Fedor Smolov12%
Victor Sá12%
Aleksandr Chernikov11%
João Batxi7%
Kevin Castaño7%
Nikita Krivtsov4%
Sergey Petrov0%
Yuriy Gazinskiy0%
Giovanni González0%
Kaio0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Lucas Olaza0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Kevin Lenini0%
Diego Costa0%
Olakunle Olusegun0%
Moses David Cobnan0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Akhmat
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Georgi Melkadze29%
Maksim Samorodov23%
Felippe Cardoso17%
Daniil Zorin17%
Lucas Lovat14%
Amine Talal10%
Aleksandr Zhirov10%
Nader Ghandri9%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Lechi Sadulaev7%
Daniil Utkin6%
Vladislav Kamilov4%
Arsen Adamov3%
Darko Todorović0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Svetoslav Kovachev0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Bernard Berisha0%
Anton Shvets0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nader Ghandri45%
Camilo38%
Gamid Agalarov33%
Svetoslav Kovachev30%
Lucas Lovat29%
Georgi Melkadze29%
Ismael Silva Lima26%
Felippe Cardoso25%
Darko Todorović24%
Anton Shvets20%
Vladislav Kamilov19%
Lechi Sadulaev17%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev16%
Daniil Utkin12%
Amine Talal10%
Aleksandr Zhirov10%
Daniil Zorin8%
Bernard Berisha8%
Maksim Samorodov8%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Miloš Šatara6%
Giorgi Shelia4%
Arsen Adamov3%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Georgi Melkadze21%
Maksim Samorodov15%
Lechi Sadulaev13%
Daniil Utkin12%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz8%
Bernard Berisha8%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Amine Talal5%
Vladislav Kamilov4%
Giorgi Shelia4%
Darko Todorović3%
Arsen Adamov3%
Lucas Lovat0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Nader Ghandri0%
Felippe Cardoso0%
Svetoslav Kovachev0%
Aleksandr Zhirov0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Anton Shvets0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Daniil Zorin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Felippe Cardoso33%
Georgi Melkadze29%
Lechi Sadulaev23%
Maksim Samorodov19%
Svetoslav Kovachev10%
Nader Ghandri9%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Anton Shvets7%
Daniil Utkin6%
Amine Talal5%
Aleksandr Zhirov5%
Arsen Adamov3%
Darko Todorović0%
Lucas Lovat0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Vladislav Kamilov0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Bernard Berisha0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Daniil Zorin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FC Krasnodar's squad is €84m more valuable than Akhmat's (€114m vs €30m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FC Krasnodar's attack is €17m more valuable than Akhmat's (€34m vs €17m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FC Krasnodar's midfield is €30m more valuable than Akhmat's (€35m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FC Krasnodar's defence is €36m more valuable than Akhmat's (€45m vs €9m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
FK wins
3
Draws
2
AKH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat · H/A from FK
DateH/AGameScore
21/07/24AAkhmat Vs FK1-1
04/05/24HFK Vs Akhmat0-1
16/09/23AAkhmat Vs FK1-1
03/06/23AAkhmat Vs FK2-2
15/10/22HFK Vs Akhmat2-3

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/24HFK Vs CSKA Moscow2-1
04/08/24AFakel Vs FK0-0
31/07/24HFK Vs CSKA Moscow1-0
28/07/24HFK Vs Dinamo Makhachkala0-0
21/07/24AAkhmat Vs FK1-1
25/05/24HFK Vs Dynamo1-0
18/05/24AFC Sochi Vs FK2-3
11/05/24ASpartak Moscow Vs FK1-0
04/05/24HFK Vs Akhmat0-1
29/04/24AKrylia Sovetov Vs FK0-0

AkhmatAkhmat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/24ASpartak Moscow Vs AKH0-0
04/08/24HAKH Vs Lokomotiv0-5
31/07/24HAKH Vs Nizhny Novgorod4-1
28/07/24AFC Orenburg Vs AKH0-0
21/07/24HAKH Vs FC Krasnodar1-1
25/05/24AFakel Vs AKH2-0
19/05/24HAKH Vs Zenit1-5
10/05/24AKrylia Sovetov Vs AKH0-2
04/05/24AFC Krasnodar Vs AKH0-1
28/04/24HAKH Vs Nizhny Novgorod5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar
Russia: Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW1.78
HomeLWDWW2.28
AwayDLWDD1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%68%28%
AVG goals2.802.363.24
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %34%20%48%
Scored1.681.641.72
Conceded1.120.721.52
BTTS58%52%64%
Clean Sheet36%44%28%
Corners8.809.178.44
Cards4.534.294.76
Akhmat
Akhmat
Russia: Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLD1.36
HomeWLDWL1.40
AwayWWLDD1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.683.122.24
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %26%40%12%
Scored1.321.521.12
Conceded1.361.601.12
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet32%28%36%
Corners9.9010.049.75
Cards5.195.295.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar3067
67%
2.2
5923+36
2.7
77%
60%
27%
8.8
41%
4.4
62%
26.2
70%
114
3435452.00.8
57%
2ZenitZenit3066
67%
2.2
5818+40
2.5
70%
50%
27%
9.5
50%
4.3
60%
25.4
60%
182
10031501.90.6
61%
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow3059
57%
2.0
4721+26
2.3
70%
43%
17%
8.9
33%
4.7
65%
23.6
70%
111
3748261.60.7
54%
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow3057
57%
1.9
5625+31
2.7
83%
60%
23%
9.6
47%
5.5
73%
29.8
87%
129
5937341.90.8
63%
5DynamoDynamo3056
53%
1.9
6135+26
3.2
87%
60%
47%
10.9
67%
4.3
57%
26.1
83%
110
4524422.01.2
52%
6LokomotivLokomotiv3053
50%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
53%
40%
10.7
61%
4.4
66%
25.2
79%
68
218401.71.4
50%
7RubinRubin3045
43%
1.5
4245-3
2.9
80%
57%
33%
9.8
50%
4.8
73%
26.9
80%
45
812251.41.5
43%
8FC RostovFC Rostov3039
33%
1.3
4143-2
2.8
83%
50%
33%
8.4
34%
4.3
69%
26.7
76%
32
145131.41.4
52%
9AkronAkron3035
33%
1.2
3955-16
3.1
83%
63%
40%
10.9
69%
3.7
41%
23.2
62%
25
11681.31.8
47%
10Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov3031
27%
1.0
3651-15
2.9
87%
50%
37%
9.4
37%
4.2
60%
21.8
60%
26
96111.21.7
49%
11Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod3230
25%
0.9
3058-28
2.8
81%
59%
25%
10.0
47%
4.4
57%
26.6
88%
18
6390.91.8
43%
12Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala3029
20%
1.0
2735-8
2.1
63%
30%
17%
10.0
52%
4.9
66%
28.2
93%
20
9380.91.2
43%
13KhimkiKhimki3029
20%
1.0
3556-21
3.0
80%
50%
47%
10.9
73%
3.6
52%
24.6
73%
0
0001.21.9
47%
14AkhmatAkhmat3228
16%
0.9
3050-20
2.5
75%
44%
22%
10.6
62%
5.2
78%
29.5
88%
30
17490.91.6
48%
15FC OrenburgFC Orenburg3019
13%
0.6
2856-28
2.8
73%
53%
30%
11.8
73%
5.0
80%
24.3
77%
18
8370.91.9
51%
16FakelFakel3018
7%
0.6
1442-28
1.9
57%
27%
17%
8.8
40%
5.5
83%
28.3
100%
14
5270.51.4
42%
17FC SochiFC Sochi23
50%
1.5
43+1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
5.0
100%
25.0
100%
15
5192.01.5
44%
18UralUral23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
9.5
50%
6.0
100%
29.0
100%
11
4241.01.5
46%
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

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