FC Krasnodar enter the Cup clash as clear favourites, the model rating them 64% to win, 23% for a draw and 13% for an Akhmat victory. Their home form is striking: averaging 2.91 goals scored and only 0.55 conceded against weaker opponents, while Akhmat, playing away against a stronger side, averages just one goal and concedes two. The expected total is 2.8 goals, with the most likely total of two goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Krasnodar, with a 12.3% chance. The model’s selections mirror this dominance: Under 7.5 (99.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Under 6.5 (97.7%), Home +2 handicap (95.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.4%), Under 5.5 (93.7%), Over 19.5 fouls (88.6%), and Home or Draw (87.0%). Krasnodar’s recent five-game winning streak, highlighted by a 1-0 win over FC Rostov, underpins the confidence, while Akhmat’s recent draw after a 3-3 finish against Krylia Sovetov shows they are still finding form.
Results analysis
The 1-1 draw shocked everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 64% probability, failed to deliver. The model’s selection of a 1-0 win was wrong, and the match finished as a stalemate. The upset was compounded by the fact that FC Krasnodar were on a five-game winning run at home, yet could not secure victory. All of the model’s other picks were accurate: Under 7.5 (99.2%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (99.1%) hit, Under 6.5 (97.7%) hit, Home +2 handicap (95.9%) hit, Away under 2.5 goals (95.4%) hit, Under 5.5 (93.7%) hit, and Home or Draw (87.0%) hit. The final score of 1-1 confirmed a draw.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Krasnodar win✗ Miss
64.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akhmat win✗ Miss
13.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Krasnodar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
0.80
2.73
0.60
1.40
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.45
1.09
2.25
0.75
1.00
1.29
vs Weaker (19)
2.42
0.63
2.91
0.55
1.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.33
1.27
0.93
1.13
1.73
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.62
1.00
1.17
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
1.35
1.12
1.44
0.78
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.3%
1-0
11.4%
1-1 ✓
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.0%
FC Krasnodar goals ↓
Akhmat goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
4.0%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
3.9%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
8.1%
6.4%
2.5%
0.7%
0.1%
4
4.0%
3.2%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Krasnodar goals (down), columns = Akhmat goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.55
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Irkutsk
2.25
Broke Boys
2.25
Cherepovets
2.25
Kristall MEZ
2.25
Veles
2.25
Spartak Moscow
2.08
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vologda
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Enisey
2.00
Arsenal Tula
2.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.92
CSKA Moscow
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.70
Chelyabinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.58
Zenit Penza
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
FK Spartak Tambov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Chayka
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ilpar
1.50
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
KAMAZ
1.50
Ural
1.50
Fakel
1.33
FC Rostov
1.25
Krylia Sovetov
1.10
FC 10
1.04
Metallurg Asha
1.04
Chita
1.04
Izberbash
1.04
Iskra Smolensk
1.04
Bomik
1.04
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.04
FC Tosno
1.04
SKA Rostov
1.04
Izhevsk
1.04
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.04
Anzhi
1.04
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Dinamo Bryansk
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Tver
1.00
Torpedo Miass
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.00
Baltika
0.88
Rubin
0.86
FC Orenburg
0.78
FK Neftekhimik
0.75
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.67
Akron
0.67
Akhmat
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.50
Mashuk-KMV
0.50
Nizhny Novgorod
0.50
FC Sochi
0.33
Murom
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Chertanovo Moscow
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Kvant
0.00
Shumbrat
0.00
Kristall
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Orel
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Rotor Volgograd
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
FC Krasnodar is 1.26 points better than Akhmat in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Irkutsk
3.75
Zvezda St. Petersburg
2.50
Cherepovets
2.50
Tyumen
2.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.50
KDV
2.33
Luki-Energiya
2.33
Zenit
2.09
FC Krasnodar
2.08
Murom
2.00
Orel
2.00
Salyut-Belgorod
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Kristall MEZ
2.00
Nosta
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Veles
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
1.85
Broke Boys
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Arsenal Tula
1.60
Dynamo
1.58
CSKA Moscow
1.58
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Volgar Astrakhan
1.33
Akhmat
1.33
Fakel
1.33
FC Sochi
1.33
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.30
FC 10
1.10
Metallurg Asha
1.10
Chita
1.10
Izberbash
1.10
Iskra Smolensk
1.10
Bomik
1.10
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.10
FC Tosno
1.10
SKA Rostov
1.10
Izhevsk
1.10
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.10
Anzhi
1.10
Dinamo Stavropol
1.00
Avangard Kursk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Shumbrat
1.00
Kristall
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Chayka
1.00
Akron
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
FK Sokol Saratov
1.00
Baltika
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Ural
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Orenburg
0.78
Rubin
0.71
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.33
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Mashuk-KMV
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Strogino
0.00
FC Krasnodar is 0.74 goals better than Akhmat in terms of goals scored per game (2.08 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Rodina Moskva
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
Dinamo Vologda
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FK Sokol Saratov
0.50
KAMAZ
0.50
Volgar Astrakhan
0.67
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Zenit
0.73
Irkutsk
0.75
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Arsenal Tula
0.80
Dynamo
0.92
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
KDV
1.00
Temp Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Salyut-Belgorod
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Tyumen
1.00
Torpedo Vladimir
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Znamya Noginsk
1.00
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
Ural
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.08
Broke Boys
1.25
CSKA Moscow
1.25
Baltika
1.25
Veles
1.25
Rubin
1.29
Lokomotiv
1.30
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.33
Astrakhan
1.33
Fakel
1.33
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
Mashuk-KMV
1.50
FC Rostov
1.50
Chayka
1.50
Kristall MEZ
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
FC 10
1.50
Metallurg Asha
1.50
Chita
1.50
Izberbash
1.50
Iskra Smolensk
1.50
Bomik
1.50
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.50
FC Tosno
1.50
SKA Rostov
1.50
Izhevsk
1.50
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.50
Anzhi
1.50
Luki-Energiya
1.67
Akhmat
1.67
Cherepovets
1.75
Krylia Sovetov
1.90
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2.00
Chertanovo Moscow
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Rotor Volgograd
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Akron
2.17
Nizhny Novgorod
2.17
Leningradets
2.50
FC Orenburg
2.56
Murom
3.00
Kvant
3.00
Shumbrat
3.00
Kristall
3.00
Orel
3.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
3.00
Nosta
3.00
Ilpar
3.00
Ryazan
3.00
Ska-khabarovsk
3.00
FC Sochi
3.00
Anri Vladivostok
4.00
FC Krasnodar is 0.90 goals better than Akhmat in terms of goals conceded per game (0.77 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
CSKA Moscow
64%
Baltika
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Krasnodar
For 4.1 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 14.2 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akhmat
For 4.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 15.7 · Total 29.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Krasnodar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.7
7.9
4.7
5.1
4.2
29.5
29.3
29.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
8.5
9.5
7.5
4.6
5.8
3.6
30.6
30.8
30.3
vs Weaker (31)
8.2
8.2
8.2
4.7
4.7
4.6
28.9
28.5
29.3
% over line
27%
33%
21%
68%
75%
62%
92%
94%
89%
% under line
73%
67%
79%
32%
25%
38%
8%
6%
11%
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.2
8.7
4.3
4.2
4.5
29.4
29.0
29.9
vs Stronger (21)
10.1
11.0
9.1
3.8
3.7
3.8
29.4
28.3
30.6
vs Similar (29)
9.0
9.7
8.3
4.7
4.5
4.9
29.4
29.4
29.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
57%
33%
62%
62%
62%
90%
90%
90%
% under line
55%
43%
67%
38%
38%
38%
10%
10%
10%
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodina Moskva
13.5
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Dynamo
10.5
CSKA Moscow
10.5
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Orenburg
10.5
Zenit
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Akron
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Veles
9.4
Akhmat
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Lokomotiv
9.2
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.2
Fakel
9.0
Ural
9.0
Spartak Moscow
8.8
Rubin
8.7
Ska-khabarovsk
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
FC Rostov
8.6
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FC Krasnodar
8.3
Baltika
8.1
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Tyumen
7.4
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Spartak Moscow
5.4
FC Krasnodar
5.0
Baltika
5.0
Tekstilshchik
5.0
FC Rostov
4.9
Rubin
4.8
CSKA Moscow
4.8
Lokomotiv
4.6
Akhmat
4.6
Fakel
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
Krylia Sovetov
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
Veles
4.5
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.4
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Zenit
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Akron
3.8
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Tyumen
3.3
Rodina Moskva
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
Irkutsk
3.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Baltika
30.5
Spartak Moscow
30.2
Rodina Moskva
30.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
30.0
FC Krasnodar
29.7
FC Rostov
29.6
Akhmat
29.5
Rubin
29.1
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
Fakel
28.4
FC Orenburg
28.2
Dynamo
27.6
Lokomotiv
27.3
Zenit
27.3
FC Sochi
27.1
Akron
27.0
CSKA Moscow
26.8
Ural
26.8
Krylia Sovetov
26.0
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.0%
Under 9.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.5%
Under 3.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
78.3%
Under 21.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Krasnodar or Draw✓ Hit
87.0%
Avg Implied -
64%
23%
13%
covers FC Krasnodar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar or Akhmat✗ Miss
77.5%
Avg Implied -
64%
23%
13%
covers FC Krasnodar + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Akhmat✓ Hit
35.6%
Avg Implied -
64%
23%
13%
covers Draw + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.2%
Under
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
59.0%
Under
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
31.9%
Under
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
54.6%
Under
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Krasnodar, so a minus line means FC Krasnodar give that many goals of a start and Akhmat receive them. At -1, FC Krasnodar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Krasnodar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Krasnodar)Actual: Akhmat
FC Krasnodar -2
20.3%
Draw -2
20.1%
Akhmat +2
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Krasnodar)Actual: Akhmat
FC Krasnodar -1
40.4%
Draw -1
24.0%
Akhmat +1
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Krasnodar)Actual: FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar +1
87.0%
Draw +1
9.0%
Akhmat -1
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Krasnodar)Actual: FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar +2
95.9%
Draw +2
3.2%
Akhmat -2
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Krasnodar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.40
1.13
0.27
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.45
0.75
0.25
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (19)
1.00
0.37
1.27
0.27
0.62
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.40
0.40
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.08
0.33
0.50
0.57
1.57
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.35
0.44
0.33
0.88
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Krasnodar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.40
1.60
0.33
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.64
1.50
0.50
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (19)
1.42
0.26
1.64
0.27
1.12
0.25
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.87
0.53
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.54
0.67
0.67
0.43
0.43
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.76
1.00
0.44
0.38
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Krasnodar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jubal50%
Nikita Krivtsov50%
Christian33%
Juan Boselli25%
Lucas Olaza17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Augusto Douglas0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Dmitry Vorobyev0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Kevin Pina0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jubal50%
Augusto Douglas40%
Nikita Krivtsov25%
Daniil Utkin20%
Aleksandr Chernikov17%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Ilya Vakhaniya17%
Lucas Olaza17%
Christian17%
Stanislav Agkatsev17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Kevin Pina0%
Juan Boselli0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian33%
Juan Boselli25%
Nikita Krivtsov25%
Augusto Douglas20%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Lucas Olaza17%
Kevin Pina17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Jubal0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikita Krivtsov75%
Juan Boselli25%
Jubal17%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Augusto Douglas0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Lucas Olaza0%
Christian0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Kevin Pina0%
João Batxi0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Akhmat
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Egas Cacintura50%
Lechi Sadulaev40%
Georgiy Melkadze33%
Erald Maksuti20%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev17%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Ismael Silva0%
Arsen Adamov0%
Kirill Shchetinin0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Júlio Romão0%
Manuel Keliano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgiy Melkadze33%
Lechi Sadulaev20%
Júlio Romão20%
Erald Maksuti20%
Miroslav Bogosavac17%
Klisman Cake17%
Ousmane N’Dong17%
Ismael Silva0%
Arsen Adamov0%
Kirill Shchetinin0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Egas Cacintura0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lechi Sadulaev40%
Egas Cacintura25%
Arsen Adamov17%
Kirill Shchetinin17%
Georgiy Melkadze0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Ismael Silva0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Júlio Romão0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Erald Maksuti0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ismael Silva33%
Egas Cacintura25%
Lechi Sadulaev20%
Georgiy Melkadze17%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev17%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Arsen Adamov0%
Kirill Shchetinin0%
Maksim Samorodov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Júlio Romão0%
Erald Maksuti0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FC Krasnodar's squad is €84m more valuable than Akhmat's (€114m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FC Krasnodar's attack is €17m more valuable than Akhmat's (€34m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FC Krasnodar's midfield is €30m more valuable than Akhmat's (€35m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FC Krasnodar's defence is €36m more valuable than Akhmat's (€45m vs €9m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel