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FC Krasnodar vs Fakel Prediction & Stats

Date: 13/10/2026
Time: 17:45
FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar
Vs
69%
24%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fakel
Fakel
Russia: Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FC Krasnodar are the clear favourites, the model giving them a 69% chance of victory. Their recent five-game winning streak, capped by a 1-0 win over FC Rostov, underpins that confidence, while Fakel, fresh from a loss to Zenit, sits at 7% for a win. The prediction favours a 1-0 scoreline, the most likely outcome at 20.3%. The expected total is 2.1 goals, with a 28% chance of exactly two goals. Krasnodar’s home form against weaker opponents sees them average 2.64 goals scored and only 0.64 conceded, whereas Fakel’s away record against stronger teams shows 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (99.9%), Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 11.5 corners (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (99.3%), Under 10.5 corners (99.1%), Home +2 handicap (98.7%) and Under 5.5 (98.0%). The model’s probabilities for the match result are Home win 69%, Draw 24%, Away win 7%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Krasnodar win
69.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fakel win
7.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W32W11D21W10W10W10W10W11DA·SPA24/05A·RUB26/07H·FAK02/08H·AKH05/08A·SPA09/08H·AKH15/08A·DYN19/08A·DIN23/08H·FC 29/08A·FAK01/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.802.570.641.250.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.421.002.330.671.111.11
vs Weaker (18)2.170.672.640.641.430.71
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FakelFakel

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W12L23L01L00D01L12L00D01L11DA·VOL16/05H·DIN25/07A·FC 02/08H·DYN05/08H·AKH10/08A·CSK15/08A·AKH18/08H·FC 22/08H·ZEN29/08H·FC 01/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.931.170.831.421.08
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.331.001.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.400.841.330.801.500.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%024%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
63.0%
Under 1.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
35.2%
Under 2.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
16.3%
Under 3.5
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
27.8%
No
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
19.9%
2-0
17.7%
0-0
13.0%
3-0
10.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
4-0
4.3%
3-1
4.0%
FC Krasnodar goals ↓
Fakel goals →
01234
013%4.0%1.0%0.1%0.0%
120%9.1%1.7%0.2%0.0%
218%7.1%1.4%0.2%0.0%
310%4.0%0.8%0.1%0.0%
44.3%1.7%0.3%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Krasnodar goals (down), columns = Fakel goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.55
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Irkutsk
2.25
Broke Boys
2.25
Cherepovets
2.25
Kristall MEZ
2.25
Veles
2.25
Spartak Moscow
2.08
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vologda
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Enisey
2.00
Arsenal Tula
2.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.92
CSKA Moscow
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.70
Chelyabinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.58
Zenit Penza
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
FK Spartak Tambov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Chayka
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ilpar
1.50
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
KAMAZ
1.50
Ural
1.50
Fakel
1.33
FC Rostov
1.25
Krylia Sovetov
1.10
FC 10
1.04
Metallurg Asha
1.04
Chita
1.04
Izberbash
1.04
Iskra Smolensk
1.04
Bomik
1.04
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.04
FC Tosno
1.04
SKA Rostov
1.04
Izhevsk
1.04
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.04
Anzhi
1.04
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Dinamo Bryansk
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Tver
1.00
Torpedo Miass
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.00
Baltika
0.88
Rubin
0.86
FC Orenburg
0.78
FK Neftekhimik
0.75
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.67
Akron
0.67
Akhmat
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.50
Mashuk-KMV
0.50
Nizhny Novgorod
0.50
FC Sochi
0.33
Murom
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Chertanovo Moscow
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Kvant
0.00
Shumbrat
0.00
Kristall
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Orel
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Rotor Volgograd
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
FC Krasnodar is 0.59 points better than Fakel in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Irkutsk
3.75
Zvezda St. Petersburg
2.50
Cherepovets
2.50
Tyumen
2.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.50
KDV
2.33
Luki-Energiya
2.33
Zenit
2.09
FC Krasnodar
2.08
Murom
2.00
Orel
2.00
Salyut-Belgorod
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Kristall MEZ
2.00
Nosta
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Veles
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
1.85
Broke Boys
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Arsenal Tula
1.60
Dynamo
1.58
CSKA Moscow
1.58
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Volgar Astrakhan
1.33
Akhmat
1.33
Fakel
1.33
FC Sochi
1.33
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.30
FC 10
1.10
Metallurg Asha
1.10
Chita
1.10
Izberbash
1.10
Iskra Smolensk
1.10
Bomik
1.10
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.10
FC Tosno
1.10
SKA Rostov
1.10
Izhevsk
1.10
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.10
Anzhi
1.10
Dinamo Stavropol
1.00
Avangard Kursk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Shumbrat
1.00
Kristall
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Chayka
1.00
Akron
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
FK Sokol Saratov
1.00
Baltika
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Ural
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Orenburg
0.78
Rubin
0.71
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.33
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Mashuk-KMV
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Strogino
0.00
FC Krasnodar is 0.74 goals better than Fakel in terms of goals scored per game (2.08 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Rodina Moskva
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
Dinamo Vologda
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FK Sokol Saratov
0.50
KAMAZ
0.50
Volgar Astrakhan
0.67
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Zenit
0.73
Irkutsk
0.75
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Arsenal Tula
0.80
Dynamo
0.92
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
KDV
1.00
Temp Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Salyut-Belgorod
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Tyumen
1.00
Torpedo Vladimir
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Znamya Noginsk
1.00
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
Ural
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.08
Broke Boys
1.25
CSKA Moscow
1.25
Baltika
1.25
Veles
1.25
Rubin
1.29
Lokomotiv
1.30
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.33
Astrakhan
1.33
Fakel
1.33
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
Mashuk-KMV
1.50
FC Rostov
1.50
Chayka
1.50
Kristall MEZ
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
FC 10
1.50
Metallurg Asha
1.50
Chita
1.50
Izberbash
1.50
Iskra Smolensk
1.50
Bomik
1.50
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.50
FC Tosno
1.50
SKA Rostov
1.50
Izhevsk
1.50
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.50
Anzhi
1.50
Luki-Energiya
1.67
Akhmat
1.67
Cherepovets
1.75
Krylia Sovetov
1.90
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2.00
Chertanovo Moscow
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Rotor Volgograd
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Akron
2.17
Nizhny Novgorod
2.17
Leningradets
2.50
FC Orenburg
2.56
Murom
3.00
Kvant
3.00
Shumbrat
3.00
Kristall
3.00
Orel
3.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
3.00
Nosta
3.00
Ilpar
3.00
Ryazan
3.00
Ska-khabarovsk
3.00
FC Sochi
3.00
Anri Vladivostok
4.00
FC Krasnodar is 0.56 goals better than Fakel in terms of goals conceded per game (0.77 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
CSKA Moscow
64%
Baltika
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

For 4.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

130634637347624425362229101071366884A·FAKH·FC A·DINH·AKHA·SPAH·FAKA·RUBH·FC A·DYNA·AKR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

6011332112143143213132633544544A·FAKH·FC A·DINA·DYNH·AKHA·SPAH·FAKA·RUBH·FC A·DYN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

34017151310871513111013197161816118151232231528213223341927H·FC A·DINH·AKHA·SPAH·FAKA·RUBH·FC A·DYNA·AKRH·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FakelFakel

For 5.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

140362664471044282238398101114610511H·FC H·ZENH·FC A·CSKH·AKHA·FC H·DINH·SKAA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

60112213133211141332441632416H·FC H·ZENH·FC A·AKHA·CSKH·AKHH·DYNA·FC H·DINA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.3

⚠️ Fouls

30018612181214111410111610243026252126H·ZENH·FC A·CSKH·AKHA·FC H·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.98.34.14.53.627.927.728.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)9.211.08.34.65.44.130.931.330.7
vs Weaker (33)8.38.48.33.84.23.326.726.826.5
% over line33%38%29%58%67%50%88%88%88%
% under line67%62%71%42%33%50%12%12%12%
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FakelFakel

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.39.32.42.32.625.326.223.5
vs Stronger (9)8.58.58.52.01.62.523.724.023.5
vs Similar (41)10.09.811.02.52.52.627.027.0-
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%50%67%36%30%43%83%100%50%
% under line44%50%33%64%70%57%17%0%50%
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Arsenal Tula
9.3
Akron
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Rubin
8.4
Ural
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
Tyumen
7.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
KDV
4.0
Novosibirsk
4.0
Dinamo Bryansk
3.0
Znamya Noginsk
3.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Fakel
4.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
Akron
4.0
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Rodina Moskva
3.5
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
KDV
3.0
Novosibirsk
3.0
Irkutsk
3.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Dinamo Bryansk
0.0
Znamya Noginsk
0.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Zenit
26.8
Ural
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
27.9%
Under 9.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.6%
Under 3.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.8%
Under 21.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Krasnodar or Draw
92.7%
Avg Implied -
69%
24%
7%
covers FC Krasnodar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar or Fakel
76.4%
Avg Implied -
69%
24%
7%
covers FC Krasnodar + Fakel
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Fakel
30.9%
Avg Implied -
69%
24%
7%
covers Draw + Fakel
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5
Over
81.9%
Under
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5
Over
50.9%
Under
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5
Over
24.5%
Under
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 3.5
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 0.5
Over
32.9%
Under
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 1.5
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 2.5
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 3.5
Over
0.1%
Under
99.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Krasnodar, so a minus line means FC Krasnodar give that many goals of a start and Fakel receive them. At -1, FC Krasnodar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Krasnodar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Krasnodar)
FC Krasnodar -2
19.1%
Draw -2
22.1%
Fakel +2
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Krasnodar)
FC Krasnodar -1
41.2%
Draw -1
27.9%
Fakel +1
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Krasnodar)
FC Krasnodar +1
92.7%
Draw +1
5.9%
Fakel -1
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Krasnodar)
FC Krasnodar +2
98.6%
Draw +2
1.2%
Fakel -2
0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D20W00D21W10W10W00D10W00DA·SPA24/05A·RUB26/07H·FAK02/08H·AKH05/08A·SPA09/08H·AKH15/08A·DYN19/08A·DIN23/08H·FC 29/08A·FAK01/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.371.000.290.560.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.750.500.670.330.780.56
vs Weaker (18)0.780.281.090.270.290.29
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FakelFakel

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D02L00D00D00D02L00D00D00DA·VOL16/05H·DIN25/07A·FC 02/08H·DYN05/08H·AKH10/08A·CSK15/08A·AKH18/08H·FC 22/08H·ZEN29/08H·FC 01/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.390.330.670.75
vs Stronger (5)0.000.400.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.600.520.470.400.800.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W12L11D00D00D00D10W00D11DA·SPA24/05A·RUB26/07H·FAK02/08H·AKH05/08A·SPA09/08H·AKH15/08A·DYN19/08A·DIN23/08H·FC 29/08A·FAK01/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.431.570.360.690.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.501.670.330.330.56
vs Weaker (18)1.390.391.550.361.140.43
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FakelFakel

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L21W01L00D01L10W00D01L11DA·VOL16/05H·DIN25/07A·FC 02/08H·DYN05/08H·AKH10/08A·CSK15/08A·AKH18/08H·FC 22/08H·ZEN29/08H·FC 01/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.430.780.500.750.33
vs Stronger (5)0.601.000.331.001.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.800.320.870.400.700.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.9%-------
Under 7.599.8%-------
Under 6.599.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals99.2%-------
Home +2 handicap98.6%-------
Under 5.597.9%-------
Away under 1.5 goals93.9%-------
Under 4.593.7%-------
Home or Draw92.7%-------
Home +1 handicap92.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals90.6%-------
Under 11.5 corners89.1%-------
Under 3.583.7%-------
Over 19.5 fouls82.9%-------
Under 10.5 corners82.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals81.9%-------
Under 5.5 cards77.7%-------
Over 2.5 cards76.9%-------
Home or Away76.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals75.5%-------
BTTS No72.2%-------
Under 9.5 corners72.1%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Krasnodar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jubal50%
Nikita Krivtsov50%
Christian33%
Juan Boselli25%
Lucas Olaza17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Augusto Douglas0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Dmitry Vorobyev0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Kevin Pina0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jubal50%
Augusto Douglas40%
Nikita Krivtsov25%
Daniil Utkin20%
Aleksandr Chernikov17%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Ilya Vakhaniya17%
Lucas Olaza17%
Christian17%
Stanislav Agkatsev17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Kevin Pina0%
Juan Boselli0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian33%
Juan Boselli25%
Nikita Krivtsov25%
Augusto Douglas20%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Lucas Olaza17%
Kevin Pina17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Jubal0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikita Krivtsov75%
Juan Boselli25%
Jubal17%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Augusto Douglas0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Lucas Olaza0%
Christian0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Kevin Pina0%
João Batxi0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Fakel
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maksim Turishchev25%
Alexey Sutormin20%
Vyacheslav Yakimov17%
Darko Todorović0%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Ilnur Alshin0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Nikolay Giorgobiani0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Daniil Frolkin0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Abdula Bagamaev0%
Matvey Bardachev0%
Axel Gnapi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Darko Todorović33%
Alexey Sutormin20%
Vyacheslav Yakimov17%
Nikolay Giorgobiani17%
Butta Magomedov17%
Albert Gabaraev17%
Axel Gnapi17%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Ilnur Alshin0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Daniil Frolkin0%
Maksim Turishchev0%
Abdula Bagamaev0%
Matvey Bardachev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Belajdi Pusi20%
Nikolay Giorgobiani17%
Darko Todorović0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Ilnur Alshin0%
Vyacheslav Yakimov0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Alexey Sutormin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Daniil Frolkin0%
Maksim Turishchev0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Abdula Bagamaev0%
Matvey Bardachev0%
Axel Gnapi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vyacheslav Yakimov17%
Darko Todorović0%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Ilnur Alshin0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Alexey Sutormin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Nikolay Giorgobiani0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Daniil Frolkin0%
Maksim Turishchev0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Abdula Bagamaev0%
Matvey Bardachev0%
Axel Gnapi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FC Krasnodar's squad is €100m more valuable than Fakel's (€114m vs €14m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FC Krasnodar's attack is €29m more valuable than Fakel's (€34m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FC Krasnodar's midfield is €33m more valuable than Fakel's (€35m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FC Krasnodar's defence is €38m more valuable than Fakel's (€45m vs €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
FK wins
5
Draws
0
FAK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Krasnodar vs Fakel · H/A from FK
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AFakel Vs FK1-1
02/08/26HFK Vs Fakel3-2
30/03/25HFK Vs Fakel5-0
04/08/24AFakel Vs FK0-0
19/04/24HFK Vs Fakel2-0
25/08/23AFakel Vs FK0-0
05/11/22AFakel Vs FK3-3
17/07/22HFK Vs Fakel2-2

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AFakel Vs FK1-1
29/08/26HFK Vs FC Rostov1-0
23/08/26ADinamo Makhachkala Vs FK0-1
19/08/26ADynamo Vs FK0-1
15/08/26HFK Vs Akhmat1-0
09/08/26ASpartak Moscow Vs FK1-2
05/08/26HFK Vs Akhmat1-1
02/08/26HFK Vs Fakel3-2
26/07/26ARubin Vs FK1-3
24/05/26ASpartak Moscow Vs FK1-1

FakelFakel

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HFAK Vs FC Krasnodar1-1
29/08/26HFAK Vs Zenit0-1
22/08/26HFAK Vs FC Orenburg0-0
18/08/26AAkhmat Vs FAK2-1
15/08/26ACSKA Moscow Vs FAK1-0
10/08/26HFAK Vs Akhmat0-0
05/08/26HFAK Vs Dynamo0-1
02/08/26AFC Krasnodar Vs FAK3-2
25/07/26HFAK Vs Dinamo Makhachkala1-2
16/05/26AVolga Ulyanovsk Vs FAK0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar
Russia: Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD2.22
HomeWWDWW2.42
AwayWWWWD2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%75%58%
AVG goals2.682.882.50
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.942.211.69
Conceded0.740.670.81
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet46%54%38%
Corners8.578.658.50
Cards4.855.814.04
Fakel
Fakel
Russia: Cup
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.56
HomeLDDLD1.64
AwayDWLLL1.45
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%43%41%
AVG goals1.901.682.18
Over 1.5 %54%43%68%
Over 2.5 %28%25%32%
Over 3.5 %16%18%14%
Scored1.101.041.18
Conceded0.800.641.00
BTTS34%29%41%
Clean Sheet48%61%32%
Corners10.0010.229.50
Cards3.923.814.06

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar618
100%
3.0
114+7
2.5
50%
50%
33%
8.7
50%
4.5
83%
25.2
67%
114
3435451.80.7
57%
2Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow613
67%
2.2
115+6
2.7
100%
67%
0%
10.5
50%
6.5
83%
30.3
100%
129
5937341.80.8
62%
3ZenitZenit612
67%
2.0
134+9
2.8
83%
67%
17%
9.8
33%
5.0
83%
26.3
67%
182
10031502.20.7
60%
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow612
50%
2.0
96+3
2.5
67%
50%
33%
7.3
17%
3.8
33%
26.8
83%
111
3748261.51.0
57%
5BaltikaBaltika610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
67%
0%
8.8
33%
3.5
33%
27.3
83%
30
106151.71.0
36%
6DynamoDynamo610
50%
1.7
87+1
2.5
67%
67%
33%
7.0
17%
4.4
80%
27.2
100%
110
4524421.31.2
63%
7RubinRubin69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
100%
50%
33%
7.7
17%
3.7
33%
24.3
67%
45
812251.51.3
47%
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala69
50%
1.5
1010+0
3.3
83%
83%
50%
9.5
67%
4.5
50%
23.7
67%
20
9381.71.7
40%
9FC OrenburgFC Orenburg67
17%
1.2
57-2
2.0
83%
33%
0%
8.5
33%
5.7
67%
30.7
100%
18
8370.81.2
39%
10AkhmatAkhmat66
17%
1.0
98+1
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.8
17%
3.8
50%
25.5
83%
30
17491.51.3
47%
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov66
17%
1.0
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
8.5
17%
5.0
60%
27.3
83%
26
96111.31.7
46%
12FC RostovFC Rostov65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.7
33%
4.5
33%
27.7
83%
32
145131.21.7
49%
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva64
17%
0.7
817-9
4.2
100%
100%
50%
10.2
50%
3.8
33%
28.2
83%
17
7371.32.8
44%
14LokomotivLokomotiv63
0%
0.5
58-3
2.2
67%
33%
17%
7.0
17%
3.5
33%
27.2
83%
68
218400.81.3
51%
15AkronAkron63
0%
0.5
615-9
3.5
83%
83%
50%
8.5
17%
4.7
67%
26.7
67%
25
11681.02.5
54%
16FakelFakel62
0%
0.3
37-4
1.7
33%
33%
17%
9.8
67%
3.7
67%
25.3
83%
14
5270.51.2
48%
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

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