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FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn Result & Analysis

Date: 17/09/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 1-3
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vs
42%
28%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn win✗ Miss
42.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn win✓ Hit
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-630W10W12L20W32W01L61W13L31W22DH·LAA19/07H·SAB23/07A·SAB29/07H·KUR01/08A·FC 07/08H·FC 14/08A·TAL17/08H·VAP22/08H·TRA29/08A·TAM13/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.070.931.940.812.211.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.141.071.140.711.141.43
vs Weaker (16)2.880.812.560.893.290.71
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W10W03L12L21W11D31W21W40W30WH·TAL29/06H·KAL06/07A·VAL10/07H·VAL17/07A·TAM20/07A·TRA02/08H·LAA16/08A·KUR24/08A·TAL30/08H·VAP13/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.032.331.002.071.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.091.551.171.171.002.00
vs Weaker (19)2.840.743.110.892.600.60
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
FC Levadia Tallinn goals ↓
Flora Tallinn goals →
01234
07.4%6.7%4.9%2.1%0.6%
18.3%13%7.5%3.1%1.0%
27.2%9.0%5.7%2.4%0.7%
33.6%4.6%2.9%1.2%0.4%
41.4%1.7%1.1%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Levadia Tallinn goals (down), columns = Flora Tallinn goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.28
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.19
Kalju Nomme
2.06
Paide
1.94
Trans Narva
1.42
Vaprus
1.36
Laagri
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Tammeka
0.83
Tallinna Kalev
0.47
Viimsi
0.00
FC Levadia Tallinn is 0.08 points worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 2.28).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.47
Flora Tallinn
2.33
Kalju Nomme
1.92
Paide
1.75
Vaprus
1.50
Trans Narva
1.47
Laagri
1.36
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
0.92
Tallinna Kalev
0.89
Viimsi
0.00
FC Levadia Tallinn is 0.14 goals better than Flora Tallinn in terms of goals scored per game (2.47 vs 2.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.86
Paide
0.89
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Kalju Nomme
1.03
Vaprus
1.42
Trans Narva
1.44
Viimsi
1.50
Kuressaare
1.76
Laagri
1.94
Tammeka
2.31
Tallinna Kalev
3.14
FC Levadia Tallinn is 0.14 goals worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.86).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L10W21W00D21W03L10W11DH·LAA19/07H·SAB23/07A·SAB29/07H·KUR01/08A·FC 07/08H·FC 14/08A·TAL17/08H·VAP22/08H·TRA29/08A·TAM13/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.430.940.310.930.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.790.360.860.000.710.71
vs Weaker (16)1.060.501.000.561.140.43
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D03L11D21W10W20W21W00D10WH·TAL29/06H·KAL06/07A·VAL10/07H·VAL17/07A·TAM20/07A·TRA02/08H·LAA16/08A·KUR24/08A·TAL30/08H·VAP13/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.501.000.470.870.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.730.830.670.200.80
vs Weaker (19)1.160.371.110.331.200.40
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W11D10W11D01L40W10W21W11DH·LAA19/07H·SAB23/07A·SAB29/07H·KUR01/08A·FC 07/08H·FC 14/08A·TAL17/08H·VAP22/08H·TRA29/08A·TAM13/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.501.000.501.290.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.360.710.290.710.430.71
vs Weaker (16)1.810.311.560.332.140.29
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W10W00D01L00D01L11D00D40W20WH·TAL29/06H·KAL06/07A·VAL10/07H·VAL17/07A·TAM20/07A·TRA02/08H·LAA16/08A·KUR24/08A·TAL30/08H·VAP13/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.531.330.531.200.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.820.330.500.801.20
vs Weaker (19)1.680.372.000.561.400.20
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn's squad is €1m more valuable than Flora Tallinn's (€4m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn and Flora Tallinn have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn and Flora Tallinn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn and Flora Tallinn have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
FLT wins
2
Draws
3
FT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn · H/A from FLT
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/25AFlora Tallinn Vs FLT1-0
12/04/25HFLT Vs Flora Tallinn0-0
03/11/24HFLT Vs Flora Tallinn4-2
30/08/24AFlora Tallinn Vs FLT2-1
04/07/24HFLT Vs Flora Tallinn1-0
05/05/24AFlora Tallinn Vs FLT1-0
05/11/23HFLT Vs Flora Tallinn2-1
03/09/23AFlora Tallinn Vs FLT2-2

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25ATammeka Vs FLT2-2
29/08/25HFLT Vs Trans Narva3-1
22/08/25HFLT Vs Vaprus1-3
17/08/25ATallinna Kalev Vs FLT1-6
14/08/25HFLT Vs FC Differdange 030-1
07/08/25AFC Differdange 03 Vs FLT2-3
01/08/25HFLT Vs Kuressaare2-0
29/07/25ASaburtalo Vs FLT2-1
23/07/25HFLT Vs Saburtalo1-0
19/07/25HFLT Vs Laagri3-0

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25HFT Vs Vaprus3-0
30/08/25ATallinna Kalev Vs FT0-4
24/08/25AKuressaare Vs FT1-2
16/08/25HFT Vs Laagri3-1
02/08/25ATrans Narva Vs FT1-1
20/07/25ATammeka Vs FT1-2
17/07/25HFT Vs Valur Reykjavik1-2
10/07/25AValur Reykjavik Vs FT3-0
06/07/25HFT Vs Kalju Nomme1-0
29/06/25HFT Vs Tallinna Kalev3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD2.04
HomeWWLLW2.15
AwayLLWWD1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%65%62%
AVG goals3.042.813.29
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %66%65%67%
Over 3.5 %38%42%33%
Scored2.102.082.12
Conceded0.940.731.17
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet40%42%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.94
HomeWWLWW2.12
AwayLWDWW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%68%52%
AVG goals3.163.362.96
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %76%80%72%
Over 3.5 %36%48%24%
Scored1.982.201.76
Conceded1.181.161.20
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3682
72%
2.3
8431+53
3.2
86%
78%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3679
69%
2.2
8936+53
3.5
89%
83%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.51.0
-
3Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3674
64%
2.1
6937+32
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.91.0
-
4PaidePaide3670
58%
1.9
6332+31
2.6
78%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.80.9
-
5Trans NarvaTrans Narva3651
42%
1.4
5352+1
2.9
78%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.4
-
6VaprusVaprus3649
39%
1.4
5451+3
2.9
75%
67%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.4
-
7LaagriLaagri3636
28%
1.0
4970-21
3.3
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3834
26%
0.9
3567-32
2.7
82%
53%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.8
-
9TammekaTammeka3630
25%
0.8
4783-36
3.6
86%
78%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.32.3
-
10Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3617
14%
0.5
32113-81
4.0
89%
75%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.1
-
11ViimsiViimsi20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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