PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide Result & Analysis

Date: 15/05/2022
Time: 14:15
Final 1-0
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vs
55%
25%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Paide
Paide
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn win✓ Hit
54.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Paide win✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W40W10W11D10W10W02L10W60W10WH·LEG12/03H·TAM02/04A·PAI10/04H·KAL13/04H·KUR17/04A·TRA20/04A·FLO24/04A·TAM27/04H·TRA30/04A·TAL07/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.580.333.170.332.000.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.671.001.001.000.501.00
vs Weaker (9)3.220.113.600.202.750.00
Clean sheet %75% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-712L31W30W01L50W21W12L62W70W00DH·FLO13/03A·TAM20/03A·TAL01/04H·FC 10/04H·LEG13/04A·TRA16/04A·KUR23/04H·VAP27/04H·TAL01/05A·FLO08/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.751.083.501.332.000.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.751.501.002.000.000.00
vs Weaker (8)3.750.886.000.672.401.00
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0 ✓
9.4%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
FC Levadia Tallinn goals ↓
Paide goals →
01234
06.8%4.8%3.1%1.1%0.3%
19.4%12%5.6%1.9%0.5%
29.5%9.9%5.1%1.8%0.5%
35.8%6.0%3.1%1.1%0.3%
42.6%2.7%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Levadia Tallinn goals (down), columns = Paide goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.69
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.19
Paide
1.81
Kalju Nomme
1.81
Elva
1.50
Kuressaare
1.39
Tammeka
1.08
Trans Narva
1.06
Tallinna Kalev
0.97
Legion
0.76
Vaprus
0.31
FC Levadia Tallinn is 0.39 points better than Paide in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 1.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Flora Tallinn
2.61
Paide
2.33
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.06
Kalju Nomme
1.64
Kuressaare
1.36
Trans Narva
1.19
Tallinna Kalev
1.17
Tammeka
1.06
Legion
0.97
Vaprus
0.89
Elva
0.50
FC Levadia Tallinn is 0.28 goals worse than Paide in terms of goals scored per game (2.06 vs 2.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.58
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.69
Kalju Nomme
0.83
Paide
1.03
Kuressaare
1.42
Elva
1.50
Tammeka
1.58
Trans Narva
1.61
Legion
2.18
Tallinna Kalev
2.56
Vaprus
2.67
FC Levadia Tallinn is 0.33 goals better than Paide in terms of goals conceded per game (0.69 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W00D01L00D00D02L00D30W00DH·LEG12/03H·TAM02/04A·PAI10/04H·KAL13/04H·KUR17/04A·TRA20/04A·FLO24/04A·TAM27/04H·TRA30/04A·TAL07/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.251.330.170.330.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Weaker (9)1.110.001.600.000.500.00
Clean sheet %83% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D00D00D20W10W12L31W30W00DH·FLO13/03A·TAM20/03A·TAL01/04H·FC 10/04H·LEG13/04A·TRA16/04A·KUR23/04H·VAP27/04H·TAL01/05A·FLO08/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.250.671.500.671.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.250.750.331.000.000.00
vs Weaker (8)1.750.622.670.331.200.80
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W10W10W10W10W00D10W30W10WH·LEG12/03H·TAM02/04A·PAI10/04H·KAL13/04H·KUR17/04A·TRA20/04A·FLO24/04A·TAM27/04H·TRA30/04A·TAL07/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.750.081.830.171.670.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.670.001.000.000.500.00
vs Weaker (9)2.110.112.000.202.250.00
Clean sheet %92% (+65pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W30W01L30W11D00D31W40W00DH·FLO13/03A·TAM20/03A·TAL01/04H·FC 10/04H·LEG13/04A·TRA16/04A·KUR23/04H·VAP27/04H·TAL01/05A·FLO08/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.422.000.671.000.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.500.750.671.000.000.00
vs Weaker (8)2.000.253.330.331.200.20
Clean sheet %58% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn and Paide have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn and Paide have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn and Paide have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn and Paide have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
FLT wins
0
Draws
0
PAI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide · H/A from FLT
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/22APaide Vs FLT0-1

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/22ATallinna Kalev Vs FLT0-1
30/04/22HFLT Vs Trans Narva6-0
27/04/22ATammeka Vs FLT0-1
24/04/22AFlora Tallinn Vs FLT2-0
20/04/22ATrans Narva Vs FLT0-1
17/04/22HFLT Vs Kuressaare1-0
13/04/22HFLT Vs Kalju Nomme1-1
10/04/22APaide Vs FLT0-1
02/04/22HFLT Vs Tammeka4-0
12/03/22HFLT Vs Legion2-0

PaidePaide

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/22AFlora Tallinn Vs PAI0-0
01/05/22HPAI Vs Tallinna Kalev7-0
27/04/22HPAI Vs Vaprus6-2
23/04/22AKuressaare Vs PAI2-1
16/04/22ATrans Narva Vs PAI1-2
13/04/22HPAI Vs Legion5-0
10/04/22HPAI Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-1
01/04/22ATallinna Kalev Vs PAI0-3
20/03/22ATammeka Vs PAI1-3
13/03/22HPAI Vs Flora Tallinn1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.58
HomeWWDWW2.67
AwayWWLWW2.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %83%83%83%
AVG goals2.923.502.33
Over 1.5 %58%83%33%
Over 2.5 %33%50%17%
Over 3.5 %33%50%17%
Scored2.583.172.00
Conceded0.330.330.33
BTTS17%33%0%
Clean Sheet75%67%83%
Corners---
Cards---
Paide
Paide
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.83
HomeLLWWW1.50
AwayWWWLD2.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%50%67%
AVG goals3.834.832.83
Over 1.5 %83%83%83%
Over 2.5 %83%83%83%
Over 3.5 %50%67%33%
Scored2.753.502.00
Conceded1.081.330.83
BTTS58%50%67%
Clean Sheet33%33%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3697
86%
2.7
9421+73
3.2
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.60.6
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3679
67%
2.2
7425+49
2.8
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.10.7
-
3PaidePaide3665
53%
1.8
8437+47
3.4
78%
64%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3665
53%
1.8
5930+29
2.5
75%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.60.8
-
5KuressaareKuressaare3650
36%
1.4
4951-2
2.8
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.4
-
6TammekaTammeka3639
28%
1.1
3857-19
2.6
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
7Trans NarvaTrans Narva3638
28%
1.1
4358-15
2.8
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.6
-
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3635
28%
1.0
4292-50
3.7
86%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
9LegionLegion3829
18%
0.8
3783-46
3.2
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
10VaprusVaprus3611
8%
0.3
3296-64
3.6
75%
64%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.92.7
-
11ElvaElva23
50%
1.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

← all matches