PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide Result & Analysis

Date: 26/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 4-1
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vs
58%
24%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Paide
Paide
Estonia: Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FC Levadia Tallinn’s current form is a bright 5-game winning streak, while Paide has just returned from a win. The model sees a 58% chance of a Levadia victory, 24% for a draw and 18% for a Paide win, making the home win the clear favourite. With an expected 2.9 goals, the most likely total is 2, a 24% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, at 11.4%. Levadia averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded at home against similar opposition; Paide, playing away, averages 1.0 scored and 2.25 conceded against similar teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.3%), Under 6.5 (97.2%), Home +2 handicap (93.6%), Under 5.5 (92.6% with an 11% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (92.4% with a 6% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (87.1% but a miss), and Home over 0.5 goals (85.3%).

Results analysis

The model’s forecast proved accurate as FC Levadia Tallinn secured a 4-1 victory, extending their five-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite was a home win, assigned a 58% probability, and the prediction was correct. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals (99%) and Under 6.5 (97.2%) were both fulfilled, as were Home +2 handicap (93.6%) and Away under 3.5 goals (98.3%). Under 5.5 (92.6%) and Away under 2.5 goals (92.4%) also succeeded, while Home under 3.5 goals (87.1%) missed. Home over 0.5 goals (85.3%) was a hit. All figures appear once, and the final score remains 4-1.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn win✓ Hit
58.4%
Avg Implied 61.7% · @ 1.46
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied 20.4% · @ 4.42
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.80
Superbet
4.75
Betfair
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.45
Paide win✗ Miss
17.7%
Avg Implied 17.9% · @ 5.04
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.91
Marathonbet
5.70
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
5.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W11D40W22D12L31W11D50W21W40WA·VAP26/10A·FLO29/10A·TRA02/11A·LAA08/11H·FLO28/06A·TRA04/07A·VAP02/08H·NÕM09/08A·LAA16/08H·TRA21/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.102.130.932.331.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.311.461.141.291.501.67
vs Weaker (17)2.940.823.000.622.891.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W15L11D31W25L10W14L02L11D41WH·VAP06/05H·FLO23/05A·KAL28/06H·VAP04/07A·LAA19/07H·KUR02/08H·RAP06/08A·RAP12/08A·TRA16/08H·NÕM23/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.432.501.121.211.79
vs Stronger (2)0.503.001.004.000.002.00
vs Similar (9)1.222.111.402.001.002.25
vs Weaker (19)2.370.953.200.401.441.56
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
@ 1.07-5.8%
Under 1.5
20.5%
@ 6.19+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Under
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.80
Superbet
5.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.3%
@ 1.33-13.4%
Under 2.5
44.7%
@ 2.93+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.82
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.74
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.9%
@ 1.88-16.1%
Under 3.5
67.1%
@ 1.80+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Under
10Bet
1.90
Betfair
1.85
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.2%
@ 1.45-9.3%
No
45.8%
@ 2.52+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
No
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.60
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.36

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 9.12+7.1%
2-0
10.2%@ 9.77+6.2%
2-1
9.9%@ 8.18+5.2%
1-0
9.6%@ 11.54+6.2%
0-0
6.6%@ 21.62+4.8%
3-0
6.5%@ 11.67+3.2%
3-1
6.4%@ 10.03+2.5%
1-2
5.0%@ 15.50+2.5%
FC Levadia Tallinn goals ↓
Paide goals →
01234
06.6%4.4%2.6%0.9%0.2%
19.6%11%5.0%1.6%0.4%
210%9.9%4.8%1.6%0.4%
36.5%6.4%3.1%1.0%0.2%
43.1%3.0%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Levadia Tallinn goals (down), columns = Paide goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.60
Vaprus
2.40
Paide
2.40
Tartu Welco
2.40
Trans Narva
2.40
Tallinna Kalev
2.25
Elva
2.25
Nõmme United
2.25
Keila
2.00
Tallinna Kalev II
2.00
Laagri
2.00
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2.00
FC Tallinn
2.00
Poseidon
2.00
Saku Sporting
2.00
Tammeka
2.00
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.00
Viimsi
1.80
Saue
1.50
Tallinna Wolves
1.50
Joker
1.50
Läänemaa Haapsalu
1.50
Hell Hunt
1.50
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1.50
Team Helm
1.50
Tulevik
1.50
Tamper
1.50
Flora II
1.50
Kristiine JK
1.50
Kompanii Marjamaa
1.50
Kuressaare
1.50
Kalju Nomme
1.50
Rae Spordikool
1.33
Volta II / Arsenal
1.00
Tammeka Tartu U19
0.96
Lahte United
0.96
Nomme Utd U19
0.96
Rakvere FC Freedom
0.96
Jõgeva Wolves
0.96
Kummik
0.96
Elva III
0.96
Deliirium
0.96
Paide III
0.96
Generation Tallinn
0.96
Rumori Calcio II
0.96
Kena
0.96
Harju JK Laagri U21
0.96
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
0.96
Järva-Jaani
0.00
FC Kohvile
0.00
Welco X
0.00
Vigri Maarjamäe
0.00
Flora III
0.00
Vana Hea Puur
0.00
Hiiumaa
0.00
Helios
0.00
Zealot Sporting
0.00
Kose
0.00
TalTech
0.00
Kuusalu Kalev
0.00
Raplamaa
0.00
Soccernet
0.00
EstHam United
0.00
Legion
0.00
Phoenix
0.00
JK Tabasalu
0.00
Tartu Kalev
0.00
Rumori Calcio
0.00
Olympic
0.00
TransferWise
0.00
FC Levadia Tallinn is 0.40 points worse than Paide in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Laagri
9.67
Tartu Welco
6.80
Tabasalu Ulasabat
6.50
Flora II
6.00
Vaprus
5.60
FC Tallinn
5.33
Flora Tallinn
4.80
Tammeka
4.67
Tallinna Wolves
4.50
Trans Narva
4.40
Rae Spordikool
4.00
Soccernet
4.00
Tallinna FC Zapoos
4.00
Kuressaare
4.00
Tallinna Kalev
3.25
Saue
3.00
Keila
3.00
Tulevik
3.00
Viimsi
3.00
Kompanii Marjamaa
3.00
Kalju Nomme
3.00
Paide
2.80
Nõmme United
2.75
Tallinna Kalev II
2.67
Saku Sporting
2.67
Joker
2.50
Tamper
2.50
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.50
Elva
2.25
Tammeka Tartu U19
2.24
Lahte United
2.24
Nomme Utd U19
2.24
Rakvere FC Freedom
2.24
Jõgeva Wolves
2.24
Kummik
2.24
Elva III
2.24
Deliirium
2.24
Paide III
2.24
Generation Tallinn
2.24
Rumori Calcio II
2.24
Kena
2.24
Harju JK Laagri U21
2.24
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
2.24
Volta II / Arsenal
2.00
Team Helm
2.00
Rumori Calcio
2.00
Kristiine JK
2.00
Poseidon
1.67
Järva-Jaani
1.00
Flora III
1.00
Läänemaa Haapsalu
1.00
Zealot Sporting
1.00
TalTech
1.00
Hell Hunt
1.00
Raplamaa
1.00
Phoenix
1.00
Tartu Kalev
1.00
FC Kohvile
0.00
Welco X
0.00
Vigri Maarjamäe
0.00
Vana Hea Puur
0.00
Hiiumaa
0.00
Helios
0.00
Kose
0.00
Kuusalu Kalev
0.00
EstHam United
0.00
Legion
0.00
JK Tabasalu
0.00
Olympic
0.00
TransferWise
0.00
FC Levadia Tallinn is 0.30 goals worse than Paide in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 2.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tallinna Kalev II
0.33
Laagri
0.33
Tartu Welco
0.40
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.50
Flora Tallinn
0.60
Trans Narva
0.80
Vaprus
1.00
Kuressaare
1.00
Kalju Nomme
1.00
Paide
1.20
Elva
1.25
Nõmme United
1.25
Tallinna FC Zapoos
1.33
Tammeka
1.33
Läänemaa Haapsalu
1.50
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1.50
Kompanii Marjamaa
1.50
Volta II / Arsenal
2.00
Tartu Kalev
2.00
Tallinna Kalev
2.00
Saku Sporting
2.00
FC Tallinn
2.33
Poseidon
2.33
Saue
2.50
Flora II
2.50
Viimsi
2.60
Hiiumaa
3.00
Helios
3.00
Legion
3.00
Tamper
3.00
Joker
3.50
Hell Hunt
3.50
Järva-Jaani
4.00
FC Kohvile
4.00
Keila
4.00
Tallinna Wolves
4.00
Vigri Maarjamäe
4.00
Rae Spordikool
4.00
Rumori Calcio
4.00
Kristiine JK
4.00
Tammeka Tartu U19
4.31
Lahte United
4.31
Nomme Utd U19
4.31
Rakvere FC Freedom
4.31
Jõgeva Wolves
4.31
Kummik
4.31
Elva III
4.31
Deliirium
4.31
Paide III
4.31
Generation Tallinn
4.31
Rumori Calcio II
4.31
Kena
4.31
Harju JK Laagri U21
4.31
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
4.31
Raplamaa
5.00
Vana Hea Puur
6.00
Soccernet
6.00
Phoenix
6.00
JK Tabasalu
6.00
Olympic
6.00
Tulevik
6.50
Zealot Sporting
7.00
Kose
7.00
TalTech
7.00
Team Helm
7.00
Welco X
8.00
Flora III
8.00
EstHam United
9.00
Kuusalu Kalev
16.00
TransferWise
26.00
FC Levadia Tallinn is 0.70 goals better than Paide in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Levadia Tallinn or Draw✓ Hit
82.3%
Avg Implied 82.6% · @ 1.11
Edge
-0.3%
58%
24%
18%
covers FC Levadia Tallinn + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
FC Levadia Tallinn or Paide✓ Hit
76.1%
Avg Implied 79.8% · @ 1.15
Edge
-3.8%
58%
24%
18%
covers FC Levadia Tallinn + Paide
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Draw or Paide✗ Miss
41.6%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.44
Edge
+4.0%
58%
24%
18%
covers Draw + Paide
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.55
William Hil
2.50
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.46

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.3%
@ 1.02-3.7%
Under
14.7%
@ 8.30+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.02
Under
1xBet
8.30
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
57.2%
@ 1.33-10.8%
Under
42.8%
@ 2.83+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Under
1xBet
2.83
Marathonbet
2.83
Superbet
2.82
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
30.1%
@ 2.09-13.9%
Under
69.9%
@ 1.64+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Marathonbet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Under
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
12.9%
@ 3.62-12.1%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.21+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.72
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Under
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Paide over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.3%
@ 1.35-4.7%
Under
37.7%
@ 2.75+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Under
Superbet
2.77
1xBet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.73
Paide over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 2.72-8.1%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.38+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.84
1xBet
2.80
Superbet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Paide over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 6.72-5.9%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.04+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.10
Superbet
5.85
Under
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Paide over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Levadia Tallinn, so a minus line means FC Levadia Tallinn give that many goals of a start and Paide receive them. At -1, FC Levadia Tallinn must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Levadia Tallinn win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Levadia Tallinn)Actual: FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn -2
17.0%
@ 3.42-8.7%
Draw -2
18.2%
@ 4.55-1.1%
Paide +2
64.8%
@ 1.60+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.42
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Marathonbet
1.60
Handicap -1 (FC Levadia Tallinn)Actual: FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn -1
35.2%
@ 2.09-7.0%
Draw -1
23.2%
@ 3.86+0.3%
Paide +1
41.6%
@ 2.54+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Draw
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.88
Betfair
3.75
Away
Betfair
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.46
Handicap +1 (FC Levadia Tallinn)Actual: FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn +1
82.3%
@ 1.12+4.9%
Draw +1
11.3%
@ 6.55-2.0%
Paide -1
6.4%
@ 9.30-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Marathonbet
6.55
Away
Marathonbet
9.30
Handicap +2 (FC Levadia Tallinn)Actual: FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn +2
93.6%
Draw +2
4.7%
Paide -2
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W30W10W10W20W01L30W11D10WA·VAP26/10A·FLO29/10A·TRA02/11A·LAA08/11H·FLO28/06A·TRA04/07A·VAP02/08H·NÕM09/08A·LAA16/08H·TRA21/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.471.130.401.270.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.690.540.860.430.500.67
vs Weaker (17)1.590.411.380.381.780.44
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L00D21W15L00D11D01L01L11DH·VAP06/05H·FLO23/05A·KAL28/06H·VAP04/07A·LAA19/07H·KUR02/08H·RAP06/08A·RAP12/08A·TRA16/08H·NÕM23/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.731.380.500.711.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.561.000.600.800.501.25
vs Weaker (19)1.370.581.800.300.890.89
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
4.80
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.68
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.01
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Under
Betfair
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Superbet
1.78
William Hil
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.65
Under
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.63
Superbet
2.62
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.12
1xBet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.28
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.10
Under
1xBet
1.05
Paide over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
Marathonbet
2.31
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.07
Under
1xBet
1.67
Superbet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Paide over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.50
1xBet
6.60
Under
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
Paide over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W12L02L11D10W20W10W30WA·VAP26/10A·FLO29/10A·TRA02/11A·LAA08/11H·FLO28/06A·TRA04/07A·VAP02/08H·NÕM09/08A·LAA16/08H·TRA21/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.631.000.531.070.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.920.290.861.001.00
vs Weaker (17)1.350.411.620.251.110.56
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L11D10W10W10W03L01L10W30WH·VAP06/05H·FLO23/05A·KAL28/06H·VAP04/07A·LAA19/07H·KUR02/08H·RAP06/08A·RAP12/08A·TRA16/08H·NÕM23/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.701.120.620.500.79
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.671.110.801.200.501.00
vs Weaker (19)1.000.371.400.100.560.67
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Under
1xBet
6.80
William Hil
5.50
Superbet
5.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Under
William Hil
2.25
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.22
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.75
Marathonbet
2.67
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.63
Under
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
William Hil
1.36

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.24
Under
1xBet
3.60
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.16
Under
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.14
Paide over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.77
Under
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.74
Paide over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
4.80
Under
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.08
Paide over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap93.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.6%1.11
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
-+10.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals92.4%1.04
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
--+5.9%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals87.1%1.21
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
--+12.1%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals85.3%1.02
1xBet
1.02
-----3.7%✓ Hit
Under 4.583.3%1.33
Pinnacle
1.39
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+15.0%✗ Miss
Home or Draw82.3%1.11
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
-0.3%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap82.3%1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
----+4.9%✓ Hit
Over 1.579.5%1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
--5.8%✓ Hit
Home or Away76.1%1.15
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-3.8%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals74.5%1.38
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
-+8.1%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn and Paide have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn and Paide have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn and Paide have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
FC Levadia Tallinn and Paide have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
FLT wins
0
Draws
3
PAI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide · H/A from FLT
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/25HFLT Vs Paide1-2
04/07/25APaide Vs FLT0-3
11/05/25HFLT Vs Paide2-1
23/04/25APaide Vs FLT2-1
09/11/24APaide Vs FLT3-0
29/05/24APaide Vs FLT0-1
01/05/24HFLT Vs Paide1-0
31/03/24HFLT Vs Paide2-0

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HFLT Vs Trans Narva4-0
16/08/26ALaagri Vs FLT1-2
09/08/26HFLT Vs Nõmme United5-0
02/08/26AVaprus Vs FLT1-1
04/07/26ATrans Narva Vs FLT1-3
28/06/26HFLT Vs Flora Tallinn1-2
08/11/25ALaagri Vs FLT2-2
02/11/25ATrans Narva Vs FLT0-4
29/10/25AFlora Tallinn Vs FLT1-1
26/10/25AVaprus Vs FLT1-3

PaidePaide

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26HPAI Vs Nõmme United4-1
16/08/26ATrans Narva Vs PAI1-1
12/08/26ARapid Vienna Vs PAI2-0
06/08/26HPAI Vs Rapid Vienna1-4
02/08/26HPAI Vs Kuressaare1-0
19/07/26ALaagri Vs PAI5-2
04/07/26HPAI Vs Vaprus3-1
28/06/26AKalju Nomme Vs PAI1-1
23/05/26HPAI Vs Flora Tallinn1-5
06/05/26HPAI Vs Vaprus2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Estonia: Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.00
HomeWLLWW2.12
AwayWDWDW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%68%56%
AVG goals3.223.003.44
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %74%76%72%
Over 3.5 %42%44%40%
Scored2.222.162.28
Conceded1.000.841.16
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet34%44%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Paide
Paide
Estonia: Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.86
HomeLWWLW2.07
AwayDDLLD1.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%63%48%
AVG goals3.063.262.83
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %56%59%52%
Over 3.5 %30%41%17%
Scored1.822.221.35
Conceded1.241.041.48
BTTS52%48%57%
Clean Sheet30%41%17%
Corners7.509.006.00
Cards3.002.004.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn716
71%
2.3
197+12
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.71.0
-
2Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn915
56%
1.7
1614+2
3.3
89%
89%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.6
-
3TammekaTammeka815
62%
1.9
1315-2
3.5
75%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme814
50%
1.8
168+8
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.0
-
5PaidePaide714
57%
2.0
1410+4
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.4
-
6LaagriLaagri812
50%
1.5
1511+4
3.2
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.4
-
7VaprusVaprus88
25%
1.0
1315-2
3.5
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare98
22%
0.9
1015-5
2.8
56%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.11.7
-
9Trans NarvaTrans Narva87
25%
0.9
717-10
3.0
100%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.92.1
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United86
25%
0.8
920-11
3.6
88%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

← all matches