FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva Result & Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 75% chance of a home win and a 75.3% probability to the “Home win” selection. The team’s recent four-game winning streak and a 3-2 victory over Kalju Nomme underline their dominance at home, especially against weaker opposition where they average 3.0 goals scored and only 0.62 conceded. Trans Narva, struggling on the road, average just 0.86 goals scored and 2.57 conceded against stronger teams, making a win unlikely at 8%. The expected total of 3.1 goals suggests a lively match, but the most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 13.2% chance. The model also favours an over 1.5-goal outcome (82.3%) and an under 11.5 corners (74.8%). Draw and away win probabilities are 17% and 8% respectively, leaving the home win as the single most probable result.

The win extends FC Levadia Tallinn’s four-game winning run, as they beat Trans Narva 3-0. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win, with a 75.3% probability, and it proved correct. The over 1.5 goals selection, at 82.3%, also hit, while the model’s home win pick, at 75.3%, was a hit. The most likely scoreline was 2-0, but the actual 3-0 result still fell within the model’s predicted range. Levadia’s strong home form and Trans Narva’s poor away performance made the 3-0 outcome unsurprising, confirming the model’s overall accuracy.