FC Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva Result & Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn enter the match as clear favourites, with the model rating a 71% chance of a home win, 19% for a draw and 10% for a Trans Narva victory. The 71% probability reflects Levadia’s strong home form against weaker opposition, scoring 1.9 goals per game while conceding only 0.6, whereas Trans Narva, playing away against stronger teams, averages 1.5 goals scored and 3.33 conceded. The expected total of 3.1 goals aligns with the 23% chance of the most likely total of two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Levadia, with a 12.3% probability. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 81.8% and a Home win at 70.9%. Levadia’s recent four-game winning streak, highlighted by a 3-2 victory over Kalju Nomme, underpins their confidence, while Trans Narva’s recent two defeats, including a 0-2 loss to Tammeka, suggest a struggle on the road.

The 0-0 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, FC Levadia Tallinn, who had been on a four-game winning run and were tipped to win with a 71.9% probability. The model’s call was wrong, as the match finished level. The over 1.5 goal selection, with an 81.8% chance, also missed. The model had also picked a home win at 70.9%, which did not materialise. The final score of 0-0 confirmed a draw, contradicting the model’s expectations. Despite Levadia’s strong home form and the prediction of a 2-goal total, the game ended without a single goal, leaving both the over-goal and home-win selections off target.