This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.10
1.31
1.06
1.79
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.48
1.07
1.31
1.06
1.69
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.8%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.4%
No
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
FC Liefering goals ↓
SKN ST. Polten goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
7.3%
6.8%
3.7%
1.5%
1
5.8%
12%
9.1%
4.9%
2.0%
2
4.6%
7.5%
6.1%
3.3%
1.3%
3
2.1%
3.4%
2.7%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Liefering goals (down), columns = SKN ST. Polten goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Grazer AK
2.30
Ried
1.97
First Vienna
1.70
Leoben
1.70
Floridsdorfer AC
1.63
FC Liefering
1.57
Admira Wacker
1.57
SV Horn
1.37
SKN ST. Polten
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.30
SV Lafnitz
1.23
SV Kapfenberg
1.17
Stripfing
1.17
Dornbirn
1.10
Sturm Graz II
0.77
SKU Amstetten
0.53
FC Liefering is 0.23 points better than SKN ST. Polten in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
2.23
Grazer AK
1.90
First Vienna
1.73
FC Liefering
1.70
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Leoben
1.57
SKN ST. Polten
1.53
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
SV Kapfenberg
1.40
Admira Wacker
1.40
Stripfing
1.33
SV Horn
1.33
Sturm Graz II
1.30
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.27
Dornbirn
1.07
SKU Amstetten
1.00
FC Liefering is 0.17 goals better than SKN ST. Polten in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ried
0.73
Grazer AK
0.90
Admira Wacker
1.03
Leoben
1.03
Floridsdorfer AC
1.10
First Vienna
1.30
FC Liefering
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.50
SV Horn
1.60
Dornbirn
1.70
SKN ST. Polten
1.73
SV Kapfenberg
1.80
SV Lafnitz
1.90
Stripfing
1.93
SKU Amstetten
2.03
Sturm Graz II
2.23
FC Liefering is 0.40 goals better than SKN ST. Polten in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.73).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ried
56%
SKN ST. Polten
55%
Floridsdorfer AC
54%
Leoben
51%
FC Liefering
51%
First Vienna
50%
Admira Wacker
50%
SV Horn
49%
SV Lafnitz
48%
SKU Amstetten
48%
Grazer AK
48%
SV Kapfenberg
45%
Dornbirn
43%
FC Liefering is 4.4 percentage points worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of average possession (51% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Liefering
For 5.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SKN ST. Polten
For 7.1 · Against 3.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Liefering
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
10.4
10.9
9.9
3.6
3.5
3.8
26.7
26.6
26.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
10.5
10.5
10.5
3.2
3.6
2.8
25.1
27.5
22.8
vs Weaker (37)
10.4
11.0
9.8
3.8
3.5
4.1
27.1
26.4
27.7
% over line
59%
68%
50%
55%
54%
57%
77%
84%
70%
% under line
41%
32%
50%
45%
46%
43%
23%
16%
30%
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
9.8
9.9
9.7
2.8
2.4
3.2
22.3
22.7
21.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
9.8
9.9
9.7
2.8
2.4
3.4
22.3
22.7
21.9
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
48%
47%
50%
34%
33%
35%
59%
60%
57%
% under line
52%
53%
50%
66%
67%
65%
41%
40%
43%
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
11.7
Dornbirn
10.8
Floridsdorfer AC
10.8
FC Liefering
10.4
SV Kapfenberg
10.2
Admira Wacker
10.2
SV Lafnitz
10.1
Ried
10.1
SKU Amstetten
10.0
SKN ST. Polten
9.8
SV Horn
9.4
Grazer AK
9.4
Leoben
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.1
SV Lafnitz
5.1
SV Horn
5.0
Floridsdorfer AC
4.8
Admira Wacker
4.8
Dornbirn
4.7
Grazer AK
4.5
First Vienna
4.5
SKN ST. Polten
4.5
FC Liefering
4.5
Ried
4.5
Leoben
4.1
SKU Amstetten
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Floridsdorfer AC
28.0
FC Liefering
26.7
SV Horn
26.7
Grazer AK
26.4
SV Kapfenberg
25.9
First Vienna
25.9
Admira Wacker
25.7
Dornbirn
25.6
SV Lafnitz
25.4
SKU Amstetten
25.2
Ried
24.4
Leoben
22.8
SKN ST. Polten
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.1%
Under 9.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.5%
Under 3.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.2%
Under 21.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Liefering
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.50
0.62
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.57
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (23)
0.65
0.70
0.50
0.67
0.82
0.73
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.62
0.31
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.66
0.45
0.62
0.31
0.69
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Liefering over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Liefering
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.83
1.31
0.69
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
1.14
0.75
1.25
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.09
0.74
1.50
0.50
0.64
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
0.69
0.75
1.07
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.83
0.62
0.69
0.75
1.00
0.46
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Liefering) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Liefering over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Liefering over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Liefering
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo36%
Phillip Verhounig31%
Gaoussou Diakite25%
Adam Daghim21%
Justin Omoregie20%
Moritz Neumann20%
Bryan Okoh17%
Luka Reischl17%
Lukas Wallner17%
Benjamin Atiabou14%
Rocco Žiković14%
Lawrence Agyekum14%
Zétény Jánó13%
Tim Paumgartner8%
Soumaila Diabate7%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Douglas Mendes0%
Leandro Morgalla0%
Nicolò Turco0%
Mark Gevorgyan0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Mohammad Sadeqi0%
Salko Hamzić0%
Mario Pejazić0%
Valentin Sulzbacher0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Elione Fernandes Neto0%
Tim Trummer0%
Oliver Lukić0%
John Mellberg0%
Jannik Schuster0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lukas Wallner83%
Raphael Hofer67%
Elione Fernandes Neto57%
Zétény Jánó33%
Benjamin Atiabou29%
Rocco Žiković29%
Lawrence Agyekum29%
Gaoussou Diakite25%
Justin Omoregie20%
Douglas Mendes20%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo18%
Luka Reischl17%
Tim Paumgartner17%
Mark Gevorgyan17%
John Mellberg17%
Mario Pejazić14%
Adam Daghim14%
Nicolò Turco11%
Tim Trummer7%
Soumaila Diabate7%
Bryan Okoh0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Leandro Morgalla0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Moritz Neumann0%
Mohammad Sadeqi0%
Salko Hamzić0%
Valentin Sulzbacher0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Oliver Lukić0%
Phillip Verhounig0%
Jannik Schuster0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Okoh33%
Gaoussou Diakite25%
Adam Daghim21%
Zétény Jánó20%
Moritz Neumann20%
Oliver Lukić20%
Jannik Schuster20%
Lukas Wallner17%
Phillip Verhounig15%
Lawrence Agyekum14%
Tim Trummer14%
Valentin Sulzbacher12%
Tim Paumgartner8%
Soumaila Diabate7%
Justin Omoregie0%
Luka Reischl0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Benjamin Atiabou0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Douglas Mendes0%
Leandro Morgalla0%
Nicolò Turco0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Mark Gevorgyan0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Mohammad Sadeqi0%
Salko Hamzić0%
Mario Pejazić0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Elione Fernandes Neto0%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo0%
John Mellberg0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Daghim29%
Moritz Neumann20%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo18%
Bryan Okoh17%
Mario Pejazić14%
Luka Reischl8%
Phillip Verhounig8%
Zétény Jánó7%
Justin Omoregie0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Lukas Wallner0%
Benjamin Atiabou0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Douglas Mendes0%
Leandro Morgalla0%
Nicolò Turco0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Rocco Žiković0%
Lawrence Agyekum0%
Mark Gevorgyan0%
Marcel Moswitzer0%
Mohammad Sadeqi0%
Salko Hamzić0%
Valentin Sulzbacher0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Elione Fernandes Neto0%
Tim Trummer0%
Oliver Lukić0%
John Mellberg0%
Soumaila Diabate0%
Jannik Schuster0%
Gaoussou Diakite0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
FL (17)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
FC Liefering's squad is €1m more valuable than SKN ST. Polten's (€5m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
FC Liefering's attack is €1m more valuable than SKN ST. Polten's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (8)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
FC Liefering and SKN ST. Polten have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (13)
€6m
RIE (9)
€3m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
FC Liefering and SKN ST. Polten have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
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Grazer AK
Ried
Leoben
First Vienna
Floridsdorfer AC
Admira Wacker
SV Horn
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
SV Lafnitz
SV Kapfenberg
Stripfing
Dornbirn
Sturm Graz II
SKU Amstetten