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FC Lisse vs URK Result & Analysis

Date: 23/09/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 4-1
FC Lisse
FC Lisse
Vs
40%
25%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
URK
URK
Netherlands: KNVB Beker
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Lisse win✓ Hit
39.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
URK win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC LisseFC Lisse

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W12L10WA·SMI03/09A·JUL25/09H·UTR31/10H·WES02/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.251.001.001.001.501.00
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %25% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (URK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

URKURK

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L11DA·TEC03/09A·ZWA02/09
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.502.50--1.502.50
vs Stronger (2)1.502.50--1.502.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Lisse) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.5%
Under 2.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.6%
No
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
FC Lisse goals ↓
URK goals →
01234
04.6%4.8%4.7%2.5%1.0%
15.2%11%8.0%4.3%1.7%
25.3%8.5%6.9%3.7%1.5%
33.0%4.9%3.9%2.1%0.8%
41.3%2.1%1.7%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Lisse goals (down), columns = URK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
Heerenveen
2.33
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Utrecht
2.25
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Heracles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
De Graafschap
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Blauw Geel
1.67
Hercules
1.67
FC Volendam
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
Groningen
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Ajax
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Twente
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Dovo
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Spakenburg
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Hoogeveen
0.99
Walcheren
0.99
Dongen
0.99
ARC
0.99
Groene Ster
0.99
Halsteren
0.99
Velocitas
0.99
Sportclub 25
0.99
't Zand
0.99
Westlandia
0.99
Erp
0.99
AWC
0.99
VV Scherpenzeel
0.99
HZVV
0.99
Staphorst
0.99
Roosendaal
0.99
DVO
0.99
Zwaluwen
0.99
Heino
0.99
VVOG
0.99
Kampong
0.99
Aalsmeer
0.99
De Foresters
0.99
Mierlo-Hout
0.99
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
URK
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ACV
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Huizen
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
HHC
0.00
UNA
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
Roda
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
FC Lisse is 1.33 points better than URK in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Barendrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Utrecht
3.00
De Graafschap
2.67
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
FC Volendam
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
Blauw Geel
2.33
Hercules
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Katwijk
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
GOES
2.00
URK
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
TEC
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
MVV
1.50
Hoogeveen
1.42
Walcheren
1.42
Dongen
1.42
ARC
1.42
Groene Ster
1.42
Halsteren
1.42
Velocitas
1.42
Sportclub 25
1.42
't Zand
1.42
Westlandia
1.42
Erp
1.42
AWC
1.42
VV Scherpenzeel
1.42
HZVV
1.42
Staphorst
1.42
Roosendaal
1.42
DVO
1.42
Zwaluwen
1.42
Heino
1.42
VVOG
1.42
Kampong
1.42
Aalsmeer
1.42
De Foresters
1.42
Mierlo-Hout
1.42
Heracles
1.40
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
SC Genemuiden
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
De Treffers
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
UNA
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
Roda
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
FC Lisse is 0.67 goals worse than URK in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ASWH
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
Telstar
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Gemert
1.00
HHC
1.00
Utrecht
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Blauw Geel
1.33
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Volendam
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Hercules
1.67
Excelsior
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Hoogeveen
1.95
Walcheren
1.95
Dongen
1.95
ARC
1.95
Groene Ster
1.95
Halsteren
1.95
Velocitas
1.95
Sportclub 25
1.95
't Zand
1.95
Westlandia
1.95
Erp
1.95
AWC
1.95
VV Scherpenzeel
1.95
HZVV
1.95
Staphorst
1.95
Roosendaal
1.95
DVO
1.95
Zwaluwen
1.95
Heino
1.95
VVOG
1.95
Kampong
1.95
Aalsmeer
1.95
De Foresters
1.95
Mierlo-Hout
1.95
Willem II
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Capelle
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Groningen
2.00
Huizen
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Twente
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Almere City FC
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
TEC
3.00
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
De Treffers
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
TOGB
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
UNA
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
ACV
5.00
FC Lisse is 2.67 goals better than URK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 4.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC LisseFC Lisse

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

URKURK

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FC LisseFC Lisse

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (URK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

URKURK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (2)---0.0-0.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (0)---------
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%-0%---
% under line---100%-100%---
This opponent (FC Lisse) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dordrecht
11.4
Den Bosch
11.3
Waalwijk
11.2
VVV Venlo
11.2
Vitesse
11.0
GO Ahead Eagles
11.0
FC OSS
10.9
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Willem II
10.8
Heracles
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.6
Almere City FC
10.6
FC Volendam
10.4
NEC Nijmegen
10.4
MVV
10.3
Utrecht
10.3
Helmond Sport
10.2
Telstar
10.2
Fortuna Sittard
10.2
Emmen
10.1
De Graafschap
10.1
Cambuur
10.0
Excelsior
9.9
Roda
9.8
Feyenoord
9.7
AZ Alkmaar
9.6
FC Eindhoven
9.6
PEC Zwolle
9.5
Twente
9.5
ADO Den Haag
9.5
Heerenveen
9.4
NAC Breda
9.4
Ajax
9.0
Groningen
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.7
Ajax
4.5
ADO Den Haag
4.3
Cambuur
4.2
Twente
4.0
Dordrecht
4.0
Emmen
4.0
Vitesse
3.9
FC OSS
3.9
Utrecht
3.9
NEC Nijmegen
3.8
Excelsior
3.8
Groningen
3.8
Roda
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Fortuna Sittard
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
Den Bosch
3.6
NAC Breda
3.6
De Graafschap
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.6
FC Volendam
3.6
Heracles
3.5
VVV Venlo
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.4
MVV
3.4
Almere City FC
3.4
Heerenveen
3.3
Telstar
3.3
FC Eindhoven
3.2
Willem II
3.2
Sparta Rotterdam
3.2
Waalwijk
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC OSS
27.4
Helmond Sport
26.6
Dordrecht
26.2
Cambuur
26.1
ADO Den Haag
26.0
Vitesse
25.9
Telstar
25.9
Emmen
25.8
MVV
24.2
Ajax
24.1
VVV Venlo
24.0
Roda
23.3
FC Volendam
23.3
Heracles
23.3
Den Bosch
22.4
De Graafschap
22.4
Excelsior
22.2
AZ Alkmaar
22.2
Fortuna Sittard
22.1
NEC Nijmegen
22.0
Twente
22.0
PEC Zwolle
21.8
Heerenveen
21.6
FC Eindhoven
21.5
Groningen
21.4
Utrecht
21.1
NAC Breda
21.0
Feyenoord
20.8
Almere City FC
20.6
Willem II
20.3
GO Ahead Eagles
19.4
Waalwijk
19.1
PSV Eindhoven
18.5
Sparta Rotterdam
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.2%
Under 9.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.5%
Under 3.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
98.8%
Under 21.5
1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Lisse or Draw✓ Hit
64.7%
Avg Implied -
40%
25%
35%
covers FC Lisse + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Lisse or URK✓ Hit
75.1%
Avg Implied -
40%
25%
35%
covers FC Lisse + URK
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or URK✗ Miss
60.2%
Avg Implied -
40%
25%
35%
covers Draw + URK
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Lisse over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.0%
Under
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lisse over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.1%
Under
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lisse over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
24.7%
Under
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lisse over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
URK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.0%
Under
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
URK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.8%
Under
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
URK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.9%
Under
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
URK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.0%
Under
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Lisse, so a minus line means FC Lisse give that many goals of a start and URK receive them. At -1, FC Lisse must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Lisse win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Lisse)Actual: FC Lisse
FC Lisse -2
8.9%
Draw -2
12.2%
URK +2
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Lisse)Actual: FC Lisse
FC Lisse -1
21.1%
Draw -1
18.7%
URK +1
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Lisse)Actual: FC Lisse
FC Lisse +1
64.7%
Draw +1
17.4%
URK -1
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Lisse)Actual: FC Lisse
FC Lisse +2
82.1%
Draw +2
10.7%
URK -2
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC LisseFC Lisse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D01L00DA·SMI03/09A·JUL25/09H·UTR31/10H·WES02/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.750.000.500.501.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %25% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (URK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

URKURK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00DA·TEC03/09A·ZWA02/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Stronger (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Lisse) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Lisse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lisse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lisse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
URK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
URK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
URK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC LisseFC Lisse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W11D10WA·SMI03/09A·JUL25/09H·UTR31/10H·WES02/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.251.000.501.000.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %75% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (URK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

URKURK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11DA·TEC03/09A·ZWA02/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.00--1.501.00
vs Stronger (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Lisse) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Lisse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lisse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Lisse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
URK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
URK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
URK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls99.6%--------
Over 21.5 fouls98.8%--------
Under 7.597.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls97.0%--------
Under 6.594.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls93.3%--------
Away under 3.5 goals92.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals90.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.588.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards87.5%--------
Over 1.585.4%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap82.1%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals82.0%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals80.0%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap78.9%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals78.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.575.8%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals75.3%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away75.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards73.5%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FL wins
0
Draws
0
URK wins

Head-to-head

FC Lisse vs URK · H/A from FL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FC LisseFC Lisse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/25HFL Vs Westlandia1-0
31/10/24HFL Vs Utrecht1-2
25/09/24AJuliana '31 Vs FL1-2
03/09/24ASmitshoek Vs FL1-1

URKURK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/25AZwaluwen Vs URK1-1
03/09/24ATEC Vs URK4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Lisse
FC Lisse
Netherlands: KNVB Beker
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLW1.75
HomeLW1.50
AwayDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals2.252.002.50
Over 1.5 %75%50%100%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored1.251.001.50
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS75%50%100%
Clean Sheet25%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---
URK
URK
Netherlands: KNVB Beker
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLD0.50
Home--
AwayLD0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%-0%
AVG goals4.00-4.00
Over 1.5 %100%-100%
Over 2.5 %50%-50%
Over 3.5 %50%-50%
Scored1.50-1.50
Conceded2.50-2.50
BTTS100%-100%
Clean Sheet0%-0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

Neither club has a league record for this season yet, so there is no table to show.

← all matches