FC Minsk and FC Vitebsk face off in the Belarus Premier League, with both teams riding a hot streak of form. FC Minsk is on a 5-game winning run, while FC Vitebsk has won 4 of its last 5 matches. However, the model suggests that FC Vitebsk has a slight advantage, picking an away win as the most likely outcome.
FC Vitebsk is expected to score around 1.7 goals on average when playing away against an opponent of similar strength, conceding 1.5 goals. FC Minsk, on the other hand, scores 1.62 goals and concedes 1.12 goals when playing at home against a similar opponent. The expected total number of goals in this match is 2.8, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 13.2% of the time.
The model also suggests taking the Over 1.5 selection, with a probability of 77.6%. In terms of match result, FC Minsk has a 35% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 37% chance of losing to FC Vitebsk. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a 77.6% probability, and an edge of 14.3%.
Results analysis
The upset came early, as FC Minsk, the pre-match favourite, fell to a 0-1 defeat. The model had picked a home win with a 36 % probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 0-1 confirmed an away victory, extending Vitebsk’s run of four wins after a win against Minsk. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 (99.4 %), Under 6.5 (98.1 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (95.3 %), Under 5.5 (94.8 %), and Under 5.5 cards (89.3 %). All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every pick is reported once.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Minsk win✗ Miss
36.3%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.42
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.48
Pinnacle
2.43
Superbet
2.42
Dafabet
2.42
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 2.95
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.05
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
2.97
Marathonbet
2.97
Pinnacle
2.93
FC Vitebsk win✓ Hit
35.1%
Avg Implied 31.3% · @ 2.92
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.03
Marathonbet
3.02
Dafabet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.95
Superbet
2.95
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Minsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.50
1.50
1.58
1.61
1.44
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
2.67
1.25
3.00
1.00
2.40
vs Similar (21)
1.76
1.00
1.62
0.88
1.85
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Vitebsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.37
1.07
1.07
1.12
1.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.75
0.50
1.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.19
1.31
1.17
1.00
1.21
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.4%
@ 1.40+9.8%
Under 1.5
24.6%
@ 2.66-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
888Sport
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Under
Superbet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.73
888Sport
2.63
Marathonbet
2.57
1xBet
2.57
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.3%
@ 2.30+8.8%
Under 2.5
50.7%
@ 1.57-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.33
888Sport
2.30
Superbet
2.20
Under
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.56
888Sport
1.53
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.4%
@ 4.12+5.1%
Under 3.5
72.6%
@ 1.18-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
4.40
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
Under
Superbet
1.21
888Sport
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
@ 1.92+6.9%
No
44.9%
@ 1.78-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
888Sport
1.91
Superbet
1.90
No
888Sport
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 5.44+5.7%
0-0
8.3%@ 6.68+1.8%
2-1
8.3%@ 9.24+3.6%
1-0
8.2%@ 6.73+1.8%
1-2
8.1%@ 10.46+4.0%
0-1 ✓
8.1%@ 7.32+2.1%
2-0
6.3%@ 10.96+2.4%
0-2
6.1%@ 13.50+2.9%
FC Minsk goals ↓
FC Vitebsk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
8.1%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
1
8.2%
14%
8.1%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.3%
8.3%
5.4%
2.4%
0.8%
3
2.8%
3.7%
2.4%
1.1%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Minsk goals (down), columns = FC Vitebsk goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
FC Minsk is 1.07 points worse than FC Vitebsk in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Minsk is 0.12 goals worse than FC Vitebsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
FC Minsk is 1.02 goals worse than FC Vitebsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 0.14).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
FC Minsk is 2.0 percentage points better than FC Vitebsk in terms of average possession (48% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Minsk
For 3.5 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 9.0 · Total 17.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Vitebsk
For 3.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Minsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.0
-
7.0
2.6
2.7
2.5
17.8
-
17.8
vs Stronger (13)
2.0
-
2.0
1.8
2.6
1.2
7.0
-
7.0
vs Similar (37)
8.7
-
8.7
2.9
2.7
3.0
21.3
-
21.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
25%
-
25%
26%
32%
21%
25%
-
25%
% under line
75%
-
75%
74%
68%
79%
75%
-
75%
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Vitebsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
10.0
6.0
2.7
2.8
2.7
22.5
26.0
19.0
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
1.4
1.0
2.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
8.0
10.0
6.0
2.9
3.0
2.8
22.5
26.0
19.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
42%
40%
44%
50%
100%
0%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
58%
60%
56%
50%
0%
100%
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Baranovichi
11.7
Bate Borisov
11.3
Dinamo Brest
11.3
Torpedo Zhodino
11.0
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Naftan
11.0
Belshina
10.9
Dinamo Minsk
10.4
Slavia Mozyr
10.0
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.0
FC Gomel
10.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.6
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.2
Neman
8.3
FC Vitebsk
8.0
FC Minsk
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
5.0
ML Vitebsk
3.7
Bate Borisov
3.6
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.4
Slavia Mozyr
3.3
FC Vitebsk
3.2
Naftan
3.1
Dinamo Minsk
3.1
Neman
3.0
FC Gomel
3.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.9
FC Minsk
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Dinamo Brest
2.7
Baranovichi
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
37.7
Torpedo Zhodino
32.0
Dinamo Brest
29.3
FC Gomel
29.0
Baranovichi
28.3
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.0
Bate Borisov
26.3
Dinamo Minsk
25.8
Belshina
24.0
Slavia Mozyr
23.7
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
FC Vitebsk
22.5
Naftan
22.0
Arsenal (Belarus)
20.6
Neman
18.5
FC Minsk
17.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.9%
@ 2.35+11.0%
Under 9.5
50.1%
@ 1.50-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.32
Under
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.47
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.1%
Under 3.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
72.5%
Under 21.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Minsk or Draw✗ Miss
64.9%
Avg Implied 68.6% · @ 1.35
Edge
-3.7%
36%
29%
35%
covers FC Minsk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
SBO
1.33
FC Minsk or FC Vitebsk✓ Hit
71.4%
Avg Implied 69.0% · @ 1.34
Edge
+2.4%
36%
29%
35%
covers FC Minsk + FC Vitebsk
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.33
SBO
1.27
Draw or FC Vitebsk✓ Hit
63.7%
Avg Implied 62.5% · @ 1.48
Edge
+1.3%
36%
29%
35%
covers Draw + FC Vitebsk
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
SBO
1.43
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Minsk over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.7%
@ 1.33+4.6%
Under
26.3%
@ 2.98-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Under
Superbet
3.05
888Sport
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.93
FC Minsk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 2.62+3.1%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.44-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.72
Marathonbet
2.68
888Sport
2.63
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
888Sport
1.40
FC Minsk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 6.42+0.7%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.08-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
7.00
1xBet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.30
Superbet
6.00
Under
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
1xBet
1.07
FC Minsk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 14.00-2.1%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
21.00
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
Under
888Sport
1.01
FC Vitebsk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.0%
@ 1.42+8.0%
Under
27.0%
@ 2.63-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
888Sport
1.40
Under
Superbet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.68
888Sport
2.63
1xBet
2.58
Marathonbet
2.58
FC Vitebsk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.7%
@ 2.98+6.6%
Under
62.3%
@ 1.34-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Superbet
2.92
1xBet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
888Sport
1.33
FC Vitebsk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 7.95+2.9%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.05-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
9.00
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.80
Superbet
7.10
Under
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
FC Vitebsk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 29.00+1.1%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.01-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Under
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Minsk, so a minus line means FC Minsk give that many goals of a start and FC Vitebsk receive them. At -1, FC Minsk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Minsk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Minsk)Actual: FC Vitebsk
FC Minsk -2
6.0%
@ 7.10-5.2%
Draw -2
10.9%
@ 4.80-5.7%
FC Vitebsk +2
83.0%
@ 1.11+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.10
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (FC Minsk)Actual: FC Vitebsk
FC Minsk -1
17.0%
@ 4.85-1.2%
Draw -1
19.3%
@ 3.84-3.7%
FC Vitebsk +1
63.7%
@ 1.50+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.85
Draw
Marathonbet
3.84
Away
Marathonbet
1.50
Handicap +1 (FC Minsk)Actual: Draw
FC Minsk +1
64.9%
@ 1.36-0.5%
Draw +1
18.9%
@ 4.40-1.3%
FC Vitebsk -1
16.2%
@ 6.15+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Marathonbet
6.15
Handicap +2 (FC Minsk)Actual: FC Minsk
FC Minsk +2
83.8%
@ 1.11+11.6%
Draw +2
10.5%
@ 5.05-5.3%
FC Vitebsk -2
5.7%
@ 6.70-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Away
Marathonbet
6.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Minsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.83
0.83
0.78
0.61
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.00
0.75
1.50
0.60
0.60
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.57
0.88
0.50
0.85
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Vitebsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.43
0.79
0.31
0.44
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.35
0.58
0.42
0.67
0.29
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.7%
@ 1.51+6.1%
Under 0.5
32.3%
@ 2.42-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Under
Superbet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.2%
@ 3.21+5.5%
Under 1.5
65.8%
@ 1.30-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Superbet
3.15
Pinnacle
3.09
Under
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.4%
@ 8.13+3.1%
Under 2.5
85.6%
@ 1.03-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.20
Superbet
8.00
Under
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Minsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.9%
@ 2.21+3.9%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.59-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.21
Superbet
2.17
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
FC Minsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 7.50-0.6%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.05+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
FC Minsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vitebsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.5%
@ 2.42+2.3%
Under
59.5%
@ 1.50-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
Marathonbet
2.43
1xBet
2.43
Superbet
2.37
Under
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
FC Vitebsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 8.70+0.9%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.03-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Marathonbet
8.70
Under
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
FC Vitebsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Minsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
0.67
0.75
0.83
0.83
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.67
0.50
1.50
0.40
1.80
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.43
0.75
0.38
1.00
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Vitebsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.64
0.29
0.81
1.19
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.73
0.75
0.33
0.93
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Minsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vitebsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vitebsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vitebsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.3%
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.8%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.1%
1.03
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.6%
1.03
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.5%
1.05
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.9%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
83.8%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+11.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.0%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.4%
1.40
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
888Sport
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
+9.8%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
73.7%
1.33
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Superbet
1.33
-
+4.6%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.5%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
-7.3%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
73.0%
1.42
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
888Sport
1.40
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.6%
1.18
Superbet
1.21
888Sport
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.4%
1.34
888Sport
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.33
SBO
1.27
+2.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
FC Minsk and FC Vitebsk have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
FC Minsk and FC Vitebsk have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
FC Minsk and FC Vitebsk have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
FC Minsk and FC Vitebsk have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest
Neman
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Dinamo Minsk
Belshina
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Naftan
Arsenal (Belarus)