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FC National Ialoveni vs FC Stăuceni Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 14:00
FC National Ialoveni
FC National Ialoveni
Vs
31%
25%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.3 goals, favouring an away win. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 10.8 % chance. FC National Ialoveni, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while FC Stăuceni, on the road against a weaker opponent, nets 2.12 and concedes 2.62 on average. The home win probability sits at 31 %, the draw at 25 %, and the away win at 44 %. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.9 %), Under 6.5 (94.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (93.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (88.9 %), Under 5.5 (88.0 %), Over 1.5 (85.4 %), Away +2 handicap (84.9 %), and Away over 0.5 goals (83.7 %). The recent form shows FC National Ialoveni struggling after two straight defeats, while FC Stăuceni comes off a win, adding context to the projected outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC National Ialoveni win
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni win
44.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L01L20WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.000.001.501.500.50
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.671.000.001.502.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L00D25L00D34L13L11D23L10W21WA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.332.430.641.691.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.801.002.500.501.331.33
vs Weaker (20)2.151.502.400.701.902.30
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.2%
Under 3.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
65.2%
No
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
0-1
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
4.8%
FC National Ialoveni goals ↓
FC Stăuceni goals →
01234
04.8%5.8%6.2%3.7%1.7%
14.6%11%9.0%5.4%2.4%
24.1%7.4%6.7%4.0%1.8%
32.0%3.6%3.3%2.0%0.9%
40.7%1.3%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC National Ialoveni goals (down), columns = FC Stăuceni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
FC National Ialoveni is 1.04 points worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of average points per game (1.49 vs 2.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
FC National Ialoveni is 1.05 goals worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of goals scored per game (1.95 vs 3.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
FC National Ialoveni is 0.98 goals worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 0.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC National Ialoveni or Draw
55.6%
Avg Implied -
31%
25%
44%
covers FC National Ialoveni + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni or FC Stăuceni
75.1%
Avg Implied -
31%
25%
44%
covers FC National Ialoveni + FC Stăuceni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Stăuceni
69.3%
Avg Implied -
31%
25%
44%
covers Draw + FC Stăuceni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5
Over
77.0%
Under
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5
Over
43.2%
Under
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5
Over
18.4%
Under
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 3.5
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5
Over
83.4%
Under
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5
Over
53.6%
Under
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5
Over
26.8%
Under
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 3.5
Over
10.8%
Under
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC National Ialoveni, so a minus line means FC National Ialoveni give that many goals of a start and FC Stăuceni receive them. At -1, FC National Ialoveni must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC National Ialoveni win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni -2
5.4%
Draw -2
9.2%
FC Stăuceni +2
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni -1
14.6%
Draw -1
16.1%
FC Stăuceni +1
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni +1
55.6%
Draw +1
19.9%
FC Stăuceni -1
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni +2
75.4%
Draw +2
13.7%
FC Stăuceni -2
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D00D10WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.250.000.001.000.50
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.330.000.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D12L00D21W02L11D02L00D20WA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.531.070.210.620.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.501.500.000.170.83
vs Weaker (20)0.900.550.900.300.900.80
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.6%
Under 0.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.7%
Under 1.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.7%
Under 2.5
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.2%
Under
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
52.2%
Under
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.2%
Under
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L10WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.750.001.500.500.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (3)0.331.000.001.501.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D13L00D13L11D00D21W10W01LA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.801.360.431.061.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.100.501.000.501.170.50
vs Weaker (20)1.250.951.500.401.001.50
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.3%
Under 0.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.3%
Under 1.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.3%
Under 2.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.1%
Under
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.8%
Under
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
25.4%
Under
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.8%-------
Under 7.598.1%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.6%-------
Under 6.595.1%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals95.1%-------
Home under 3.5 goals93.8%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals92.5%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals90.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals89.2%-------
Under 5.588.7%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals88.6%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals86.3%-------
Away +2 handicap85.4%-------
Over 1.584.7%-------
Away over 0.5 goals83.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals81.6%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals79.8%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals78.7%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals78.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals77.0%-------
Under 4.576.9%-------
Home +2 handicap75.4%-------
Home or Away75.1%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals74.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals73.2%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FNI wins
1
Draws
0
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC National Ialoveni vs FC Stăuceni · H/A from FNI
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26AFC Stăuceni Vs FNI1-1

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AVictoria Bardar Vs FNI0-2
22/08/26HFNI Vs Făleşti0-1
07/08/26HFNI Vs Oguzsport0-2
01/08/26AFC Stăuceni Vs FNI1-1

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AFăleşti Vs FS1-2
22/08/26HFS Vs Oguzsport1-0
15/08/26AVictoria Bardar Vs FS3-2
01/08/26HFS Vs FC National Ialoveni1-1
16/05/26AIskra Vs FS3-1
09/05/26ASireți Vs FS4-3
05/05/26HFS Vs Floreşti0-0
01/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FS5-2
25/04/26HFS Vs Iskra0-0
17/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs FS5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC National Ialoveni
FC National Ialoveni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLW1.00
HomeLL0.00
AwayDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%0%50%
AVG goals1.751.502.00
Over 1.5 %75%50%100%
Over 2.5 %0%0%0%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.750.001.50
Conceded1.001.500.50
BTTS25%0%50%
Clean Sheet25%0%50%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.66
HomeDDDDW1.87
AwayLLLLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals3.323.263.37
Over 1.5 %78%83%74%
Over 2.5 %60%57%63%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored1.942.171.74
Conceded1.381.091.63
BTTS54%57%52%
Clean Sheet34%30%37%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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