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FC National Ialoveni vs Floreşti Prediction & Stats

Date: 18/09/2026
Time: 14:00
FC National Ialoveni
FC National Ialoveni
Vs
28%
29%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The contest is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home side FC National Ialoveni, struggling at home against stronger opposition, have averaged zero goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Florești, playing away against weaker opponents, have netted 1.67 and conceded 1.33. The expected total goals hover at 2.7, with the most likely total being two goals at 26 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4 % chance. Probabilities for the match outcome are 33 % home win, 28 % draw, and 39 % away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3 %), Under 6.5 (97.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (95.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (94.4 %), Under 5.5 (94.2 %), Under 4.5 (86.0 %), Home under 2.5 goals (85.7 %), and Away +2 handicap (84.9 %). Recent form shows FC National Ialoveni after two straight defeats and a 0-1 loss to Florești, while Florești come off a 0-1 defeat to Sirebi. The match remains an open one, with the model’s pick pointing to an away victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC National Ialoveni win
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Floreşti win
42.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L01L20WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.000.001.501.500.50
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.671.000.001.502.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L11D12L01L00D11D54W41W00DH·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04A·SIR02/05A·FC 05/05H·POL09/05H·FCM16/05A·SPA20/05A·SIR27/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.172.431.071.751.25
vs Stronger (26)2.001.082.330.921.711.21
vs Similar (4)2.501.753.002.002.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.0%
Under 2.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.0%
FC National Ialoveni goals ↓
Floreşti goals →
01234
09.4%10%8.0%3.8%1.3%
17.7%14%8.9%4.2%1.5%
25.0%7.0%4.9%2.3%0.8%
31.8%2.6%1.8%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC National Ialoveni goals (down), columns = Floreşti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
FC National Ialoveni is 0.57 points worse than Floreşti in terms of average points per game (1.49 vs 2.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
FC National Ialoveni is 0.92 goals worse than Floreşti in terms of goals scored per game (1.95 vs 2.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
FC National Ialoveni is 0.91 goals worse than Floreşti in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 0.87).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC National Ialoveni or Draw
57.5%
Avg Implied -
28%
29%
43%
covers FC National Ialoveni + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni or Floreşti
70.9%
Avg Implied -
28%
29%
43%
covers FC National Ialoveni + Floreşti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Floreşti
71.6%
Avg Implied -
28%
29%
43%
covers Draw + Floreşti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5
Over
67.0%
Under
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5
Over
30.4%
Under
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 0.5
Over
75.5%
Under
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5
Over
41.0%
Under
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5
Over
16.8%
Under
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 3.5
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC National Ialoveni, so a minus line means FC National Ialoveni give that many goals of a start and Floreşti receive them. At -1, FC National Ialoveni must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC National Ialoveni win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni -2
3.5%
Draw -2
8.1%
Floreşti +2
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni -1
11.6%
Draw -1
16.8%
Floreşti +1
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni +1
57.5%
Draw +1
21.6%
Floreşti -1
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni +2
79.1%
Draw +2
13.1%
Floreşti -2
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D00D10WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.250.000.001.000.50
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.330.000.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L12L00D00D10W03L10W00DH·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04A·SIR02/05A·FC 05/05H·POL09/05H·FCM16/05A·SPA20/05A·SIR27/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.930.710.690.69
vs Stronger (26)0.850.621.080.580.640.64
vs Similar (4)0.501.250.001.501.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L10WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.750.001.500.500.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (3)0.331.000.001.501.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W01L10W00D01L00D01L51W31W00DH·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04A·SIR02/05A·FC 05/05H·POL09/05H·FCM16/05A·SPA20/05A·SIR27/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.471.500.361.060.56
vs Stronger (26)1.150.461.250.331.070.57
vs Similar (4)2.000.503.000.501.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.6%-------
Under 6.598.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.4%-------
Under 5.595.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals89.9%-------
Under 4.588.9%-------
Away +2 handicap88.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals83.2%-------
Home +2 handicap79.1%-------
Away over 0.5 goals75.5%-------
Under 3.575.5%-------
Over 1.572.8%-------
Draw or Away71.6%-------
Away +1 handicap71.6%-------
Home or Away70.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FNI wins
0
Draws
0
FLO wins

Head-to-head

FC National Ialoveni vs Floreşti · H/A from FNI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AVictoria Bardar Vs FNI0-2
22/08/26HFNI Vs Făleşti0-1
07/08/26HFNI Vs Oguzsport0-2
01/08/26AFC Stăuceni Vs FNI1-1

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/26ASireți Vs FLO0-0
20/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FLO1-4
16/05/26HFLO Vs FCM Ungheni5-4
09/05/26HFLO Vs Politehnica UTM1-1
05/05/26AFC Stăuceni Vs FLO0-0
02/05/26ASireți Vs FLO1-0
25/04/26HFLO Vs Spartanii Selemet1-2
17/04/26AIskra Vs FLO1-1
11/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs FLO2-0
03/04/26HFLO Vs FC Stăuceni1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC National Ialoveni
FC National Ialoveni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLW1.00
HomeLL0.00
AwayDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%0%50%
AVG goals1.751.502.00
Over 1.5 %75%50%100%
Over 2.5 %0%0%0%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.750.001.50
Conceded1.001.500.50
BTTS25%0%50%
Clean Sheet25%0%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD0.96
HomeLWLDW1.12
AwayDLDWD0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals4.223.924.50
Over 1.5 %84%92%77%
Over 2.5 %64%75%54%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored1.281.461.12
Conceded2.942.463.38
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
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0000.00.0
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Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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