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FC National Ialoveni vs Victoria Bardar Prediction & Stats

Date: 16/10/2026
Time: 11:00
FC National Ialoveni
FC National Ialoveni
Vs
46%
24%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FC National Ialoveni are set to host Victoria Bardar with the model favouring a home win. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.7% probability. FC National’s home form shows they average 0.0 goals scored and concede 1.5 against similar opposition, while Victoria’s away record is 1.0 scored and 2.14 conceded. The probabilities for the match outcome are 46% home win, 24% draw, and 30% away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.9%), Under 6.5 (94.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (88.0%), Under 5.5 (87.7%), Home +2 handicap (85.8%), Over 1.5 (85.7%), and Home over 0.5 goals (84.5%). The home side’s recent win over Victoria and the away side’s recent defeat to FC National add extra context to the projected outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC National Ialoveni win
45.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar win
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L01L20WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.000.001.501.500.50
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.671.000.001.502.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L00D26L43W11D11D01L01L32W02LA·SHE21/03H·OGU03/04A·FCM10/04A·OLI18/04H·UNI24/04A·FCM06/05H·OGU31/07A·FĂL08/08H·FC 15/08H·FC 28/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.631.252.381.072.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.002.061.002.001.002.14
vs Weaker (14)1.363.291.572.861.143.71
Clean sheet %3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.0%
Under 2.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.0%
Under 3.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
66.3%
No
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
4.5%
FC National Ialoveni goals ↓
Victoria Bardar goals →
01234
04.5%4.2%3.9%1.9%0.7%
15.6%11%7.2%3.6%1.3%
26.1%9.1%6.7%3.3%1.2%
33.8%5.6%4.2%2.1%0.8%
41.8%2.6%1.9%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC National Ialoveni goals (down), columns = Victoria Bardar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
FC National Ialoveni is 0.81 points better than Victoria Bardar in terms of average points per game (1.49 vs 0.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
FC National Ialoveni is 0.72 goals better than Victoria Bardar in terms of goals scored per game (1.95 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
FC National Ialoveni is 1.13 goals better than Victoria Bardar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 2.91).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC National Ialoveni or Draw
70.2%
Avg Implied -
46%
24%
30%
covers FC National Ialoveni + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni or Victoria Bardar
75.6%
Avg Implied -
46%
24%
30%
covers FC National Ialoveni + Victoria Bardar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Victoria Bardar
54.2%
Avg Implied -
46%
24%
30%
covers Draw + Victoria Bardar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5
Over
84.5%
Under
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5
Over
55.6%
Under
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5
Over
28.7%
Under
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 3.5
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5
Over
77.2%
Under
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5
Over
43.6%
Under
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 3.5
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC National Ialoveni, so a minus line means FC National Ialoveni give that many goals of a start and Victoria Bardar receive them. At -1, FC National Ialoveni must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC National Ialoveni win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni -2
11.8%
Draw -2
14.1%
Victoria Bardar +2
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni -1
25.9%
Draw -1
20.0%
Victoria Bardar +1
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni +1
70.2%
Draw +1
15.6%
Victoria Bardar -1
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC National Ialoveni)
FC National Ialoveni +2
85.8%
Draw +2
8.9%
Victoria Bardar -2
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D00D10WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.250.000.001.000.50
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.330.000.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D12L30W10W11D01L00D20W01LA·SHE21/03H·OGU03/04A·FCM10/04A·OLI18/04H·UNI24/04A·FCM06/05H·OGU31/07A·FĂL08/08H·FC 15/08H·FC 28/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.230.381.250.641.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.810.441.110.570.43
vs Weaker (14)0.501.710.291.430.712.00
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L10WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.750.001.500.500.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (3)0.331.000.001.501.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D14L13L01L00D00D01L12L01LA·SHE21/03H·OGU03/04A·FCM10/04A·OLI18/04H·UNI24/04A·FCM06/05H·OGU31/07A·FĂL08/08H·FC 15/08H·FC 28/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.400.881.120.431.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.501.250.560.890.431.71
vs Weaker (14)0.861.571.291.430.431.71
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.9%-------
Under 6.594.6%-------
Away under 3.5 goals93.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals88.0%-------
Under 5.587.7%-------
Home +2 handicap85.8%-------
Over 1.585.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals84.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals81.4%-------
Away over 0.5 goals77.2%-------
Home or Away75.6%-------
Under 4.575.4%-------
Away +2 handicap74.1%-------
Home under 2.5 goals71.3%-------
Home or Draw70.2%-------
Home +1 handicap70.2%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
FNI wins
0
Draws
0
VB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC National Ialoveni vs Victoria Bardar · H/A from FNI
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AVictoria Bardar Vs FNI0-2

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AVictoria Bardar Vs FNI0-2
22/08/26HFNI Vs Făleşti0-1
07/08/26HFNI Vs Oguzsport0-2
01/08/26AFC Stăuceni Vs FNI1-1

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HVB Vs FC National Ialoveni0-2
15/08/26HVB Vs FC Stăuceni3-2
08/08/26AFăleşti Vs VB1-0
31/07/26HVB Vs Oguzsport0-1
06/05/26AFCM Ungheni Vs VB1-1
24/04/26HVB Vs Univer Comrat1-1
18/04/26AOlimp Comrat Vs VB3-4
10/04/26AFCM Ungheni Vs VB6-2
03/04/26HVB Vs Oguzsport0-0
21/03/26ASheriff II Vs VB2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC National Ialoveni
FC National Ialoveni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLW1.00
HomeLL0.00
AwayDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%0%50%
AVG goals1.751.502.00
Over 1.5 %75%50%100%
Over 2.5 %0%0%0%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.750.001.50
Conceded1.001.500.50
BTTS25%0%50%
Clean Sheet25%0%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.18
HomeDDLWL1.20
AwayLLWDL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals4.144.284.00
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %76%76%76%
Over 3.5 %58%56%60%
Scored1.922.201.64
Conceded2.222.082.36
BTTS64%72%56%
Clean Sheet10%8%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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