FC Noah vs Ararat Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026

Time: 16:00

Final 4-0

FC Noah

87%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Ararat

Armenia: Premier League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 13 Player market rates 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

FC Noah’s dominance at home is stark, with a 87% chance of victory and a 4% chance of an Ararat win, the model’s pick clearly a home win. The high probability stems from Noah’s 2.88 average goals scored and only 1.0 conceded against weaker opponents, while Ararat’s away form is poor, conceding 3.78 and scoring just 0.56 against stronger teams. The expected total of 4.2 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 3-0 for Noah, with a 10.5% chance. The model also forecasts a 6+ total goals outcome at 24%. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (99.0%), Home +2 handicap (98.9%), Home over 0.5 goals (96.9%), Away under 1.5 HT goals (96.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (96.2%) and Home or Draw (96.1% with a 4% edge). Noah’s recent 2-game winning streak and Ararat’s return from a defeat further tilt the balance in favor of the home side.

Results analysis

FC Noah’s 3-game winning run carried them into the Armenia Premier League clash, and the Pythia model’s prediction of a home win was spot on, with a 87% probability. The final score of 4-0 confirmed the model’s pick and the team’s dominant form. The model’s other selections also proved accurate: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Home +2 handicap at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8%, Home over 0.5 goals at 96.9%, Away under 2.5 goals at 96.2%, Home or Draw at 96.1%, and Home +1 handicap at 96.1%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome was reported once, showing the model’s selections largely came in.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Noah win✓ Hit

86.8%

Avg Implied 83.4% · @ 1.09

Edge

+3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Unibet

1.13

Bet365

1.12

William Hil

1.11

Betano

1.11

Pinnacle

1.09

Draw✗ Miss

9.3%

Avg Implied 11.3% · @ 8.10

Edge

-2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

9.61

Superbet

8.60

Dafabet

8.60

William Hil

8.50

Betfair

8.50

Ararat win✗ Miss

3.9%

Avg Implied 5.4% · @ 16.92

Edge

-1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

20.00

10Bet

20.00

BetVictor

19.00

Betfair

18.00

Marathonbet

17.75

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC Noah

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.9

Avg scored

2.9

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.03	0.97	2.14	1.07	1.94	0.88
vs Stronger (3)	0.33	2.00	1.00	0.00	0.00	3.00
vs Similar (10)	1.70	1.00	1.20	1.40	2.20	0.60
vs Weaker (17)	2.53	0.76	2.88	1.00	2.22	0.56
Clean sheet %	53% (+23pp vs league)

This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.2

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

2.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	2.33	0.60	1.60	0.93	3.07
vs Stronger (18)	0.56	2.78	0.56	1.78	0.56	3.78
vs Similar (12)	1.08	1.67	0.67	1.33	1.50	2.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	10% (-20pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Noah) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (24%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

92.6%

@ 1.08+8.2%

Under 1.5

7.4%

@ 5.83-8.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.10

Marathonbet

1.08

1xBet

1.08

Superbet

1.07

Under

Betfair

6.50

Marathonbet

5.65

1xBet

5.65

Superbet

5.50

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

79.0%

@ 1.36+11.6%

Under 2.5

21.0%

@ 2.80-11.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

Unibet

1.38

10Bet

1.36

Marathonbet

1.35

1xBet

1.35

Under

Betfair

3.00

10Bet

2.90

Superbet

2.82

Bet365

2.75

Marathonbet

2.74

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

60.4%

@ 1.91+12.3%

Under 3.5

39.6%

@ 1.77-12.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

1.98

Pinnacle

1.97

SBO

1.95

10Bet

1.95

Marathonbet

1.92

Under

Betfair

1.87

SBO

1.83

Pinnacle

1.81

Superbet

1.80

Betano

1.78

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

50.7%

@ 2.30+11.3%

49.3%

@ 1.50-11.3%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

2.40

10Bet

2.40

Betfair

2.38

1xBet

2.34

Marathonbet

2.31

William Hil

1.57

Betfair

1.53

1xBet

1.51

Superbet

1.51

Marathonbet

1.50

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

3-0

10.5%@ 5.69+3.1%

4-0 ✓

9.1%@ 7.19+3.3%

2-0

9.1%@ 5.63+1.6%

3-1

7.7%@ 10.54+3.7%

4-1

6.7%@ 13.39+3.5%

2-1

6.7%@ 10.18+2.5%

5-0

6.3%@ 10.89+2.5%

1-0

4.9%@ 8.14-0.3%

FC Noah goals ↓

	Ararat goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.9%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
1	4.9%	4.2%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
2	9.1%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%
3	11%	7.7%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%
4	9.1%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Noah goals (down), columns = Ararat goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

FC Noah

3.00

Pyunik Yerevan

2.50

Sardarapat

2.50

Alashkert

2.17

Ararat-Armenia

2.00

FC Urartu

1.60

Shirak

1.40

BKMA

0.80

Ararat

0.60

Gandzasar

0.60

Syunik

0.20

Van

0.17

FC Noah is 2.40 points better than Ararat in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 0.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

FC Noah

2.60

Sardarapat

2.50

Alashkert

2.33

Pyunik Yerevan

2.25

Ararat-Armenia

2.00

FC Urartu

1.60

Shirak

1.60

Gandzasar

1.20

BKMA

0.80

Syunik

0.60

Ararat

0.60

Van

0.33

FC Noah is 2.00 goals better than Ararat in terms of goals scored per game (2.60 vs 0.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Alashkert

0.33

FC Noah

0.60

Pyunik Yerevan

0.75

FC Urartu

1.00

Sardarapat

1.00

Shirak

1.00

BKMA

1.20

Ararat-Armenia

1.40

Ararat

2.40

Gandzasar

2.40

Syunik

2.60

Van

3.00

FC Noah is 1.80 goals better than Ararat in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 2.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

FC Noah or Draw✓ Hit

96.1%

Avg Implied 92.4% · @ 1.02

Edge

+3.7%

87%

covers FC Noah + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Unibet

1.02

Betano

1.02

1xBet

1.02

William Hil

1.02

Bet365

1.01

FC Noah or Ararat✓ Hit

90.7%

Avg Implied 90.0% · @ 1.04

Edge

+0.7%

87%

covers FC Noah + Ararat

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.07

Betano

1.06

Bet365

1.06

Unibet

1.06

Superbet

1.04

Draw or Ararat✗ Miss

13.2%

Avg Implied 17.6% · @ 5.34

Edge

-4.4%

87%

covers Draw + Ararat

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

6.50

William Hil

6.00

Marathonbet

5.70

1xBet

5.70

Bet365

5.50

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

FC Noah over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

96.9%

@ 1.02+4.7%

Under

3.1%

@ 12.00-4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.03

1xBet

1.01

Under

1xBet

14.00

Betfair

10.00

FC Noah over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

86.1%

@ 1.17+8.1%

Under

13.9%

@ 4.14-8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.21

1xBet

1.17

Betfair

1.17

10Bet

1.15

Superbet

1.15

Under

Betfair

4.50

10Bet

4.33

1xBet

4.15

Superbet

4.10

Marathonbet

3.60

FC Noah over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

67.3%

@ 1.59+9.2%

Under

32.7%

@ 2.20-9.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.63

Pinnacle

1.62

Marathonbet

1.58

Superbet

1.57

Betfair

1.57

Under

Betfair

2.25

Superbet

2.22

Pinnacle

2.21

10Bet

2.20

Marathonbet

2.18

FC Noah over/under 3.5Actual: Over

Over

45.6%

@ 2.44+7.9%

Under

54.4%

@ 1.48-7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.50

1xBet

2.45

Marathonbet

2.43

Superbet

2.40

Under

Betfair

1.50

1xBet

1.48

Marathonbet

1.47

Superbet

1.47

Ararat over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

51.9%

@ 2.27+11.4%

Under

48.1%

@ 1.54-11.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.30

10Bet

2.30

Superbet

2.27

Betfair

2.25

Pinnacle

2.25

Under

Pinnacle

1.60

Betfair

1.57

Superbet

1.54

1xBet

1.53

Marathonbet

1.53

Ararat over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

16.7%

@ 7.08+3.7%

Under

83.3%

@ 1.05-3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

7.80

Betfair

7.50

Superbet

6.70

1xBet

6.30

Under

1xBet

1.07

Betfair

1.06

Superbet

1.04

Marathonbet

1.04

Ararat over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

3.8%

@ 18.00-96.2%

Under

96.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

18.00

Under

No market prices yet.

Ararat over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

0.7%

Under

99.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Noah, so a minus line means FC Noah give that many goals of a start and Ararat receive them. At -1, FC Noah must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Noah win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (FC Noah)Actual: FC Noah

FC Noah -2

52.3%

@ 1.88+5.1%

Draw -2

19.5%

@ 3.96-2.9%

Ararat +2

28.1%

@ 2.92-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

1.91

Marathonbet

1.88

10Bet

1.85

Draw

Betfair

4.00

10Bet

3.95

Marathonbet

3.92

Away

10Bet

3.10

Betfair

2.88

Marathonbet

2.78

Handicap -1 (FC Noah)Actual: FC Noah

FC Noah -1

71.9%

@ 1.32+5.6%

Draw -1

14.9%

@ 4.50-4.5%

Ararat +1

13.2%

@ 6.10-1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.34

Betfair

1.30

Draw

Marathonbet

4.50

Betfair

4.50

Away

Betfair

6.50

Marathonbet

5.70

Handicap +1 (FC Noah)Actual: FC Noah

FC Noah +1

96.1%

Draw +1

2.8%

Ararat -1

1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

Handicap +2 (FC Noah)Actual: FC Noah

FC Noah +2

98.9%

Draw +2

0.9%

Ararat -2

0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Noah

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

0.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.87	0.50	1.07	0.71	0.69	0.31
vs Stronger (3)	0.00	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.50
vs Similar (10)	0.80	0.60	0.60	1.00	1.00	0.20
vs Weaker (17)	1.06	0.35	1.50	0.62	0.67	0.11
Clean sheet %	63% (+33pp vs league)

This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.2

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.30	0.90	0.13	0.73	0.47	1.07
vs Stronger (18)	0.22	1.00	0.11	0.89	0.33	1.11
vs Similar (12)	0.42	0.75	0.17	0.50	0.67	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	43% (+13pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Noah) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

77.5%

@ 1.18-0.2%

Under 0.5

22.5%

@ 4.09+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.20

Marathonbet

1.18

1xBet

1.18

10Bet

1.17

Betfair

1.17

Under

Betfair

4.50

10Bet

4.20

Superbet

4.10

William Hil

4.00

1xBet

3.88

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

46.7%

@ 1.95-0.5%

Under 1.5

53.3%

@ 1.74+0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.02

Betfair

2.00

1xBet

1.99

Marathonbet

1.99

Betano

1.91

Under

Superbet

1.82

William Hil

1.80

10Bet

1.77

Pinnacle

1.76

Betfair

1.73

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

28.8%

@ 3.94+5.6%

Under 2.5

71.2%

@ 1.19-5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

4.20

Betfair

4.00

1xBet

3.98

Marathonbet

3.98

Superbet

3.55

Under

Superbet

1.21

Betfair

1.20

William Hil

1.20

1xBet

1.17

Marathonbet

1.17

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

FC Noah over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

74.0%

@ 1.22-1.7%

Under

26.0%

@ 3.80+1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.22

Under

1xBet

3.80

FC Noah over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

41.8%

@ 2.29+1.5%

Under

58.2%

@ 1.54-1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.36

Marathonbet

2.34

1xBet

2.25

Superbet

2.20

Under

Superbet

1.58

1xBet

1.57

Pinnacle

1.54

Marathonbet

1.49

FC Noah over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over

Over

21.4%

@ 5.50+4.6%

Under

78.6%

@ 1.11-4.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.50

Under

1xBet

1.11

Ararat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

23.5%

@ 4.08+1.2%

Under

76.5%

@ 1.17-1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.20

Marathonbet

4.15

Superbet

3.90

Under

Superbet

1.17

Marathonbet

1.17

1xBet

1.17

Ararat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

4.2%

Under

95.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Ararat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.8%

Under

99.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC Noah

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.3

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.17	0.47	1.07	0.36	1.25	0.56
vs Stronger (3)	0.33	1.00	1.00	0.00	0.00	1.50
vs Similar (10)	0.90	0.40	0.60	0.40	1.20	0.40
vs Weaker (17)	1.47	0.41	1.38	0.38	1.56	0.44
Clean sheet %	67% (+36pp vs league)

This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.47	1.43	0.47	0.87	0.47	2.00
vs Stronger (18)	0.33	1.78	0.44	0.89	0.22	2.67
vs Similar (12)	0.67	0.92	0.50	0.83	0.83	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	30% (-0pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Noah) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

87.3%

@ 1.11+4.9%

Under 0.5

12.7%

@ 5.21-4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.14

1xBet

1.11

Marathonbet

1.10

Superbet

1.08

Under

1xBet

5.50

Superbet

5.30

Marathonbet

5.05

William Hil

5.00

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

60.2%

@ 1.59+2.3%

Under 1.5

39.8%

@ 2.18-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.67

10Bet

1.60

Superbet

1.56

1xBet

1.55

Marathonbet

1.55

Under

Superbet

2.25

1xBet

2.20

10Bet

2.20

Marathonbet

2.20

William Hil

2.05

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

36.4%

@ 2.78+3.6%

Under 2.5

63.6%

@ 1.36-3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

3.10

Marathonbet

2.67

Superbet

2.67

1xBet

2.67

Under

Marathonbet

1.38

1xBet

1.38

Superbet

1.38

William Hil

1.30

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

FC Noah over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

81.6%

@ 1.14+1.8%

Under

18.4%

@ 4.50-1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.14

Under

1xBet

4.50

FC Noah over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

50.7%

@ 1.82+0.1%

Under

49.3%

@ 1.86-0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.85

Superbet

1.83

Marathonbet

1.78

Under

Superbet

1.88

Marathonbet

1.86

1xBet

1.85

FC Noah over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

28.2%

@ 3.45+1.6%

Under

71.8%

@ 1.25-1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.45

Under

1xBet

1.25

Ararat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

27.8%

@ 3.37+0.8%

Under

72.2%

@ 1.25-0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.45

Marathonbet

3.42

Superbet

3.25

Under

1xBet

1.25

Superbet

1.25

Marathonbet

1.24

Ararat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

4.7%

Under

95.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Ararat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

1.2%

Under

98.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 3.5 goals	99.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	99.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	98.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	98.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	96.9%	1.02	Betfair 1.03	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+4.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	96.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	96.1%	1.02	Unibet 1.02	Betano 1.02	1xBet 1.02	William Hil 1.02	Bet365 1.01	+3.7%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	96.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	95.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	95.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	93.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	92.6%	1.08	Betfair 1.10	Marathonbet 1.08	1xBet 1.08	Superbet 1.07	-	+8.2%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	90.7%	1.04	William Hil 1.07	Betano 1.06	Bet365 1.06	Unibet 1.06	Superbet 1.04	+0.7%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	87.3%	1.11	William Hil 1.14	1xBet 1.11	Marathonbet 1.10	Superbet 1.08	-	+4.9%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	86.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home win	86.8%	1.09	Unibet 1.13	Bet365 1.12	William Hil 1.11	Betano 1.11	Pinnacle 1.09	+3.4%	✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals	86.1%	1.17	Marathonbet 1.21	1xBet 1.17	Betfair 1.17	10Bet 1.15	Superbet 1.15	+8.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals	83.3%	1.05	1xBet 1.07	Betfair 1.06	Superbet 1.04	Marathonbet 1.04	-	-3.7%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals	81.6%	1.14	1xBet 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.8%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5	79.0%	1.36	Bet365 1.40	Unibet 1.38	10Bet 1.36	Marathonbet 1.35	1xBet 1.35	+11.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	78.6%	1.11	1xBet 1.11	-	-	-	-	-4.6%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals	77.5%	1.18	William Hil 1.20	Marathonbet 1.18	1xBet 1.18	10Bet 1.17	Betfair 1.17	-0.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals	76.5%	1.17	Superbet 1.17	Marathonbet 1.17	1xBet 1.17	-	-	-1.2%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	75.4%	1.11	Betfair 1.14	Superbet 1.11	1xBet 1.10	Marathonbet 1.10	-	-6.7%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 HT goals	74.0%	1.22	1xBet 1.22	-	-	-	-	-1.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 2H goals	72.2%	1.25	1xBet 1.25	Superbet 1.25	Marathonbet 1.24	-	-	-0.8%	✓ Hit
Home -1 handicap	71.9%	1.32	Marathonbet 1.34	Betfair 1.30	-	-	-	+5.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	71.8%	1.25	1xBet 1.25	-	-	-	-	-1.6%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	71.2%	1.19	Superbet 1.21	Betfair 1.20	William Hil 1.20	1xBet 1.17	Marathonbet 1.17	-5.6%	✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Noah · 2025/26

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Nardin Mulahusejnović62%

Matheus Aiás20%

Alen Grgić17%

Hovhannes Hambardzumyan14%

Hélder Ferreira10%

Marin Jakoliš0%

Gustavo Sangaré0%

Imran Oulad Omar0%

Gonçalo Silva0%

David Sualehe0%

Yan Eteki0%

Guðmundur Þórarinsson0%

Timothy Fayulu0%

Nathanaël Saintini0%

Ognjen Čančarević0%

Eric Boakye0%

Gor Manvelyan0%

Takuto Oshima0%

Sergey Muradyan0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

David Sualehe30%

Gustavo Sangaré22%

Imran Oulad Omar20%

Hélder Ferreira20%

Sergey Muradyan20%

Alen Grgić17%

Marin Jakoliš12%

Guðmundur Þórarinsson12%

Nathanaël Saintini12%

Nardin Mulahusejnović12%

Yan Eteki10%

Eric Boakye10%

Matheus Aiás10%

Hovhannes Hambardzumyan0%

Gonçalo Silva0%

Timothy Fayulu0%

Ognjen Čančarević0%

Gor Manvelyan0%

Takuto Oshima0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Hélder Ferreira20%

Guðmundur Þórarinsson12%

Nardin Mulahusejnović12%

Takuto Oshima11%

David Sualehe10%

Matheus Aiás10%

Sergey Muradyan10%

Marin Jakoliš0%

Alen Grgić0%

Hovhannes Hambardzumyan0%

Gustavo Sangaré0%

Imran Oulad Omar0%

Gonçalo Silva0%

Yan Eteki0%

Timothy Fayulu0%

Nathanaël Saintini0%

Ognjen Čančarević0%

Eric Boakye0%

Gor Manvelyan0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Nardin Mulahusejnović38%

Imran Oulad Omar20%

Hélder Ferreira10%

Matheus Aiás10%

Marin Jakoliš0%

Alen Grgić0%

Hovhannes Hambardzumyan0%

Gustavo Sangaré0%

Gonçalo Silva0%

David Sualehe0%

Yan Eteki0%

Guðmundur Þórarinsson0%

Timothy Fayulu0%

Nathanaël Saintini0%

Ognjen Čančarević0%

Eric Boakye0%

Gor Manvelyan0%

Takuto Oshima0%

Sergey Muradyan0%

Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FN (27)

€12m

ARA (26)

€8m

PY (24)

€6m

ALA (24)

€5m

FU (27)

€5m

ARA (26)

€3m

SHI (23)

€3m

GAN (25)

€3m

BKM (20)

€2m

SAR (23)

€2m

VAN (21)

€2m

SYU (23)

€2m

FC Noah's squad is €10m more valuable than Ararat's (€12m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FN (10)

€5m

ARA (9)

€3m

ALA (10)

€3m

FU (11)

€2m

PY (7)

€2m

GAN (8)

€1m

SHI (6)

€1m

BKM (5)

€1m

SYU (9)

€1m

SAR (7)

€1m

VAN (6)

€1m

ARA (4)

€0m

FC Noah's attack is €4m more valuable than Ararat's (€5m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FN (5)

€3m

PY (7)

€2m

ARA (6)

€2m

ARA (10)

€1m

ALA (5)

€1m

SHI (5)

€1m

FU (4)

€1m

BKM (6)

€1m

GAN (5)

€1m

SYU (6)

€0m

SAR (4)

€0m

VAN (3)

€0m

FC Noah's midfield is €2m more valuable than Ararat's (€3m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FN (12)

€4m

ARA (11)

€4m

FU (12)

€2m

PY (10)

€2m

ALA (9)

€2m

ARA (12)

€2m

SHI (12)

€1m

GAN (12)

€1m

VAN (12)

€1m

SAR (12)

€1m

BKM (9)

€1m

SYU (8)

€0m

FC Noah's defence is €3m more valuable than Ararat's (€4m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

FN wins

Draws

ARA wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Noah vs Ararat · H/A from FN

Date	H/A	Game	Score
19/05/26	H	FN Vs Ararat	8-3
27/10/25	A	Ararat Vs FN	0-3
28/09/25	H	FN Vs Ararat	2-0
26/04/25	H	FN Vs Ararat	3-0
20/11/24	H	FN Vs Ararat	4-0
15/09/24	A	Ararat Vs FN	2-1
09/05/24	A	Ararat Vs FN	0-1
07/03/24	H	FN Vs Ararat	4-3

FC Noah

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/26	A	BKMA Vs FN	0-1
17/08/26	H	FN Vs Alashkert	1-0
13/08/26	A	FC Sion Vs FN	2-1
09/08/26	A	Shirak Vs FN	3-4
06/08/26	H	FN Vs FC Sion	2-2
02/08/26	H	FN Vs Syunik	3-0
27/05/26	A	FC Urartu Vs FN	0-5
23/05/26	A	Pyunik Yerevan Vs FN	0-0
19/05/26	H	FN Vs Ararat	8-3
10/05/26	A	Ararat-Armenia Vs FN	0-4

Ararat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
21/08/26	H	ARA Vs Pyunik Yerevan	0-2
15/08/26	A	BKMA Vs ARA	1-2
07/08/26	H	ARA Vs Sardarapat	1-2
03/08/26	A	Alashkert Vs ARA	3-0
26/05/26	H	ARA Vs BKMA	1-1
19/05/26	A	FC Noah Vs ARA	8-3
10/05/26	H	ARA Vs FC Urartu	0-1
01/05/26	A	Shirak Vs ARA	0-2
25/04/26	A	Ararat-Armenia Vs ARA	4-0
18/04/26	H	ARA Vs Pyunik Yerevan	1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Noah

Armenia: Premier League

Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWLWW	1.84
Home	DWWDW	2.12
Away	DWWLW	1.56

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	52%	64%	40%
AVG goals	2.90	2.92	2.88
Over 1.5 %	76%	72%	80%
Over 2.5 %	54%	60%	48%
Over 3.5 %	34%	32%	36%
Scored	1.90	2.04	1.76
Conceded	1.00	0.88	1.12
BTTS	46%	48%	44%
Clean Sheet	46%	52%	40%
Corners	6.50	5.50	7.50
Cards	4.43	4.00	4.86

Ararat

Armenia: Premier League

Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLLWL	0.64
Home	WLDLL	0.62
Away	LWLLW	0.65

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	16%	12%	19%
AVG goals	3.16	2.54	3.73
Over 1.5 %	84%	75%	92%
Over 2.5 %	58%	46%	69%
Over 3.5 %	32%	21%	42%
Scored	0.88	0.88	0.88
Conceded	2.28	1.67	2.85
BTTS	48%	54%	42%
Clean Sheet	10%	12%	8%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	FC Noah	5	15	100%	3.0	13	3	+10	3.2	60%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	12	5	3	4	2.6	0.6	-
2	Alashkert	6	13	67%	2.2	14	2	+12	2.7	83%	67%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	3	1	2	2.3	0.3	-
3	Sardarapat	4	10	75%	2.5	10	4	+6	3.5	100%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.5	1.0	-
4	Pyunik Yerevan	4	10	75%	2.5	9	3	+6	3.0	100%	75%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	2	2	2.2	0.8	-
5	Ararat-Armenia	5	10	60%	2.0	10	7	+3	3.4	100%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	8	3	2	4	2.0	1.4	-
6	FC Urartu	5	8	40%	1.6	8	5	+3	2.6	80%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	1.6	1.0	-
7	Shirak	5	7	40%	1.4	8	5	+3	2.6	40%	40%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.6	1.0	-
8	BKMA	5	4	20%	0.8	4	6	-2	2.0	60%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	1	1	0.8	1.2	-
9	Gandzasar	5	3	20%	0.6	6	12	-6	3.6	80%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.2	2.4	-
10	Ararat	5	3	20%	0.6	3	12	-9	3.0	100%	80%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	0	1	2	0.6	2.4	-
11	Syunik	5	1	0%	0.2	3	13	-10	3.2	100%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	0	0.6	2.6	-
12	Van	6	1	0%	0.2	2	18	-16	3.3	100%	67%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	0.3	3.0	-

Armenia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches

FC Noah vs Ararat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC Noah

Ararat

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Noah

Ararat

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC Noah

Ararat

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

🎽 13. Player market rates

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

FC Noah

Ararat

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature