FC Noah vs Shirak Result & Analysis

The contest between FC Noah and Shirak is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 33% for a home victory, 30% for a draw and 37% for an away triumph, making the latter the most likely outcome. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly open game, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.2% chance. FC Noah, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.67 conceded, while Shirak, on the road against a stronger opponent, has not scored in recent matches and concedes 2.33 on average. The model’s selections include Under 3.5 with a 76.7% probability and Over 1.5 with a 71.7% probability. These picks reflect the expected goal range and the likelihood of both teams finding the net. The match remains undecided, but the data lean toward a Shirak victory.

The match ended 1-3 in favour of Shirak, extending their recent win streak. The model’s favourite was an away win with a 37% probability, and that call proved correct. The predicted total of 2.5 goals fell short of the actual tally, but the most likely score of 1-1 (27%) was not achieved. The model’s selections were mixed: Under 3.5 goals, at 76.7%, missed, while Over 1.5 goals, at 71.7%, hit. Overall, the model nailed the outcome but misjudged the goal-scoring spread, reflecting a solid but not flawless performance.