This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.43
1.00
1.07
0.88
1.75
vs Stronger (15)
0.80
1.60
0.86
1.14
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (14)
1.07
1.29
1.14
1.00
1.00
1.57
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.8%
Under 1.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.5%
Under 2.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.5%
Under 3.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
8.7%
2-1 ✓
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.7%
FC Orenburg goals ↓
Akhmat goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.7%
5.7%
2.1%
0.6%
1
10%
14%
7.3%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.4%
8.4%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.2%
3.6%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Orenburg goals (down), columns = Akhmat goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Tver
2.00
Orel
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Zenit Penza
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Baltika
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
PSK Dinskaya
1.06
Shumbrat
1.06
Fankom
1.06
Kristall MEZ
1.06
Znamya Noginsk
1.06
RWChallenge
1.06
Buryatia
1.06
Murom
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Fakel
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
FC Orenburg is 0.70 points worse than Akhmat in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Orel
2.67
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Murom
2.00
KDV
2.00
Kristall
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Chayka
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Tver
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
PSK Dinskaya
1.23
Shumbrat
1.23
Fankom
1.23
Kristall MEZ
1.23
Znamya Noginsk
1.23
RWChallenge
1.23
Buryatia
1.23
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
Zenit Penza
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Strogino
0.00
FC Orenburg is 0.30 goals worse than Akhmat in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Chayka
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Tver
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Amkar
1.40
Akhmat
1.40
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Fakel
1.67
PSK Dinskaya
1.67
Shumbrat
1.67
Fankom
1.67
Kristall MEZ
1.67
Znamya Noginsk
1.67
RWChallenge
1.67
Buryatia
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
Zenit Penza
2.00
Murom
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Veles
2.00
KAMAZ
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
FC Orenburg is 0.27 goals worse than Akhmat in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Orenburg
For 7.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 13.1 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akhmat
For 5.2 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 16.5 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Orenburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
11.2
11.7
4.2
4.2
4.3
24.6
24.9
24.3
vs Stronger (30)
10.9
10.9
11.0
4.0
3.9
4.1
24.4
24.2
24.6
vs Similar (20)
12.2
11.7
12.8
4.5
4.5
4.6
24.9
25.9
23.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
72%
67%
79%
68%
70%
65%
74%
75%
74%
% under line
28%
33%
21%
32%
30%
35%
26%
25%
26%
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
11.1
9.2
4.1
4.4
3.8
28.1
29.2
27.1
vs Stronger (24)
10.9
11.4
10.3
3.1
3.2
3.1
27.9
28.6
27.0
vs Similar (24)
9.5
10.5
8.6
4.9
5.6
4.2
28.0
29.3
26.9
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
14.0
8.0
6.5
5.0
8.0
30.5
32.0
29.0
% over line
58%
74%
42%
62%
67%
58%
82%
89%
75%
% under line
42%
26%
58%
38%
33%
42%
18%
11%
25%
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Arsenal Tula
12.5
FC Orenburg
11.0
Chernomorets
11.0
Lokomotiv
10.8
Dynamo
10.6
Nizhny Novgorod
10.3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.3
Ural
10.3
Akron
10.3
KAMAZ
10.2
Baltika
10.0
Akhmat
9.9
Zenit
9.8
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.8
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Spartak Moscow
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.6
Rodina Moskva
9.5
Veles
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
FC Sochi
9.3
CSKA Moscow
9.3
Rubin
9.3
Fakel
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.2
FC Rostov
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Leningradets
8.4
FK Neftekhimik
8.2
Tyumen
7.4
Enisey
7.3
Torpedo Moskva
6.8
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Fakel
5.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
5.2
Akhmat
5.0
FC Rostov
4.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.8
FC Krasnodar
4.8
FC Orenburg
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.7
Veles
4.7
Rubin
4.6
Dynamo
4.5
Krylia Sovetov
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.4
FC UFA
4.3
FC Sochi
4.3
Urozhay
4.3
Chelyabinsk
4.2
Zenit
4.2
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
Baltika
4.1
Ural
4.1
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Chayka
4.0
Chernomorets
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Enisey
3.8
Torpedo Moskva
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Rodina Moskva
3.4
Akron
3.4
Leningradets
3.4
Tyumen
3.3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.2
FK Neftekhimik
3.2
FK Sokol Saratov
3.2
Arsenal Tula
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Makhachkala
29.0
Spartak Moscow
28.1
Fakel
27.4
Akhmat
27.4
FC Krasnodar
26.2
Rubin
26.0
Nizhny Novgorod
26.0
FC Rostov
26.0
Ural
25.2
Dynamo
25.2
FC Orenburg
25.0
Lokomotiv
24.8
Zenit
24.1
Akron
23.9
CSKA Moscow
23.8
Arsenal Tula
23.5
FC Sochi
23.2
Baltika
23.1
Krylia Sovetov
22.6
Enisey
14.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.6%
Under 3.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.6%
Under 21.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Orenburg or Draw✓ Hit
69.0%
Avg Implied -
39%
30%
31%
covers FC Orenburg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg or Akhmat✓ Hit
70.0%
Avg Implied -
39%
30%
31%
covers FC Orenburg + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Akhmat✗ Miss
61.0%
Avg Implied -
39%
30%
31%
covers Draw + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.5%
Under
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.0%
Under
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.1%
Under
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.6%
Under
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.1%
Under
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Orenburg, so a minus line means FC Orenburg give that many goals of a start and Akhmat receive them. At -1, FC Orenburg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Orenburg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Orenburg)Actual: Akhmat
FC Orenburg -2
6.3%
Draw -2
11.8%
Akhmat +2
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Orenburg)Actual: Draw
FC Orenburg -1
18.1%
Draw -1
20.9%
Akhmat +1
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Orenburg)Actual: FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg +1
69.0%
Draw +1
18.1%
Akhmat -1
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Orenburg)Actual: FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg +2
87.0%
Draw +2
8.9%
Akhmat -2
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Orenburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.57
0.36
0.43
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
0.71
0.43
0.29
0.30
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.38
0.29
0.57
0.50
0.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.80
0.36
0.64
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (15)
0.47
1.07
0.57
0.86
0.38
1.25
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.57
0.14
0.43
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Orenburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.13
0.57
0.79
0.31
1.44
vs Stronger (17)
0.29
1.47
0.00
1.14
0.50
1.70
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.69
1.14
0.43
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.64
0.43
0.38
0.81
vs Stronger (15)
0.33
0.53
0.29
0.29
0.38
0.75
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.71
1.00
0.57
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Orenburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emircan Gürlük17%
Alexandre Jesus14%
Emil Tsenov14%
Jordhy Thompson14%
Maksim Saveljev14%
Evgeniy Bolotov12%
Gedeon Guzina7%
Vladislav Kamilov7%
Danila Vedernikov5%
Fahd Moufi4%
Du Queiroz4%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy0%
Ivan Ignatiev0%
Anri Chichinadze0%
Irakliy Kvekveskiri0%
Bogdan Ovsyannikov0%
Georgi Zotov0%
Aleksey Tataev0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Jhon Palacios0%
Stepan Oganesyan0%
Danila Khotulev0%
Tigran Avanesyan0%
Ruslan Kul0%
Pavel Gorelov0%
Artem Kasimov0%
Alexis Cantero0%
Damián Puebla0%
Stanislav Poroykov0%
Atsamaz Revazov0%
Renat Golybin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tigran Avanesyan50%
Aleksey Tataev36%
Artem Kasimov33%
Irakliy Kvekveskiri29%
Alexis Cantero29%
Vladislav Kamilov27%
Jhon Palacios25%
Danila Khotulev21%
Anri Chichinadze20%
Evgeniy Bolotov20%
Atsamaz Revazov20%
Fahd Moufi17%
Stepan Oganesyan17%
Damián Puebla17%
Gedeon Guzina15%
Jordhy Thompson14%
Stanislav Poroykov14%
Bogdan Ovsyannikov14%
Danila Vedernikov14%
Renat Golybin11%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy5%
Du Queiroz4%
Ivan Ignatiev0%
Georgi Zotov0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Ruslan Kul0%
Alexandre Jesus0%
Pavel Gorelov0%
Maksim Saveljev0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Emircan Gürlük0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jordhy Thompson14%
Ruslan Kul11%
Stepan Oganesyan8%
Du Queiroz8%
Artem Kasimov7%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy5%
Irakliy Kvekveskiri4%
Danila Khotulev4%
Emircan Gürlük4%
Gedeon Guzina4%
Ivan Ignatiev0%
Anri Chichinadze0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Vladislav Kamilov0%
Evgeniy Bolotov0%
Bogdan Ovsyannikov0%
Georgi Zotov0%
Aleksey Tataev0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Jhon Palacios0%
Danila Vedernikov0%
Tigran Avanesyan0%
Alexandre Jesus0%
Pavel Gorelov0%
Maksim Saveljev0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Alexis Cantero0%
Damián Puebla0%
Stanislav Poroykov0%
Atsamaz Revazov0%
Renat Golybin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordhy Thompson21%
Emircan Gürlük21%
Fahd Moufi12%
Aleksey Tataev9%
Maksim Saveljev9%
Du Queiroz8%
Damián Puebla8%
Danila Khotulev4%
Evgeniy Bolotov4%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy0%
Ivan Ignatiev0%
Anri Chichinadze0%
Irakliy Kvekveskiri0%
Vladislav Kamilov0%
Bogdan Ovsyannikov0%
Georgi Zotov0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Gedeon Guzina0%
Jhon Palacios0%
Danila Vedernikov0%
Stepan Oganesyan0%
Tigran Avanesyan0%
Ruslan Kul0%
Alexandre Jesus0%
Pavel Gorelov0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Artem Kasimov0%
Alexis Cantero0%
Stanislav Poroykov0%
Atsamaz Revazov0%
Renat Golybin0%
Akhmat
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Egas Cacintura30%
Georgiy Melkadze26%
Galymzhan Kenzhebek17%
Maksim Samorodov14%
Ousmane N’Dong9%
Brian Mansilla9%
Mohamed Konaté5%
Maksim Sidorov4%
Manuel Keliano4%
Ismael Silva Lima4%
Lechi Sadulaev4%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov0%
Darko Todorović0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Nader Ghandri0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Abakar Gadzhiev0%
Sergey Pryakhin0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Anas El Mahraoui0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
Mehdi Zare0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Darko Todorović33%
Ismael Silva Lima24%
Nader Ghandri24%
Sergey Pryakhin22%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev19%
Lechi Sadulaev19%
Ousmane N’Dong18%
Manuel Keliano17%
Galymzhan Kenzhebek17%
Abakar Gadzhiev17%
Maksim Sidorov13%
Mehdi Zare12%
Georgiy Melkadze11%
Papa Amady Gadio10%
Klisman Cake9%
Vadim Ulyanov8%
Giorgi Shelia6%
Mohamed Konaté5%
Brian Mansilla4%
Egas Cacintura4%
Maksim Samorodov4%
Miroslav Bogosavac3%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Anas El Mahraoui0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maksim Samorodov18%
Egas Cacintura15%
Mohamed Konaté10%
Lechi Sadulaev7%
Giorgi Shelia6%
Brian Mansilla4%
Manuel Keliano4%
Georgiy Melkadze4%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov0%
Darko Todorović0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Nader Ghandri0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Maksim Sidorov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Galymzhan Kenzhebek0%
Abakar Gadzhiev0%
Sergey Pryakhin0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Anas El Mahraoui0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
Mehdi Zare0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Georgiy Melkadze22%
Lechi Sadulaev11%
Mohamed Konaté10%
Maksim Samorodov7%
Brian Mansilla4%
Ismael Silva Lima4%
Egas Cacintura4%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov0%
Darko Todorović0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Nader Ghandri0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Maksim Sidorov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Galymzhan Kenzhebek0%
Abakar Gadzhiev0%
Sergey Pryakhin0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Anas El Mahraoui0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
Mehdi Zare0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FC Orenburg's squad is €12m less valuable than Akhmat's (€18m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FC Orenburg's attack is €9m less valuable than Akhmat's (€8m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FC Orenburg's midfield is €1m less valuable than Akhmat's (€3m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FC Orenburg's defence is €2m less valuable than Akhmat's (€7m vs €9m).
Russia: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Lokomotiv
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
FC Rostov
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
Akron
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
Rotor Volgograd
Ural