The contest between FC Orenburg and Akron is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. Home advantage is modest: Orenburg average 2.0 goals for and only 0.5 against when facing similarly ranked opposition, while Akron, on the road, averages 1.25 goals for and 1.25 against. The expected total is 2.6 goals, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 26% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.7% chance. The probabilities for the match outcome are 38% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 33% for an away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Under 6.5 (98.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.0%) and Over 19.5 fouls (95.9%). Orenburg’s recent draw against Fakel and Akron’s recent defeat to Krylia Sovetov add to the uncertainty.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Orenburg win
38.2%
Avg Implied 53.1% · @ 1.77
Edge
-14.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.81
Dafabet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
Draw
28.6%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.71
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.94
Marathonbet
3.84
Dafabet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.74
Superbet
3.70
Akron win
33.1%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.37
Edge
+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.76
Marathonbet
4.55
Pinnacle
4.51
Dafabet
4.30
Superbet
4.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Orenburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.47
1.15
1.15
0.71
1.71
vs Stronger (20)
0.70
1.70
0.78
1.44
0.64
1.91
vs Similar (10)
1.30
1.00
2.00
0.50
0.83
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.93
0.88
2.06
1.29
1.79
vs Stronger (14)
1.07
2.07
0.86
2.00
1.29
2.14
vs Similar (16)
1.06
1.81
0.89
2.11
1.29
1.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.2%
@ 1.21-1.5%
Under 1.5
24.8%
@ 3.99+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.13
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.1%
@ 1.75-5.4%
Under 2.5
50.9%
@ 2.09+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75
SBO
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Under
1xBet
2.16
SBO
2.11
Pinnacle
2.08
Marathonbet
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.2%
@ 2.75-6.7%
Under 3.5
72.8%
@ 1.41+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
Superbet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.73
1xBet
2.69
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
54.8%
@ 1.67-0.6%
No
45.2%
@ 2.08+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Superbet
1.66
No
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.06
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.84+7.2%
1-0
8.6%@ 7.38+2.6%
2-1
8.5%@ 7.55+2.7%
0-0
8.4%@ 13.26+5.1%
1-2
7.8%@ 13.90+4.7%
0-1
7.8%@ 13.08+4.4%
2-0
6.8%@ 8.33+1.5%
0-2
5.7%@ 25.31+4.0%
FC Orenburg goals ↓
Akron goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
7.8%
5.7%
2.4%
0.8%
1
8.6%
14%
7.8%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.8%
8.5%
5.4%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.1%
3.9%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Orenburg goals (down), columns = Akron goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
FC Orenburg is 0.67 points better than Akron in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
FC Orenburg is 0.17 goals worse than Akron in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
FC Orenburg is 1.33 goals better than Akron in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
FC Orenburg is 15.8 percentage points worse than Akron in terms of average possession (39% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Orenburg
For 4.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 13.3 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akron
For 4.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 12.9 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Orenburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.9
9.6
4.5
4.9
4.2
29.1
30.6
27.5
vs Stronger (33)
9.8
10.6
8.9
4.8
4.8
4.7
29.7
30.8
28.4
vs Similar (17)
9.6
8.3
10.7
4.1
5.0
3.5
27.8
30.0
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
60%
53%
64%
75%
54%
92%
95%
89%
% under line
44%
40%
47%
36%
25%
46%
8%
5%
11%
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.5
9.0
3.8
3.3
4.3
27.1
27.2
26.8
vs Stronger (23)
10.1
9.9
10.4
3.7
3.2
4.1
26.1
26.2
25.9
vs Similar (27)
8.6
9.2
8.0
3.9
3.4
4.5
27.7
27.8
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
41%
37%
48%
30%
70%
88%
86%
89%
% under line
61%
59%
63%
52%
70%
30%
12%
14%
11%
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Akron
9.3
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.0
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
Zenit
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.94
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Orenburg or Draw
66.9%
Avg Implied 79.1% · @ 1.19
Edge
-12.3%
38%
29%
33%
covers FC Orenburg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
SBO
1.12
FC Orenburg or Akron
71.4%
Avg Implied 75.3% · @ 1.25
Edge
-4.0%
38%
29%
33%
covers FC Orenburg + Akron
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.25
SBO
1.18
Draw or Akron
61.8%
Avg Implied 45.5% · @ 2.07
Edge
+16.2%
38%
29%
33%
covers Draw + Akron
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.09
Superbet
1.97
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5
Over
74.7%
@ 1.15-7.3%
Under
25.3%
@ 5.20+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.10
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5
Over
39.9%
@ 1.75-14.2%
Under
60.1%
@ 2.06+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5
Over
16.0%
@ 3.27-12.6%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.31+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.32
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
FC Orenburg over/under 3.5
Over
5.1%
@ 7.03-8.1%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.06+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.20
Superbet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Under
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Akron over/under 0.5
Over
71.7%
@ 1.45+7.0%
Under
28.3%
@ 2.65-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.75
Superbet
2.70
1xBet
2.58
Marathonbet
2.58
Akron over/under 1.5
Over
36.0%
@ 3.16+6.3%
Under
64.0%
@ 1.33-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.28
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Under
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Akron over/under 2.5
Over
13.5%
@ 8.43+2.4%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.04-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
Superbet
7.70
Under
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Akron over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
@ 22.00-0.4%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.01+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Orenburg, so a minus line means FC Orenburg give that many goals of a start and Akron receive them. At -1, FC Orenburg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Orenburg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Orenburg)
FC Orenburg -2
6.7%
@ 5.60-9.3%
Draw -2
11.6%
@ 5.05-6.1%
Akron +2
81.7%
@ 1.34+15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.55
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
4.90
Away
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Handicap -1 (FC Orenburg)
FC Orenburg -1
18.3%
@ 2.89-12.9%
Draw -1
20.0%
@ 3.65-4.8%
Akron +1
61.8%
@ 2.04+17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.86
Draw
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
Away
Marathonbet
2.09
Superbet
2.00
Handicap +1 (FC Orenburg)
FC Orenburg +1
66.9%
@ 1.22-7.7%
Draw +1
18.3%
@ 5.95+3.1%
Akron -1
14.9%
@ 8.85+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Draw
Marathonbet
6.15
Superbet
5.75
Away
Marathonbet
9.50
Superbet
8.20
Handicap +2 (FC Orenburg)
FC Orenburg +2
85.1%
Draw +2
9.8%
Akron -2
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Orenburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.63
0.38
0.69
0.18
0.59
vs Stronger (20)
0.10
0.65
0.11
0.78
0.09
0.55
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.23
0.38
1.19
0.29
1.29
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.29
0.43
1.00
0.43
1.57
vs Similar (16)
0.25
1.19
0.33
1.33
0.14
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.1%
@ 1.34-2.9%
Under 0.5
32.9%
@ 3.12+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
Under
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.0%
@ 2.54-6.8%
Under 1.5
70.0%
@ 1.49+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.57
Pinnacle
2.57
Marathonbet
2.57
Superbet
2.47
Under
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.0%
@ 5.97-4.5%
Under 2.5
89.0%
@ 1.09+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
Marathonbet
6.10
Superbet
5.70
Under
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.0%
@ 1.68-6.4%
Under
51.0%
@ 2.08+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
1xBet
2.07
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.03
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.5%
@ 4.40-10.5%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.17+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.20
Under
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.1%
@ 12.00-5.7%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Under
Superbet
1.02
Akron over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.0%
@ 2.48-2.5%
Under
65.0%
@ 1.49+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.46
Superbet
2.40
Under
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Akron over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.9%
@ 9.07-0.3%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.03+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.30
Superbet
8.20
Under
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Akron over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
@ 33.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Orenburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.77
0.46
0.53
1.12
vs Stronger (20)
0.60
1.05
0.67
0.67
0.55
1.36
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.50
0.88
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
0.79
0.43
1.00
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.62
0.56
0.78
1.14
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.9%
@ 1.19-2.7%
Under 0.5
24.1%
@ 4.35+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.6%
@ 1.95-7.8%
Under 1.5
59.4%
@ 1.83+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Superbet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.2%
@ 3.89-6.7%
Under 2.5
82.8%
@ 1.22+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.88
Marathonbet
3.88
Under
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.9%
@ 1.47-11.0%
Under
48.1%
@ 2.50+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.45
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.8%
@ 3.23-9.9%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.30+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.8%
@ 8.72-6.7%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.05
Superbet
8.40
Under
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Akron over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.0%
@ 2.03+1.4%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.70-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Superbet
2.00
Under
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Akron over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.2%
@ 6.48-1.1%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.08+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.70
Superbet
6.00
Under
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Akron over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
@ 20.00-97.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.2%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
1.02
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.7%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.4%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.06
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
+8.1%
Under 5.5
94.8%
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.03
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+0.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.17
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-
+10.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.09
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+4.5%
Under 4.5
87.2%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
+5.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.8%
1.08
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+1.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.5%
1.04
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-2.4%
Home +2 handicap
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
84.0%
1.31
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
-
+12.6%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.8%
1.22
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-
+6.7%
Away +2 handicap
81.7%
1.34
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
-
-
-
+15.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.2%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
-
-
+9.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.9%
1.19
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
-
-2.7%
Over 1.5
75.2%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
-
-1.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
74.7%
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-7.3%
Under 3.5
72.8%
1.41
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
-
+6.7%
Away over 0.5 goals
71.7%
1.45
1xBet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
-
+7.0%
Home or Away
71.4%
1.25
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.25
SBO
1.18
-
-4.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Orenburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ruslan Kul33%
Andrey Kasadzhikov33%
Emil Tsenov20%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy0%
Maxime Sivis0%
Evgeniy Bolotov0%
Bogdan Ovsyannikov0%
Aleksey Tataev0%
Gedeon Guzina0%
Jhon Palacios0%
Danila Vedernikov0%
Alexandre Jesus0%
Damián Puebla0%
Renat Golybin0%
Egor Nazarenko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksey Tataev50%
Jhon Palacios50%
Evgeniy Bolotov33%
Bogdan Ovsyannikov20%
Danila Vedernikov20%
Emil Tsenov20%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy17%
Maxime Sivis17%
Gedeon Guzina17%
Ruslan Kul17%
Andrey Kasadzhikov17%
Alexandre Jesus0%
Damián Puebla0%
Renat Golybin0%
Egor Nazarenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maxime Sivis17%
Gedeon Guzina17%
Ruslan Kul17%
Andrey Kasadzhikov17%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy0%
Evgeniy Bolotov0%
Bogdan Ovsyannikov0%
Aleksey Tataev0%
Jhon Palacios0%
Danila Vedernikov0%
Alexandre Jesus0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Damián Puebla0%
Renat Golybin0%
Egor Nazarenko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Renat Golybin25%
Alexandre Jesus20%
Aleksey Tataev17%
Gedeon Guzina17%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy0%
Maxime Sivis0%
Evgeniy Bolotov0%
Bogdan Ovsyannikov0%
Jhon Palacios0%
Danila Vedernikov0%
Ruslan Kul0%
Emil Tsenov0%
Damián Puebla0%
Andrey Kasadzhikov0%
Egor Nazarenko0%
Akron
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gilson Tavares33%
Yomar Rocha20%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Arseniy Dmitriev17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Dudu0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristijan Bistrović50%
Joao Escoval40%
Arseniy Dmitriev33%
Dudu25%
Nikita Bazilevskiy25%
Roberto Fernández20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dudu25%
Roberto Fernández20%
Konstantin Maradishvili17%
Stefan Lončar17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefan Lončar33%
Gilson Tavares33%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Dudu0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
FC Orenburg's squad is €7m less valuable than Akron's (€18m vs €25m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
FC Orenburg's attack is €3m less valuable than Akron's (€8m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
FC Orenburg's midfield is €3m less valuable than Akron's (€3m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
FC Orenburg's defence is €1m less valuable than Akron's (€7m vs €8m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Fakel