This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.13
1.69
0.94
2.00
1.36
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
1.38
1.38
1.43
1.00
1.33
1.83
vs Weaker (15)
2.13
0.93
1.75
0.88
2.57
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.4%
FC Orenburg goals ↓
Lokomotiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
9.1%
7.6%
3.8%
1.4%
1
7.0%
13%
9.0%
4.5%
1.6%
2
4.9%
7.2%
5.4%
2.6%
1.0%
3
1.9%
2.9%
2.1%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Orenburg goals (down), columns = Lokomotiv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Spartak Moscow
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Orel
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tver
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Murom
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Fakel
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Enisey
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
FC Orenburg is 1.77 points worse than Lokomotiv in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 2.27).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Orel
2.67
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Kristall
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
KDV
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Murom
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Tver
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
FC Orenburg
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
FC Orenburg is 1.09 goals worse than Lokomotiv in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Kompozit
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Tver
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Orel
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Veles
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Murom
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
Urozhay
5.00
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
FC Orenburg is 0.58 goals worse than Lokomotiv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Orenburg
For 5.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lokomotiv
For 6.6 · Against 6.7 · Total 13.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Orenburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.8
11.0
4.5
5.0
4.0
23.3
22.7
23.9
vs Stronger (27)
9.7
9.4
10.1
4.5
5.0
3.7
22.0
21.2
23.0
vs Similar (23)
12.3
13.2
11.7
4.5
5.0
4.2
24.9
25.2
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
65%
64%
67%
70%
76%
64%
69%
68%
71%
% under line
35%
36%
33%
30%
24%
36%
31%
32%
29%
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.2
11.3
4.9
4.4
5.4
23.4
23.4
23.4
vs Stronger (3)
10.0
11.0
8.0
5.0
3.0
9.0
21.0
22.0
19.0
vs Similar (21)
11.4
11.6
11.3
4.6
4.5
4.6
22.9
22.2
23.4
vs Weaker (26)
11.3
11.0
11.6
5.1
4.5
5.7
24.1
24.5
23.7
% over line
65%
62%
68%
68%
60%
76%
67%
62%
72%
% under line
35%
38%
32%
32%
40%
24%
33%
38%
28%
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokomotiv
11.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
Dynamo
10.8
FC Orenburg
10.8
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Ural
10.4
Spartak Moscow
10.2
Baltika
10.1
FK Neftekhimik
10.0
Chernomorets
9.9
Akhmat
9.9
Zenit
9.8
Khimki
9.8
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
FC Rostov
9.6
Akron
9.6
Nizhny Novgorod
9.6
Enisey
9.5
CSKA Moscow
9.5
Veles
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Rubin
9.3
Fakel
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
FC Krasnodar
8.9
Rodina Moskva
8.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
KAMAZ
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
8.0
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.9
FC UFA
5.3
Lokomotiv
5.2
Akhmat
5.2
Fakel
5.0
Spartak Moscow
5.0
FC Rostov
4.9
Krylia Sovetov
4.9
Veles
4.7
Rubin
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
FC Krasnodar
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Dynamo
4.5
Rodina Moskva
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.4
CSKA Moscow
4.4
Khimki
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
Enisey
4.2
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
Ural
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Akron
4.0
FK Neftekhimik
4.0
FC Sochi
3.9
Baltika
3.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.8
Chernomorets
3.8
Tyumen
3.7
Zenit
3.7
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Khimki
27.6
Fakel
26.4
Rubin
24.4
Nizhny Novgorod
24.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
24.0
Akhmat
23.8
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Lokomotiv
23.4
FC Orenburg
23.4
Krylia Sovetov
23.4
Torpedo Moskva
23.3
FC Krasnodar
23.2
Spartak Moscow
23.1
Ural
22.8
FC Rostov
22.7
CSKA Moscow
22.7
Dynamo
22.4
Baltika
22.3
Akron
21.8
FC Sochi
21.5
Zenit
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.7%
Under 9.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.7%
Under 3.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.1%
Under 21.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Orenburg or Draw✗ Miss
57.3%
Avg Implied -
29%
28%
43%
covers FC Orenburg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg or Lokomotiv✓ Hit
71.9%
Avg Implied -
29%
28%
43%
covers FC Orenburg + Lokomotiv
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Lokomotiv✓ Hit
70.8%
Avg Implied -
29%
28%
43%
covers Draw + Lokomotiv
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.5%
Under
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.2%
Under
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.7%
Under
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.2%
Under
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
43.5%
Under
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Orenburg, so a minus line means FC Orenburg give that many goals of a start and Lokomotiv receive them. At -1, FC Orenburg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Orenburg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Orenburg)Actual: Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg -2
4.0%
Draw -2
8.5%
Lokomotiv +2
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Orenburg)Actual: Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg -1
12.4%
Draw -1
16.7%
Lokomotiv +1
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Orenburg)Actual: Draw
FC Orenburg +1
57.3%
Draw +1
21.2%
Lokomotiv -1
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Orenburg)Actual: FC Orenburg
FC Orenburg +2
78.5%
Draw +2
13.2%
Lokomotiv -2
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Orenburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.50
0.31
0.31
0.29
0.71
vs Stronger (17)
0.29
0.47
0.33
0.22
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.54
0.29
0.43
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.47
0.81
0.31
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.46
0.71
0.14
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (15)
0.93
0.40
0.88
0.38
1.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Orenburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
1.19
0.56
0.57
0.93
vs Stronger (17)
0.76
0.76
1.00
0.56
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (13)
1.08
0.69
1.43
0.57
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.67
0.88
0.62
1.29
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.92
0.71
0.86
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.20
0.53
0.88
0.50
1.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Orenburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Saeid Saharkhizan22%
Brian Mansilla19%
Atsamaz Revazov14%
Jimmy Marín13%
Matías Pérez12%
Aleksey Tataev11%
Artem Kasimov9%
Emircan Gürlük9%
Kâzımcan Karataş6%
Mohammad Ghorbani6%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy4%
Ivan Bašić4%
Nikolay Sysuev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Andrey Malykh0%
Georgi Zotov0%
Gabriel Florentín0%
Maksim Sidorov0%
Stepan Oganesyan0%
Danila Khotulev0%
Maksim Saveljev0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Tomás Muro0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Justin Cuero0%
Bogdan Moskvichev0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksey Tataev44%
Andrey Malykh33%
Ivan Bašić30%
Danila Prokhin28%
Brian Mansilla26%
Matías Pérez25%
Maksim Saveljev25%
Tomás Muro25%
Danila Khotulev22%
Saeid Saharkhizan19%
Jimmy Marín17%
Kâzımcan Karataş17%
Maksim Sidorov15%
Nikolay Sysuev14%
Georgi Zotov14%
Justin Cuero14%
Atsamaz Revazov14%
Aleksandr Kovalenko12%
Mohammad Ghorbani11%
Stepan Oganesyan10%
Artem Kasimov9%
Yaroslav Mikhailov8%
Bogdan Moskvichev6%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy4%
Gabriel Florentín0%
Emircan Gürlük0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gabriel Florentín50%
Georgi Zotov14%
Brian Mansilla11%
Danila Khotulev11%
Emircan Gürlük9%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy8%
Aleksandr Kovalenko6%
Andrey Malykh6%
Kâzımcan Karataş6%
Jimmy Marín4%
Yaroslav Mikhailov4%
Maksim Sidorov4%
Ivan Bašić4%
Saeid Saharkhizan4%
Nikolay Sysuev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Aleksey Tataev0%
Matías Pérez0%
Stepan Oganesyan0%
Maksim Saveljev0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Tomás Muro0%
Artem Kasimov0%
Mohammad Ghorbani0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Justin Cuero0%
Bogdan Moskvichev0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
Atsamaz Revazov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brian Mansilla56%
Gabriel Florentín50%
Jimmy Marín26%
Saeid Saharkhizan19%
Justin Cuero14%
Emircan Gürlük13%
Danila Prokhin12%
Mohammad Ghorbani11%
Maksim Saveljev8%
Matías Pérez6%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy4%
Maksim Sidorov4%
Nikolay Sysuev0%
Andrey Malykh0%
Georgi Zotov0%
Aleksey Tataev0%
Kâzımcan Karataş0%
Stepan Oganesyan0%
Ivan Bašić0%
Danila Khotulev0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Tomás Muro0%
Artem Kasimov0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Bogdan Moskvichev0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
Atsamaz Revazov0%
Lokomotiv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dmitriy Vorobyev36%
Aleksey Batrakov36%
Sergey Pinyaev15%
Gerzino Nyamsi14%
Ilya Samoshnikov12%
Evgeniy Morozov11%
Nair Tiknizyan9%
Vladislav Sarveli9%
Artem Timofeev8%
Vadim Rakov5%
Artem Karpukas4%
Aleksandr Silyanov4%
Timur Suleymanov4%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
César Montes0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Edgar Sevikyan0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Evgeniy Morozov33%
Lucas Fasson30%
Ilya Samoshnikov29%
Egor Pogostnov29%
Dmitriy Barinov28%
Timur Suleymanov25%
Artem Timofeev23%
Aleksey Batrakov21%
Vadim Rakov16%
Maksim Nenakhov14%
Artem Karpukas12%
Dmitriy Vorobyev11%
Danila Godyaev10%
Ilya Lantratov10%
Nair Tiknizyan9%
Vladislav Sarveli9%
Aleksandr Silyanov8%
Sergey Pinyaev7%
Edgar Sevikyan7%
César Montes7%
Gerzino Nyamsi5%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sergey Pinyaev26%
Aleksey Batrakov18%
Dmitriy Vorobyev14%
Dmitriy Barinov12%
Vadim Rakov11%
Vladislav Sarveli9%
Ilya Samoshnikov8%
Artem Karpukas8%
Artem Timofeev8%
Edgar Sevikyan7%
Aleksandr Silyanov4%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
César Montes0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergey Pinyaev22%
Dmitriy Vorobyev21%
Aleksey Batrakov11%
Gerzino Nyamsi10%
Artem Timofeev8%
Edgar Sevikyan7%
Vladislav Sarveli5%
Ilya Samoshnikov4%
Dmitriy Barinov4%
Maksim Nenakhov4%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
César Montes0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Aleksandr Silyanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Vadim Rakov0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FC Orenburg's squad is €50m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€18m vs €68m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FC Orenburg's attack is €13m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€8m vs €21m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FC Orenburg's midfield is €4m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€3m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FC Orenburg's defence is €33m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€7m vs €40m).
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Rubin
FC Rostov
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Khimki
Akhmat
Fakel
FC Sochi
Ural