Defensive solidity will dominate the forecast, with FC Rostov conceding 1.4 goals per game at home against stronger opposition, while CSKA Moscow will arrive on the road having averaged only 0.44 conceded and 1.33 scored against weaker opponents. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 40% chance, a draw 32%, and a home win 28%. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a tight affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.6% probability. The match is projected to finish 1-1, the only scoreline to be named. The suggested selections are: Under 7.5 goals 99.8%, Under 6.599.3%, Home under 3.5 goals98.2%, Under 5.597.6%, Away under 3.5 goals96.6%, Under 4.592.9%, Home under 2.5 goals92.4%, and Away +2 handicap89.1%. The recent form notes that Rostov is after two straight defeats and CSKA is coming off a draw, adding context to the low-scoring expectation.
Results analysis
The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, CSKA Moscow, failed to secure the win they were tipped for. The match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. FC Rostov’s recent form, after two straight defeats, was still a concern, while CSKA, coming off a draw, had been in better shape away. The model had given CSKA a 40% chance of victory, but the result was a stalemate. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Under 5.5 (97.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.6%), Under 4.5 (92.9%), Home under 2.5 goals (92.4%) and Away +2 handicap (89.1%). The game was a quiet, low-scoring affair, confirming the model’s under-goals selections while proving the away win prediction incorrect.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Rostov win✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow win✗ Miss
39.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Rostov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.23
1.29
1.29
1.31
1.19
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.40
0.40
1.40
1.00
1.40
vs Similar (13)
1.31
1.31
1.29
1.43
1.33
1.17
vs Weaker (7)
2.14
0.86
3.50
0.50
1.60
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.63
1.60
0.60
1.20
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
1.50
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.47
0.47
1.60
0.50
1.33
0.44
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.5%
Under 1.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.3%
Under 2.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.8%
Under 3.5
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.0%
No
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0 ✓
12.6%
0-1
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
FC Rostov goals ↓
CSKA Moscow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
12%
8.2%
3.3%
1.0%
1
9.7%
15%
8.0%
3.2%
1.0%
2
5.4%
6.5%
3.9%
1.6%
0.5%
3
1.8%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Rostov goals (down), columns = CSKA Moscow goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Spartak Moscow
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Orel
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tver
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Murom
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Fakel
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Enisey
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
FC Rostov is 0.08 points worse than CSKA Moscow in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 1.92).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Orel
2.67
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Kristall
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
KDV
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Murom
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Tver
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
FC Orenburg
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
FC Rostov is 0.23 goals better than CSKA Moscow in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Kompozit
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Tver
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Orel
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Veles
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Murom
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
Urozhay
5.00
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
FC Rostov is 0.54 goals worse than CSKA Moscow in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 0.38).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Rostov
For 4.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 15.2 · Total 30.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CSKA Moscow
For 4.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Rostov
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.2
8.5
3.6
3.6
3.7
26.0
25.6
26.4
vs Stronger (15)
8.7
8.6
8.8
3.6
3.7
3.5
24.8
26.4
23.2
vs Similar (21)
8.4
8.9
7.9
3.7
3.7
3.8
25.4
25.1
25.6
vs Weaker (14)
9.7
10.2
9.2
3.5
3.3
3.7
28.4
25.6
31.2
% over line
41%
50%
32%
60%
57%
63%
73%
78%
68%
% under line
59%
50%
68%
40%
43%
37%
27%
22%
32%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.3
8.9
3.4
3.4
3.3
23.3
22.7
24.0
vs Stronger (5)
12.3
9.0
14.0
5.2
4.0
6.0
28.7
20.0
33.0
vs Similar (14)
9.7
9.4
10.0
3.6
3.4
3.9
23.6
23.0
24.2
vs Weaker (31)
8.5
9.2
7.7
3.0
3.4
2.5
22.6
22.8
22.4
% over line
32%
26%
37%
46%
48%
44%
66%
58%
74%
% under line
68%
74%
63%
54%
52%
56%
34%
42%
26%
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Arsenal Tula
12.5
FC Orenburg
11.4
Shinnik Yaroslavl
11.2
Lokomotiv
11.0
Khimki
10.8
Dynamo
10.8
Chernomorets
10.8
Akron
10.4
Ural
10.3
Akhmat
10.2
Baltika
10.2
Nizhny Novgorod
10.2
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Spartak Moscow
10.0
KAMAZ
9.8
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.6
Rubin
9.5
Veles
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Fakel
9.3
FC Sochi
9.3
FK Sokol Saratov
9.3
FC Rostov
9.2
CSKA Moscow
9.2
FC UFA
8.7
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Enisey
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Leningradets
8.4
FK Neftekhimik
8.2
Tyumen
7.4
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Torpedo Moskva
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fakel
5.2
Akhmat
5.2
Spartak Moscow
5.0
Lokomotiv
4.8
FC Rostov
4.7
Rubin
4.7
Veles
4.7
FC Krasnodar
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Krylia Sovetov
4.4
Nizhny Novgorod
4.3
Dynamo
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
KAMAZ
4.3
Urozhay
4.3
Ural
4.2
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
Zenit
4.1
FC Sochi
4.1
Chayka
4.0
Chernomorets
3.9
Enisey
3.8
Torpedo Moskva
3.7
Khimki
3.7
Baltika
3.6
Akron
3.5
Rodina Moskva
3.4
Leningradets
3.4
Rotor Volgograd
3.3
Ska-khabarovsk
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.3
Arsenal Tula
3.2
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
FK Sokol Saratov
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.2
Fakel
27.3
Akhmat
27.0
Spartak Moscow
27.0
Nizhny Novgorod
25.9
FC Rostov
25.8
Rubin
25.7
FC Krasnodar
25.6
Ural
25.6
Dynamo
24.7
Khimki
24.6
Lokomotiv
24.3
FC Orenburg
24.1
FC Sochi
23.9
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Zenit
23.5
CSKA Moscow
23.3
Akron
23.1
Krylia Sovetov
22.2
Baltika
21.9
Enisey
14.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.3%
Under 9.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.6%
Under 3.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
77.2%
Under 21.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Rostov or Draw✓ Hit
60.1%
Avg Implied -
28%
32%
40%
covers FC Rostov + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov or CSKA Moscow✗ Miss
68.3%
Avg Implied -
28%
32%
40%
covers FC Rostov + CSKA Moscow
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or CSKA Moscow✓ Hit
71.5%
Avg Implied -
28%
32%
40%
covers Draw + CSKA Moscow
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
62.4%
Under
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.6%
Under
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.0%
Under
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.9%
Under
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.2%
Under
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Rostov, so a minus line means FC Rostov give that many goals of a start and CSKA Moscow receive them. At -1, FC Rostov must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Rostov win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Rostov)Actual: CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov -2
3.0%
Draw -2
7.8%
CSKA Moscow +2
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Rostov)Actual: CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov -1
10.9%
Draw -1
17.6%
CSKA Moscow +1
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Rostov)Actual: FC Rostov
FC Rostov +1
60.1%
Draw +1
22.0%
CSKA Moscow -1
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Rostov)Actual: FC Rostov
FC Rostov +2
82.1%
Draw +2
11.9%
CSKA Moscow -2
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Rostov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.57
0.50
0.44
0.50
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.50
0.40
0.20
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.69
0.57
0.86
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.14
1.00
0.00
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.23
0.73
0.20
0.47
0.27
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
0.74
0.11
0.90
0.10
0.56
0.11
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Rostov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.71
0.79
0.88
0.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.90
0.00
1.20
0.80
0.60
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.62
0.71
0.57
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.71
2.50
0.50
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
0.87
0.40
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.50
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
0.74
0.37
0.70
0.40
0.78
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Rostov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolay Komlichenko28%
Maksim Osipenko28%
Mohammad Mohebi27%
Egor Golenkov17%
Ronaldo11%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Daniil Glebov6%
Ivan Komarov6%
Konstantin Kuchaev5%
Andrey Langovich5%
Oumar Sako4%
Kirill Shchetinin4%
Daniil Utkin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Aleksey Sutormin0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Shamonin33%
Viktor Melekhin29%
Daniil Glebov24%
Andrey Langovich23%
Ivan Komarov22%
Daniil Utkin20%
Evgeniy Chernov20%
Daniil Shantaliy18%
Egor Golenkov17%
Oumar Sako15%
Ilya Vakhaniya14%
Ronaldo14%
Mohammad Mohebi13%
Khoren Bayramyan12%
German Ignatov11%
Konstantin Kuchaev10%
Aleksey Sutormin9%
Nikolay Komlichenko8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Maksim Osipenko7%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolay Komlichenko16%
Ronaldo11%
Maksim Osipenko10%
Andrey Langovich9%
Egor Golenkov8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Mohammad Mohebi7%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Daniil Glebov6%
Ivan Komarov6%
Aleksey Sutormin4%
Ilya Vakhaniya4%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolay Komlichenko32%
Ronaldo25%
Mohammad Mohebi20%
Daniil Glebov18%
Egor Golenkov17%
Ivan Komarov17%
Imran Aznaurov17%
Maksim Osipenko14%
Kirill Shchetinin11%
Aleksey Sutormin9%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Andrey Langovich5%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
CSKA Moscow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Saúl Guarirapa25%
Tamerlan Musaev23%
Ivan Oblyakov21%
Artem Shumansky20%
Igor Diveev15%
Sekou Koita14%
Khellven12%
Moisés12%
Matvey Lukin11%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov8%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev7%
Kirill Glebov7%
Kristijan Bistrović5%
Matvey Kislyak5%
Danil Krugovoy4%
Willyan Rocha4%
Milan Gajić0%
Igor Akinfeev0%
Miralem Pjanić0%
Alerrandro0%
Victor Dávila0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Artem Bandikyan0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miralem Pjanić25%
Matvey Kislyak23%
Matvey Lukin22%
Saša Zdjelar20%
Saúl Guarirapa20%
Artem Shumansky20%
Milan Gajić19%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev19%
Moisés16%
Ivan Oblyakov14%
Sekou Koita14%
Khellven12%
Danil Krugovoy12%
Willyan Rocha12%
Igor Diveev8%
Tamerlan Musaev7%
Kirill Glebov7%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov4%
Igor Akinfeev0%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Alerrandro0%
Victor Dávila0%
Artem Bandikyan0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Victor Dávila50%
Danil Krugovoy17%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev15%
Ivan Oblyakov14%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov12%
Miralem Pjanić12%
Khellven12%
Moisés8%
Willyan Rocha8%
Saša Zdjelar7%
Kirill Glebov7%
Sekou Koita5%
Matvey Kislyak5%
Igor Akinfeev4%
Tamerlan Musaev3%
Milan Gajić0%
Igor Diveev0%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Alerrandro0%
Saúl Guarirapa0%
Artem Shumansky0%
Matvey Lukin0%
Artem Bandikyan0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Victor Dávila50%
Tamerlan Musaev23%
Matvey Lukin22%
Saúl Guarirapa20%
Artem Shumansky20%
Ivan Oblyakov14%
Willyan Rocha12%
Igor Diveev8%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev7%
Kirill Glebov7%
Sekou Koita5%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov4%
Khellven4%
Milan Gajić0%
Igor Akinfeev0%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Miralem Pjanić0%
Alerrandro0%
Moisés0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Artem Bandikyan0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FC Rostov's squad is €79m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€32m vs €111m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FC Rostov's attack is €23m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€14m vs €37m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FC Rostov's midfield is €44m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€5m vs €48m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FC Rostov's defence is €12m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€13m vs €26m).
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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FC Krasnodar
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Rubin
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Khimki
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
Fakel
FC Sochi
Ural