The contest between FC Rostov and CSKA Moscow is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 41%. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly open game, and the most likely exact score is 1-1, a 14% chance. Rostov, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while CSKA, on the road against a weaker side, nets 1.3 and concedes 1.0. The probabilities for the three outcomes are 30% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 41% for an away win.
The model’s selections include: Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.3%), Under 5.5 (96.0% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.1% with a 2% edge), Home under 2.5 goals (89.7% with a 5% edge), Under 4.5 (89.5% with a 5% edge), and Away +2 handicap (87.8%). The recent form shows Rostov struggling after two defeats, while CSKA has just drawn, adding to the uncertainty.
Results analysis
The upset was clear: the pre-match favourite, CSKA Moscow, did not come through. FC Rostov, fresh from a win, secured a 2-0 home victory, extending their recent form. The model had picked an away win with a 41% probability, but that call was wrong. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5, Under 6.5, Home under 3.5 goals, Under 5.5, Away under 3.5 goals, Home under 2.5 goals, and Under 4.5 all hit, with probabilities of 99.6%, 98.7%, 97.3%, 96.0%, 95.1%, 89.7% and 89.5% respectively. The only miss was Away +2 handicap, which came in at 87.8%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Rostov win✓ Hit
29.6%
Avg Implied 33.0% · @ 2.83
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.91
1xBet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.88
Superbet
2.82
Dafabet
2.80
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.39
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.64
1xBet
3.54
Marathonbet
3.54
Dafabet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
CSKA Moscow win✗ Miss
41.0%
Avg Implied 39.4% · @ 2.37
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.42
Pinnacle
2.40
Dafabet
2.38
Superbet
2.37
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Rostov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.13
0.86
1.07
1.44
1.19
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.22
1.22
0.70
1.10
1.88
1.38
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.27
1.53
1.20
1.07
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.44
2.00
2.50
2.00
0.60
2.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
0.85
1.20
0.70
1.30
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.0%
@ 1.26-1.9%
Under 1.5
28.0%
@ 3.56+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.71
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.9%
@ 1.89-5.4%
Under 2.5
55.1%
@ 1.92+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
SBO
1.86
Superbet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.94
SBO
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.88
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.7%
@ 3.15-5.9%
Under 3.5
76.3%
@ 1.32+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.27
Marathonbet
3.16
1xBet
3.16
Superbet
3.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.2%
@ 1.67-4.2%
No
48.8%
@ 2.08+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.66
No
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.06
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 5.87+6.6%
0-1
10.2%@ 7.91+4.6%
0-0
9.7%@ 11.21+5.8%
1-2
8.7%@ 8.63+3.6%
1-0
8.1%@ 8.86+3.2%
0-2
7.7%@ 11.52+4.0%
2-1
7.1%@ 9.65+2.6%
2-0 ✓
5.3%@ 14.23+2.2%
FC Rostov goals ↓
CSKA Moscow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
10%
7.7%
3.5%
1.2%
1
8.1%
14%
8.7%
3.9%
1.3%
2
5.3%
7.1%
4.8%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.0%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Rostov goals (down), columns = CSKA Moscow goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.55
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Irkutsk
2.25
Broke Boys
2.25
Cherepovets
2.25
Kristall MEZ
2.25
Veles
2.25
Spartak Moscow
2.08
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vologda
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Enisey
2.00
Arsenal Tula
2.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.92
CSKA Moscow
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.70
Chelyabinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.58
Zenit Penza
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
FK Spartak Tambov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Chayka
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ilpar
1.50
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
KAMAZ
1.50
Ural
1.50
Fakel
1.33
FC Rostov
1.25
Krylia Sovetov
1.10
FC 10
1.04
Metallurg Asha
1.04
Chita
1.04
Izberbash
1.04
Iskra Smolensk
1.04
Bomik
1.04
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.04
FC Tosno
1.04
SKA Rostov
1.04
Izhevsk
1.04
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.04
Anzhi
1.04
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Dinamo Bryansk
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Tver
1.00
Torpedo Miass
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.00
Baltika
0.88
Rubin
0.86
FC Orenburg
0.78
FK Neftekhimik
0.75
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.67
Akron
0.67
Akhmat
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.50
Mashuk-KMV
0.50
Nizhny Novgorod
0.50
FC Sochi
0.33
Murom
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Chertanovo Moscow
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Kvant
0.00
Shumbrat
0.00
Kristall
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Orel
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Rotor Volgograd
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
FC Rostov is 0.50 points worse than CSKA Moscow in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Irkutsk
3.75
Zvezda St. Petersburg
2.50
Cherepovets
2.50
Tyumen
2.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.50
KDV
2.33
Luki-Energiya
2.33
Zenit
2.09
FC Krasnodar
2.08
Murom
2.00
Orel
2.00
Salyut-Belgorod
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Kristall MEZ
2.00
Nosta
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Veles
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
1.85
Broke Boys
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Arsenal Tula
1.60
Dynamo
1.58
CSKA Moscow
1.58
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Volgar Astrakhan
1.33
Akhmat
1.33
Fakel
1.33
FC Sochi
1.33
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.30
FC 10
1.10
Metallurg Asha
1.10
Chita
1.10
Izberbash
1.10
Iskra Smolensk
1.10
Bomik
1.10
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.10
FC Tosno
1.10
SKA Rostov
1.10
Izhevsk
1.10
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.10
Anzhi
1.10
Dinamo Stavropol
1.00
Avangard Kursk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Shumbrat
1.00
Kristall
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Chayka
1.00
Akron
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
FK Sokol Saratov
1.00
Baltika
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Ural
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Orenburg
0.78
Rubin
0.71
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.33
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Mashuk-KMV
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Strogino
0.00
FC Rostov is 0.21 goals worse than CSKA Moscow in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Rodina Moskva
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
Dinamo Vologda
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FK Sokol Saratov
0.50
KAMAZ
0.50
Volgar Astrakhan
0.67
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Zenit
0.73
Irkutsk
0.75
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Arsenal Tula
0.80
Dynamo
0.92
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
KDV
1.00
Temp Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Salyut-Belgorod
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Tyumen
1.00
Torpedo Vladimir
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Znamya Noginsk
1.00
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
Ural
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.08
Broke Boys
1.25
CSKA Moscow
1.25
Baltika
1.25
Veles
1.25
Rubin
1.29
Lokomotiv
1.30
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.33
Astrakhan
1.33
Fakel
1.33
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
Mashuk-KMV
1.50
FC Rostov
1.50
Chayka
1.50
Kristall MEZ
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
FC 10
1.50
Metallurg Asha
1.50
Chita
1.50
Izberbash
1.50
Iskra Smolensk
1.50
Bomik
1.50
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.50
FC Tosno
1.50
SKA Rostov
1.50
Izhevsk
1.50
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.50
Anzhi
1.50
Luki-Energiya
1.67
Akhmat
1.67
Cherepovets
1.75
Krylia Sovetov
1.90
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2.00
Chertanovo Moscow
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Rotor Volgograd
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Akron
2.17
Nizhny Novgorod
2.17
Leningradets
2.50
FC Orenburg
2.56
Murom
3.00
Kvant
3.00
Shumbrat
3.00
Kristall
3.00
Orel
3.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
3.00
Nosta
3.00
Ilpar
3.00
Ryazan
3.00
Ska-khabarovsk
3.00
FC Sochi
3.00
Anri Vladivostok
4.00
FC Rostov is 0.25 goals worse than CSKA Moscow in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
CSKA Moscow
64%
Baltika
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Rostov
For 4.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CSKA Moscow
For 4.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 14.1 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Rostov
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.5
8.1
4.7
5.0
4.4
29.0
29.1
29.0
vs Stronger (15)
8.9
9.0
8.8
5.3
4.6
5.9
27.0
29.2
25.2
vs Similar (27)
7.1
7.9
6.5
4.2
5.3
3.2
29.8
29.0
30.5
vs Weaker (8)
11.4
10.0
12.3
5.0
4.7
5.2
30.4
29.0
31.3
% over line
32%
41%
25%
64%
70%
59%
89%
100%
80%
% under line
68%
59%
75%
36%
30%
41%
11%
0%
20%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.5
10.6
4.3
3.9
4.7
26.8
26.6
27.1
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
9.0
10.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
26.0
23.0
29.0
vs Similar (15)
9.7
10.0
9.2
4.5
4.4
4.6
25.3
25.4
25.2
vs Weaker (33)
10.9
10.8
11.1
4.2
3.6
4.9
27.3
27.2
27.5
% over line
57%
57%
56%
52%
42%
62%
86%
81%
94%
% under line
43%
43%
44%
48%
58%
38%
14%
19%
6%
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
CSKA Moscow
10.2
Rodina Moskva
10.2
FC Orenburg
9.9
Dynamo
9.7
Zenit
9.6
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.5
Akhmat
9.4
Arsenal Tula
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Akron
9.1
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
Lokomotiv
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Ural
8.4
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
Tyumen
7.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
KDV
4.0
Novosibirsk
4.0
Dinamo Bryansk
3.0
Znamya Noginsk
3.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.0
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.1
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Akron
4.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Rodina Moskva
3.4
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
KDV
3.0
Novosibirsk
3.0
Irkutsk
3.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Dinamo Bryansk
0.0
Znamya Noginsk
0.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
28.9
FC Rostov
28.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.8
Rubin
28.7
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.3
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.5
Zenit
27.4
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
25.0%
@ 2.26-16.0%
Under 9.5
75.0%
@ 1.57+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
Pinnacle
2.27
Marathonbet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.9%
@ 1.68+3.5%
Under 3.5
42.1%
@ 2.00-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.68
Under
Superbet
2.00
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.2%
Under 21.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Rostov or Draw✓ Hit
59.0%
Avg Implied 60.6% · @ 1.54
Edge
-1.6%
30%
29%
41%
covers FC Rostov + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.51
SBO
1.47
FC Rostov or CSKA Moscow✓ Hit
70.5%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.7%
30%
29%
41%
covers FC Rostov + CSKA Moscow
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.29
SBO
1.24
Draw or CSKA Moscow✗ Miss
70.4%
Avg Implied 67.2% · @ 1.40
Edge
+3.3%
30%
29%
41%
covers Draw + CSKA Moscow
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.38
SBO
1.32
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.3%
@ 1.30-4.3%
Under
32.7%
@ 3.29+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.43
1xBet
3.26
Marathonbet
3.26
Superbet
3.20
FC Rostov over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.7%
@ 2.51-7.0%
Under
69.3%
@ 1.52+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Marathonbet
2.57
1xBet
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Under
1xBet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
FC Rostov over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 6.05-5.1%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.10+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
5.50
Under
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
FC Rostov over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.2%
@ 1.25-0.6%
Under
25.8%
@ 3.72+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.83
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.72
Superbet
3.60
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.3%
@ 2.25-2.8%
Under
60.7%
@ 1.64+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathonbet
2.29
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Superbet
1.61
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 5.08-2.8%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.15+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
4.75
Under
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
CSKA Moscow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 12.88-2.4%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
13.50
Marathonbet
12.25
Under
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Rostov, so a minus line means FC Rostov give that many goals of a start and CSKA Moscow receive them. At -1, FC Rostov must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Rostov win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Rostov)Actual: Draw
FC Rostov -2
3.8%
Draw -2
8.5%
CSKA Moscow +2
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Rostov)Actual: FC Rostov
FC Rostov -1
12.2%
@ 6.00-3.2%
Draw -1
17.3%
@ 4.60-2.8%
CSKA Moscow +1
70.4%
@ 1.44+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Marathonbet
1.44
Handicap +1 (FC Rostov)Actual: FC Rostov
FC Rostov +1
59.0%
@ 1.60+1.3%
Draw +1
21.3%
@ 4.10-1.3%
CSKA Moscow -1
19.7%
@ 4.70-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.60
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
4.70
Handicap +2 (FC Rostov)Actual: FC Rostov
FC Rostov +2
80.3%
@ 1.13+10.4%
Draw +2
12.5%
@ 4.60-4.7%
CSKA Moscow -2
7.2%
@ 6.15-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Marathonbet
6.15
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Rostov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.43
0.64
0.88
0.44
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.57
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.61
0.30
0.60
1.12
0.62
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.53
0.73
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.89
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
0.45
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.30
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.90
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.83
Superbet
2.62
Under
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.30
Superbet
6.20
Under
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Superbet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.80
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.82
Superbet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.70
Under
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Rostov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.43
0.43
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.43
0.00
0.00
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.61
0.40
0.50
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.50
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
1.00
0.47
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.11
2.00
1.00
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (20)
0.80
0.35
0.70
0.10
0.90
0.60
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Superbet
3.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Superbet
2.05
Under
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.69
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Superbet
4.20
Under
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.89
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
1xBet
2.08
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.40
Under
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
90.7%
1.16
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-
+12.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.7%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.5%
1.09
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
84.4%
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
84.2%
1.33
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.29
-
-
+15.2%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
80.3%
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
-
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
76.3%
1.32
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 9.5 corners
75.0%
1.57
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
-
+16.0%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
74.2%
1.25
Pinnacle
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
-
-0.6%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
72.0%
1.26
Pinnacle
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
-
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.5%
1.30
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.29
SBO
1.24
-
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
70.4%
1.40
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.38
SBO
1.32
-
+3.3%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
70.4%
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Rostov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Timur Suleymanov33%
Daniil Shantaliy33%
Ivan Komarov17%
Andrey Langovich17%
Viktor Melekhin17%
Aleksey Mironov0%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Ygor Nogueira0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Ronaldo0%
Olakunle Olusegun0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantin Kuchaev50%
Oumar Sako50%
Viktor Melekhin50%
Ygor Nogueira33%
Aleksey Mironov17%
Olakunle Olusegun17%
Ivan Komarov17%
Andrey Langovich17%
Danila Prokhin0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Ronaldo0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Konstantin Kuchaev33%
Andrey Langovich33%
Olakunle Olusegun17%
Aleksey Mironov0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Ygor Nogueira0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Ronaldo0%
Ivan Komarov0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timur Suleymanov33%
Olakunle Olusegun33%
Ivan Komarov33%
Maksim Mukhin25%
Aleksey Mironov0%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Ygor Nogueira0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Ronaldo0%
Andrey Langovich0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
CSKA Moscow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luciano Gondou33%
Henrique Carmo25%
Matheus Alves20%
Ivan Oblyakov17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Kirill Glebov17%
Matija Popović17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Imran Firov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luciano Gondou33%
Imran Firov25%
Matheus Alves20%
João Victor17%
Vladislav Torop17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Ivan Oblyakov0%
Moisés0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Glebov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Matija Popović0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Milan Gajić25%
Matheus Alves20%
Danil Krugovoy17%
Luciano Gondou17%
Kirill Glebov17%
Matvey Kislyak17%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Ivan Oblyakov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Danilov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Imran Firov0%
Matija Popović0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luciano Gondou33%
Ivan Oblyakov17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Matija Popović17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Glebov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Matheus Alves0%
Imran Firov0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FC Rostov's squad is €79m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€32m vs €111m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FC Rostov's attack is €23m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€14m vs €37m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FC Rostov's midfield is €44m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€5m vs €48m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FC Rostov's defence is €12m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€13m vs €26m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel