Defensive solidity is the headline, with FC Rostov averaging just one goal conceded at home against weaker opposition, while Fakel concedes two on the road to stronger teams. The model points to a tight, low-scoring affair, projecting 1.9 goals on average and a most likely total of two. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for the hosts, carrying a 16.1% chance. Home win is favoured with 46% probability, draw 33% and away win 21%. The match-result pick is a home win. Recent form suggests Rostov is easing out of a defeat, whereas Fakel is coming off a draw, hinting at a cautious start.
The model’s selections are all under-goal picks: Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Under 5.5 (98.5%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9%) and Home under 3.5 goals (96.5%) with a 6% edge. These reflect the expected low output and the defensive focus of both sides.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Rostov win
44.9%
Avg Implied 49.5% · @ 1.91
Edge
-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.00
1xBet
1.93
SBO
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
Draw
33.1%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.32
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.52
Marathonbet
3.44
Pinnacle
3.41
Dafabet
3.30
SBO
2.93
Fakel win
22.0%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.31
Edge
-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.71
Marathonbet
4.60
Pinnacle
4.60
Dafabet
4.10
SBO
3.52
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Rostov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.10
0.93
1.00
1.47
1.20
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.86
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.22
1.22
0.70
1.10
1.88
1.38
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fakel
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.93
1.17
0.83
1.42
1.08
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.40
0.33
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.40
0.84
1.33
0.80
1.50
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
58.5%
@ 1.41-7.3%
Under 1.5
41.5%
@ 2.71+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.82
Marathonbet
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
30.2%
@ 2.36-10.7%
Under 2.5
69.8%
@ 1.63+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.41
Pinnacle
2.33
Marathonbet
2.33
Under
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
12.9%
@ 4.22-9.1%
Under 3.5
87.1%
@ 1.19+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.36
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Both teams to score
Yes
37.6%
@ 2.06-7.5%
No
62.4%
@ 1.69+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.06
No
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.0%@ 5.34+7.8%
0-0
15.9%@ 6.98+9.7%
1-1
14.1%@ 6.01+6.9%
2-0
10.2%@ 7.57+4.4%
0-1
9.6%@ 9.16+4.9%
2-1
7.5%@ 8.50+2.4%
1-2
4.8%@ 14.65+1.8%
0-2
4.0%@ 21.72+2.0%
FC Rostov goals ↓
Fakel goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
9.6%
4.0%
1.0%
0.2%
1
16%
14%
4.8%
1.2%
0.2%
2
10%
7.5%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
3
4.0%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.2%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Rostov goals (down), columns = Fakel goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
FC Rostov is 0.50 points better than Fakel in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 0.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
FC Rostov is 0.67 goals better than Fakel in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
FC Rostov is 0.50 goals worse than Fakel in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
FC Rostov is 1.7 percentage points better than Fakel in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Rostov
For 3.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fakel
For 5.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Rostov
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.6
8.1
4.5
4.8
4.3
29.0
29.1
29.0
vs Stronger (15)
9.1
9.3
8.8
4.9
4.1
5.7
27.0
29.2
25.2
vs Similar (27)
7.1
7.9
6.5
4.2
5.3
3.2
29.8
29.0
30.5
vs Weaker (8)
11.4
10.0
12.3
5.0
4.7
5.2
30.4
29.0
31.3
% over line
34%
44%
25%
62%
67%
58%
89%
100%
80%
% under line
66%
56%
75%
38%
33%
42%
11%
0%
20%
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fakel
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.2
9.5
2.9
2.9
3.0
27.1
28.0
25.0
vs Stronger (7)
10.2
11.0
8.5
3.9
3.4
5.0
25.6
27.0
23.5
vs Similar (43)
9.9
9.6
10.5
2.7
2.7
2.8
28.6
28.8
28.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
56%
75%
44%
39%
50%
90%
100%
67%
% under line
38%
44%
25%
56%
61%
50%
10%
0%
33%
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Akron
9.3
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.0
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
Zenit
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.8%
@ 1.86-9.9%
Under 9.5
60.2%
@ 1.84+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Under
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.0%
Under 3.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
89.7%
Under 21.5
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Rostov or Draw
78.0%
Avg Implied 78.7% · @ 1.20
Edge
-0.7%
45%
33%
22%
covers FC Rostov + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
SBO
1.16
FC Rostov or Fakel
66.9%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.31
Edge
-5.6%
45%
33%
22%
covers FC Rostov + Fakel
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
SBO
1.24
Draw or Fakel
55.1%
Avg Implied 48.8% · @ 1.94
Edge
+6.4%
45%
33%
22%
covers Draw + Fakel
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
SBO
1.88
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5
Over
69.2%
@ 1.23-7.0%
Under
30.8%
@ 3.92+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.03
1xBet
3.80
FC Rostov over/under 1.5
Over
32.9%
@ 2.18-10.5%
Under
67.1%
@ 1.67+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.19
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
FC Rostov over/under 2.5
Over
11.6%
@ 4.65-8.4%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.16+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Under
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
FC Rostov over/under 3.5
Over
3.2%
@ 10.00-6.0%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.01+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Fakel over/under 0.5
Over
52.4%
@ 1.64-4.4%
Under
47.6%
@ 2.16+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Fakel over/under 1.5
Over
17.1%
@ 4.27-4.9%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.21+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Pinnacle
4.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Fakel over/under 2.5
Over
4.0%
@ 11.72-96.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
1xBet
11.70
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 3.5
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Rostov, so a minus line means FC Rostov give that many goals of a start and Fakel receive them. At -1, FC Rostov must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Rostov win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Rostov)
FC Rostov -2
6.7%
@ 6.95-6.2%
Draw -2
13.5%
@ 5.30-3.5%
Fakel +2
79.8%
@ 1.28+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.95
Draw
Marathonbet
5.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.28
Handicap -1 (FC Rostov)
FC Rostov -1
20.2%
@ 3.38-6.6%
Draw -1
24.7%
@ 3.34-2.4%
Fakel +1
55.1%
@ 1.97+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.38
Draw
Marathonbet
3.34
Away
Marathonbet
1.97
Handicap +1 (FC Rostov)
FC Rostov +1
78.0%
@ 1.22+3.7%
Draw +1
15.1%
@ 5.60-1.1%
Fakel -1
6.9%
@ 9.60-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Away
Marathonbet
9.60
Handicap +2 (FC Rostov)
FC Rostov +2
93.1%
Draw +2
5.4%
Fakel -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Rostov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.40
0.60
0.93
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.57
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.61
0.30
0.60
1.12
0.62
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fakel
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.39
0.33
0.67
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.52
0.47
0.40
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.4%
@ 1.50+5.7%
Under 0.5
31.6%
@ 2.52-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.59
Marathonbet
2.48
1xBet
2.48
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
27.3%
@ 3.32-1.0%
Under 1.5
72.7%
@ 1.31+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.32
Pinnacle
3.32
Marathonbet
3.32
Under
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.3%
@ 8.40+0.4%
Under 2.5
88.7%
@ 1.03-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.40
Marathonbet
8.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.9%
@ 1.94+3.8%
Under
48.1%
@ 1.79-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.0%
@ 5.95-0.6%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.10+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.95
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 0.5 HT
Over
32.3%
@ 2.97+1.0%
Under
67.7%
@ 1.36-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.13
Marathonbet
2.89
1xBet
2.89
Under
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Fakel over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.9%
@ 11.72-93.1%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
1xBet
11.70
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Rostov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.53
0.40
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.29
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.61
0.40
0.50
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.50
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fakel
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
0.78
0.50
0.75
0.33
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.32
0.87
0.40
0.70
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.6%
@ 1.32+3.5%
Under 0.5
25.4%
@ 3.25-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.7%
@ 2.48+0.9%
Under 1.5
61.3%
@ 1.51-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.48
Marathonbet
2.48
Under
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 5.55-2.4%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.10+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.2%
@ 1.66+1.5%
Under
42.8%
@ 2.09-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.66
Under
1xBet
2.09
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.2%
@ 4.25-2.5%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.18+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Under
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 0.5 2H
Over
38.1%
@ 2.41-0.2%
Under
61.9%
@ 1.50+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.41
Under
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Fakel over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.5%
@ 8.70-1.1%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.03+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Marathonbet
8.70
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Fakel over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.8%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.0%
Away under 2.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
95.4%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.5%
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+1.1%
Over 21.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-0.4%
Home under 2.5 goals
88.4%
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-
-
+8.4%
Under 3.5
87.1%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
-
+9.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.9%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
+2.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.0%
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+0.6%
Over 2.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
82.9%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
-
-
+4.9%
Under 11.5 corners
81.4%
1.26
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
-
-
-
+9.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
-
+2.5%
Over 23.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.8%
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+9.7%
Home or Draw
78.0%
1.20
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
SBO
1.16
-
-
-0.7%
Home +1 handicap
78.0%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.6%
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
-
-
-
+3.5%
Under 1.5 HT goals
72.7%
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
-
-
+1.0%
Under 10.5 corners
71.9%
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
-
-
-
+10.5%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Rostov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Timur Suleymanov33%
Daniil Shantaliy33%
Ivan Komarov17%
Andrey Langovich17%
Viktor Melekhin17%
Aleksey Mironov0%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Ygor Nogueira0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Ronaldo0%
Olakunle Olusegun0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantin Kuchaev50%
Oumar Sako50%
Viktor Melekhin50%
Ygor Nogueira33%
Aleksey Mironov17%
Olakunle Olusegun17%
Ivan Komarov17%
Andrey Langovich17%
Danila Prokhin0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Ronaldo0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Konstantin Kuchaev33%
Andrey Langovich33%
Olakunle Olusegun17%
Aleksey Mironov0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Ygor Nogueira0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Ronaldo0%
Ivan Komarov0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timur Suleymanov33%
Olakunle Olusegun33%
Ivan Komarov33%
Maksim Mukhin25%
Aleksey Mironov0%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Ygor Nogueira0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Ronaldo0%
Andrey Langovich0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
Fakel
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maksim Turishchev25%
Alexey Sutormin20%
Vyacheslav Yakimov17%
Darko Todorović0%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Ilnur Alshin0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Nikolay Giorgobiani0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Daniil Frolkin0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Abdula Bagamaev0%
Matvey Bardachev0%
Axel Gnapi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Darko Todorović33%
Alexey Sutormin20%
Vyacheslav Yakimov17%
Nikolay Giorgobiani17%
Butta Magomedov17%
Albert Gabaraev17%
Axel Gnapi17%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Ilnur Alshin0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Daniil Frolkin0%
Maksim Turishchev0%
Abdula Bagamaev0%
Matvey Bardachev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Belajdi Pusi20%
Nikolay Giorgobiani17%
Darko Todorović0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Ilnur Alshin0%
Vyacheslav Yakimov0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Alexey Sutormin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Daniil Frolkin0%
Maksim Turishchev0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Abdula Bagamaev0%
Matvey Bardachev0%
Axel Gnapi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vyacheslav Yakimov17%
Darko Todorović0%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Ilnur Alshin0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Alexey Sutormin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Nikolay Giorgobiani0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Daniil Frolkin0%
Maksim Turishchev0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Abdula Bagamaev0%
Matvey Bardachev0%
Axel Gnapi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
FC Rostov's squad is €18m more valuable than Fakel's (€32m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
FC Rostov's attack is €9m more valuable than Fakel's (€14m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
FC Rostov's midfield is €3m more valuable than Fakel's (€5m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
FC Rostov's defence is €7m more valuable than Fakel's (€13m vs €7m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron