FC Rostov vs FC Krasnodar Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 50% chance for Krasnodar, 25% for a Rostov victory and 25% for a draw. The expected total of goals is three, and the most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.8% probability. Rostov, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while Krasnodar, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.91 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 88.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 81.9%, Over 1.5 at 81.3% (miss), Over 21.5 fouls at 78.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.1%, and Under 5.5 cards at 71.4% (miss). Rostov’s recent form shows a win after a sequence of WLLWD, while Krasnodar remains unbeaten in their last five. The match is expected to be competitive, with Krasnodar’s stronger attack likely to overcome Rostov’s modest home advantage.

The match saw FC Krasnodar extend their unbeaten run, with a 0-1 away win that confirmed the model’s favourite. The prediction had placed a 50% probability on an away victory, and the outcome matched that expectation. The total goals scored, one, was far below the model’s expected 3.0 and the most likely 2-goal outcome, underscoring the low-scoring nature of the game. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 88.8%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 81.9%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 78.6%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 78.1%, while Over 1.5 missed at 81.3% and Under 5.5 cards missed at 71.4%. The result was a clean, decisive away win for Krasnodar.