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FC Rostov vs Khimki Result & Analysis

Date: 13/08/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 3-1
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Vs
53%
26%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Khimki
Khimki
Russia: Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Rostov win✓ Hit
53.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Khimki win✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W01L13L21W12L00D31W01L05L11DH·FC 29/04A·LOK06/05A·RUB11/05H·BAL19/05A·ZEN25/05H·CSK20/07A·KRY26/07A·LOK30/07A·ZEN03/08H·RUB09/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.431.641.291.061.56
vs Stronger (9)1.112.561.502.250.802.80
vs Similar (16)1.561.061.751.001.381.12
vs Weaker (5)1.000.601.500.500.670.67
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KhimkiKhimki

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-554W01L31W10W21W11D13L10W32W01LH·FK 04/05A·DIN08/05A·LEN12/05A·URO20/05H·CHE25/05H·DIN21/07H·SPA28/07H·FC 31/07A·RUB03/08A·NIZ09/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.271.621.251.861.29
vs Stronger (3)2.002.001.003.002.501.50
vs Similar (27)1.701.191.671.131.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
3-1 ✓
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
FC Rostov goals ↓
Khimki goals →
01234
07.4%5.3%3.3%1.1%0.3%
19.8%12%5.7%1.9%0.5%
29.6%9.8%5.0%1.7%0.4%
35.6%5.7%2.9%1.0%0.3%
42.4%2.5%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Rostov goals (down), columns = Khimki goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Spartak Moscow
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Orel
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tver
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Murom
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Fakel
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Enisey
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
FC Rostov is 1.13 points better than Khimki in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 0.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Orel
2.67
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Kristall
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
KDV
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Murom
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Tver
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
FC Orenburg
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
FC Rostov is 0.53 goals better than Khimki in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 0.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Kompozit
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Tver
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Orel
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Veles
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Murom
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
Urozhay
5.00
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
FC Rostov is 1.51 goals better than Khimki in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 2.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC RostovFC Rostov

For 5.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

1907254342161093383927399367196111110H·RUBA·ZENA·KRYH·CSKA·ZENH·BALA·RUBA·LOKH·FC A·URA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

8022112531223561323224274486454H·RUBA·ZENA·KRYH·CSKA·ZENH·BALA·RUBA·LOKH·FC A·URA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.1

⚠️ Fouls

29013161110111081113871391891316811629212119212027222417H·RUBA·ZENA·KRYH·CSKA·ZENH·BALA·RUBA·LOKH·FC A·URA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KhimkiKhimki

For 5.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

150844438877184259637721281115812715109A·NIZA·RUBH·SPAH·DINA·ENIH·FK H·TYUA·ALAH·AKRA·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

6015421122321131416431452315A·NIZA·RUBH·SPAH·DINH·CHEA·UROA·LENA·DINH·FK A·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 16.0 · Total 29.0

⚠️ Fouls

35010191415201581529293523A·NIZA·RUBH·SPAH·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC RostovFC Rostov

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.29.14.75.54.022.723.721.8
vs Stronger (14)9.410.38.64.15.33.222.123.221.2
vs Similar (26)10.211.09.44.85.73.921.922.820.9
vs Weaker (10)8.68.09.25.35.05.625.626.624.6
% over line51%54%48%64%75%54%55%62%48%
% under line49%46%52%36%25%46%45%38%52%
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KhimkiKhimki

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.610.44.03.84.227.127.226.9
vs Stronger (13)8.48.48.45.55.45.526.527.026.0
vs Similar (37)10.810.411.33.53.23.828.528.029.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line53%56%50%56%46%67%80%75%86%
% under line47%44%50%44%54%33%20%25%14%
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lokomotiv
11.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
Dynamo
10.8
FC Orenburg
10.8
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Ural
10.4
Spartak Moscow
10.2
Baltika
10.1
FK Neftekhimik
10.0
Chernomorets
9.9
Akhmat
9.9
Zenit
9.8
Khimki
9.8
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
FC Rostov
9.6
Akron
9.6
Nizhny Novgorod
9.6
Enisey
9.5
CSKA Moscow
9.5
Veles
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Rubin
9.3
Fakel
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
FC Krasnodar
8.9
Rodina Moskva
8.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
KAMAZ
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
8.0
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.9
FC UFA
5.3
Lokomotiv
5.2
Akhmat
5.2
Fakel
5.0
Spartak Moscow
5.0
FC Rostov
4.9
Krylia Sovetov
4.9
Veles
4.7
Rubin
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
FC Krasnodar
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Dynamo
4.5
Rodina Moskva
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.4
CSKA Moscow
4.4
Khimki
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
Enisey
4.2
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
Ural
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Akron
4.0
FK Neftekhimik
4.0
FC Sochi
3.9
Baltika
3.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.8
Chernomorets
3.8
Tyumen
3.7
Zenit
3.7
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Khimki
27.6
Fakel
26.4
Rubin
24.4
Nizhny Novgorod
24.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
24.0
Akhmat
23.8
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Lokomotiv
23.4
FC Orenburg
23.4
Krylia Sovetov
23.4
Torpedo Moskva
23.3
FC Krasnodar
23.2
Spartak Moscow
23.1
Ural
22.8
FC Rostov
22.7
CSKA Moscow
22.7
Dynamo
22.4
Baltika
22.3
Akron
21.8
FC Sochi
21.5
Zenit
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.9%
Under 9.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.5%
Under 3.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.0%
Under 21.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Rostov or Draw✓ Hit
79.1%
Avg Implied -
53%
26%
21%
covers FC Rostov + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov or Khimki✓ Hit
74.2%
Avg Implied -
53%
26%
21%
covers FC Rostov + Khimki
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Khimki✗ Miss
46.7%
Avg Implied -
53%
26%
21%
covers Draw + Khimki
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.6%
Under
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
52.2%
Under
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
25.6%
Under
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.0%
Under
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.2%
Under
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Rostov, so a minus line means FC Rostov give that many goals of a start and Khimki receive them. At -1, FC Rostov must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Rostov win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Rostov)Actual: Draw
FC Rostov -2
13.6%
Draw -2
16.7%
Khimki +2
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Rostov)Actual: FC Rostov
FC Rostov -1
30.3%
Draw -1
23.0%
Khimki +1
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Rostov)Actual: FC Rostov
FC Rostov +1
79.1%
Draw +1
13.0%
Khimki -1
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Rostov)Actual: FC Rostov
FC Rostov +2
92.1%
Draw +2
5.7%
Khimki -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC RostovFC Rostov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L02L21W00D00D10W00D04L10WH·FC 29/04A·LOK06/05A·RUB11/05H·BAL19/05A·ZEN25/05H·CSK20/07A·KRY26/07A·LOK30/07A·ZEN03/08H·RUB09/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.671.000.710.500.62
vs Stronger (9)0.671.001.000.500.401.40
vs Similar (16)1.000.621.250.880.750.38
vs Weaker (5)0.000.200.000.500.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KhimkiKhimki

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D10W10W01L01L00D00D01L01LH·FK 04/05A·DIN08/05A·LEN12/05A·URO20/05H·CHE25/05H·DIN21/07H·SPA28/07H·FC 31/07A·RUB03/08A·NIZ09/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.430.310.440.710.43
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.480.410.330.470.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC RostovFC Rostov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D11D00D12L00D21W01L01L01LH·FC 29/04A·LOK06/05A·RUB11/05H·BAL19/05A·ZEN25/05H·CSK20/07A·KRY26/07A·LOK30/07A·ZEN03/08H·RUB09/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.640.570.560.94
vs Stronger (9)0.441.560.501.750.401.40
vs Similar (16)0.560.440.500.120.620.75
vs Weaker (5)1.000.401.500.000.670.67
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KhimkiKhimki

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D01L21W00D20W10W13L10W31W00DH·FK 04/05A·DIN08/05A·LEN12/05A·URO20/05H·CHE25/05H·DIN21/07H·SPA28/07H·FC 31/07A·RUB03/08A·NIZ09/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.831.310.811.140.86
vs Stronger (3)1.331.331.003.001.500.50
vs Similar (27)1.220.781.330.671.080.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.593.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap92.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals91.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals89.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls89.7%--------
Under 4.585.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards85.1%--------
Home over 0.5 goals82.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls80.0%--------
Home or Draw79.1%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap79.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals74.4%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away74.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals72.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Rostov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolay Komlichenko28%
Maksim Osipenko28%
Mohammad Mohebi27%
Egor Golenkov17%
Ronaldo11%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Daniil Glebov6%
Ivan Komarov6%
Konstantin Kuchaev5%
Andrey Langovich5%
Oumar Sako4%
Kirill Shchetinin4%
Daniil Utkin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Aleksey Sutormin0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Shamonin33%
Viktor Melekhin29%
Daniil Glebov24%
Andrey Langovich23%
Ivan Komarov22%
Daniil Utkin20%
Evgeniy Chernov20%
Daniil Shantaliy18%
Egor Golenkov17%
Oumar Sako15%
Ilya Vakhaniya14%
Ronaldo14%
Mohammad Mohebi13%
Khoren Bayramyan12%
German Ignatov11%
Konstantin Kuchaev10%
Aleksey Sutormin9%
Nikolay Komlichenko8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Maksim Osipenko7%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolay Komlichenko16%
Ronaldo11%
Maksim Osipenko10%
Andrey Langovich9%
Egor Golenkov8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Mohammad Mohebi7%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Daniil Glebov6%
Ivan Komarov6%
Aleksey Sutormin4%
Ilya Vakhaniya4%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolay Komlichenko32%
Ronaldo25%
Mohammad Mohebi20%
Daniil Glebov18%
Egor Golenkov17%
Ivan Komarov17%
Imran Aznaurov17%
Maksim Osipenko14%
Kirill Shchetinin11%
Aleksey Sutormin9%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Andrey Langovich5%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Khimki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Vera23%
Edgardo Fariña21%
Anton Zabolotnyi21%
Aleksandr Rudenko17%
Zelimkhan Bakaev12%
Reziuan Mirzov12%
Butta Magomedov8%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Dani Fernández0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edgardo Fariña50%
Robert Mejía30%
Nemanja Anđelković29%
Sergey Terekhov25%
Dani Fernández25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev24%
Boni Amian20%
Anton Zabolotnyi17%
Reziuan Mirzov15%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi14%
Ilya Sadygov14%
Petar Golubović12%
Georgiy Dzhikiya12%
Aleksandr Rudenko10%
Lucas Vera10%
Oleksandr Filin7%
Danil Stepanov7%
Orinho5%
Álex Corredera5%
Denis Glushakov0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anton Zabolotnyi14%
Lucas Vera13%
Sergey Terekhov12%
Dani Fernández10%
Ilya Sadygov7%
Petar Golubović6%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Álex Corredera5%
Reziuan Mirzov4%
Aleksandr Rudenko3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anton Zabolotnyi24%
Orinho9%
Zelimkhan Bakaev8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Dani Fernández5%
Lucas Vera3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Reziuan Mirzov0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
FR wins
0
Draws
0
KHI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Rostov vs Khimki · H/A from FR
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/23AKhimki Vs FR0-1
31/07/22HFR Vs Khimki1-0

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/24HFR Vs Rubin1-1
03/08/24AZenit Vs FR5-0
30/07/24ALokomotiv Vs FR1-0
26/07/24AKrylia Sovetov Vs FR1-3
20/07/24HFR Vs CSKA Moscow0-0
25/05/24AZenit Vs FR2-1
19/05/24HFR Vs Baltika2-1
11/05/24ARubin Vs FR3-1
06/05/24ALokomotiv Vs FR1-0
29/04/24HFR Vs FC Orenburg2-1

KhimkiKhimki

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/24ANizhny Novgorod Vs KHI1-0
03/08/24ARubin Vs KHI2-3
31/07/24HKHI Vs FC Orenburg1-0
28/07/24HKHI Vs Spartak Moscow1-3
21/07/24HKHI Vs Dinamo Makhachkala1-1
25/05/24HKHI Vs Chernomorets2-1
20/05/24AUrozhay Vs KHI0-1
12/05/24ALeningradets Vs KHI1-3
08/05/24ADinamo Makhachkala Vs KHI1-0
04/05/24HKHI Vs FK Sokol Saratov5-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Russia: Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.44
HomeLWWDD1.92
AwayLLWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%54%27%
AVG goals2.902.882.92
Over 1.5 %76%83%69%
Over 2.5 %62%67%58%
Over 3.5 %36%25%46%
Scored1.361.621.12
Conceded1.541.251.81
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners9.6510.219.12
Cards4.925.464.38
Khimki
Khimki
Russia: Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.56
HomeWWDLW1.54
AwayLWWWL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%42%50%
AVG goals2.822.772.88
Over 1.5 %70%65%75%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %34%31%38%
Scored1.361.351.38
Conceded1.461.421.50
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners9.979.6110.38
Cards4.354.084.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar3067
67%
2.2
5923+36
2.7
77%
60%
27%
8.8
41%
4.4
62%
26.2
70%
114
3435452.00.8
57%
2ZenitZenit3066
67%
2.2
5818+40
2.5
70%
50%
27%
9.5
50%
4.3
60%
25.4
60%
182
10031501.90.6
61%
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow3059
57%
2.0
4721+26
2.3
70%
43%
17%
8.9
33%
4.7
65%
23.6
70%
111
3748261.60.7
54%
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow3057
57%
1.9
5625+31
2.7
83%
60%
23%
9.6
47%
5.5
73%
29.8
87%
129
5937341.90.8
63%
5DynamoDynamo3056
53%
1.9
6135+26
3.2
87%
60%
47%
10.9
67%
4.3
57%
26.1
83%
110
4524422.01.2
52%
6LokomotivLokomotiv3053
50%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
53%
40%
10.7
61%
4.4
66%
25.2
79%
68
218401.71.4
50%
7RubinRubin3045
43%
1.5
4245-3
2.9
80%
57%
33%
9.8
50%
4.8
73%
26.9
80%
45
812251.41.5
43%
8FC RostovFC Rostov3039
33%
1.3
4143-2
2.8
83%
50%
33%
8.4
34%
4.3
69%
26.7
76%
32
145131.41.4
52%
9AkronAkron3035
33%
1.2
3955-16
3.1
83%
63%
40%
10.9
69%
3.7
41%
23.2
62%
25
11681.31.8
47%
10Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov3031
27%
1.0
3651-15
2.9
87%
50%
37%
9.4
37%
4.2
60%
21.8
60%
26
96111.21.7
49%
11Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod3230
25%
0.9
3058-28
2.8
81%
59%
25%
10.0
47%
4.4
57%
26.6
88%
18
6390.91.8
43%
12Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala3029
20%
1.0
2735-8
2.1
63%
30%
17%
10.0
52%
4.9
66%
28.2
93%
20
9380.91.2
43%
13KhimkiKhimki3029
20%
1.0
3556-21
3.0
80%
50%
47%
10.9
73%
3.6
52%
24.6
73%
0
0001.21.9
47%
14AkhmatAkhmat3228
16%
0.9
3050-20
2.5
75%
44%
22%
10.6
62%
5.2
78%
29.5
88%
30
17490.91.6
48%
15FC OrenburgFC Orenburg3019
13%
0.6
2856-28
2.8
73%
53%
30%
11.8
73%
5.0
80%
24.3
77%
18
8370.91.9
51%
16FakelFakel3018
7%
0.6
1442-28
1.9
57%
27%
17%
8.8
40%
5.5
83%
28.3
100%
14
5270.51.4
42%
17FC SochiFC Sochi23
50%
1.5
43+1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
5.0
100%
25.0
100%
15
5192.01.5
44%
18UralUral23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
9.5
50%
6.0
100%
29.0
100%
11
4241.01.5
46%
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

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