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FC Rostov vs Spartak Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: 30/07/2025
Time: 17:45
Final 0-2
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Vs
25%
27%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Russia: Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Rostov win✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow win✓ Hit
48.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W11D01L21W01L11D00D12L01LH·LOK26/04A·LOK30/04A·KHI04/05A·RUB11/05A·SPA15/05H·ZEN18/05A·DIN24/05H·CSK01/06A·ZEN20/07A·DYN26/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.201.381.231.181.18
vs Stronger (12)0.671.330.331.171.001.50
vs Similar (12)1.421.331.801.601.141.14
vs Weaker (6)2.170.673.500.501.500.75
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W12L21W00D02L12L20W50W10W03LA·AKR19/04H·CSK26/04H·DYN29/04A·FAK04/05A·DYN11/05H·FC 15/05A·KRY18/05H·KHI24/05H·DIN19/07H·BAL26/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.972.061.061.710.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)2.001.442.001.802.001.00
vs Weaker (21)1.860.762.090.731.600.80
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-2 ✓
8.8%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
FC Rostov goals ↓
Spartak Moscow goals →
01234
08.1%9.8%8.8%4.7%1.9%
16.3%13%9.5%5.0%2.0%
24.0%6.4%5.1%2.7%1.1%
31.4%2.3%1.8%1.0%0.4%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Rostov goals (down), columns = Spartak Moscow goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Tver
2.00
Orel
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Zenit Penza
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Baltika
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
PSK Dinskaya
1.06
Shumbrat
1.06
Fankom
1.06
Kristall MEZ
1.06
Znamya Noginsk
1.06
RWChallenge
1.06
Buryatia
1.06
Murom
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Fakel
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
FC Rostov is 0.15 points worse than Spartak Moscow in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Orel
2.67
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Murom
2.00
KDV
2.00
Kristall
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Chayka
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Tver
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
PSK Dinskaya
1.23
Shumbrat
1.23
Fankom
1.23
Kristall MEZ
1.23
Znamya Noginsk
1.23
RWChallenge
1.23
Buryatia
1.23
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
Zenit Penza
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Strogino
0.00
FC Rostov is 0.62 goals worse than Spartak Moscow in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Chayka
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Tver
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Amkar
1.40
Akhmat
1.40
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Fakel
1.67
PSK Dinskaya
1.67
Shumbrat
1.67
Fankom
1.67
Kristall MEZ
1.67
Znamya Noginsk
1.67
RWChallenge
1.67
Buryatia
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
Zenit Penza
2.00
Murom
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Veles
2.00
KAMAZ
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
FC Rostov is 0.08 goals better than Spartak Moscow in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC RostovFC Rostov

For 4.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

1304534293467822744545597117131098910A·DYNA·ZENH·ZENA·RUBA·KHIH·LOKA·FAKA·AKHH·SPAA·AKR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

7022435134321234214314767537371A·DYNA·ZENH·ZENA·SPAA·RUBA·KHIA·LOKH·LOKA·FAKA·ZEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 14.0 · Total 29.3

⚠️ Fouls

38020141381861020157916201824141315112234212430222538382833A·DYNA·ZENH·ZENA·RUBA·KHIH·LOKA·FAKA·AKHH·SPAA·AKR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

For 4.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

150643361043455623296456791471085159H·BALH·DINH·KHIA·KRYA·DYNA·FAKH·CSKA·AKRH·DINA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.2

🟨 Cards

120643712244342322375351010367655128H·BALH·DINH·KHIA·KRYH·FC A·DYNA·FAKH·DYNH·CSKA·AKR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 15.5 · Total 30.1

⚠️ Fouls

40011172316131310913151122131217232015151328392619283325403528H·BALH·DINH·KHIA·KRYA·DYNA·FAKH·CSKA·AKRH·DINA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC RostovFC Rostov

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.98.63.53.33.726.225.526.7
vs Stronger (16)8.07.28.53.53.03.924.226.222.8
vs Similar (21)8.38.97.83.73.73.826.425.127.4
vs Weaker (13)10.310.210.53.33.33.328.025.631.0
% over line36%47%26%58%52%63%72%76%68%
% under line64%53%74%42%48%37%28%24%32%
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.79.24.24.34.128.228.128.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)9.29.98.35.24.85.929.427.631.5
vs Weaker (34)9.69.59.63.84.13.427.628.326.8
% over line42%40%44%54%52%57%79%85%72%
% under line58%60%56%46%48%43%21%15%28%
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Arsenal Tula
12.5
FC Orenburg
11.3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
Lokomotiv
10.7
Dynamo
10.6
Chernomorets
10.6
Baltika
10.3
Ural
10.2
Nizhny Novgorod
10.2
Akron
10.2
KAMAZ
10.1
Akhmat
10.1
Zenit
9.8
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.8
Spartak Moscow
9.8
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.6
Rubin
9.5
Rodina Moskva
9.5
Veles
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
CSKA Moscow
9.3
FK Sokol Saratov
9.2
Fakel
9.2
FC Rostov
9.0
FC Sochi
9.0
FC Krasnodar
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Leningradets
8.4
FK Neftekhimik
8.2
Enisey
7.8
Tyumen
7.4
Torpedo Moskva
6.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Volga Ulyanovsk
5.3
Spartak Moscow
5.2
Fakel
5.2
Akhmat
5.2
Lokomotiv
4.8
FC Rostov
4.8
Veles
4.7
Rubin
4.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.7
FC Krasnodar
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.6
Spartak Kostroma
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Krylia Sovetov
4.5
KAMAZ
4.4
Dynamo
4.4
Nizhny Novgorod
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Urozhay
4.3
Ural
4.3
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
Zenit
4.2
FC Sochi
4.2
Chayka
4.0
Chernomorets
3.9
Baltika
3.9
Enisey
3.8
Rotor Volgograd
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Chelyabinsk
3.5
Rodina Moskva
3.4
Ska-khabarovsk
3.4
Akron
3.4
Leningradets
3.4
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
Arsenal Tula
3.2
FK Neftekhimik
3.2
FK Sokol Saratov
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.7
Spartak Moscow
27.5
Fakel
27.4
Akhmat
27.3
Nizhny Novgorod
26.2
FC Krasnodar
25.9
FC Rostov
25.8
Rubin
25.8
Dynamo
25.1
Ural
25.1
Lokomotiv
24.5
FC Orenburg
24.4
Zenit
23.8
FC Sochi
23.8
CSKA Moscow
23.5
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Akron
23.4
Baltika
22.7
Krylia Sovetov
22.7
Enisey
14.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.8%
Under 9.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.9%
Under 3.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.9%
Under 21.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Rostov or Draw✗ Miss
51.9%
Avg Implied -
25%
27%
48%
covers FC Rostov + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov or Spartak Moscow✓ Hit
72.7%
Avg Implied -
25%
27%
48%
covers FC Rostov + Spartak Moscow
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Spartak Moscow✓ Hit
75.5%
Avg Implied -
25%
27%
48%
covers Draw + Spartak Moscow
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.0%
Under
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.7%
Under
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
47.4%
Under
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.6%
Under
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.8%
Under
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Rostov, so a minus line means FC Rostov give that many goals of a start and Spartak Moscow receive them. At -1, FC Rostov must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Rostov win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Rostov)Actual: Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov -2
2.9%
Draw -2
6.9%
Spartak Moscow +2
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Rostov)Actual: Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov -1
9.7%
Draw -1
14.8%
Spartak Moscow +1
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Rostov)Actual: Spartak Moscow
FC Rostov +1
51.9%
Draw +1
22.4%
Spartak Moscow -1
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Rostov)Actual: Draw
FC Rostov +2
74.3%
Draw +2
15.0%
Spartak Moscow -2
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC RostovFC Rostov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W00D00D10W01L01L00D10W01LH·LOK26/04A·LOK30/04A·KHI04/05A·RUB11/05A·SPA15/05H·ZEN18/05A·DIN24/05H·CSK01/06A·ZEN20/07A·DYN26/07
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.620.380.410.53
vs Stronger (12)0.330.420.330.170.330.67
vs Similar (12)0.580.670.800.800.430.57
vs Weaker (6)0.670.171.000.000.500.25
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L11D00D02L01L20W20W10W00DA·AKR19/04H·CSK26/04H·DYN29/04A·FAK04/05A·DYN11/05H·FC 15/05A·KRY18/05H·KHI24/05H·DIN19/07H·BAL26/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.940.440.710.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.891.000.801.001.00
vs Weaker (21)0.760.430.910.270.600.60
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC RostovFC Rostov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D01L11D00D10W00D02L00DH·LOK26/04A·LOK30/04A·KHI04/05A·RUB11/05A·SPA15/05H·ZEN18/05A·DIN24/05H·CSK01/06A·ZEN20/07A·DYN26/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.770.850.760.65
vs Stronger (12)0.330.920.001.000.670.83
vs Similar (12)0.830.671.000.800.710.57
vs Weaker (6)1.500.502.500.501.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D10W00D00D11D00D30W00D03LA·AKR19/04H·CSK26/04H·DYN29/04A·FAK04/05A·DYN11/05H·FC 15/05A·KRY18/05H·KHI24/05H·DIN19/07H·BAL26/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.401.120.621.000.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.561.001.001.000.00
vs Weaker (21)1.100.331.180.451.000.20
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals92.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls92.1%--------
Home under 2.5 goals90.5%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap90.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.586.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards84.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls83.9%--------
Away over 0.5 goals79.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals78.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.6%--------
Over 1.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away75.5%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap75.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap74.3%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away72.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls71.9%--------
Home under 1.5 goals70.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Rostov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ronaldo23%
Timur Suleymanov14%
Mohammad Mohebi11%
Aleksey Mironov7%
Viktor Melekhin7%
Egor Golenkov7%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Konstantin Kuchaev4%
Ivan Komarov4%
Ilya Vakhaniya3%
Dmitry Chistyakov0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Andrey Langovich0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
David Semenchuk0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Aleksandr Tarasov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Danila Prokhin29%
Dmitry Chistyakov27%
Aleksey Mironov25%
Aleksandr Tarasov25%
Oumar Sako22%
Timur Suleymanov21%
Kirill Shchetinin21%
Andrey Langovich19%
Rustam Yatimov18%
Ronaldo15%
Viktor Melekhin14%
Egor Golenkov14%
Khoren Bayramyan12%
Mohammad Mohebi11%
David Semenchuk10%
Konstantin Kuchaev8%
Ivan Komarov8%
Ilya Vakhaniya7%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilya Zhbanov20%
Egor Golenkov14%
Kirill Shchetinin10%
Mohammad Mohebi7%
Ronaldo4%
Aleksey Mironov4%
Ilya Vakhaniya3%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Dmitry Chistyakov0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Ivan Komarov0%
Andrey Langovich0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
David Semenchuk0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Aleksandr Tarasov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksey Mironov21%
Egor Golenkov14%
Timur Suleymanov11%
Mohammad Mohebi11%
Andrey Langovich6%
Konstantin Kuchaev4%
Kirill Shchetinin3%
Dmitry Chistyakov0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Ronaldo0%
Ivan Komarov0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
David Semenchuk0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Aleksandr Tarasov0%
Spartak Moscow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pablo Solari25%
Ezequiel Barco24%
Marquinhos Costa19%
Levi García16%
Gedson Fernandes15%
Christopher Martins Pereira15%
Manfred Ugalde14%
Christopher Wooh11%
Roman Zobnin8%
Igor Dmitriev4%
Ruslan Litvinov4%
Srđan Babić0%
Anton Zabolotnyi0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Théo Bongonda0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Oleg Reabciuk0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Alexis Duarte0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Vladislav Saus0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniil Khlusevich33%
Nail Umyarov28%
Ruslan Litvinov26%
Alexander Djiku25%
Pablo Solari25%
Marquinhos Costa23%
Christopher Wooh21%
Manfred Ugalde21%
Igor Dmitriev16%
Daniil Denisov10%
Oleg Reabciuk10%
Gedson Fernandes7%
Christopher Martins Pereira7%
Levi García4%
Aleksandr Maksimenko3%
Srđan Babić0%
Anton Zabolotnyi0%
Roman Zobnin0%
Théo Bongonda0%
Ezequiel Barco0%
Alexis Duarte0%
Vladislav Saus0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ezequiel Barco21%
Marquinhos Costa19%
Igor Dmitriev16%
Levi García12%
Ruslan Litvinov11%
Nail Umyarov10%
Gedson Fernandes7%
Manfred Ugalde7%
Roman Zobnin4%
Christopher Martins Pereira4%
Pablo Solari4%
Srđan Babić0%
Anton Zabolotnyi0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Théo Bongonda0%
Christopher Wooh0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Oleg Reabciuk0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Alexis Duarte0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Vladislav Saus0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manfred Ugalde21%
Marquinhos Costa15%
Pablo Solari14%
Ezequiel Barco14%
Levi García8%
Gedson Fernandes7%
Christopher Martins Pereira7%
Ruslan Litvinov4%
Srđan Babić0%
Anton Zabolotnyi0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Roman Zobnin0%
Théo Bongonda0%
Christopher Wooh0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Oleg Reabciuk0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Alexis Duarte0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Igor Dmitriev0%
Vladislav Saus0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FC Rostov's squad is €97m less valuable than Spartak Moscow's (€32m vs €129m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FC Rostov's attack is €45m less valuable than Spartak Moscow's (€14m vs €59m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FC Rostov's midfield is €32m less valuable than Spartak Moscow's (€5m vs €37m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FC Rostov's defence is €20m less valuable than Spartak Moscow's (€13m vs €34m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
FR wins
1
Draws
4
SM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Rostov vs Spartak Moscow · H/A from FR
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/25ASpartak Moscow Vs FR1-2
06/04/25HFR Vs Spartak Moscow0-3
27/11/24HFR Vs Spartak Moscow2-1
05/11/24ASpartak Moscow Vs FR0-1
05/10/24ASpartak Moscow Vs FR3-0
21/04/24HFR Vs Spartak Moscow1-5
12/11/23ASpartak Moscow Vs FR2-1
29/04/23ASpartak Moscow Vs FR1-1

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25ADynamo Vs FR1-0
20/07/25AZenit Vs FR2-1
01/06/25HFR Vs CSKA Moscow0-0
24/05/25ADinamo Makhachkala Vs FR1-1
18/05/25HFR Vs Zenit0-1
15/05/25ASpartak Moscow Vs FR1-2
11/05/25ARubin Vs FR1-0
04/05/25AKhimki Vs FR1-1
30/04/25ALokomotiv Vs FR0-2
26/04/25HFR Vs Lokomotiv1-1

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25HSM Vs Baltika0-3
19/07/25HSM Vs Dinamo Makhachkala1-0
24/05/25HSM Vs Khimki5-0
18/05/25AKrylia Sovetov Vs SM0-2
15/05/25HSM Vs FC Rostov1-2
11/05/25ADynamo Vs SM2-0
04/05/25AFakel Vs SM0-0
29/04/25HSM Vs Dynamo2-1
26/04/25HSM Vs CSKA Moscow1-2
19/04/25AAkron Vs SM2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Russia: Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL1.38
HomeLLDLD1.61
AwayLWDLL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%43%33%
AVG goals2.642.702.59
Over 1.5 %76%74%78%
Over 2.5 %52%57%48%
Over 3.5 %30%39%22%
Scored1.321.571.11
Conceded1.321.131.48
BTTS58%61%56%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners8.728.888.58
Cards4.544.534.55
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Russia: Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.92
HomeWLWWL2.07
AwayWWDLW1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%67%48%
AVG goals2.622.962.22
Over 1.5 %74%78%70%
Over 2.5 %60%74%43%
Over 3.5 %24%26%22%
Scored1.762.071.39
Conceded0.860.890.83
BTTS36%37%35%
Clean Sheet52%48%57%
Corners9.429.659.17
Cards5.175.095.28

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZenitZenit3068
67%
2.3
5319+34
2.4
77%
40%
20%
9.4
50%
4.1
53%
27.3
90%
182
10031501.80.6
59%
2FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar3066
67%
2.2
6023+37
2.8
80%
57%
20%
8.6
33%
5.1
73%
28.7
93%
114
3435452.00.8
60%
3LokomotivLokomotiv3053
47%
1.8
5439+15
3.1
83%
53%
33%
8.8
47%
4.7
50%
27.7
83%
68
218401.81.3
51%
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow3052
50%
1.7
4739+8
2.9
83%
60%
23%
8.7
37%
5.2
73%
30.8
100%
129
5937341.61.3
62%
5CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow3051
50%
1.7
4433+11
2.6
67%
47%
33%
11.0
63%
4.6
57%
26.7
87%
111
3748261.51.1
56%
6BaltikaBaltika3046
37%
1.5
3821+17
2.0
63%
27%
17%
7.8
33%
5.7
83%
30.8
97%
30
106151.30.7
46%
7DynamoDynamo3045
40%
1.5
5140+11
3.0
80%
60%
37%
10.0
53%
4.5
73%
27.4
97%
110
4524421.71.3
54%
8RubinRubin3043
37%
1.4
2930-1
2.0
53%
37%
17%
8.1
27%
4.7
70%
29.6
100%
45
812251.01.0
43%
9AkhmatAkhmat3037
30%
1.2
3539-4
2.5
77%
40%
23%
8.9
41%
4.5
62%
28.8
90%
30
17491.21.3
46%
10FC RostovFC Rostov3033
27%
1.1
2532-7
1.9
50%
23%
13%
8.3
30%
5.2
70%
29.5
90%
32
145130.81.1
48%
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov3032
27%
1.1
3550-15
2.8
90%
47%
30%
9.5
50%
4.7
60%
27.3
93%
26
96111.21.7
46%
12Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala3232
22%
1.0
2237-15
1.8
62%
22%
9%
8.8
47%
4.3
56%
29.2
94%
20
9380.71.2
46%
13AkronAkron3230
22%
0.9
3754-17
2.8
84%
47%
28%
8.6
38%
3.7
44%
27.1
91%
25
11681.21.7
45%
14FC OrenburgFC Orenburg3029
23%
1.0
2944-15
2.4
60%
43%
30%
9.9
60%
4.4
67%
29.0
90%
18
8371.01.5
47%
15Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod3023
20%
0.8
2650-24
2.5
80%
57%
17%
10.3
53%
4.6
60%
29.2
100%
18
6390.91.7
43%
16FC SochiFC Sochi3022
20%
0.7
2960-31
3.0
80%
63%
33%
9.1
48%
4.5
62%
27.2
93%
15
5191.02.0
46%
17Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
11.0
50%
2.0
0%
28.5
100%
9
3240.51.0
42%
18UralUral20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.5
50%
4.0
50%
24.5
100%
11
4240.01.5
64%
Russia: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

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