The contest between FC Santa Coloma and Inter Club d'Escaldes is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win at 39%. The expected total of goals is 3.0, yet the most probable total is two goals, a 23% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 12.1% probability. Santa Coloma, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded, while Inter, on the road, averages 2.0 scored and 1.88 conceded. The probabilities for the match outcome are 39% for a home win, 26% for a draw, and 34% for an away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.7%), Under 6.5 (96.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.4%), Under 5.5 (91.2%), Home +2 handicap (83.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (81.8%), and Over 1.5 (81.8%). All selections carry their own probabilities and no other outcomes are assigned win chances.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Santa Coloma win
39.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes win
34.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Santa Coloma
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.13
1.80
1.33
1.80
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
1.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.44
1.44
1.38
1.75
1.50
1.12
vs Weaker (12)
2.33
0.50
2.50
0.33
2.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Club d'Escaldes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.03
1.88
0.62
2.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.73
1.27
1.43
0.57
2.00
1.88
vs Weaker (15)
2.13
0.80
2.22
0.67
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Santa Coloma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.1%
No
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
FC Santa Coloma goals ↓
Inter Club d'Escaldes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
5.9%
5.1%
2.5%
0.9%
1
6.4%
12%
8.1%
3.9%
1.4%
2
6.0%
8.7%
6.4%
3.1%
1.1%
3
3.1%
4.6%
3.4%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.2%
1.8%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Santa Coloma goals (down), columns = Inter Club d'Escaldes goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Casa de Portugal
1.22
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
FC Santa Coloma is 0.42 points worse than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Casa de Portugal
1.16
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
FC Santa Coloma is 0.08 goals worse than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals scored per game (1.88 vs 1.96).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Casa de Portugal
1.44
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
FC Santa Coloma is 0.17 goals better than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Santa Coloma or Draw
65.7%
Avg Implied -
39%
26%
34%
covers FC Santa Coloma + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma or Inter Club d'Escaldes
73.7%
Avg Implied -
39%
26%
34%
covers FC Santa Coloma + Inter Club d'Escaldes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Inter Club d'Escaldes
60.6%
Avg Implied -
39%
26%
34%
covers Draw + Inter Club d'Escaldes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 0.5
Over
79.4%
Under
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 1.5
Over
46.9%
Under
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 2.5
Over
21.1%
Under
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 3.5
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5
Over
76.8%
Under
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5
Over
42.9%
Under
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5
Over
18.2%
Under
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 3.5
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Santa Coloma, so a minus line means FC Santa Coloma give that many goals of a start and Inter Club d'Escaldes receive them. At -1, FC Santa Coloma must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Santa Coloma win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Santa Coloma)
FC Santa Coloma -2
8.1%
Draw -2
12.1%
Inter Club d'Escaldes +2
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Santa Coloma)
FC Santa Coloma -1
20.2%
Draw -1
19.2%
Inter Club d'Escaldes +1
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Santa Coloma)
FC Santa Coloma +1
65.7%
Draw +1
17.7%
Inter Club d'Escaldes -1
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Santa Coloma)
FC Santa Coloma +2
83.4%
Draw +2
10.4%
Inter Club d'Escaldes -2
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Santa Coloma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.47
0.47
0.80
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.56
0.50
0.62
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.08
0.50
0.17
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Club d'Escaldes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
0.75
0.19
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.47
0.57
0.29
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (15)
1.00
0.33
0.89
0.11
1.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Santa Coloma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Santa Coloma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.73
1.33
0.87
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.88
0.88
1.12
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (12)
1.75
0.42
2.00
0.17
1.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Club d'Escaldes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.63
1.12
0.44
1.07
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.07
0.80
0.86
0.29
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (15)
1.13
0.47
1.33
0.56
0.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Santa Coloma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
SE (1)
€0m
FC Santa Coloma's squad is €1m less valuable than Inter Club d'Escaldes's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
FC Santa Coloma and Inter Club d'Escaldes have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
FC Santa Coloma and Inter Club d'Escaldes have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
SE (0)
€0m
FC Santa Coloma and Inter Club d'Escaldes have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →