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FC Santa Coloma vs Ordino Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2026
Time: 09:00
Final 0-1
FC Santa Coloma
FC Santa Coloma
Vs
72%
18%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ordino
Ordino
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives FC Santa Coloma a 72% win probability against Ordino in the Andorra: 1a Divisió on 2026-05-10, with 18% for the draw and 10% for Ordino. The model estimates around 3.2 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (22%) and 2-0 the most likely scoreline (11.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (84%), Home win (72%).

Results analysis

FC Santa Coloma finished 0-1 against Ordino (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 72% home win, 18% draw and 10% away win. Missed: Over 1.5 (84%), Home win (72%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Santa Coloma win✗ Miss
71.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ordino win✓ Hit
10.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D32W12L30W20W32W10W40W00DH·UE 25/01A·INT01/02A·ATL08/02A·ORD15/02H·ATL22/02A·CAR01/03H·INT08/03A·PEN21/03H·ESP19/04A·UE 25/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.102.001.332.070.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.611.501.501.901.751.00
vs Weaker (12)2.670.503.000.202.430.71
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W01L02L21W12L12L00D50W04L01LA·ESP25/01A·UE 01/02H·INT08/02H·FC 15/02A·UE 22/02H·RAN07/03A·ATL22/03H·CAR11/04A·INT19/04H·PEN26/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.771.311.691.001.86
vs Stronger (18)0.441.940.442.000.441.89
vs Similar (11)2.271.552.431.292.002.00
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.6%
Under 2.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.4%
Under 3.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.6%
0-0
4.7%
FC Santa Coloma goals ↓
Ordino goals →
01234
04.7%2.5%1.3%0.4%0.1%
18.8%8.6%3.2%0.9%0.2%
211%9.4%3.9%1.1%0.2%
39.2%7.6%3.1%0.9%0.2%
45.6%4.6%1.9%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Santa Coloma goals (down), columns = Ordino goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
UE Santa Coloma
2.16
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Pas de la Casa
0.50
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
FC Santa Coloma is 0.92 points better than Ordino in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 0.92).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.92
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Pas de la Casa
0.00
FC Santa Coloma is 0.75 goals better than Ordino in terms of goals scored per game (1.88 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.52
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Pas de la Casa
1.50
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
FC Santa Coloma is 0.92 goals better than Ordino in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.75).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D11D00D10W00D01L00D00D00DH·UE 25/01A·INT01/02A·ATL08/02A·ORD15/02H·ATL22/02A·CAR01/03H·INT08/03A·PEN21/03H·ESP19/04A·UE 25/04
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.400.600.530.870.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.560.600.701.000.38
vs Weaker (12)0.670.170.600.200.710.14
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrdinoOrdino

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D00D01L00D00D20W02L00DA·ESP25/01A·UE 01/02H·INT08/02H·FC 15/02A·UE 22/02H·RAN07/03A·ATL22/03H·CAR11/04A·INT19/04H·PEN26/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.800.380.810.290.79
vs Stronger (18)0.060.940.001.000.110.89
vs Similar (11)0.820.550.860.570.750.50
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.0%-------✗ Miss
Home win71.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (42)
€7m
USC (42)
€5m
PE (27)
€3m
ORD (45)
€3m
CAR (29)
€3m
ED (26)
€3m
SE (29)
€0m
PDL (36)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
FSC wins
1
Draws
2
ORD wins

Head-to-head

FC Santa Coloma vs Ordino · H/A from FSC
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/26AOrdino Vs FSC2-1
23/11/25HFSC Vs Ordino3-1
30/03/25HFSC Vs Ordino0-1
08/12/24AOrdino Vs FSC0-1
24/11/24HFSC Vs Ordino3-1
28/04/24HFSC Vs Ordino2-0
27/01/24AOrdino Vs FSC1-1
26/11/23HFSC Vs Ordino2-0

FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26AUE Santa Coloma Vs FSC0-0
19/04/26HFSC Vs Esperança d'Andorra4-0
21/03/26APenya Encarnada Vs FSC0-1
08/03/26HFSC Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes3-2
01/03/26ACarroi Vs FSC0-2
22/02/26HFSC Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes3-0
15/02/26AOrdino Vs FSC2-1
08/02/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs FSC2-3
01/02/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs FSC1-1
25/01/26HFSC Vs UE Santa Coloma1-2

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HORD Vs Penya Encarnada0-1
19/04/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD4-0
11/04/26HORD Vs Carroi5-0
22/03/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD0-0
07/03/26HORD Vs Ranger's1-2
22/02/26AUE Santa Coloma Vs ORD2-1
15/02/26HORD Vs FC Santa Coloma2-1
08/02/26HORD Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-2
01/02/26AUE Santa Coloma Vs ORD1-0
25/01/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs ORD1-2

📊 13. Overall Statistics

FC Santa Coloma
FC Santa Coloma
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.96
HomeWLWWW2.04
AwayWLWWD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%64%56%
AVG goals2.843.082.60
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %38%48%28%
Scored1.841.961.72
Conceded1.001.120.88
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet44%44%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Ordino
Ordino
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.04
HomeLWLWL1.12
AwayWLLDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%31%25%
AVG goals2.922.882.96
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %64%54%75%
Over 3.5 %36%35%38%
Scored1.141.271.00
Conceded1.781.621.96
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet12%8%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2554
64%
2.2
4813+35
2.4
72%
52%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.90.5
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2454
71%
2.2
4724+23
3.0
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0002.01.0
-
3RangerRanger's2448
62%
2.0
4622+24
2.8
88%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2444
54%
1.8
4520+25
2.7
71%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.8
-
5Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2434
42%
1.4
3126+5
2.4
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2424
29%
1.0
1941-22
2.5
62%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.7
-
7OrdinoOrdino2422
25%
0.9
2742-15
2.9
75%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.8
-
8CarroiCarroi2518
16%
0.7
1555-40
2.8
76%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.62.2
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2617
15%
0.7
2048-28
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.8
-
10Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
11Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes20
0%
0.0
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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