FC Schalke 04 enter the match after a 0-3 loss to FC Augsburg, a defeat that has left the team looking to rebound. Bayern München, meanwhile, are riding a three-game winning streak, having beaten VfB Stuttgart 5-1. The model therefore deems Bayern the clear favourite, assigning a 73% chance of an away win, 16% for a draw and 10% for a Schalke victory. The predicted outcome is an away win, the most likely result. The average number of goals expected is 3.7, with the most probable total being three goals. The single most likely scoreline is 0-2 for Bayern, carrying a 9.2% probability.
Bayern’s away form is strong against weaker opponents, averaging 3.33 goals scored and conceding just 1.08. Schalke’s home performance against stronger teams is less convincing, with a lower scoring and conceding profile. The model’s suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Away +2 handicap (98.0%), Under 7.5 (96.6%), Home under 2.5 goals (95.4%), Away over 0.5 goals (94.4%), Draw or Away (93.2%), Away +1 handicap (93.2%) and Under 6.5 (92.1%). Each pick is listed with its probability, and the edge percentages are noted where provided.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Schalke 04 win
11.2%
Avg Implied 7.2% · @ 13.25
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Dafabet
14.00
Pinnacle
13.80
Betano
13.50
Draw
16.8%
Avg Implied 11.3% · @ 8.41
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
9.68
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.10
Marathonbet
9.00
Dafabet
8.60
Bayern München win
72.1%
Avg Implied 81.6% · @ 1.16
Edge
-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Dafabet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Schalke 04
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.00
1.79
0.79
1.25
1.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.46
1.04
1.62
0.77
1.33
1.27
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
4.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.5
Avg scored
3.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.43
1.37
3.67
1.40
3.20
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
2.60
2.20
2.50
2.00
2.67
2.33
vs Weaker (25)
3.60
1.20
3.85
1.31
3.33
1.08
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.1%
@ 1.04-0.6%
Under 1.5
10.9%
@ 9.09+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Under
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
9.50
BetVictor
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71.5%
@ 1.22-5.2%
Under 2.5
28.5%
@ 4.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Under
BetVictor
4.33
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Betano
4.05
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
50.6%
@ 1.60-8.5%
Under 3.5
49.4%
@ 2.32+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Under
Betfair
2.45
Pinnacle
2.38
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Both teams to score
Yes
60.1%
@ 1.68+4.7%
No
39.9%
@ 2.09-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
No
Unibet
2.17
Betfair
2.15
Betano
2.12
BetVictor
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.1%@ 10.28+4.5%
0-2
8.9%@ 9.01+3.7%
1-3
8.1%@ 9.42+3.1%
0-3
8.0%@ 8.30+2.3%
1-1
7.4%@ 15.96+4.5%
0-1
6.0%@ 13.63+2.5%
1-4
5.5%@ 11.28+1.3%
0-4
5.4%@ 10.01+0.6%
FC Schalke 04 goals ↓
Bayern München goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.1%
6.0%
8.9%
8.0%
5.4%
1
1.8%
7.4%
9.1%
8.1%
5.5%
2
1.3%
3.4%
4.6%
4.1%
2.8%
3
0.4%
1.2%
1.6%
1.4%
0.9%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Schalke 04 goals (down), columns = Bayern München goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SV Elversberg
1.00
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
FC Schalke 04
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
FC Schalke 04 is 1.62 points worse than Bayern München in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
Union Berlin
1.29
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
Hamburger SV
1.18
SV Elversberg
1.15
FC Schalke 04
1.14
Werder Bremen
1.09
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
FC Schalke 04 is 2.44 goals worse than Bayern München in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 3.59).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
RB Leipzig
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
SV Elversberg
2.10
FC Schalke 04
2.11
FC Schalke 04 is 1.06 goals worse than Bayern München in terms of goals conceded per game (2.11 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
Hamburger SV
45%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Schalke 04
For 3.7 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.6 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bayern München
For 6.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.1 · Against 9.8 · Total 17.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Schalke 04
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.5
10.0
4.4
4.0
4.8
23.6
23.4
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
9.7
9.5
9.9
4.4
4.1
4.6
23.8
23.9
23.7
vs Weaker (7)
10.3
9.5
11.3
4.6
3.2
6.3
22.4
21.0
24.3
% over line
46%
44%
48%
64%
60%
68%
64%
60%
68%
% under line
54%
56%
52%
36%
40%
32%
36%
40%
32%
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.2
9.2
3.5
3.2
3.9
18.6
17.4
19.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
10.1
9.0
10.8
5.4
6.0
5.0
21.6
20.3
22.4
vs Weaker (42)
9.6
10.3
8.8
3.2
2.8
3.6
18.0
17.0
19.1
% over line
48%
56%
40%
48%
44%
52%
36%
24%
48%
% under line
52%
44%
60%
52%
56%
48%
64%
76%
52%
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
RB Leipzig
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
1. FC Köln
10.3
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
SC Paderborn 07
10.0
FC Augsburg
9.8
FC Schalke 04
9.8
Hamburger SV
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
Union Berlin
9.6
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6
SV Elversberg
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.5
FSV Mainz 05
9.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.0
Borussia Dortmund
8.9
SC Freiburg
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.2
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
Werder Bremen
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.5
Bayer Leverkusen
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.4
1. FC Köln
4.4
FSV Mainz 05
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.2
Union Berlin
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
1899 Hoffenheim
4.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
SC Freiburg
3.6
RB Leipzig
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Elversberg
24.3
SC Paderborn 07
24.2
Hamburger SV
24.1
FC Schalke 04
23.6
SC Freiburg
22.9
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Borussia Dortmund
22.3
FSV Mainz 05
21.7
FC Augsburg
21.7
Union Berlin
21.6
Werder Bremen
20.5
1. FC Köln
20.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.5
RB Leipzig
19.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.8
Bayer Leverkusen
19.7
Bayern München
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.7%
@ 1.91-5.2%
Under 9.5
56.3%
@ 1.82+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
Unibet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.9%
@ 1.69-1.5%
Under 3.5
46.1%
@ 2.10+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.05
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
33.7%
Under 21.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Schalke 04 or Draw
20.5%
Avg Implied 19.4% · @ 4.93
Edge
+1.2%
11%
17%
72%
covers FC Schalke 04 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
5.25
1xBet
5.15
Betano
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
5.00
FC Schalke 04 or Bayern München
86.2%
Avg Implied 88.6% · @ 1.08
Edge
-2.4%
11%
17%
72%
covers FC Schalke 04 + Bayern München
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Draw or Bayern München
93.2%
Avg Implied 92.0% · @ 1.04
Edge
+1.2%
11%
17%
72%
covers Draw + Bayern München
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
BetVictor
1.04
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5
Over
54.6%
@ 1.62-2.8%
Under
45.4%
@ 2.18+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.65
BetVictor
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Unibet
2.23
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5
Over
18.7%
@ 3.99-4.6%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.21+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5
Over
4.6%
@ 11.55-3.5%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
1xBet
12.00
Marathonbet
12.00
Unibet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Unibet
1.01
FC Schalke 04 over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
@ 27.25-2.7%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Betano
13.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bayern München over/under 0.5
Over
94.4%
@ 1.02+1.6%
Under
5.6%
@ 13.12-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Unibet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Under
Bet365
19.00
1xBet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Unibet
10.00
Bayern München over/under 1.5
Over
78.2%
@ 1.14-2.9%
Under
21.8%
@ 4.92+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
BetVictor
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Bayern München over/under 2.5
Over
54.9%
@ 1.48-8.3%
Under
45.1%
@ 2.54+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.64
BetVictor
2.55
Marathonbet
2.54
Bet365
2.50
Bayern München over/under 3.5
Over
32.6%
@ 2.22-9.5%
Under
67.4%
@ 1.61+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathonbet
2.23
Unibet
2.23
Betano
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Schalke 04, so a minus line means FC Schalke 04 give that many goals of a start and Bayern München receive them. At -1, FC Schalke 04 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Schalke 04 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Schalke 04)
FC Schalke 04 -2
0.4%
Draw -2
1.6%
Bayern München +2
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Schalke 04)
FC Schalke 04 -1
2.0%
@ 26.50-1.5%
Draw -1
4.8%
@ 12.62-2.6%
Bayern München +1
93.2%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
34.00
Betfair
34.00
Unibet
21.00
10Bet
17.00
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
14.00
Unibet
11.00
10Bet
8.50
Away
10Bet
1.06
Unibet
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Handicap +1 (FC Schalke 04)
FC Schalke 04 +1
20.5%
@ 5.03+2.6%
Draw +1
18.9%
@ 4.96+0.8%
Bayern München -1
60.5%
@ 1.41-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Unibet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.36
Handicap +2 (FC Schalke 04)
FC Schalke 04 +2
39.5%
@ 2.67+6.0%
Draw +2
21.2%
@ 4.24+0.1%
Bayern München -2
39.3%
@ 1.98-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.80
10Bet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Unibet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.96
Betfair
1.91
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Schalke 04
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
0.86
0.14
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.43
0.77
0.15
0.80
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.73
1.60
0.73
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
1.40
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.28
0.60
1.69
0.54
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.08
10Bet
2.95
Betano
2.82
Unibet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
Under
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.37
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.50
Unibet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Unibet
1.01
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
15.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Bayern München over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Under
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.70
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.50
Bayern München over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16
Unibet
2.14
Under
10Bet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Bayern München over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Unibet
4.70
Betano
4.65
10Bet
4.33
Under
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Schalke 04
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.93
0.64
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.61
0.85
0.62
0.53
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
0.63
2.07
0.67
2.33
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.60
0.80
1.50
0.00
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (25)
2.32
0.60
2.15
0.77
2.50
0.42
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.41
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Under
1xBet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.50
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
7.90
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bayern München over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.30
Betano
5.00
Bayern München over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Bayern München over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.7%
Away +2 handicap
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
96.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+5.1%
Home under 2.5 goals
95.4%
1.02
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Unibet
1.01
+3.5%
Away over 0.5 goals
94.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Unibet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+1.6%
Draw or Away
93.2%
1.04
William Hil
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
BetVictor
1.04
+1.2%
Away +1 handicap
93.2%
1.04
10Bet
1.06
Unibet
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
+4.1%
Under 6.5
92.1%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
+6.0%
Under 25.5 fouls
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
89.1%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-0.6%
Home or Away
86.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.08
-2.4%
Under 5.5
83.5%
1.25
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+8.7%
Home under 1.5 goals
81.3%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
+4.6%
Under 5.5 cards
80.6%
1.29
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
-
+8.4%
Under 23.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
78.5%
1.28
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Unibet
1.27
-
+7.3%
Away over 1.5 goals
78.2%
1.14
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-2.9%
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
1.28
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
-
-
-
+1.4%
Away win
72.1%
1.16
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Dafabet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-9.5%
Over 2.5
71.5%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
-5.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Schalke 04 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edin Džeko45%
Kenan Karaman35%
Bryan Lasme23%
Adil Aouchiche21%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Moussa Sylla19%
Hasan Kuruçay12%
Vitalie Becker9%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Soufian El-Faouzi6%
Finn Porath5%
Christian Gomis5%
Nikola Katić4%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Ron Schallenberg0%
Timo Becker0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Peter Remmert0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Mika Wallentowitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitalie Becker32%
Nikola Katić25%
Adrian Gantenbein24%
Adil Aouchiche21%
Mertcan Ayhan21%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Emil Højlund20%
Hasan Kuruçay19%
Amin Younes17%
Max Grüger17%
Finn Porath16%
Timo Becker15%
Kenan Karaman15%
Moussa Ndiaye14%
Ron Schallenberg12%
Soufian El-Faouzi11%
Felipe Sánchez11%
Christian Gomis11%
Loris Karius10%
Janik Bachmann8%
Mika Wallentowitz8%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Moussa Sylla3%
Edin Džeko0%
Bryan Lasme0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Peter Remmert0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Peter Remmert25%
Edin Džeko18%
Kenan Karaman15%
Adil Aouchiche14%
Moussa Ndiaye14%
Soufian El-Faouzi14%
Dejan Ljubičić13%
Mika Wallentowitz8%
Nikola Katić7%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Moussa Sylla6%
Finn Porath5%
Christian Gomis5%
Vitalie Becker5%
Timo Becker4%
Ron Schallenberg3%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Bryan Lasme0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Hasan Kuruçay0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edin Džeko64%
Moussa Sylla47%
Adil Aouchiche29%
Kenan Karaman24%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Bryan Lasme15%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Soufian El-Faouzi6%
Christian Gomis5%
Timo Becker4%
Nikola Katić4%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Finn Porath0%
Hasan Kuruçay0%
Ron Schallenberg0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Peter Remmert0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Vitalie Becker0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Mika Wallentowitz0%
Bayern München · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane76%
Luis Díaz42%
Michael Olise35%
Nicolas Jackson32%
Serge Gnabry25%
Lennart Karl24%
Raphaël Guerreiro21%
Jamal Musiala21%
Aleksandar Pavlović9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Josip Stanišić7%
Konrad Laimer7%
Jonathan Tah6%
Tom Bischof5%
Dayot Upamecano5%
Alphonso Davies4%
Hiroki Itō4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konrad Laimer30%
Michael Olise22%
Jonathan Tah21%
Dayot Upamecano20%
Luis Díaz18%
Joshua Kimmich17%
Aleksandar Pavlović11%
Josip Stanišić10%
Leon Goretzka9%
Manuel Neuer8%
Min-jae Kim8%
Jamal Musiala8%
Tom Bischof8%
Sacha Boey7%
Nicolas Jackson6%
Alphonso Davies4%
Harry Kane4%
Serge Gnabry3%
Lennart Karl3%
Raphaël Guerreiro0%
Hiroki Itō0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Olise39%
Luis Díaz32%
Serge Gnabry28%
Jamal Musiala25%
Joshua Kimmich23%
Alphonso Davies22%
Konrad Laimer22%
Lennart Karl18%
Harry Kane12%
Josip Stanišić12%
Nicolas Jackson9%
Hiroki Itō9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Tom Bischof8%
Dayot Upamecano7%
Raphaël Guerreiro7%
Aleksandar Pavlović5%
Jonathan Tah4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane50%
Michael Olise41%
Luis Díaz32%
Lennart Karl21%
Nicolas Jackson18%
Serge Gnabry17%
Jamal Musiala8%
Hiroki Itō4%
Leon Goretzka4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Raphaël Guerreiro4%
Tom Bischof3%
Aleksandar Pavlović2%
Konrad Laimer2%
Manuel Neuer0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Jonathan Tah0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Sacha Boey0%
Min-jae Kim0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
SE (27)
€52m
SP0 (33)
€43m
FC Schalke 04's squad is €1009m less valuable than Bayern München's (€67m vs €1076m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
FS0 (8)
€17m
SP0 (11)
€14m
FC Schalke 04's attack is €537m less valuable than Bayern München's (€17m vs €554m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
SE (3)
€4m
FC Schalke 04's midfield is €162m less valuable than Bayern München's (€24m vs €187m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
SE (12)
€14m
SP0 (9)
€11m
FC Schalke 04's defence is €310m less valuable than Bayern München's (€26m vs €336m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund
SV Elversberg
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
1899 Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart