This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.63
1.00
1.33
1.47
1.93
vs Stronger (20)
1.05
1.80
1.00
1.36
1.11
2.33
vs Similar (10)
1.60
1.30
1.00
1.25
2.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.0%
Under 1.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.3%
@ 1.68+12.8%
Under 2.5
30.7%
@ 2.19-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.0%
Under 3.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
3-0 ✓
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
4-1
4.8%
FC Schalke 04 goals ↓
Ingolstadt goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
2.4%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
1
6.1%
8.5%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
2
8.4%
9.5%
5.3%
2.0%
0.6%
3
6.9%
7.7%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
4
4.2%
4.8%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Schalke 04 goals (down), columns = Ingolstadt goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Schalke 04
1.91
Werder Bremen
1.85
Hamburger SV
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.76
FC St. Pauli
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.53
SC Paderborn 07
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Holstein Kiel
1.32
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.29
Hannover 96
1.24
Karlsruher SC
1.21
Hansa Rostock
1.21
SV Sandhausen
1.21
Regensburg
1.18
Dynamo Dresden
0.94
Erzgebirge Aue
0.76
Ingolstadt
0.62
FC Schalke 04 is 1.29 points better than Ingolstadt in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 0.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Schalke 04
2.12
SV Darmstadt 98
2.09
Hamburger SV
1.97
Werder Bremen
1.91
FC St. Pauli
1.79
SC Paderborn 07
1.65
Karlsruher SC
1.59
Regensburg
1.47
1. FC Nürnberg
1.44
Holstein Kiel
1.35
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.32
1. FC Heidenheim
1.26
SV Sandhausen
1.24
Hansa Rostock
1.21
Hannover 96
1.03
Dynamo Dresden
0.97
Erzgebirge Aue
0.94
Ingolstadt
0.88
FC Schalke 04 is 1.24 goals better than Ingolstadt in terms of goals scored per game (2.12 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hamburger SV
1.03
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.24
Werder Bremen
1.26
SC Paderborn 07
1.29
FC Schalke 04
1.29
1. FC Heidenheim
1.32
FC St. Pauli
1.35
SV Darmstadt 98
1.35
Dynamo Dresden
1.35
Hannover 96
1.44
1. FC Nürnberg
1.44
Regensburg
1.50
Hansa Rostock
1.53
Holstein Kiel
1.59
SV Sandhausen
1.59
Karlsruher SC
1.62
Ingolstadt
1.91
Erzgebirge Aue
2.12
FC Schalke 04 is 0.62 goals better than Ingolstadt in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.91).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Schalke 04
For 3.7 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ingolstadt
For 3.9 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 9.9 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Schalke 04
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.2
9.8
4.3
4.6
3.9
24.9
24.5
25.2
vs Stronger (19)
9.5
8.8
10.1
3.4
3.8
3.1
23.4
23.4
23.3
vs Similar (28)
9.7
9.7
9.7
4.9
5.2
4.5
25.6
24.8
26.6
vs Weaker (3)
7.3
4.0
9.0
3.7
3.0
4.0
27.0
30.0
25.5
% over line
46%
48%
44%
56%
60%
52%
72%
64%
80%
% under line
54%
52%
56%
44%
40%
48%
28%
36%
20%
This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.2
9.3
3.8
3.5
4.2
28.4
28.2
28.7
vs Stronger (33)
10.7
11.6
9.5
4.2
4.2
4.3
28.2
27.8
28.8
vs Similar (17)
9.6
10.2
9.0
3.0
2.0
3.9
28.8
29.2
28.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
58%
46%
50%
46%
54%
82%
88%
75%
% under line
48%
42%
54%
50%
54%
46%
18%
12%
25%
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SV Sandhausen
11.3
Hamburger SV
11.2
SV Darmstadt 98
10.5
Ingolstadt
10.3
1. FC Heidenheim
10.3
Karlsruher SC
10.1
1. FC Nürnberg
9.9
Holstein Kiel
9.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
9.7
Hannover 96
9.6
Hansa Rostock
9.6
SC Paderborn 07
9.5
FC Schalke 04
9.5
Regensburg
9.4
Dynamo Dresden
9.3
FC St. Pauli
9.2
Werder Bremen
9.2
Erzgebirge Aue
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hansa Rostock
4.8
SV Darmstadt 98
4.7
Regensburg
4.7
SV Sandhausen
4.7
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.5
Dynamo Dresden
4.5
Karlsruher SC
4.5
Werder Bremen
4.5
Hamburger SV
4.4
SC Paderborn 07
4.3
1. FC Nürnberg
4.3
FC Schalke 04
4.3
Erzgebirge Aue
4.1
FC St. Pauli
4.0
Hannover 96
3.9
Holstein Kiel
3.8
Ingolstadt
3.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Regensburg
28.5
Ingolstadt
28.4
SV Sandhausen
26.6
Karlsruher SC
26.2
FC St. Pauli
26.2
SV Darmstadt 98
26.1
Werder Bremen
25.9
Dynamo Dresden
25.8
Hamburger SV
25.6
1. FC Nürnberg
25.4
FC Schalke 04
24.9
Hansa Rostock
24.7
Hannover 96
24.3
Erzgebirge Aue
24.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.8
SC Paderborn 07
23.6
Holstein Kiel
22.7
1. FC Heidenheim
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.4%
Under 3.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.4%
Under 21.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Schalke 04
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.20
0.40
1.00
0.80
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.41
0.56
0.56
0.38
0.25
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.53
0.33
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (20)
0.40
0.60
0.55
0.36
0.22
0.89
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.40
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Schalke 04
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.40
0.60
1.27
0.33
1.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
2.00
1.20
1.80
0.20
2.20
vs Similar (17)
0.29
1.06
0.33
1.00
0.25
1.12
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.33
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.10
0.47
1.00
1.07
1.20
vs Stronger (20)
0.65
1.20
0.45
1.00
0.89
1.44
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.90
0.50
1.00
1.33
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Schalke 04 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edin Džeko45%
Kenan Karaman35%
Bryan Lasme23%
Adil Aouchiche21%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Moussa Sylla19%
Hasan Kuruçay12%
Vitalie Becker9%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Soufian El-Faouzi6%
Finn Porath5%
Christian Gomis5%
Nikola Katić4%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Ron Schallenberg0%
Timo Becker0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Peter Remmert0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Mika Wallentowitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitalie Becker32%
Nikola Katić25%
Adrian Gantenbein24%
Adil Aouchiche21%
Mertcan Ayhan21%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Emil Højlund20%
Hasan Kuruçay19%
Amin Younes17%
Max Grüger17%
Finn Porath16%
Timo Becker15%
Kenan Karaman15%
Moussa Ndiaye14%
Ron Schallenberg12%
Soufian El-Faouzi11%
Felipe Sánchez11%
Christian Gomis11%
Loris Karius10%
Janik Bachmann8%
Mika Wallentowitz8%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Moussa Sylla3%
Edin Džeko0%
Bryan Lasme0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Peter Remmert0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Peter Remmert25%
Edin Džeko18%
Kenan Karaman15%
Adil Aouchiche14%
Moussa Ndiaye14%
Soufian El-Faouzi14%
Dejan Ljubičić13%
Mika Wallentowitz8%
Nikola Katić7%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Moussa Sylla6%
Finn Porath5%
Christian Gomis5%
Vitalie Becker5%
Timo Becker4%
Ron Schallenberg3%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Bryan Lasme0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Hasan Kuruçay0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edin Džeko64%
Moussa Sylla47%
Adil Aouchiche29%
Kenan Karaman24%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Bryan Lasme15%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Soufian El-Faouzi6%
Christian Gomis5%
Timo Becker4%
Nikola Katić4%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Finn Porath0%
Hasan Kuruçay0%
Ron Schallenberg0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Peter Remmert0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Vitalie Becker0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Mika Wallentowitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
SD9 (28)
€24m
DD (26)
€19m
FD (26)
€10m
HR (27)
€8m
ING (26)
€7m
EA (18)
€2m
FC Schalke 04's squad is €60m more valuable than Ingolstadt's (€67m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WB (13)
€50m
HS (11)
€46m
FS0 (8)
€17m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
SP0 (11)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
DD (8)
€6m
HR (10)
€3m
ING (10)
€3m
FD (8)
€3m
EA (5)
€1m
FC Schalke 04's attack is €14m more valuable than Ingolstadt's (€17m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (5)
€34m
WB (5)
€28m
FS0 (8)
€24m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
FD (5)
€2m
HR (4)
€2m
ING (4)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
FC Schalke 04's midfield is €23m more valuable than Ingolstadt's (€24m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
FD (13)
€5m
HR (13)
€3m
ING (12)
€3m
EA (8)
€1m
FC Schalke 04's defence is €23m more valuable than Ingolstadt's (€26m vs €3m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
SV Darmstadt 98
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hannover 96
Karlsruher SC
Hansa Rostock
SV Sandhausen
Dynamo Dresden
Erzgebirge Aue