This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.63
2.00
1.60
1.33
1.67
vs Stronger (20)
1.50
1.95
1.80
1.70
1.20
2.20
vs Similar (10)
2.00
1.00
2.40
1.40
1.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.8%
Under 1.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.0%
@ 1.66+10.1%
Under 2.5
33.0%
@ 2.19-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.2%
Under 3.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.2%
No
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
2-1 ✓
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
FC Schalke 04 goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
3.5%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
1
5.7%
10.0%
6.2%
2.9%
1.0%
2
6.8%
9.4%
6.5%
3.0%
1.0%
3
4.7%
6.5%
4.5%
2.0%
0.7%
4
2.5%
3.4%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Schalke 04 goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Schalke 04
1.91
Werder Bremen
1.85
Hamburger SV
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.76
FC St. Pauli
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.53
SC Paderborn 07
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Holstein Kiel
1.32
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.29
Hannover 96
1.24
Karlsruher SC
1.21
Hansa Rostock
1.21
SV Sandhausen
1.21
Regensburg
1.18
Dynamo Dresden
0.94
Erzgebirge Aue
0.76
Ingolstadt
0.62
FC Schalke 04 is 0.74 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Schalke 04
2.12
SV Darmstadt 98
2.09
Hamburger SV
1.97
Werder Bremen
1.91
FC St. Pauli
1.79
SC Paderborn 07
1.65
Karlsruher SC
1.59
Regensburg
1.47
1. FC Nürnberg
1.44
Holstein Kiel
1.35
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.32
1. FC Heidenheim
1.26
SV Sandhausen
1.24
Hansa Rostock
1.21
Hannover 96
1.03
Dynamo Dresden
0.97
Erzgebirge Aue
0.94
Ingolstadt
0.88
FC Schalke 04 is 0.65 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (2.12 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hamburger SV
1.03
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.24
Werder Bremen
1.26
SC Paderborn 07
1.29
FC Schalke 04
1.29
1. FC Heidenheim
1.32
FC St. Pauli
1.35
SV Darmstadt 98
1.35
Dynamo Dresden
1.35
Hannover 96
1.44
1. FC Nürnberg
1.44
Regensburg
1.50
Hansa Rostock
1.53
Holstein Kiel
1.59
SV Sandhausen
1.59
Karlsruher SC
1.62
Ingolstadt
1.91
Erzgebirge Aue
2.12
FC Schalke 04 is 0.21 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Schalke 04
For 7.0 · Against 5.3 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 6.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 14.5 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Schalke 04
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.3
10.7
3.9
3.8
4.0
23.9
23.1
24.6
vs Stronger (14)
9.7
8.6
11.2
3.1
3.6
2.3
23.8
23.8
23.8
vs Similar (30)
10.6
10.3
10.9
4.4
4.1
4.6
24.2
23.1
25.2
vs Weaker (6)
7.5
6.3
8.7
3.5
2.3
4.7
22.5
21.7
23.3
% over line
54%
52%
56%
52%
48%
56%
64%
56%
72%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
48%
52%
44%
36%
44%
28%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.3
4.3
4.5
4.2
28.0
28.2
27.9
vs Stronger (34)
9.1
9.0
9.3
4.1
4.1
4.1
28.2
28.7
27.6
vs Similar (16)
9.8
10.0
9.4
4.9
5.1
4.6
27.7
27.1
28.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
38%
38%
70%
73%
67%
86%
85%
88%
% under line
62%
62%
62%
30%
27%
33%
14%
15%
12%
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Hamburger SV
11.7
1. FC Heidenheim
10.8
SV Sandhausen
10.6
Karlsruher SC
10.3
Holstein Kiel
10.1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.1
FC Schalke 04
10.0
Hannover 96
9.9
SC Paderborn 07
9.9
SV Darmstadt 98
9.7
Ingolstadt
9.7
1. FC Nürnberg
9.7
FC St. Pauli
9.4
Regensburg
9.3
Dynamo Dresden
9.2
Werder Bremen
9.1
Hansa Rostock
9.1
Erzgebirge Aue
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Dynamo Dresden
4.7
SV Darmstadt 98
4.6
Hansa Rostock
4.6
SV Sandhausen
4.6
SC Paderborn 07
4.5
Hamburger SV
4.5
Werder Bremen
4.4
Regensburg
4.3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.2
Karlsruher SC
4.2
Erzgebirge Aue
4.2
1. FC Nürnberg
4.1
Hannover 96
4.1
Ingolstadt
4.0
FC St. Pauli
4.0
FC Schalke 04
3.9
Holstein Kiel
3.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Regensburg
28.0
Ingolstadt
27.0
SV Darmstadt 98
25.6
FC St. Pauli
25.2
SV Sandhausen
25.1
Karlsruher SC
24.9
Hamburger SV
24.9
Werder Bremen
24.7
Hansa Rostock
24.4
Hannover 96
24.3
Erzgebirge Aue
24.0
Dynamo Dresden
24.0
SC Paderborn 07
24.0
FC Schalke 04
23.9
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.8
1. FC Nürnberg
23.4
Holstein Kiel
22.1
1. FC Heidenheim
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.7%
Under 9.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.1%
Under 3.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
73.4%
Under 21.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Schalke 04
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.79
0.50
0.44
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.50
0.80
0.60
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.17
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.63
1.00
0.47
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (20)
0.85
0.75
0.90
0.60
0.80
0.90
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.40
1.20
0.20
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Schalke 04
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.13
1.36
1.14
0.75
1.12
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.25
3.00
2.00
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.95
0.90
1.10
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.00
2.33
1.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.00
1.00
1.13
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (20)
0.65
1.20
0.90
1.10
0.40
1.30
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.60
1.20
1.20
0.80
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schalke 04) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schalke 04 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Schalke 04 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edin Džeko45%
Kenan Karaman35%
Bryan Lasme23%
Adil Aouchiche21%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Moussa Sylla19%
Hasan Kuruçay12%
Vitalie Becker9%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Soufian El-Faouzi6%
Finn Porath5%
Christian Gomis5%
Nikola Katić4%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Ron Schallenberg0%
Timo Becker0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Peter Remmert0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Mika Wallentowitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitalie Becker32%
Nikola Katić25%
Adrian Gantenbein24%
Adil Aouchiche21%
Mertcan Ayhan21%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Emil Højlund20%
Hasan Kuruçay19%
Amin Younes17%
Max Grüger17%
Finn Porath16%
Timo Becker15%
Kenan Karaman15%
Moussa Ndiaye14%
Ron Schallenberg12%
Soufian El-Faouzi11%
Felipe Sánchez11%
Christian Gomis11%
Loris Karius10%
Janik Bachmann8%
Mika Wallentowitz8%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Moussa Sylla3%
Edin Džeko0%
Bryan Lasme0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Peter Remmert0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Peter Remmert25%
Edin Džeko18%
Kenan Karaman15%
Adil Aouchiche14%
Moussa Ndiaye14%
Soufian El-Faouzi14%
Dejan Ljubičić13%
Mika Wallentowitz8%
Nikola Katić7%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Moussa Sylla6%
Finn Porath5%
Christian Gomis5%
Vitalie Becker5%
Timo Becker4%
Ron Schallenberg3%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Bryan Lasme0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Hasan Kuruçay0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edin Džeko64%
Moussa Sylla47%
Adil Aouchiche29%
Kenan Karaman24%
Dejan Ljubičić20%
Bryan Lasme15%
Christopher Antwi-Adjei7%
Soufian El-Faouzi6%
Christian Gomis5%
Timo Becker4%
Nikola Katić4%
Amin Younes0%
Loris Karius0%
Kevin Müller0%
Anton Donkor0%
Janik Bachmann0%
Finn Porath0%
Hasan Kuruçay0%
Ron Schallenberg0%
Moussa Ndiaye0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Emil Højlund0%
Peter Remmert0%
Mertcan Ayhan0%
Vitalie Becker0%
Max Grüger0%
Felipe Sánchez0%
Paul Friedrich Pöpperl0%
Mika Wallentowitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Schalke 04
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
SV Darmstadt 98
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hannover 96
Karlsruher SC
Hansa Rostock
SV Sandhausen
Dynamo Dresden
Erzgebirge Aue
Ingolstadt