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FC Serpa vs Louletano Prediction & Stats

Date: 20/09/2026
Time: 14:00
FC Serpa
FC Serpa
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Louletano
Louletano
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FC Serpa are the clear favorites, with the model picking a home win. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly open game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.6% chance. FC Serpa have been on a good run, coming off a 2-0 win over O Grandolense, and they average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded at home against similar-strength opponents. Louletano, playing away, have a similar record, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The probabilities for the match outcome are 43% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 28% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.5%), Under 6.5 goals (98.3%), Over 19.5 fouls (98.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2%), Over 21.5 fouls (95.4%), Under 5.5 goals (95.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.0%), and Over 2.5 cards (92.5%). These figures suggest a tightly contested match with a high likelihood of a low-scoring draw.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Serpa win
43.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Louletano win
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC SerpaFC Serpa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W01L30W01L20WA·PRA08/09A·SÃO22/09H·POR31/08A·LUS21/09H·O G29/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.402.500.001.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (3)3.330.002.500.005.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Louletano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LouletanoLouletano

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W12L50W11D10WH·LAG08/09A·MON22/09H·OPE21/09A·SIL19/10A·CAS30/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.200.604.000.001.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Weaker (4)2.500.254.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Serpa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.8%
Under 2.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
FC Serpa goals ↓
Louletano goals →
01234
08.8%7.3%4.8%1.8%0.5%
19.7%14%7.0%2.6%0.7%
28.0%9.0%5.1%1.9%0.5%
33.9%4.4%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.4%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Serpa goals (down), columns = Louletano goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lusitano Évora 1911
2.40
Amarante
2.33
Espinho
2.33
Fafe
2.29
Farense
2.25
Trofense
2.00
Pacos Ferreira
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Ovarense
2.00
Caldas
2.00
O Elvas
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Tondela
2.00
AVS
2.00
Mortágua
1.75
1º Dezembro
1.75
Leixoes
1.67
Vila Meã
1.60
Machico
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Atlético Malveira
1.50
Rebordosa
1.50
Correlhã
1.50
Nazarenos
1.50
Felgueiras 1932
1.50
União Lamas
1.50
São João Ver
1.50
Uniao Nogueirense
1.50
Castrense
1.50
Naval 1893
1.50
Brito
1.50
Ançã
1.50
AD Fornos Algodres
1.50
Bragança
1.50
Salgueiros
1.50
Chaves
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
CF Os Belenenses
1.33
Vianense
1.33
Celoricense
1.33
SC Covilha
1.33
Os Marialvas
1.00
Penafiel
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Oliveira Hospital
1.00
Camacha
1.00
Cinfães
1.00
Castro Daire
1.00
Amora
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academica
1.00
AD Nogueirense
1.00
Santo Antonio
1.00
Maia Lidador
1.00
São Roque (Açores)
1.00
Imortal Albufeira
1.00
Penalva Castelo
1.00
Messejanense
1.00
União Montemor
1.00
Recreativa de Lamelas
1.00
Vitoria Setubal
1.00
Olhanense
1.00
Uniao de Pombal
1.00
Ponte da Barca
1.00
Sousense
1.00
Guarda
1.00
Pevidem
1.00
O Grandolense
1.00
Alcains
1.00
Sertanense
1.00
Ermesinde
1.00
CF Benfica
1.00
Bombarralense
1.00
Real
1.00
Vila Pouca
1.00
Pacos de Brandao
1.00
Minas de Argozelo
1.00
Régua
1.00
Ginásio Figueirense
1.00
Atlético Arcos
1.00
Aljustrelense
1.00
Madalena
1.00
Mação
1.00
Gavionenses
1.00
Ferreiras
1.00
Merelinense
1.00
SC Barreiro
1.00
Mocarriense
1.00
AD Marco 09
0.67
Rebordelo
0.50
Vizela
0.00
Maria da Fonte
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Portalegrense
0.00
Florgrade
0.00
Sanjoanense
0.00
Vitória de Sernache
0.00
Lagoa
0.00
Tirsense
0.00
Os Limianos
0.00
Leça
0.00
Lajense
0.00
União Santarém
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Varzim
0.00
Paredes
0.00
Angrense
0.00
Sourense
0.00
Alcochetense
0.00
Portel
0.00
Fayal
0.00
Estrela Calheta
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Juventude Évora
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Fazendense
0.00
FC Serpa is 0.50 points worse than Louletano in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sacavenense
4.50
Ovarense
4.50
Benfica Castelo Branco
4.00
Trofense
3.50
Atlético Malveira
3.50
Alpendorada
3.33
Louletano
3.00
São João Ver
3.00
Salgueiros
3.00
Lusitano Évora 1911
2.80
Bragança
2.50
Tondela
2.50
Farense
2.50
AVS
2.50
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.33
Vianense
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Felgueiras 1932
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Espinho
2.00
1º Dezembro
2.00
Amarante
1.67
Sintrense
1.67
Caldas
1.60
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Correlhã
1.50
O Elvas
1.50
Rebordelo
1.50
Naval 1893
1.50
Ançã
1.50
AD Fornos Algodres
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Vila Meã
1.40
AD Nogueirense
1.20
Santo Antonio
1.20
Maia Lidador
1.20
São Roque (Açores)
1.20
Imortal Albufeira
1.20
Penalva Castelo
1.20
Messejanense
1.20
União Montemor
1.20
Recreativa de Lamelas
1.20
Vitoria Setubal
1.20
Olhanense
1.20
Uniao de Pombal
1.20
Ponte da Barca
1.20
Sousense
1.20
Guarda
1.20
Pevidem
1.20
O Grandolense
1.20
Alcains
1.20
Sertanense
1.20
Ermesinde
1.20
CF Benfica
1.20
Bombarralense
1.20
Real
1.20
Vila Pouca
1.20
Pacos de Brandao
1.20
Minas de Argozelo
1.20
Régua
1.20
Ginásio Figueirense
1.20
Atlético Arcos
1.20
Aljustrelense
1.20
Madalena
1.20
Mação
1.20
Gavionenses
1.20
Ferreiras
1.20
Merelinense
1.20
SC Barreiro
1.20
Mocarriense
1.20
Fafe
1.14
Leixoes
1.00
Vizela
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Penafiel
1.00
Machico
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Vitória de Sernache
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Atlético CP
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Tirsense
1.00
Castro Daire
1.00
Varzim
1.00
Mortágua
1.00
Brito
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Angrense
1.00
Alcochetense
1.00
Estrela Calheta
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
SC Covilha
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Fazendense
1.00
Nazarenos
0.50
Lajense
0.50
Uniao Nogueirense
0.50
Castrense
0.50
Celoricense
0.33
Os Marialvas
0.00
AD Marco 09
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Portalegrense
0.00
Florgrade
0.00
Sanjoanense
0.00
Os Limianos
0.00
Cinfães
0.00
Leça
0.00
União Santarém
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Paredes
0.00
Amora
0.00
Sourense
0.00
Portel
0.00
Fayal
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Mafra
0.00
Juventude Évora
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Academica
0.00
FC Serpa is 1.50 goals worse than Louletano in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 3.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Os Marialvas
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Cinfães
0.00
O Elvas
0.00
Amora
0.00
Mafra
0.00
Academica
0.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
0.33
Espinho
0.33
FC Serpa
0.50
Rebordosa
0.50
Nazarenos
0.50
Louletano
0.50
Uniao Nogueirense
0.50
Naval 1893
0.50
Bragança
0.50
Tondela
0.50
AVS
0.50
Vila Meã
0.60
Lusitano Évora 1911
0.60
Caldas
0.60
Amarante
0.67
Leixoes
0.67
CF Os Belenenses
0.67
Atlético CP
0.67
Fafe
0.71
Farense
0.75
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Penafiel
1.00
Atlético Malveira
1.00
Sacavenense
1.00
Florgrade
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Castro Daire
1.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Sourense
1.00
Juventude Évora
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Mortágua
1.25
Celoricense
1.33
SC Covilha
1.33
Trofense
1.50
Machico
1.50
Correlhã
1.50
Ovarense
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Alpendorada
1.67
AD Nogueirense
1.86
Santo Antonio
1.86
Maia Lidador
1.86
São Roque (Açores)
1.86
Imortal Albufeira
1.86
Penalva Castelo
1.86
Messejanense
1.86
União Montemor
1.86
Recreativa de Lamelas
1.86
Vitoria Setubal
1.86
Olhanense
1.86
Uniao de Pombal
1.86
Ponte da Barca
1.86
Sousense
1.86
Guarda
1.86
Pevidem
1.86
O Grandolense
1.86
Alcains
1.86
Sertanense
1.86
Ermesinde
1.86
CF Benfica
1.86
Bombarralense
1.86
Real
1.86
Vila Pouca
1.86
Pacos de Brandao
1.86
Minas de Argozelo
1.86
Régua
1.86
Ginásio Figueirense
1.86
Atlético Arcos
1.86
Aljustrelense
1.86
Madalena
1.86
Mação
1.86
Gavionenses
1.86
Ferreiras
1.86
Merelinense
1.86
SC Barreiro
1.86
Mocarriense
1.86
Vizela
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Vitória de Sernache
2.00
Lagoa
2.00
Tirsense
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Leça
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Ançã
2.00
Alcochetense
2.00
1º Dezembro
2.00
UD da Serra
2.00
Fazendense
2.00
São João Ver
2.50
Castrense
2.50
Rebordelo
2.50
Fátima
3.00
Académico do Fundão
3.00
Portalegrense
3.00
Viana Alentejo
3.00
Brito
3.00
Portel
3.00
Vinhais
3.00
Salgueiros
3.00
Sanjoanense
4.00
Os Limianos
4.00
Lajense
4.00
AD Fornos Algodres
4.00
Varzim
5.00
Fayal
5.00
Angrense
7.00
Estrela Calheta
7.00
FC Serpa and Louletano are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Chaves
38%
Farense
36%
AVS
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC SerpaFC Serpa

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

LouletanoLouletano

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FC SerpaFC Serpa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (2)---0.0-0.0---
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Louletano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LouletanoLouletano

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (FC Serpa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.5
Portimonense
11.1
Farense
10.9
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
Felgueiras 1932
10.1
Vizela
9.9
Oliveirense
9.7
Tondela
9.6
AVS
9.6
Pacos Ferreira
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Leixoes
9.0
Feirense
9.0
Chaves
8.8
Mafra
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Feirense
6.5
Vizela
6.3
Pacos Ferreira
6.3
Chaves
6.1
Leixoes
6.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Felgueiras 1932
5.9
Farense
5.7
Oliveirense
5.4
SC Covilha
5.4
Portimonense
5.4
Penafiel
5.3
Tondela
5.2
AVS
5.1
Academica
4.7
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
Mafra
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Farense
31.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
SC Covilha
28.2
Pacos Ferreira
26.8
Leixoes
26.4
Tondela
25.7
AVS
25.5
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Felgueiras 1932
23.5
Oliveirense
23.0
Penafiel
22.9
Portimonense
21.8
Chaves
20.9
Vizela
20.8
Feirense
20.0
Mafra
14.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
79.1%
Under 9.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
82.4%
Under 3.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
95.4%
Under 21.5
4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Serpa or Draw
71.8%
Avg Implied -
43%
29%
28%
covers FC Serpa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Serpa or Louletano
71.5%
Avg Implied -
43%
29%
28%
covers FC Serpa + Louletano
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Louletano
56.7%
Avg Implied -
43%
29%
28%
covers Draw + Louletano
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Serpa over/under 0.5
Over
76.7%
Under
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Serpa over/under 1.5
Over
42.7%
Under
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Serpa over/under 2.5
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Serpa over/under 3.5
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louletano over/under 0.5
Over
67.7%
Under
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louletano over/under 1.5
Over
31.2%
Under
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louletano over/under 2.5
Over
10.6%
Under
89.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louletano over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Serpa, so a minus line means FC Serpa give that many goals of a start and Louletano receive them. At -1, FC Serpa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Serpa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Serpa)
FC Serpa -2
8.4%
Draw -2
13.4%
Louletano +2
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Serpa)
FC Serpa -1
21.7%
Draw -1
21.6%
Louletano +1
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Serpa)
FC Serpa +1
71.8%
Draw +1
16.5%
Louletano -1
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Serpa)
FC Serpa +2
88.3%
Draw +2
8.1%
Louletano -2
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC SerpaFC Serpa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00DA·SÃO22/09H·POR31/08A·LUS21/09H·O G29/08
Avg total
0.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %100% (+69pp vs league)
This opponent (Louletano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LouletanoLouletano

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W10W00DA·MON22/09H·OPE21/09A·SIL19/10A·CAS30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.253.000.000.330.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.003.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %75% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Serpa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Serpa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Serpa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Serpa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louletano over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louletano over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louletano over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC SerpaFC Serpa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W01L20WA·SÃO22/09H·POR31/08A·LUS21/09H·O G29/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.250.502.500.000.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (2)2.500.002.500.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Louletano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LouletanoLouletano

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L10WA·MON22/09H·OPE21/09A·SIL19/10A·CAS30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.502.000.000.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (3)1.000.332.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Serpa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Serpa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Serpa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Serpa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louletano over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louletano over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Louletano over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Under 6.598.3%-------
Over 19.5 fouls98.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.2%-------
Over 21.5 fouls95.4%-------
Under 5.595.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.0%-------
Over 2.5 cards92.5%-------
Over 23.5 fouls90.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals89.4%-------
Home +2 handicap88.3%-------
Under 4.587.9%-------
Over 8.5 corners87.0%-------
Over 3.5 cards82.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals82.0%-------
Over 25.5 fouls81.4%-------
Over 9.5 corners79.1%-------
Away +2 handicap78.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals76.7%-------
Over 1.574.2%-------
Under 3.573.9%-------
Home or Draw71.8%-------
Home +1 handicap71.8%-------
Home or Away71.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VIZ (13)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHA (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TON (9)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FS wins
0
Draws
0
LOU wins

Head-to-head

FC Serpa vs Louletano · H/A from FS
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FC SerpaFC Serpa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HFS Vs O Grandolense2-0
21/09/25ALusitano Évora 1911 Vs FS1-0
31/08/25HFS Vs Portel3-0
22/09/24ASão João Ver Vs FS1-0
08/09/24APraia Milfontes Vs FS0-5

LouletanoLouletano

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ACastrense Vs LOU0-1
19/10/25ASilves Vs LOU1-1
21/09/25HLOU Vs Operário5-0
22/09/24AMoncarapachense Vs LOU2-1
08/09/24HLOU Vs Lagos3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Serpa
FC Serpa
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.80
HomeWW3.00
AwayWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%100%33%
AVG goals2.402.502.33
Over 1.5 %60%100%33%
Over 2.5 %40%50%33%
Over 3.5 %20%0%33%
Scored2.002.501.67
Conceded0.400.000.67
BTTS0%0%0%
Clean Sheet60%100%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Louletano
Louletano
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW2.00
HomeWW3.00
AwayLDW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%100%33%
AVG goals2.804.002.00
Over 1.5 %80%100%67%
Over 2.5 %60%100%33%
Over 3.5 %20%50%0%
Scored2.204.001.00
Conceded0.600.001.00
BTTS40%0%67%
Clean Sheet60%100%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

Neither club has a league record for this season yet, so there is no table to show.

← all matches