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FC Sion vs Baden Result & Analysis

Date: 09/02/2024
Time: 19:15
Final 4-1
FC Sion
FC Sion
Vs
61%
24%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Baden
Baden
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FC Sion win✓ Hit
61.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Baden win✗ Miss
14.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FC SionFC Sion

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W21W33D00D11D11D21W41W20WA·BAD21/10H·NEU27/10A·BEL05/11H·FC 10/11A·FC 26/11A·FC 08/12H·STA12/12H·FC 15/12A·FC 26/01H·FC 02/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.331.271.201.531.47
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (13)0.922.081.171.500.712.57
vs Weaker (16)1.880.691.500.882.250.50
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Baden) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BadenBaden

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L10W21W04L13L02L02L11D12L21WH·FC 21/10A·FC 27/10A·FC 05/11H·NEU10/11A·BEL26/11A·FC 08/12H·FC 16/12A·NEU26/01H·FC 30/01H·BEL04/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.902.000.902.300.901.70
vs Stronger (8)0.752.500.752.750.752.25
vs Similar (12)1.001.671.002.001.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.9%
Under 2.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.8%
1-0
11.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.5%
FC Sion goals ↓
Baden goals →
01234
07.7%4.5%2.3%0.6%0.1%
111%11%4.3%1.2%0.2%
212%9.8%4.1%1.1%0.2%
37.4%6.1%2.5%0.7%0.1%
43.5%2.9%1.2%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Sion goals (down), columns = Baden goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Sion
2.19
FC Thun
2.11
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.36
FC Vaduz
1.36
FC WIL 1900
1.22
Stade Nyonnais
1.19
FC Aarau
1.19
Bellinzona
1.17
FC Schaffhausen
1.06
Baden
0.72
FC Sion is 1.47 points better than Baden in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 0.72).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Thun
2.03
FC Sion
2.00
FC Vaduz
1.86
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.53
FC Aarau
1.42
FC WIL 1900
1.33
Stade Nyonnais
1.25
Bellinzona
1.08
FC Schaffhausen
1.00
Baden
0.86
FC Sion is 1.14 goals better than Baden in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.86).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Sion
0.64
FC Thun
1.06
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.25
Bellinzona
1.39
FC WIL 1900
1.44
FC Schaffhausen
1.53
FC Vaduz
1.53
Stade Nyonnais
1.61
FC Aarau
1.64
Baden
2.28
FC Sion is 1.64 goals better than Baden in terms of goals conceded per game (0.64 vs 2.28).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC SionFC Sion

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W13L00D11D00D01L10W20WA·BAD21/10H·NEU27/10A·BEL05/11H·FC 10/11A·FC 26/11A·FC 08/12H·STA12/12H·FC 15/12A·FC 26/01H·FC 02/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.670.600.730.73
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (13)0.921.001.170.500.711.43
vs Weaker (16)0.560.380.380.620.750.12
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Baden) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BadenBaden

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W11D03L12L02L01L01L01L11DH·FC 21/10A·FC 27/10A·FC 05/11H·NEU10/11A·BEL26/11A·FC 08/12H·FC 16/12A·NEU26/01H·FC 30/01H·BEL04/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.451.050.301.000.601.10
vs Stronger (8)0.121.000.000.750.251.25
vs Similar (12)0.671.080.501.170.831.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC SionFC Sion

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W11D20W00D00D11D20W31W00DA·BAD21/10H·NEU27/10A·BEL05/11H·FC 10/11A·FC 26/11A·FC 08/12H·STA12/12H·FC 15/12A·FC 26/01H·FC 02/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.600.600.800.73
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (13)0.001.080.001.000.001.14
vs Weaker (16)1.310.311.120.251.500.38
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Baden) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BadenBaden

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D10W01L01L00D01L10W11D10WH·FC 21/10A·FC 27/10A·FC 05/11H·NEU10/11A·BEL26/11A·FC 08/12H·FC 16/12A·NEU26/01H·FC 30/01H·BEL04/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.950.601.300.300.60
vs Stronger (8)0.621.500.752.000.501.00
vs Similar (12)0.330.580.500.830.170.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.1%-------✗ Miss

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

FC Sion · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Winsley Boteli Mokango78%
Ylyas Chouaref25%
Franck Surdez25%
Baltazar22%
Donat Rrudhani22%
ThÃĐo Berdayes22%
Jan Kronig11%
Rilind Nivokazi11%
Josias Lukembila11%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
Benjamin Kololli0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Nias Hefti0%
Ali Kabacalman0%
NoÃĐ Sow0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
Fode Sylla0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Numa Lavanchy22%
Baltazar22%
NoÃĐ Sow22%
Nias Hefti17%
Jan Kronig11%
Ali Kabacalman11%
Rilind Nivokazi11%
Donat Rrudhani11%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
Benjamin Kololli0%
Ylyas Chouaref0%
Josias Lukembila0%
Franck Surdez0%
ThÃĐo Berdayes0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
Winsley Boteli Mokango0%
Fode Sylla0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Franck Surdez38%
Ylyas Chouaref25%
Baltazar22%
Winsley Boteli Mokango22%
Marquinhos Cipriano17%
Fode Sylla14%
Ali Kabacalman11%
Rilind Nivokazi11%
Josias Lukembila11%
Donat Rrudhani11%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Jan Kronig0%
Benjamin Kololli0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Nias Hefti0%
NoÃĐ Sow0%
ThÃĐo Berdayes0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Winsley Boteli Mokango67%
Rilind Nivokazi22%
Donat Rrudhani22%
Ylyas Chouaref12%
Franck Surdez12%
ThÃĐo Berdayes11%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
Jan Kronig0%
Benjamin Kololli0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Baltazar0%
Nias Hefti0%
Ali Kabacalman0%
NoÃĐ Sow0%
Josias Lukembila0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
Fode Sylla0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (28)
€30m
FT (25)
€17m
FV (26)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
NXF (26)
€5m
BEL (34)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
SN (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (10)
€15m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
BEL (11)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (6)
€6m
FT (8)
€5m
FV (8)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
BEL (8)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (12)
€9m
FT (10)
€8m
FA (13)
€3m
BEL (15)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
FS wins
1
Draws
0
BAD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Sion vs Baden · H/A from FS
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23ABaden Vs FS0-4
01/09/23HFS Vs Baden1-1

FC SionFC Sion

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/02/24HFS Vs FC Aarau2-0
26/01/24AFC WIL 1900 Vs FS1-4
15/12/23HFS Vs FC Schaffhausen2-1
12/12/23HFS Vs Stade Nyonnais1-1
08/12/23AFC Thun Vs FS1-1
26/11/23AFC Aarau Vs FS0-0
10/11/23HFS Vs FC Vaduz3-3
05/11/23ABellinzona Vs FS1-2
27/10/23HFS Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC1-0
21/10/23ABaden Vs FS0-4

BadenBaden

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/24HBAD Vs Bellinzona2-1
30/01/24HBAD Vs FC Aarau1-2
26/01/24ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs BAD1-1
16/12/23HBAD Vs FC Thun0-2
08/12/23AFC Schaffhausen Vs BAD2-0
26/11/23ABellinzona Vs BAD3-1
10/11/23HBAD Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC0-4
05/11/23AFC Vaduz Vs BAD1-2
27/10/23AFC WIL 1900 Vs BAD0-1
21/10/23HBAD Vs FC Sion0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Sion
FC Sion
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.20
HomeWDDWW1.04
AwayWWDDW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%28%32%
AVG goals2.982.883.08
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %36%28%44%
Scored1.341.201.48
Conceded1.641.681.60
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners9.969.6410.29
Cards5.756.145.36
Baden
Baden
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.00
HomeLLLLW0.80
AwayWWLLD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%20%30%
AVG goals2.903.202.60
Over 1.5 %90%100%80%
Over 2.5 %50%60%40%
Over 3.5 %30%40%20%
Scored0.900.900.90
Conceded2.002.301.70
BTTS55%50%60%
Clean Sheet10%10%10%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC SionFC Sion3679
64%
2.2
7223+49
2.6
78%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
30
15692.00.6
-
2FC ThunFC Thun3676
64%
2.1
7338+35
3.1
78%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
4582.01.1
-
3FC VaduzFC Vaduz3649
36%
1.4
6755+12
3.4
81%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.91.5
-
4Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC3649
31%
1.4
5545+10
2.8
86%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.2
-
5FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19003644
31%
1.2
4852-4
2.8
78%
56%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.31.4
-
6FC AarauFC Aarau3643
33%
1.2
5159-8
3.1
83%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.41.6
-
7Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais3643
31%
1.2
4558-13
2.9
83%
44%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.6
-
8BellinzonaBellinzona3642
31%
1.2
3950-11
2.5
69%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.4
-
9FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen3638
22%
1.1
3655-19
2.5
78%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
10BadenBaden3626
17%
0.7
3182-51
3.1
86%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.3
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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