This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Magdeburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.12
1.82
1.11
1.44
1.12
2.25
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.10
2.20
0.75
1.00
1.33
3.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.40
2.00
2.33
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
24% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
FC St. Pauli goals ↓
1. FC Magdeburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
4.4%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
1
8.7%
11%
5.5%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.3%
9.9%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
6.0%
6.3%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.9%
3.0%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC St. Pauli goals (down), columns = 1. FC Magdeburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.85
SC Paderborn 07
1.68
Union Berlin
1.68
Hamburger SV
1.65
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
FC St. Pauli
1.44
Arminia Bielefeld
1.44
Holstein Kiel
1.44
Regensburg
1.44
SV Darmstadt 98
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.24
Dynamo Dresden
1.24
Erzgebirge Aue
1.18
SV Sandhausen
1.12
Ingolstadt
1.03
1. FC Magdeburg
0.91
Duisburg
0.82
FC St. Pauli is 0.53 points better than 1. FC Magdeburg in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 0.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
1. FC Köln
2.47
SC Paderborn 07
2.24
Holstein Kiel
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
Regensburg
1.62
Union Berlin
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
FC St. Pauli
1.35
Hamburger SV
1.32
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.32
Erzgebirge Aue
1.26
Ingolstadt
1.26
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Duisburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.09
1. FC Magdeburg
1.03
FC St. Pauli is 0.32 goals better than 1. FC Magdeburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union Berlin
0.97
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.32
1. FC Köln
1.38
Erzgebirge Aue
1.38
Dynamo Dresden
1.41
SC Paderborn 07
1.47
Arminia Bielefeld
1.47
VfL Bochum
1.47
Holstein Kiel
1.50
SV Sandhausen
1.53
FC St. Pauli
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.56
SV Darmstadt 98
1.56
Regensburg
1.59
Ingolstadt
1.62
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.65
Duisburg
1.91
FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Magdeburg are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC St. Pauli
For 4.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
1. FC Magdeburg
For 5.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC St. Pauli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.4
9.4
4.1
4.3
4.0
26.2
27.1
25.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
10.6
11.0
10.1
3.9
4.0
3.7
24.9
25.7
23.9
vs Weaker (18)
8.7
8.9
8.5
4.6
5.0
4.4
28.4
30.9
26.9
% over line
46%
56%
36%
64%
68%
60%
84%
88%
80%
% under line
54%
44%
64%
36%
32%
40%
16%
12%
20%
This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Magdeburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
7.8
8.0
7.5
4.5
4.8
4.2
26.9
27.0
26.9
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
8.5
-
6.0
6.0
-
24.5
24.5
-
vs Similar (10)
7.9
8.5
7.5
4.7
4.0
5.2
26.7
25.0
27.8
vs Weaker (5)
7.2
7.0
7.5
3.6
5.0
1.5
28.4
31.3
24.0
% over line
35%
33%
38%
71%
78%
62%
88%
78%
100%
% under line
65%
67%
62%
29%
22%
38%
12%
22%
0%
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SC Paderborn 07
11.9
1. FC Köln
10.8
Hamburger SV
10.6
1. FC Heidenheim
10.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.5
Ingolstadt
10.4
Arminia Bielefeld
10.4
SV Darmstadt 98
10.2
Regensburg
10.2
FC St. Pauli
9.9
Holstein Kiel
9.9
VfL Bochum
9.8
Union Berlin
9.6
Erzgebirge Aue
9.6
Dynamo Dresden
9.0
Duisburg
8.7
SV Sandhausen
8.7
1. FC Magdeburg
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SC Paderborn 07
5.2
Regensburg
4.9
1. FC Heidenheim
4.6
Erzgebirge Aue
4.6
1. FC Magdeburg
4.5
VfL Bochum
4.5
SV Darmstadt 98
4.5
Holstein Kiel
4.4
Duisburg
4.3
SV Sandhausen
4.3
Dynamo Dresden
4.2
Ingolstadt
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.0
1. FC Köln
4.0
Hamburger SV
3.9
Union Berlin
3.8
Arminia Bielefeld
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Regensburg
30.5
SV Sandhausen
30.3
Ingolstadt
30.2
1. FC Köln
29.0
Union Berlin
28.7
VfL Bochum
28.7
1. FC Heidenheim
28.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
28.4
Erzgebirge Aue
28.4
Duisburg
28.0
SC Paderborn 07
27.8
SV Darmstadt 98
27.7
Dynamo Dresden
27.4
1. FC Magdeburg
26.9
Hamburger SV
26.9
Holstein Kiel
26.9
Arminia Bielefeld
26.4
FC St. Pauli
26.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.2%
Under 9.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.2%
Under 3.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.2%
Under 21.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC St. Pauli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.67
0.33
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.56
0.58
0.42
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.58
1.00
0.00
0.44
0.78
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Magdeburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.35
0.76
0.44
0.67
0.25
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.30
1.00
0.25
0.75
0.33
1.17
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.60
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
41% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC St. Pauli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.80
0.60
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.61
0.83
0.58
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.58
0.67
0.67
0.56
0.56
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Magdeburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.76
1.06
0.67
0.78
0.88
1.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
1.20
0.50
0.25
1.00
1.83
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.80
1.33
1.33
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
35% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC St. Pauli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taichi Hara25%
Martijn Kaars25%
Marcus Mathisen25%
Branimir Hrgota0%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcus Mathisen50%
Arkadiusz Pyrka50%
Ricky-Jade Jones33%
Joel Chima Fujita33%
David Nemeth25%
Mathias Rasmussen25%
Tomoya Ando25%
Branimir Hrgota0%
Eric Smith0%
Taichi Hara0%
Martijn Kaars0%
Ben Voll0%
Louis Oppie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Branimir Hrgota25%
Taichi Hara25%
Arkadiusz Pyrka25%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Martijn Kaars0%
Marcus Mathisen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Martijn Kaars75%
Branimir Hrgota25%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Taichi Hara0%
Marcus Mathisen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
1. FC Magdeburg · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mateusz Żukowski67%
Emmanuel Iyoha33%
Alexander Nollenberger33%
Luka Hyryläinen33%
Dominik Reimann0%
Barış Atik0%
Tobias Müller0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Falko Michel0%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty0%
Pierre Nadjombe0%
Magnus Baars0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pierre Nadjombe67%
Barış Atik33%
Tobias Müller33%
Mateusz Żukowski33%
Alexander Nollenberger33%
Falko Michel33%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty33%
Luka Hyryläinen33%
Dominik Reimann0%
Emmanuel Iyoha0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Magnus Baars0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Barış Atik100%
Tobias Müller33%
Alexander Nollenberger33%
Luka Hyryläinen33%
Dominik Reimann0%
Emmanuel Iyoha0%
Mateusz Żukowski0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Falko Michel0%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty0%
Pierre Nadjombe0%
Magnus Baars0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mateusz Żukowski100%
Emmanuel Iyoha33%
Alexander Nollenberger33%
Falko Michel33%
Dominik Reimann0%
Barış Atik0%
Tobias Müller0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty0%
Pierre Nadjombe0%
Luka Hyryläinen0%
Magnus Baars0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
1FK (74)
€133m
UB (29)
€123m
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
SD9 (28)
€24m
1FM (26)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
DUI (26)
€9m
ING (26)
€7m
EA (18)
€2m
FC St. Pauli's squad is €25m more valuable than 1. FC Magdeburg's (€46m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
1FK (25)
€72m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SP0 (11)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
1FM (9)
€10m
FSP (7)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
SGF (6)
€4m
DUI (12)
€4m
ING (10)
€3m
EA (5)
€1m
FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Magdeburg have a similar attack value (both €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (5)
€34m
UB (6)
€26m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
1FM (4)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
DUI (4)
€2m
ING (4)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
FC St. Pauli's midfield is €12m more valuable than 1. FC Magdeburg's (€15m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UB (13)
€50m
1FK (33)
€43m
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
1FH (11)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
1FM (13)
€7m
ING (12)
€3m
DUI (10)
€3m
EA (8)
€1m
FC St. Pauli's defence is €14m more valuable than 1. FC Magdeburg's (€21m vs €7m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Köln
SC Paderborn 07
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
SV Darmstadt 98
VfL Bochum
Dynamo Dresden
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Sandhausen
Ingolstadt
Duisburg