This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Bochum
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.53
1.80
1.20
1.20
1.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
1.42
1.63
1.44
1.44
1.40
1.80
vs Weaker (9)
2.00
1.67
2.80
1.00
1.00
2.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-0 ✓
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.5%
FC St. Pauli goals ↓
VfL Bochum goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
5.5%
4.2%
1.8%
0.6%
1
7.8%
12%
7.0%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.5%
9.4%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
3
4.2%
5.3%
3.3%
1.4%
0.4%
4
1.8%
2.2%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC St. Pauli goals (down), columns = VfL Bochum goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.85
SC Paderborn 07
1.68
Union Berlin
1.68
Hamburger SV
1.65
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
FC St. Pauli
1.44
Arminia Bielefeld
1.44
Holstein Kiel
1.44
Regensburg
1.44
SV Darmstadt 98
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.24
Dynamo Dresden
1.24
Erzgebirge Aue
1.18
SV Sandhausen
1.12
Ingolstadt
1.03
1. FC Magdeburg
0.91
Duisburg
0.82
FC St. Pauli is 0.15 points better than VfL Bochum in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
1. FC Köln
2.47
SC Paderborn 07
2.24
Holstein Kiel
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
Regensburg
1.62
Union Berlin
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
FC St. Pauli
1.35
Hamburger SV
1.32
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.32
Erzgebirge Aue
1.26
Ingolstadt
1.26
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Duisburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.09
1. FC Magdeburg
1.03
FC St. Pauli is 0.09 goals worse than VfL Bochum in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union Berlin
0.97
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.32
1. FC Köln
1.38
Erzgebirge Aue
1.38
Dynamo Dresden
1.41
SC Paderborn 07
1.47
Arminia Bielefeld
1.47
VfL Bochum
1.47
Holstein Kiel
1.50
SV Sandhausen
1.53
FC St. Pauli
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.56
SV Darmstadt 98
1.56
Regensburg
1.59
Ingolstadt
1.62
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.65
Duisburg
1.91
FC St. Pauli is 0.09 goals worse than VfL Bochum in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC St. Pauli
For 4.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VfL Bochum
For 4.8 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 14.6 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC St. Pauli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.2
4.2
4.4
4.0
25.9
26.5
25.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
10.1
10.7
9.4
4.1
4.4
3.7
24.9
25.3
24.4
vs Weaker (19)
8.3
7.6
8.9
4.5
4.4
4.5
27.7
28.9
26.6
% over line
42%
46%
38%
68%
73%
62%
82%
88%
75%
% under line
58%
54%
62%
32%
27%
38%
18%
12%
25%
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Bochum
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.4
10.2
4.2
3.8
4.6
28.1
26.6
29.6
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
10.0
7.0
2.0
1.0
3.0
26.0
23.0
29.0
vs Similar (32)
10.9
10.9
10.9
4.3
3.8
4.9
27.8
26.5
29.1
vs Weaker (16)
9.2
9.4
9.1
4.3
4.2
4.4
29.1
27.2
30.9
% over line
54%
60%
48%
64%
52%
76%
94%
88%
100%
% under line
46%
40%
52%
36%
48%
24%
6%
12%
0%
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
11.5
Holstein Kiel
11.4
SC Paderborn 07
11.3
Regensburg
10.7
SV Darmstadt 98
10.5
1. FC Köln
10.5
1. FC Heidenheim
10.3
VfL Bochum
10.3
Ingolstadt
10.3
Union Berlin
10.0
Arminia Bielefeld
9.9
Hamburger SV
9.8
SV Sandhausen
9.7
Erzgebirge Aue
9.5
FC St. Pauli
9.4
Dynamo Dresden
9.3
Duisburg
9.2
1. FC Magdeburg
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SC Paderborn 07
5.2
1. FC Magdeburg
4.9
Erzgebirge Aue
4.7
Duisburg
4.6
Regensburg
4.6
Dynamo Dresden
4.6
1. FC Köln
4.4
1. FC Heidenheim
4.3
SV Sandhausen
4.3
VfL Bochum
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.2
SV Darmstadt 98
4.2
Union Berlin
4.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.2
Holstein Kiel
4.0
Ingolstadt
4.0
Hamburger SV
3.9
Arminia Bielefeld
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ingolstadt
30.1
Regensburg
29.4
1. FC Köln
29.3
Union Berlin
28.7
Duisburg
28.6
SV Sandhausen
28.5
Dynamo Dresden
28.4
VfL Bochum
28.1
Erzgebirge Aue
27.6
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
27.5
1. FC Heidenheim
26.9
SC Paderborn 07
26.8
SV Darmstadt 98
26.7
Arminia Bielefeld
26.5
Holstein Kiel
25.9
FC St. Pauli
25.9
1. FC Magdeburg
25.9
Hamburger SV
25.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.1%
Under 9.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.5%
Under 3.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.4%
Under 21.5
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC St. Pauli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.60
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.72
0.67
0.56
0.56
0.89
vs Weaker (12)
0.42
0.75
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.83
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Bochum
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.67
0.80
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.68
0.44
1.11
0.90
0.30
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.67
1.20
0.40
0.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Bochum over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Bochum over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Bochum over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC St. Pauli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.93
1.13
0.93
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.78
1.17
1.11
1.22
0.44
1.11
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.58
1.17
0.50
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Bochum
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.90
1.13
0.40
0.53
1.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.95
1.00
0.33
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
1.00
1.60
0.60
0.75
1.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Bochum over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Bochum over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Bochum over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC St. Pauli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taichi Hara25%
Martijn Kaars25%
Marcus Mathisen25%
Branimir Hrgota0%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcus Mathisen50%
Arkadiusz Pyrka50%
Ricky-Jade Jones33%
Joel Chima Fujita33%
David Nemeth25%
Mathias Rasmussen25%
Tomoya Ando25%
Branimir Hrgota0%
Eric Smith0%
Taichi Hara0%
Martijn Kaars0%
Ben Voll0%
Louis Oppie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Branimir Hrgota25%
Taichi Hara25%
Arkadiusz Pyrka25%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Martijn Kaars0%
Marcus Mathisen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Martijn Kaars75%
Branimir Hrgota25%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Taichi Hara0%
Marcus Mathisen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
VfL Bochum · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Philipp Hofmann50%
Christian Rasmussen25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Koji Miyoshi0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enis Çokaj67%
Philipp Hofmann50%
Mats Pannewig50%
Jean-Manuel Mbom33%
Daniel Hanslik33%
Tom Meyer33%
Maximilian Wittek25%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Koji Miyoshi0%
Karol Mets0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Koji Miyoshi25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Philipp Hofmann0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Philipp Hofmann25%
Koji Miyoshi25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
1FK (74)
€133m
UB (29)
€123m
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
SD9 (28)
€24m
1FM (26)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
DUI (26)
€9m
ING (26)
€7m
EA (18)
€2m
FC St. Pauli's squad is €27m more valuable than VfL Bochum's (€46m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
1FK (25)
€72m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SP0 (11)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
1FM (9)
€10m
FSP (7)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
SGF (6)
€4m
DUI (12)
€4m
ING (10)
€3m
EA (5)
€1m
FC St. Pauli's attack is €4m more valuable than VfL Bochum's (€10m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (5)
€34m
UB (6)
€26m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
1FM (4)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
DUI (4)
€2m
ING (4)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
FC St. Pauli's midfield is €10m more valuable than VfL Bochum's (€15m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UB (13)
€50m
1FK (33)
€43m
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
1FH (11)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
1FM (13)
€7m
ING (12)
€3m
DUI (10)
€3m
EA (8)
€1m
FC St. Pauli's defence is €13m more valuable than VfL Bochum's (€21m vs €8m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Köln
SC Paderborn 07
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
SV Darmstadt 98
Dynamo Dresden
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Erzgebirge Aue
SV Sandhausen
Ingolstadt
1. FC Magdeburg
Duisburg