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FC Stăuceni vs Făleşti Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 4-0
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Vs
77%
13%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Stăuceni win✓ Hit
77.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
13.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Făleşti win✗ Miss
9.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W01L00D00D60W20W20W41W31W10WH·FLO10/05H·SPE17/05A·SHE25/07A·SIR02/08H·OLI09/08A·FĂL16/08H·UNI23/08H·SHE29/08H·SIR13/09A·OLI20/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.072.401.271.530.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.381.151.751.120.801.20
vs Weaker (17)2.411.003.141.431.900.70
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W02L22D06L24L02L01L15L24L00DH·FLO17/05A·SAX21/05H·SIR26/07H·UNI01/08A·SHE08/08H·FC 16/08A·OLI23/08A·SIR30/08A·UNI13/09H·SHE19/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.570.862.291.562.81
vs Stronger (14)0.502.640.002.830.882.50
vs Similar (13)1.383.001.502.501.293.43
vs Weaker (3)4.000.331.500.009.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%2%04%112%217%319%417%528%6+
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.9%
Under 1.5
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
81.6%
Under 2.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.3%
No
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
7.0%
4-1
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
4-0 ✓
5.7%
1-1
5.1%
3-2
4.7%
FC Stăuceni goals ↓
Făleşti goals →
01234
01.7%1.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%
13.5%5.1%2.6%1.0%0.3%
26.5%7.5%4.3%1.7%0.5%
37.0%8.1%4.7%1.8%0.5%
45.7%6.6%3.8%1.5%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Stăuceni goals (down), columns = Făleşti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
FC Stăuceni is 1.81 points better than Făleşti in terms of average points per game (2.53 vs 0.73).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
FC Stăuceni is 1.86 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
FC Stăuceni is 1.75 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 2.55).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D00D20W10W10W20W21W00DH·FLO10/05H·SPE17/05A·SHE25/07A·SIR02/08H·OLI09/08A·FĂL16/08H·UNI23/08H·SHE29/08H·SIR13/09A·OLI20/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.040.571.500.930.570.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.201.170.330.500.00
vs Weaker (18)1.110.781.751.380.600.30
Clean sheet %68% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L11D02L02L01L01L04L02L00DH·FLO17/05A·SAX21/05H·SIR26/07H·UNI01/08A·SHE08/08H·FC 16/08A·OLI23/08A·SIR30/08A·UNI13/09H·SHE19/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.130.211.000.621.25
vs Stronger (14)0.141.210.001.140.291.29
vs Similar (13)0.541.310.601.200.501.38
vs Weaker (3)1.330.000.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D00D00D40W10W10W21W10W10WH·FLO10/05H·SPE17/05A·SHE25/07A·SIR02/08H·OLI09/08A·FĂL16/08H·UNI23/08H·SHE29/08H·SIR13/09A·OLI20/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.140.501.290.501.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.600.670.500.250.75
vs Weaker (18)1.500.441.750.501.300.40
Clean sheet %68% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D11D04L22D01L00D11D22D00DH·FLO17/05A·SAX21/05H·SIR26/07H·UNI01/08A·SHE08/08H·FC 16/08A·OLI23/08A·SIR30/08A·UNI13/09H·SHE19/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.400.431.431.191.38
vs Stronger (13)0.381.380.001.570.831.17
vs Similar (14)0.861.640.601.801.001.56
vs Weaker (3)2.670.331.500.005.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.581.6%-------✓ Hit
Home win77.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
FS wins
0
Draws
0
FĂL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Stăuceni vs Făleşti · H/A from FS
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/25AFăleşti Vs FS0-2
07/05/25AFăleşti Vs FS0-3
04/04/25HFS Vs Făleşti2-1

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25AOlimp Comrat Vs FS0-1
13/09/25HFS Vs Sireți3-1
29/08/25HFS Vs Sheriff II4-1
23/08/25HFS Vs Univer Comrat2-0
16/08/25AFăleşti Vs FS0-2
09/08/25HFS Vs Olimp Comrat6-0
02/08/25ASireți Vs FS0-0
25/07/25ASheriff II Vs FS0-0
17/05/25HFS Vs Speranis Nisporeni0-1
10/05/25HFS Vs Floreşti3-1

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/25HFĂL Vs Sheriff II0-0
13/09/25AUniver Comrat Vs FĂL4-2
30/08/25ASireți Vs FĂL5-1
23/08/25AOlimp Comrat Vs FĂL1-0
16/08/25HFĂL Vs FC Stăuceni0-2
08/08/25ASheriff II Vs FĂL4-2
01/08/25HFĂL Vs Univer Comrat0-6
26/07/25HFĂL Vs Sireți2-2
21/05/25ASaxan Vs FĂL2-0
17/05/25HFĂL Vs Floreşti2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.91
HomeLWWWW2.06
AwayWDDWW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %59%65%53%
AVG goals3.294.062.53
Over 1.5 %79%94%65%
Over 2.5 %59%71%47%
Over 3.5 %44%59%29%
Scored2.062.591.53
Conceded1.241.471.00
BTTS47%65%29%
Clean Sheet38%18%59%
Corners---
Cards---
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.88
HomeWDLLD1.04
AwayLLLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%29%23%
AVG goals3.883.544.19
Over 1.5 %88%83%92%
Over 2.5 %68%71%65%
Over 3.5 %46%46%46%
Scored1.301.171.42
Conceded2.582.382.77
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet14%21%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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