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FC Stăuceni vs Făleşti Prediction & Stats

Date: 17/10/2026
Time: 11:00
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Vs
53%
30%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape this tight, low-scoring encounter. FC Stăuceni, enjoying a 2-game winning streak, have been prolific at home, averaging 2.4 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded against weaker opposition. Fălești, meanwhile, struggle on the road, conceding 3.33 goals on average while scoring just 0.83 against stronger teams. The model therefore favours a home win, with a 53% chance, a 30% draw probability and a 17% chance of an away victory. The expected total is 2.1 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-0 for FC Stăuceni, with a 16.5% probability.

The model’s selections reflect the defensive narrative: Under 7.5 goals (99.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5%), Under 6.5 (99.5%), Under 5.5 (98.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (96.9%), Home +2 handicap (95.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.8%), and Under 4.5 (94.2%). Each pick is presented with its exact percentage, and the edge percentages are omitted as none are provided.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Stăuceni win
52.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Făleşti win
17.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L00D25L00D34L13L11D23L10W21WA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.332.430.641.691.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.801.002.500.501.331.33
vs Weaker (20)2.151.502.400.701.902.30
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L10W40W00D11D03L10W00D10W12LH·UNI21/03A·ZIM03/04H·OLI11/04H·SHE17/04A·OGU24/04A·SPA16/05H·VIC08/08A·OGU14/08A·FC 22/08H·FC 29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.171.072.130.932.20
vs Stronger (14)0.713.000.622.750.833.33
vs Similar (14)1.211.501.601.601.001.44
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.501.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
62.1%
Under 1.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
33.9%
Under 2.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
15.3%
Under 3.5
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
37.9%
No
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.5%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.0%
FC Stăuceni goals ↓
Făleşti goals →
01234
014%7.4%2.9%0.7%0.1%
116%13%4.0%0.9%0.2%
212%8.2%2.8%0.6%0.1%
35.6%3.8%1.3%0.3%0.0%
41.9%1.3%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Stăuceni goals (down), columns = Făleşti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
FC Stăuceni is 1.81 points better than Făleşti in terms of average points per game (2.53 vs 0.73).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
FC Stăuceni is 1.86 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
FC Stăuceni is 1.75 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 2.55).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Stăuceni or Draw
83.0%
Avg Implied -
53%
30%
17%
covers FC Stăuceni + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni or Făleşti
69.8%
Avg Implied -
53%
30%
17%
covers FC Stăuceni + Făleşti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Făleşti
47.2%
Avg Implied -
53%
30%
17%
covers Draw + Făleşti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5
Over
74.9%
Under
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5
Over
40.2%
Under
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5
Over
16.2%
Under
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 3.5
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5
Over
49.0%
Under
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5
Over
14.7%
Under
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 3.5
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Stăuceni, so a minus line means FC Stăuceni give that many goals of a start and Făleşti receive them. At -1, FC Stăuceni must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Stăuceni win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Stăuceni)
FC Stăuceni -2
10.2%
Draw -2
16.5%
Făleşti +2
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Stăuceni)
FC Stăuceni -1
26.7%
Draw -1
26.1%
Făleşti +1
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Stăuceni)
FC Stăuceni +1
83.0%
Draw +1
12.1%
Făleşti -1
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Stăuceni)
FC Stăuceni +2
95.1%
Draw +2
3.9%
Făleşti -2
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D12L00D21W02L11D02L00D20WA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.531.070.210.620.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.501.500.000.170.83
vs Weaker (20)0.900.550.900.300.900.80
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W30W00D11D01L00D00D00D02LH·UNI21/03A·ZIM03/04H·OLI11/04H·SHE17/04A·OGU24/04A·SPA16/05H·VIC08/08A·OGU14/08A·FC 22/08H·FC 29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.030.401.000.471.07
vs Stronger (14)0.211.290.251.250.171.33
vs Similar (14)0.710.860.800.800.670.89
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.50--
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D13L00D13L11D00D21W10W01LA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.801.360.431.061.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.100.501.000.501.170.50
vs Weaker (20)1.250.951.500.401.001.50
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W00D00D02L10W00D10W10WH·UNI21/03A·ZIM03/04H·OLI11/04H·SHE17/04A·OGU24/04A·SPA16/05H·VIC08/08A·OGU14/08A·FC 22/08H·FC 29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.130.671.130.471.13
vs Stronger (14)0.501.710.381.500.672.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.640.800.800.330.56
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.500.50--
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals99.5%-------
Under 6.599.5%-------
Under 5.598.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals96.9%-------
Home +2 handicap95.1%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.8%-------
Under 4.594.2%-------
Away under 1.5 goals85.3%-------
Under 3.584.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals83.8%-------
Home or Draw83.0%-------
Home +1 handicap83.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals74.9%-------
Away +2 handicap73.3%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
6
FS wins
0
Draws
0
FĂL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Stăuceni vs Făleşti · H/A from FS
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AFăleşti Vs FS1-2
08/11/25AFăleşti Vs FS3-7
27/09/25HFS Vs Făleşti4-0
16/08/25AFăleşti Vs FS0-2
07/05/25AFăleşti Vs FS0-3
04/04/25HFS Vs Făleşti2-1

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AFăleşti Vs FS1-2
22/08/26HFS Vs Oguzsport1-0
15/08/26AVictoria Bardar Vs FS3-2
01/08/26HFS Vs FC National Ialoveni1-1
16/05/26AIskra Vs FS3-1
09/05/26ASireți Vs FS4-3
05/05/26HFS Vs Floreşti0-0
01/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FS5-2
25/04/26HFS Vs Iskra0-0
17/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs FS5-1

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HFĂL Vs FC Stăuceni1-2
22/08/26AFC National Ialoveni Vs FĂL0-1
14/08/26AOguzsport Vs FĂL0-0
08/08/26HFĂL Vs Victoria Bardar1-0
16/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FĂL3-0
24/04/26AOguzsport Vs FĂL1-1
17/04/26HFĂL Vs Sheriff II0-0
11/04/26HFĂL Vs Olimp Comrat4-0
03/04/26AZimbru II Vs FĂL0-1
21/03/26HFĂL Vs Univer Comrat1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.66
HomeDDDDW1.87
AwayLLLLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals3.323.263.37
Over 1.5 %78%83%74%
Over 2.5 %60%57%63%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored1.942.171.74
Conceded1.381.091.63
BTTS54%57%52%
Clean Sheet34%30%37%
Corners---
Cards---
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL0.94
HomeLWDWL0.84
AwayWDLDW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%24%32%
AVG goals3.503.243.76
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored1.160.961.36
Conceded2.342.282.40
BTTS40%32%48%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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