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FC Stăuceni vs FC National Ialoveni Prediction & Stats

Date: 23/10/2026
Time: 14:00
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Vs
49%
31%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC National Ialoveni
FC National Ialoveni
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model sees a tight, low-scoring affair, with FC Stăuceni’s solid home defence and FC National Ialoveni’s struggling away attack pointing to a 49% chance of a home win, 31% for a draw and 21% for an away victory. The predicted total is 2.1 goals, with the most likely total of two goals at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, a 14.7% probability, reflecting Stăuceni’s 2.4 average goals scored at home against weaker opposition and only 0.7 conceded. National Ialoveni, playing away against a stronger side, averages just one goal scored and one conceded. The model’s selections underline the defensive nature: Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Under 5.5 (97.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.3%), Under 4.5 (93.5%) and Home +2 handicap (93.3%). The recent form shows Stăuceni on a two-game winning run after a 2-1 win over Fălești, while National Ialoveni comes off a win, 2-0 against Victoria Bardar, but the overall picture favours a narrow home victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Stăuceni win
48.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni win
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L00D25L00D34L13L11D23L10W21WA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.332.430.641.691.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.801.002.500.501.331.33
vs Weaker (20)2.151.502.400.701.902.30
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L01L20WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.000.001.501.500.50
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.671.000.001.502.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
64.1%
Under 1.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
35.9%
Under 2.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
16.7%
Under 3.5
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
41.6%
No
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
13.1%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
FC Stăuceni goals ↓
FC National Ialoveni goals →
01234
013%8.1%3.7%1.0%0.2%
115%14%5.0%1.3%0.3%
211%8.4%3.3%0.9%0.2%
34.8%3.8%1.5%0.4%0.1%
41.6%1.3%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Stăuceni goals (down), columns = FC National Ialoveni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
FC Stăuceni is 1.04 points better than FC National Ialoveni in terms of average points per game (2.53 vs 1.49).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
FC Stăuceni is 1.05 goals better than FC National Ialoveni in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 1.95).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
FC Stăuceni is 0.98 goals better than FC National Ialoveni in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.78).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Stăuceni or Draw
79.2%
Avg Implied -
49%
31%
21%
covers FC Stăuceni + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni or FC National Ialoveni
69.3%
Avg Implied -
49%
31%
21%
covers FC Stăuceni + FC National Ialoveni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC National Ialoveni
51.5%
Avg Implied -
49%
31%
21%
covers Draw + FC National Ialoveni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5
Over
73.9%
Under
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5
Over
38.8%
Under
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 3.5
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5
Over
54.6%
Under
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Stăuceni, so a minus line means FC Stăuceni give that many goals of a start and FC National Ialoveni receive them. At -1, FC Stăuceni must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Stăuceni win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Stăuceni)
FC Stăuceni -2
8.8%
Draw -2
15.0%
FC National Ialoveni +2
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Stăuceni)
FC Stăuceni -1
23.8%
Draw -1
24.7%
FC National Ialoveni +1
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Stăuceni)
FC Stăuceni +1
79.2%
Draw +1
14.0%
FC National Ialoveni -1
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Stăuceni)
FC Stăuceni +2
93.3%
Draw +2
5.2%
FC National Ialoveni -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D12L00D21W02L11D02L00D20WA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.531.070.210.620.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.501.500.000.170.83
vs Weaker (20)0.900.550.900.300.900.80
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D00D10WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.250.000.001.000.50
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.330.000.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D13L00D13L11D00D21W10W01LA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.801.360.431.061.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.100.501.000.501.170.50
vs Weaker (20)1.250.951.500.401.001.50
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC National Ialoveni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L10WA·FC 01/08H·OGU07/08H·FĂL22/08A·VIC28/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.750.001.500.500.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (3)0.331.000.001.501.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC National Ialoveni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.8%-------
Under 6.599.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals99.1%-------
Under 5.597.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals95.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.3%-------
Under 4.593.5%-------
Home +2 handicap93.3%-------
Home under 2.5 goals84.7%-------
Under 3.583.3%-------
Away under 1.5 goals81.3%-------
Home or Draw79.2%-------
Home +1 handicap79.2%-------
Away +2 handicap76.2%-------
Home over 0.5 goals73.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FS wins
1
Draws
0
FNI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Stăuceni vs FC National Ialoveni · H/A from FS
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HFS Vs FC National Ialoveni1-1

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AFăleşti Vs FS1-2
22/08/26HFS Vs Oguzsport1-0
15/08/26AVictoria Bardar Vs FS3-2
01/08/26HFS Vs FC National Ialoveni1-1
16/05/26AIskra Vs FS3-1
09/05/26ASireți Vs FS4-3
05/05/26HFS Vs Floreşti0-0
01/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FS5-2
25/04/26HFS Vs Iskra0-0
17/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs FS5-1

FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AVictoria Bardar Vs FNI0-2
22/08/26HFNI Vs Făleşti0-1
07/08/26HFNI Vs Oguzsport0-2
01/08/26AFC Stăuceni Vs FNI1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.66
HomeDDDDW1.87
AwayLLLLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals3.323.263.37
Over 1.5 %78%83%74%
Over 2.5 %60%57%63%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored1.942.171.74
Conceded1.381.091.63
BTTS54%57%52%
Clean Sheet34%30%37%
Corners---
Cards---
FC National Ialoveni
FC National Ialoveni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLW1.00
HomeLL0.00
AwayDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%0%50%
AVG goals1.751.502.00
Over 1.5 %75%50%100%
Over 2.5 %0%0%0%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.750.001.50
Conceded1.001.500.50
BTTS25%0%50%
Clean Sheet25%0%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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