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FC Thun vs FC Schaffhausen Result & Analysis

Date: 11/11/2022
Time: 19:15
Final 2-1
FC Thun
FC Thun
Vs
46%
24%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Schaffhausen
FC Schaffhausen
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FC Thun win✓ Hit
46.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen win✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FC ThunFC Thun

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W22D21W22D02L13L12L22D13LA·FC 26/08H·LAU02/09A·STA10/09H·NEU30/09A·FC 07/10H·STA14/10H·YVE17/10A·LAU21/10A·NEU28/10H·FC 04/11
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.801.291.711.621.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.252.001.501.501.002.50
vs Weaker (11)1.551.731.201.801.831.67
Clean sheet %7% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schaffhausen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D02L31W22D03L11D02L34L00DH·YVE27/08A·FC 04/09H·FC 09/09A·BEL02/10H·FC 09/10A·YVE14/10A·NEU17/10H·STA22/10A·FC 28/10H·LAU04/11
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.600.751.121.572.14
vs Stronger (6)0.502.000.501.000.504.00
vs Similar (9)1.561.331.001.252.001.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.0%
Under 1.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.4%
Under 2.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.7%
Under 3.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.1%
No
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1 ✓
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
3-2
4.4%
FC Thun goals ↓
FC Schaffhausen goals →
01234
04.0%3.9%3.7%1.9%0.7%
15.1%10%7.1%3.7%1.4%
25.8%8.9%6.9%3.5%1.4%
33.7%5.7%4.4%2.3%0.9%
41.8%2.8%2.1%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Thun goals (down), columns = FC Schaffhausen goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Yverdon Sport
1.83
Lausanne
1.69
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.67
FC Aarau
1.58
FC WIL 1900
1.56
FC Thun
1.36
FC Schaffhausen
1.22
Bellinzona
1.03
FC Vaduz
1.03
Neuchatel Xamax FC
0.67
FC Thun is 0.14 points better than FC Schaffhausen in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.22).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.94
Yverdon Sport
1.78
FC Aarau
1.75
FC WIL 1900
1.72
FC Thun
1.72
Lausanne
1.61
FC Vaduz
1.50
FC Schaffhausen
1.42
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.17
Bellinzona
1.06
FC Thun is 0.31 goals better than FC Schaffhausen in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 1.42).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lausanne
1.19
FC WIL 1900
1.44
Yverdon Sport
1.47
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.47
FC Thun
1.53
FC Vaduz
1.56
FC Aarau
1.58
FC Schaffhausen
1.64
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.81
Bellinzona
1.97
FC Thun is 0.11 goals better than FC Schaffhausen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.64).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC ThunFC Thun

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W21W11D10W00D02L02L10W01LA·FC 26/08H·LAU02/09A·STA10/09H·NEU30/09A·FC 07/10H·STA14/10H·YVE17/10A·LAU21/10A·NEU28/10H·FC 04/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.430.570.620.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.251.500.501.000.002.00
vs Weaker (11)0.640.450.400.400.830.50
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schaffhausen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L00D20W02L00D01L01L00DH·YVE27/08A·FC 04/09H·FC 09/09A·BEL02/10H·FC 09/10A·YVE14/10A·NEU17/10H·STA22/10A·FC 28/10H·LAU04/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.500.380.290.86
vs Stronger (6)0.500.830.500.250.502.00
vs Similar (9)0.330.440.500.500.200.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Thun over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC ThunFC Thun

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L10W12L02L11D10W12L12LA·FC 26/08H·LAU02/09A·STA10/09H·NEU30/09A·FC 07/10H·STA14/10H·YVE17/10A·LAU21/10A·NEU28/10H·FC 04/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.070.861.141.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.000.501.000.501.000.50
vs Weaker (11)0.911.270.801.401.001.17
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schaffhausen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W01L31W02L01L11D01L33D00DH·YVE27/08A·FC 04/09H·FC 09/09A·BEL02/10H·FC 09/10A·YVE14/10A·NEU17/10H·STA22/10A·FC 28/10H·LAU04/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.000.250.751.291.29
vs Stronger (6)0.001.170.000.750.002.00
vs Similar (9)1.220.890.500.751.801.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Thun over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.0%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

FC Thun · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brighton Labeau50%
Furkan Dursun33%
Layton Stewart25%
Marc Gutbub25%
Nicolas BÞrgy17%
N. Maier17%
N. Reichmuth17%
J. Bamert0%
Justin Roth0%
N. Steffen0%
F. Fehr0%
F. Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
N. Zoukit0%
Lucien DÃĪhler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
S. Lengen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
F. Fehr50%
Nicolas BÞrgy33%
Furkan Dursun33%
N. Zoukit20%
Justin Roth17%
N. Steffen17%
N. Reichmuth17%
Brighton Labeau0%
J. Bamert0%
Layton Stewart0%
N. Maier0%
F. Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
Lucien DÃĪhler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
Marc Gutbub0%
S. Lengen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marc Gutbub50%
Furkan Dursun33%
Dorian Derbaci33%
F. Fehr25%
F. Saiz20%
N. Zoukit20%
Lucien DÃĪhler20%
Nicolas BÞrgy17%
Brighton Labeau0%
J. Bamert0%
Justin Roth0%
Layton Stewart0%
N. Maier0%
N. Steffen0%
N. Reichmuth0%
Michael Heule0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
S. Lengen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Furkan Dursun33%
S. Lengen33%
N. Reichmuth17%
Brighton Labeau0%
J. Bamert0%
Nicolas BÞrgy0%
Justin Roth0%
Layton Stewart0%
N. Maier0%
N. Steffen0%
F. Fehr0%
F. Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
N. Zoukit0%
Lucien DÃĪhler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
Marc Gutbub0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAU (23)
€27m
FT (25)
€17m
SL (24)
€6m
FV (26)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
BEL (34)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAU (8)
€9m
FT (7)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FV (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
BEL (11)
€2m
FW1 (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
FV (8)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
BEL (8)
€1m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAU (10)
€13m
FT (10)
€8m
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
BEL (15)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FT wins
0
Draws
1
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Thun vs FC Schaffhausen · H/A from FT
DateH/AGameScore
15/07/22AFC Schaffhausen Vs FT1-0

FC ThunFC Thun

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/22HFT Vs FC WIL 19001-3
28/10/22ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs FT2-2
21/10/22ALausanne Vs FT2-1
17/10/22HFT Vs Yverdon Sport1-3
14/10/22HFT Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0-2
07/10/22AFC Aarau Vs FT2-2
30/09/22HFT Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-1
10/09/22AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs FT2-2
02/09/22HFT Vs Lausanne2-0
26/08/22AFC WIL 1900 Vs FT1-1

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/22HFS Vs Lausanne0-0
28/10/22AFC WIL 1900 Vs FS4-3
22/10/22HFS Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0-2
17/10/22ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs FS1-1
14/10/22AYverdon Sport Vs FS3-0
09/10/22HFS Vs FC Vaduz2-2
02/10/22ABellinzona Vs FS1-3
09/09/22HFS Vs FC Aarau0-2
04/09/22AFC Vaduz Vs FS1-1
27/08/22HFS Vs Yverdon Sport1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Thun
FC Thun
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.00
HomeWWLLL1.14
AwayDDDLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%29%12%
AVG goals3.273.003.50
Over 1.5 %93%100%88%
Over 2.5 %67%57%75%
Over 3.5 %53%43%62%
Scored1.471.291.62
Conceded1.801.711.88
BTTS80%71%88%
Clean Sheet7%14%0%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Schaffhausen
FC Schaffhausen
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.07
HomeLLDLD1.00
AwayDWLDL1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%25%29%
AVG goals2.731.883.71
Over 1.5 %80%62%100%
Over 2.5 %40%25%57%
Over 3.5 %27%12%43%
Scored1.130.751.57
Conceded1.601.122.14
BTTS47%25%71%
Clean Sheet27%38%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Yverdon SportYverdon Sport3666
56%
1.8
6453+11
3.2
86%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.81.5
-
2LausanneLausanne3661
47%
1.7
5843+15
2.8
75%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
95131.61.2
-
3Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy3660
47%
1.7
7053+17
3.4
86%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.91.5
-
4FC AarauFC Aarau3657
42%
1.6
6357+6
3.3
81%
64%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.81.6
-
5FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19003656
44%
1.6
6252+10
3.2
83%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.71.4
-
6FC ThunFC Thun3649
33%
1.4
6255+7
3.2
89%
64%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
4581.71.5
-
7FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen3644
33%
1.2
5159-8
3.1
83%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
8FC VaduzFC Vaduz3637
19%
1.0
5456-2
3.1
81%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.6
-
9BellinzonaBellinzona3637
31%
1.0
3871-33
3.0
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.12.0
-
10Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC3624
11%
0.7
4265-23
3.0
89%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.8
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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