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FC Thun vs FC Schaffhausen Result & Analysis

Date: 27/10/2024
Time: 15:30
Final 3-1
FC Thun
FC Thun
Vs
62%
23%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Schaffhausen
FC Schaffhausen
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Thun win✓ Hit
61.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen win✗ Miss
15.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC ThunFC Thun

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W11D20W42W22D12L00D10W00D02LH·FC 28/07H·STA02/08A·ÉTO09/08H·STA25/08A·FC 30/08H·BEL20/09A·FC 23/09H·NEU27/09A·BEL04/10A·FC 19/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.002.330.871.271.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
vs Weaker (28)1.821.042.430.931.211.14
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schaffhausen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W11D12L22D12L21W02L12L03LA·STA26/07A·STA02/08H·FC 11/08A·BEL24/08H·FC 30/08H·NEU20/09A·FC 23/09H·FC 27/09A·NEU04/10H·FC 18/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.571.131.801.271.33
vs Stronger (9)0.892.110.802.201.002.00
vs Similar (21)1.331.331.301.601.361.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.8%
Under 2.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.4%
Under 3.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
3-0
7.3%
3-1 ✓
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
FC Thun goals ↓
FC Schaffhausen goals →
01234
06.4%3.9%2.2%0.7%0.2%
19.9%11%4.5%1.4%0.3%
211%9.9%4.5%1.4%0.3%
37.3%6.6%3.0%0.9%0.2%
43.6%3.3%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Thun goals (down), columns = FC Schaffhausen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Thun
2.00
FC Aarau
1.69
Étoile Carouge
1.50
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.47
FC Vaduz
1.42
FC WIL 1900
1.39
Bellinzona
1.31
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.14
Stade Nyonnais
1.00
FC Schaffhausen
0.78
FC Thun is 1.22 points better than FC Schaffhausen in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.78).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Thun
1.94
FC Aarau
1.75
Étoile Carouge
1.61
FC WIL 1900
1.61
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.58
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.50
Bellinzona
1.33
FC Vaduz
1.33
Stade Nyonnais
1.22
FC Schaffhausen
1.11
FC Thun is 0.83 goals better than FC Schaffhausen in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Thun
1.08
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.19
FC Aarau
1.25
Étoile Carouge
1.31
FC Vaduz
1.36
Bellinzona
1.58
FC WIL 1900
1.58
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.81
FC Schaffhausen
1.92
Stade Nyonnais
1.92
FC Thun is 0.83 goals better than FC Schaffhausen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.92).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC ThunFC Thun

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W11D12L00D00D00D00D00DH·FC 28/07H·STA02/08A·ÉTO09/08H·STA25/08A·FC 30/08H·BEL20/09A·FC 23/09H·NEU27/09A·BEL04/10A·FC 19/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.670.270.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (28)0.610.430.640.290.570.57
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schaffhausen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L02L21W10W11D01L02L03LA·STA26/07A·STA02/08H·FC 11/08A·BEL24/08H·FC 30/08H·NEU20/09A·FC 23/09H·FC 27/09A·NEU04/10H·FC 18/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.871.130.400.60
vs Stronger (9)0.671.440.801.800.501.00
vs Similar (21)0.620.620.900.800.360.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Thun over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC ThunFC Thun

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L00D31W10W12L00D10W00D02LH·FC 28/07H·STA02/08A·ÉTO09/08H·STA25/08A·FC 30/08H·BEL20/09A·FC 23/09H·NEU27/09A·BEL04/10A·FC 19/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.571.670.600.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (28)1.210.611.790.640.640.57
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Schaffhausen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W10W01L02L10W01L10W00DA·STA26/07A·STA02/08H·FC 11/08A·BEL24/08H·FC 30/08H·NEU20/09A·FC 23/09H·FC 27/09A·NEU04/10H·FC 18/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.270.670.870.73
vs Stronger (9)0.220.670.000.400.501.00
vs Similar (21)0.710.710.400.801.000.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Thun over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Schaffhausen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Thun · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brighton Labeau60%
Layton Stewart25%
Marc Gutbub25%
Nicolas Bürgy20%
Nico Maier20%
Nils Reichmuth20%
Jan Bamert0%
Justin Roth0%
Niklas Steffen0%
Fabio Fehr0%
Fabio Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
Nassim Zoukit0%
Lucien Dähler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolas Bürgy40%
Fabio Fehr33%
Justin Roth20%
Niklas Steffen20%
Nils Reichmuth20%
Brighton Labeau0%
Jan Bamert0%
Layton Stewart0%
Nico Maier0%
Fabio Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
Nassim Zoukit0%
Lucien Dähler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
Marc Gutbub0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marc Gutbub50%
Fabio Fehr33%
Dorian Derbaci33%
Fabio Saiz25%
Nassim Zoukit25%
Lucien Dähler25%
Nicolas Bürgy20%
Brighton Labeau0%
Jan Bamert0%
Justin Roth0%
Layton Stewart0%
Nico Maier0%
Niklas Steffen0%
Nils Reichmuth0%
Michael Heule0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brighton Labeau0%
Jan Bamert0%
Nicolas Bürgy0%
Justin Roth0%
Layton Stewart0%
Nico Maier0%
Niklas Steffen0%
Fabio Fehr0%
Nils Reichmuth0%
Fabio Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
Nassim Zoukit0%
Lucien Dähler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
Marc Gutbub0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (25)
€17m
SL (24)
€6m
FV (26)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
NXF (26)
€5m
BEL (34)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (7)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
FV (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
BEL (11)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (8)
€5m
FV (8)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
BEL (8)
€1m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (10)
€8m
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
BEL (15)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
FT wins
2
Draws
1
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Thun vs FC Schaffhausen · H/A from FT
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/24AFC Schaffhausen Vs FT2-2
11/05/24HFT Vs FC Schaffhausen3-0
09/02/24AFC Schaffhausen Vs FT1-1
11/11/23HFT Vs FC Schaffhausen1-0
28/07/23AFC Schaffhausen Vs FT0-1
27/05/23HFT Vs FC Schaffhausen2-3
05/03/23AFC Schaffhausen Vs FT0-5
11/11/22HFT Vs FC Schaffhausen2-1

FC ThunFC Thun

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24AFC Vaduz Vs FT2-0
04/10/24ABellinzona Vs FT0-0
27/09/24HFT Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC1-0
23/09/24AFC WIL 1900 Vs FT0-0
20/09/24HFT Vs Bellinzona1-2
30/08/24AFC Schaffhausen Vs FT2-2
25/08/24HFT Vs Stade Nyonnais4-2
09/08/24AÉtoile Carouge Vs FT0-2
02/08/24HFT Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-1
28/07/24HFT Vs FC Vaduz2-0

FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/24HFS Vs FC Aarau0-3
04/10/24ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs FS2-1
27/09/24HFS Vs FC WIL 19000-2
23/09/24AFC Aarau Vs FS1-2
20/09/24HFS Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC1-2
30/08/24HFS Vs FC Thun2-2
24/08/24ABellinzona Vs FS2-1
11/08/24HFS Vs FC Vaduz1-1
02/08/24AStade Nyonnais Vs FS0-3
26/07/24AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs FS0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Thun
FC Thun
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDL1.92
HomeWDWLW2.32
AwayWDDDL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%72%40%
AVG goals2.943.162.72
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.862.281.44
Conceded1.080.881.28
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet40%40%40%
Corners---
Cards5.005.00-
FC Schaffhausen
FC Schaffhausen
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.06
HomeDDLLL1.00
AwayWWLWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%16%32%
AVG goals2.642.642.64
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %52%44%60%
Over 3.5 %22%32%12%
Scored1.081.121.04
Conceded1.561.521.60
BTTS58%68%48%
Clean Sheet18%12%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC ThunFC Thun3672
58%
2.0
7039+31
3.0
83%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
4581.91.1
-
2FC AarauFC Aarau3661
44%
1.7
6345+18
3.0
83%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.81.2
-
3Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge3654
42%
1.5
5847+11
2.9
75%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.3
-
4Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy3653
39%
1.5
5443+11
2.7
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.51.2
-
5FC VaduzFC Vaduz3651
36%
1.4
4849-1
2.7
69%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.4
-
6FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19003650
36%
1.4
5857+1
3.2
89%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.61.6
-
7BellinzonaBellinzona3647
33%
1.3
4857-9
2.9
92%
67%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.6
-
8Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC3641
33%
1.1
5765-8
3.4
92%
75%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.8
-
9Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais3636
28%
1.0
4469-25
3.1
83%
67%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.9
-
10FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen3628
19%
0.8
4069-29
3.0
78%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

← all matches