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FC UFA vs Enisey Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
FC UFA
FC UFA
Vs
39%
29%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Enisey
Enisey
Russia: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

FC UFA and Enisey face off in a finely balanced match. The home side is coming off a defeat, having lost 0-3 to Ural in their last outing. Meanwhile, Enisey is looking to bounce back from a draw against KAMAZ, where they scored two goals.

FC UFA is the favourite to win, with a 39% chance of securing a home win and the model picking this outcome as the most likely result. However, Enisey has a 32% chance of winning away and a 29% chance of the match ending in a draw. The expected total goals is 2.5, with a most likely total of 2 goals.

The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14%. FC UFA has struggled to score at home, averaging 1.12 goals per game against stronger opponents, while conceding 0.75 goals. Enisey, on the other hand, has been prolific away from home, scoring an average of 3 goals per game against weaker opponents, but conceding 1.5 goals.

The model's selections include Under 3.5 goals, with a 75.1% probability, and Over 1.5 goals, with a 73.1% probability. FC UFA has a 39% chance of winning, Enisey has a 32% chance of winning, and a draw is 29% likely.

Results analysis

The win extends FC UFA’s recent run, giving the home side a fresh boost after a 3-1 triumph over Enisey. The Pythia model predicted a home win with a 39 % probability, and the call proved correct as FC UFA edged the visitors 3-1. The model’s selection of Under 7.5 goals, with a 99.5 % chance, hit, as did Under 6.5 (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.1 %) and Under 5.5 (95.6 %). Home under 2.5 2H goals, at 96.4 %, missed, but the overall performance of the model’s selections was largely accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC UFA win✓ Hit
38.9%
Avg Implied 31.9% · @ 2.90
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.01
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.91
Superbet
2.90
Dafabet
2.90
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.13
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.28
Pinnacle
3.26
Marathonbet
3.18
Dafabet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Enisey win✗ Miss
31.8%
Avg Implied 38.5% · @ 2.40
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.46
1xBet
2.45
Dafabet
2.41
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC UFAFC UFA

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L01L10W10W10W11D03L11DA·URA12/04H·CHE18/04H·KAM22/04A·ROD26/04H·ROT10/05A·SPA16/05H·SKA26/07H·KAM03/08A·URA08/08A·SPA17/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.171.191.000.641.36
vs Stronger (9)0.671.001.001.000.401.00
vs Similar (21)1.051.241.251.000.781.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EniseyEnisey

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W40W20W02L10W01L41W22D00D22DH·CHE17/04A·FK 22/04H·FK 26/04A·FAK03/05H·ARS11/05A·TOR16/05H·VEL26/07A·SPA01/08H·TEK08/08H·KAM15/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.001.190.441.641.64
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (29)1.381.001.190.441.621.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.1%
@ 1.39+7.3%
Under 1.5
26.9%
@ 2.68-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.87
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Superbet
2.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.3%
@ 2.31+5.6%
Under 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.59-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.29
Superbet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.53
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.8%
@ 4.22+3.2%
Under 3.5
75.2%
@ 1.17-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.49
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.6%
@ 1.95+5.2%
No
47.4%
@ 1.76-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
No
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.73

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 5.54+6.2%
1-0
9.4%@ 7.05+3.3%
0-0
9.3%@ 7.32+3.4%
2-1
8.5%@ 10.37+4.4%
0-1
8.2%@ 6.28+1.4%
1-2
7.6%@ 9.28+2.9%
2-0
7.1%@ 13.25+3.9%
0-2
5.7%@ 10.37+1.5%
FC UFA goals ↓
Enisey goals →
01234
09.3%8.2%5.7%2.2%0.7%
19.4%14%7.6%3.0%0.9%
27.1%8.5%5.1%2.0%0.6%
33.2%3.8%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.1%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC UFA goals (down), columns = Enisey goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
FC UFA is 0.67 points better than Enisey in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
FC UFA is 0.33 goals worse than Enisey in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
FC UFA is 0.33 goals better than Enisey in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC UFAFC UFA

For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1005510H·SKA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

60223331334111213251234646523565H·SKAA·CHAH·FAKH·ARSA·CHEH·ENIH·FK A·VOLA·FK H·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

EniseyEnisey

For 2.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 6.0

🚩 Corners

60246H·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 0.8 · Total 2.6

🟨 Cards

50314111212311324005235232H·ROTH·RODA·SKAH·CHEA·FC A·KAMH·SPAA·VOLA·CHEH·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 18.0 · Total 32.0

⚠️ Fouls

320141832H·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC UFAFC UFA

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.0-2.72.52.9---
vs Stronger (15)---2.53.02.2---
vs Similar (35)10.010.0-2.82.43.3---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line100%100%-42%38%46%---
% under line0%0%-58%62%54%---
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EniseyEnisey

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)6.06.0-2.32.22.432.032.0-
vs Stronger (2)---4.0-4.0---
vs Similar (48)6.06.0-2.22.22.332.032.0-
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line0%0%-32%31%33%100%100%-
% under line100%100%-68%69%67%0%0%-
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.0%
@ 1.93-7.1%
Under 9.5
59.0%
@ 1.79+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.0%
Under 3.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC UFA or Draw✓ Hit
68.2%
Avg Implied 61.4% · @ 1.50
Edge
+6.7%
39%
29%
32%
covers FC UFA + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.49
SBO
1.43
FC UFA or Enisey✓ Hit
70.7%
Avg Implied 70.5% · @ 1.31
Edge
+0.3%
39%
29%
32%
covers FC UFA + Enisey
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
SBO
1.27
Draw or Enisey✗ Miss
61.1%
Avg Implied 68.1% · @ 1.35
Edge
-7.0%
39%
29%
32%
covers Draw + Enisey
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
SBO
1.32

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC UFA over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.8%
@ 1.42+8.5%
Under
26.2%
@ 2.66-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.81
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.64
Superbet
2.55
FC UFA over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.7%
@ 3.01+8.0%
Under
61.3%
@ 1.33-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.19
Marathonbet
3.10
Superbet
2.95
1xBet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.30
FC UFA over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.2%
@ 7.53+3.1%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.04-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
7.70
Superbet
6.80
Under
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
FC UFA over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enisey over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.6%
@ 1.32-0.0%
Under
30.4%
@ 3.03+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.19
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Superbet
2.85
Enisey over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.4%
@ 2.60-2.3%
Under
66.6%
@ 1.45+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
Marathonbet
2.62
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.46
Under
1xBet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Enisey over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 6.10-3.1%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.07+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
5.65
Under
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Enisey over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC UFA, so a minus line means FC UFA give that many goals of a start and Enisey receive them. At -1, FC UFA must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC UFA win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC UFA)Actual: Draw
FC UFA -2
6.6%
@ 6.80-5.0%
Draw -2
11.8%
@ 4.55-5.6%
Enisey +2
81.6%
@ 1.11+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.80
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (FC UFA)Actual: FC UFA
FC UFA -1
18.4%
@ 6.40+4.5%
Draw -1
20.5%
@ 4.30-0.2%
Enisey +1
61.1%
@ 1.36-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.36
Handicap +1 (FC UFA)Actual: FC UFA
FC UFA +1
68.2%
@ 1.53+10.0%
Draw +1
18.1%
@ 3.74-5.7%
Enisey -1
13.8%
@ 4.95-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.53
Draw
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Marathonbet
4.95
Handicap +2 (FC UFA)Actual: FC UFA
FC UFA +2
86.2%
@ 1.11+15.0%
Draw +2
9.3%
@ 4.65-7.7%
Enisey -2
4.4%
@ 6.75-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Marathonbet
6.75

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC UFAFC UFA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D00D10W10W00D01L00DA·URA12/04H·CHE18/04H·KAM22/04A·ROD26/04H·ROT10/05A·SPA16/05H·SKA26/07H·KAM03/08A·URA08/08A·SPA17/08
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.370.620.250.360.50
vs Stronger (9)0.330.220.500.250.200.20
vs Similar (21)0.570.430.670.250.440.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EniseyEnisey

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W00D10W01L20W11D00D01LH·CHE17/04A·FK 22/04H·FK 26/04A·FAK03/05H·ARS11/05A·TOR16/05H·VEL26/07A·SPA01/08H·TEK08/08H·KAM15/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.370.620.190.500.57
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.380.620.190.540.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.7%
@ 1.48+5.8%
Under 0.5
31.3%
@ 2.50-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.62
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.37
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.9%
@ 3.25+4.5%
Under 1.5
67.1%
@ 1.28-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Superbet
3.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.0%
@ 8.23+0.1%
Under 2.5
89.0%
@ 1.01-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.60
Superbet
7.50
Under
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC UFA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.9%
@ 2.41+2.6%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.50-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
FC UFA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 9.30+0.2%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.03-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
9.30
Under
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
FC UFA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enisey over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.1%
@ 2.19+5.0%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.60-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Enisey over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 7.90+0.9%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.05-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Enisey over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC UFAFC UFA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L01L10W00D00D11D02L11DA·URA12/04H·CHE18/04H·KAM22/04A·ROD26/04H·ROT10/05A·SPA16/05H·SKA26/07H·KAM03/08A·URA08/08A·SPA17/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.800.560.750.290.86
vs Stronger (9)0.330.780.500.750.200.80
vs Similar (21)0.480.810.580.750.330.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Enisey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EniseyEnisey

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W10W02L00D00D21W11D00D21WH·CHE17/04A·FK 22/04H·FK 26/04A·FAK03/05H·ARS11/05A·TOR16/05H·VEL26/07A·SPA01/08H·TEK08/08H·KAM15/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.630.560.251.141.07
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (29)0.790.620.560.251.081.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.0%
@ 1.30+7.5%
Under 0.5
22.0%
@ 3.11-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
1xBet
3.16
Marathonbet
3.16
Superbet
3.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.5%
@ 2.44+3.9%
Under 1.5
58.5%
@ 1.47-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.44
1xBet
2.44
Under
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
17.1%
@ 5.52+0.8%
Under 2.5
82.9%
@ 1.08-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.65
Superbet
5.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC UFA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.6%
@ 2.02+5.0%
Under
49.4%
@ 1.69-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Under
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
FC UFA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.3%
@ 6.65+1.5%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.07-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.65
Under
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
FC UFA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enisey over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.4%
@ 1.87+2.9%
Under
47.6%
@ 1.83-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Enisey over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.1%
@ 5.60+0.6%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.11-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Enisey over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.4%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.6%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+1.4%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.8%1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
----0.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.0%1.01
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---0.1%✓ Hit
Under 4.588.7%1.01
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---0.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals88.2%1.07
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
--+3.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals87.4%1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
----0.9%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap86.2%1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
----+15.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals84.8%1.04
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
---3.1%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.7%1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
----1.5%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals82.9%1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
----0.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals82.9%1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
---0.8%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap81.6%1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
----+10.6%✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards80.6%--------
Under 11.5 corners80.5%1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
---+7.4%-
Over 0.5 2H goals78.0%1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
--+7.5%✓ Hit
Under 3.575.2%1.17
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
--3.2%✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards74.2%--------
Home over 0.5 goals73.8%1.42
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.40
-+8.5%✓ Hit
Over 1.573.1%1.39
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
-+7.3%✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners70.9%1.46
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
--+8.0%-
Home or Away70.7%1.31
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
SBO
1.27
-+0.3%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FC UFA and Enisey have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FC UFA and Enisey have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FC UFA and Enisey have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FC UFA and Enisey have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
FU wins
2
Draws
4
ENI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC UFA vs Enisey · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
28/03/26AEnisey Vs FU1-0
03/11/25HFU Vs Enisey3-0
15/10/25AEnisey Vs FU1-1
15/03/25HFU Vs Enisey0-1
20/10/24AEnisey Vs FU1-0
13/05/23HFU Vs Enisey2-2
24/10/22AEnisey Vs FU3-1

FC UFAFC UFA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/26ASpartak Kostroma Vs FU1-1
08/08/26AUral Vs FU3-0
03/08/26HFU Vs KAMAZ1-1
26/07/26HFU Vs Ska-khabarovsk1-0
16/05/26ASpartak Kostroma Vs FU0-1
10/05/26HFU Vs Rotor Volgograd1-0
26/04/26ARodina Moskva Vs FU1-0
22/04/26HFU Vs KAMAZ0-1
18/04/26HFU Vs Chernomorets1-0
12/04/26AUral Vs FU0-0

EniseyEnisey

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HENI Vs KAMAZ2-2
08/08/26HENI Vs Tekstilshchik0-0
01/08/26ASpartak Kostroma Vs ENI2-2
26/07/26HENI Vs Veles4-1
16/05/26ATorpedo Moskva Vs ENI1-0
11/05/26HENI Vs Arsenal Tula1-0
03/05/26AFakel Vs ENI2-0
26/04/26HENI Vs FK Neftekhimik2-0
22/04/26AFK Sokol Saratov Vs ENI0-4
17/04/26HENI Vs Chelyabinsk3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC UFA
FC UFA
Russia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLD1.14
HomeWLWWD1.65
AwayDLWLD0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%46%8%
AVG goals2.122.192.04
Over 1.5 %60%58%62%
Over 2.5 %34%38%29%
Over 3.5 %18%19%17%
Scored0.921.150.67
Conceded1.201.041.38
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet32%46%17%
Corners10.0010.00-
Cards4.303.725.00
Enisey
Enisey
Russia: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDD1.48
HomeWWWDD1.73
AwayWWLLD1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%29%
AVG goals2.281.922.67
Over 1.5 %64%54%75%
Over 2.5 %42%31%54%
Over 3.5 %20%12%29%
Scored1.181.121.25
Conceded1.100.811.42
BTTS38%31%46%
Clean Sheet40%54%25%
Corners6.006.00-
Cards3.623.623.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC SochiFC Sochi718
86%
2.6
167+9
3.3
86%
86%
29%
10.5
100%
5.5
100%
-
0%
15
5192.31.0
54%
2Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod716
71%
2.3
2110+11
4.4
100%
100%
71%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
6393.01.4
50%
3VelesVeles715
71%
2.1
1110+1
3.0
86%
57%
29%
4.5
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
5
2221.61.4
54%
4UralUral612
50%
2.0
113+8
2.3
83%
50%
17%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
11
4241.80.5
40%
5FC UFAFC UFA611
50%
1.8
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
10.5
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
5
2221.21.0
46%
6Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva610
50%
1.7
114+7
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5141.80.7
-
7Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd810
38%
1.2
108+2
2.2
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl69
33%
1.5
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.2
-
9Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma69
33%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
50%
33%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3241.21.2
49%
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula89
25%
1.1
713-6
2.5
62%
50%
38%
8.5
50%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3230.91.6
52%
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik89
38%
1.1
512-7
2.1
50%
25%
12%
8.5
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
5
2120.61.5
54%
12EniseyEnisey67
17%
1.2
98+1
2.8
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.3
-
13Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk67
33%
1.2
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
33%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
6
2131.21.5
52%
14LeningradetsLeningradets66
17%
1.0
45-1
1.5
50%
33%
0%
12.5
100%
4.0
50%
-
0%
5
1120.70.8
50%
15KAMAZKAMAZ75
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
71%
43%
29%
15.0
100%
3.0
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
46%
16TekstilshchikTekstilshchik75
14%
0.7
27-5
1.3
29%
14%
14%
9.0
50%
5.5
100%
-
0%
5
2120.31.0
49%
17ChelyabinskChelyabinsk64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
9
4131.02.2
50%
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk73
14%
0.4
514-9
2.7
71%
43%
29%
6.5
50%
2.5
50%
-
0%
6
2230.72.0
46%
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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