FC UFA and Enisey face off in a finely balanced match. The home side is coming off a defeat, having lost 0-3 to Ural in their last outing. Meanwhile, Enisey is looking to bounce back from a draw against KAMAZ, where they scored two goals.
FC UFA is the favourite to win, with a 39% chance of securing a home win and the model picking this outcome as the most likely result. However, Enisey has a 32% chance of winning away and a 29% chance of the match ending in a draw. The expected total goals is 2.5, with a most likely total of 2 goals.
The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14%. FC UFA has struggled to score at home, averaging 1.12 goals per game against stronger opponents, while conceding 0.75 goals. Enisey, on the other hand, has been prolific away from home, scoring an average of 3 goals per game against weaker opponents, but conceding 1.5 goals.
The model's selections include Under 3.5 goals, with a 75.1% probability, and Over 1.5 goals, with a 73.1% probability. FC UFA has a 39% chance of winning, Enisey has a 32% chance of winning, and a draw is 29% likely.
The win extends FC UFA’s recent run, giving the home side a fresh boost after a 3-1 triumph over Enisey. The Pythia model predicted a home win with a 39 % probability, and the call proved correct as FC UFA edged the visitors 3-1. The model’s selection of Under 7.5 goals, with a 99.5 % chance, hit, as did Under 6.5 (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.1 %) and Under 5.5 (95.6 %). Home under 2.5 2H goals, at 96.4 %, missed, but the overall performance of the model’s selections was largely accurate.
FC UFA| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 1.17 | 1.19 | 1.00 | 0.64 | 1.36 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (21) | 1.05 | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 1.56 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (-4pp vs league) | |||||
Enisey| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.19 | 0.44 | 1.64 | 1.64 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 2.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (29) | 1.38 | 1.00 | 1.19 | 0.44 | 1.62 | 1.69 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+6pp vs league) | |||||
| Enisey goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 14% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
FC UFA
Enisey
FC UFA| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.9 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (15) | - | - | - | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.2 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (35) | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | 2.8 | 2.4 | 3.3 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 100% | 100% | - | 42% | 38% | 46% | - | - | - |
| % under line | 0% | 0% | - | 58% | 62% | 54% | - | - | - |
Enisey| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 32.0 | 32.0 | - |
| vs Stronger (2) | - | - | - | 4.0 | - | 4.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (48) | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 32.0 | 32.0 | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 0% | 0% | - | 32% | 31% | 33% | 100% | 100% | - |
| % under line | 100% | 100% | - | 68% | 69% | 67% | 0% | 0% | - |
FC UFA| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 0.37 | 0.62 | 0.25 | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.33 | 0.22 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.57 | 0.43 | 0.67 | 0.25 | 0.44 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 70% (+36pp vs league) | |||||
Enisey| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.37 | 0.62 | 0.19 | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (29) | 0.59 | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.19 | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
FC UFA| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 0.80 | 0.56 | 0.75 | 0.29 | 0.86 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.33 | 0.78 | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.48 | 0.81 | 0.58 | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.89 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+6pp vs league) | |||||
Enisey| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 0.63 | 0.56 | 0.25 | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 2.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (29) | 0.79 | 0.62 | 0.56 | 0.25 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+19pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | 99.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 6.5 | 98.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 98.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 97.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 96.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 96.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 96.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 5.5 | 95.6% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 95.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 89.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | -0.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 89.0% | 1.01 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | -0.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 4.5 | 88.7% | 1.01 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | -0.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 88.2% | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | +3.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 87.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | -0.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Home +2 handicap | 86.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +15.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 84.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.03 | - | - | -3.1% | ✗ Miss |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 84.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | -1.5% | ✗ Miss |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 82.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | -0.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 82.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | -0.8% | ✗ Miss |
| Away +2 handicap | 81.6% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +10.6% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 5.5 cards | 80.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 80.5% | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +7.4% | - |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 78.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | +7.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 75.2% | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.16 | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | -3.2% | ✗ Miss |
| Over 2.5 cards | 74.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home over 0.5 goals | 73.8% | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.40 | - | +8.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | +7.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 10.5 corners | 70.9% | 1.46 | 1.49 | 1.45 | 1.44 | - | - | +8.0% | - |
| Home or Away | 70.7% | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.27 | - | +0.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 03/11/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 15/10/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 15/03/25 | H | 0-1 | |
| 20/10/24 | A | 1-0 | |
| 13/05/23 | H | 2-2 | |
| 24/10/22 | A | 3-1 |
FC UFA| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 03/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 26/07/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 0-0 |
Enisey| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 08/08/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 26/07/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 11/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 3-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Sochi | 7 | 18 | 86% | 2.6 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 3.3 | 86% | 86% | 29% | 10.5 | 100% | 5.5 | 100% | - | 0% | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 54% |
| 2 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | 16 | 71% | 2.3 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 71% | 11.0 | 100% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 3 | Veles | 7 | 15 | 71% | 2.1 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 3.0 | 86% | 57% | 29% | 4.5 | 0% | 3.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 54% |
| 4 | Ural | 6 | 12 | 50% | 2.0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 2.3 | 83% | 50% | 17% | 6.0 | 0% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 40% |
| 5 | FC UFA | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 10.5 | 100% | 4.0 | 100% | 27.0 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 6 | Torpedo Moskva | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 2.5 | 83% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | - |
| 7 | Rotor Volgograd | 8 | 10 | 38% | 1.2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 2.2 | 62% | 38% | 12% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 2.5 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | - |
| 9 | Spartak Kostroma | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.3 | 67% | 50% | 33% | 12.0 | 100% | 5.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 49% |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 8 | 9 | 25% | 1.1 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 2.5 | 62% | 50% | 38% | 8.5 | 50% | 5.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 52% |
| 11 | FK Neftekhimik | 8 | 9 | 38% | 1.1 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2.1 | 50% | 25% | 12% | 8.5 | 50% | 4.5 | 100% | 27.0 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 54% |
| 12 | Enisey | 6 | 7 | 17% | 1.2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 2.8 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | - |
| 13 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 2.7 | 83% | 50% | 33% | 6.0 | 0% | 5.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 52% |
| 14 | Leningradets | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 0% | 12.5 | 100% | 4.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 50% |
| 15 | KAMAZ | 7 | 5 | 14% | 0.7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 2.6 | 71% | 43% | 29% | 15.0 | 100% | 3.0 | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 46% |
| 16 | Tekstilshchik | 7 | 5 | 14% | 0.7 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1.3 | 29% | 14% | 14% | 9.0 | 50% | 5.5 | 100% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 49% |
| 17 | Chelyabinsk | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3.2 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 11.0 | 100% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 50% |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 7 | 3 | 14% | 0.4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2.7 | 71% | 43% | 29% | 6.5 | 50% | 2.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 46% |