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FC UFA vs Ska-khabarovsk Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
FC UFA
FC UFA
Vs
49%
29%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ska-khabarovsk
Ska-khabarovsk
Russia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives FC UFA a 49% win probability against Ska-khabarovsk in the Russia: First League on 2026-07-26, with 29% for the draw and 22% for Ska-khabarovsk. The model estimates around 2.4 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.6%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 11.5 corners (79%), Under 3.5 (79%), Under 5.5 cards (78%), Over 2.5 cards (76%).

Results analysis

FC UFA finished 1-0 against Ska-khabarovsk (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 49% home win, 29% draw and 22% away win. Picks that landed: Under 11.5 corners (79%), Under 3.5 (79%), Under 5.5 cards (78%), Over 2.5 cards (76%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC UFA win✓ Hit
49.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk win✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC UFAFC UFA

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21W01L11D00D10W01L01L10W10WH·FK 15/03H·VOL21/03A·ENI28/03H·TOR06/04A·URA12/04H·CHE18/04H·KAM22/04A·ROD26/04H·ROT10/05A·SPA16/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.171.330.930.671.40
vs Stronger (17)0.710.821.000.750.440.89
vs Similar (13)1.381.621.711.141.002.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L14L11D22D12L03L03L00D20W01LH·ARS22/03A·TOR30/03H·VOL05/04A·CHE11/04H·ROT18/04A·SPA22/04A·SHI26/04A·FAK08/05H·FK 16/05A·ROT20/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.431.141.140.811.69
vs Stronger (5)0.601.601.502.000.001.33
vs Similar (22)0.951.551.181.090.732.00
vs Weaker (3)1.670.330.000.002.500.50
Clean sheet %20% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.6%
Under 1.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.1%
Under 2.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.4%
Under 3.5
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.8%
No
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0 ✓
12.6%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.0%
FC UFA goals ↓
Ska-khabarovsk goals →
01234
011%7.2%3.8%1.1%0.3%
113%14%5.5%1.6%0.4%
210%9.1%4.1%1.2%0.3%
35.0%4.5%2.0%0.6%0.1%
41.8%1.6%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC UFA goals (down), columns = Ska-khabarovsk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ural
1.79
FC Sochi
1.68
Rotor Volgograd
1.65
Nizhny Novgorod
1.62
Enisey
1.44
KAMAZ
1.44
Spartak Kostroma
1.44
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.41
Torpedo Moskva
1.35
Tekstilshchik
1.34
Chelyabinsk
1.29
Leningradets
1.29
FK Neftekhimik
1.26
Veles
1.25
Ska-khabarovsk
1.18
Arsenal Tula
1.15
FC UFA
1.12
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.09
FC UFA is 0.06 points worse than Ska-khabarovsk in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.46
Nizhny Novgorod
1.40
Rotor Volgograd
1.38
KAMAZ
1.35
Spartak Kostroma
1.35
Chelyabinsk
1.24
Arsenal Tula
1.24
FK Neftekhimik
1.18
Tekstilshchik
1.16
Leningradets
1.12
Enisey
1.09
Torpedo Moskva
1.09
Veles
1.09
Ska-khabarovsk
1.03
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.03
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
FC UFA
0.97
FC UFA is 0.06 goals worse than Ska-khabarovsk in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rotor Volgograd
0.76
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.82
Ural
0.91
FC Sochi
0.92
Nizhny Novgorod
0.96
KAMAZ
1.00
Enisey
1.03
FC UFA
1.12
Torpedo Moskva
1.15
Tekstilshchik
1.16
Chelyabinsk
1.18
Leningradets
1.20
Spartak Kostroma
1.21
FK Neftekhimik
1.21
Veles
1.24
Arsenal Tula
1.29
Ska-khabarovsk
1.36
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.41
FC UFA is 0.24 goals better than Ska-khabarovsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FK Neftekhimik
51%
Enisey
50%
Arsenal Tula
50%
Ska-khabarovsk
50%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Torpedo Moskva
48%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC UFAFC UFA

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 2.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

60333133411121325123226465235654A·CHAH·FAKH·ARSA·CHEH·ENIH·FK A·VOLA·FK H·SPAH·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

For 6.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

1103292511A·FAKA·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

100213642121311332233100334452A·TORA·FK A·KAMH·ENIH·URAA·FK H·FAKH·FK A·RODH·SHI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FC UFAFC UFA

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---3.12.83.4---
vs Stronger (30)---3.03.32.6---
vs Similar (20)---3.41.94.5---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---48%42%54%---
% under line---52%58%46%---
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.0-8.02.62.23.0---
vs Stronger (8)---2.51.44.3---
vs Similar (34)8.0-8.02.42.32.5---
vs Weaker (8)---3.42.73.8---
% over line50%-50%30%29%31%---
% under line50%-50%70%71%69%---
This opponent (FC UFA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
12.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.4
Veles
9.4
FC Sochi
9.2
Ural
9.0
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.4
Ska-khabarovsk
8.0
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
FC UFA
6.7
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Veles
4.7
FC Sochi
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.4
KAMAZ
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.4
FC UFA
4.3
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.8
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.7
Enisey
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
Nizhny Novgorod
28.4
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.4%
Under 9.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC UFAFC UFA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W01L10W00D00D00D00D00D10WH·FK 15/03H·VOL21/03A·ENI28/03H·TOR06/04A·URA12/04H·CHE18/04H·KAM22/04A·ROD26/04H·ROT10/05A·SPA16/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.600.270.330.60
vs Stronger (17)0.350.290.380.120.330.44
vs Similar (13)0.620.620.860.430.330.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L11D20W12L02L03L00D20W00DH·ARS22/03A·TOR30/03H·VOL05/04A·CHE11/04H·ROT18/04A·SPA22/04A·SHI26/04A·FAK08/05H·FK 16/05A·ROT20/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.900.570.860.380.94
vs Stronger (5)0.201.000.502.000.000.33
vs Similar (22)0.500.950.640.730.361.18
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC UFA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners78.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (34)
€29m
NN (33)
€24m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (15)
€12m
FS (12)
€9m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€8m
NN (5)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (15)
€11m
NN (13)
€9m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

FC UFA vs Ska-khabarovsk · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
19/07/25HFU Vs Ska-khabarovsk1-1
10/11/24ASka-khabarovsk Vs FU1-0
05/10/24HFU Vs Ska-khabarovsk3-3
02/04/23HFU Vs Ska-khabarovsk3-0
11/09/22ASka-khabarovsk Vs FU1-1

FC UFAFC UFA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26ASpartak Kostroma Vs FU0-1
10/05/26HFU Vs Rotor Volgograd1-0
26/04/26ARodina Moskva Vs FU1-0
22/04/26HFU Vs KAMAZ0-1
18/04/26HFU Vs Chernomorets1-0
12/04/26AUral Vs FU0-0
06/04/26HFU Vs Torpedo Moskva1-1
28/03/26AEnisey Vs FU1-0
21/03/26HFU Vs Volga Ulyanovsk2-1
15/03/26HFU Vs FK Sokol Saratov2-0

Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/07/26ARotor Volgograd Vs SKA1-0
16/05/26HSKA Vs FK Neftekhimik2-0
08/05/26AFakel Vs SKA0-0
26/04/26AShinnik Yaroslavl Vs SKA3-0
22/04/26ASpartak Kostroma Vs SKA3-0
18/04/26HSKA Vs Rotor Volgograd1-2
11/04/26AChelyabinsk Vs SKA2-2
05/04/26HSKA Vs Volga Ulyanovsk1-1
30/03/26ATorpedo Moskva Vs SKA4-1
22/03/26HSKA Vs Arsenal Tula1-3

📊 13. Overall Statistics

FC UFA
FC UFA
Russia: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.10
HomeWDWLW1.71
AwayLLDLW0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%50%8%
AVG goals2.182.252.12
Over 1.5 %58%58%58%
Over 2.5 %36%42%31%
Over 3.5 %20%21%19%
Scored0.941.210.69
Conceded1.241.041.42
BTTS38%33%42%
Clean Sheet34%50%19%
Corners---
Cards4.213.724.65
Ska-khabarovsk
Ska-khabarovsk
Russia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL1.36
HomeDLDLW1.46
AwayDLLDL1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%35%
AVG goals2.242.172.31
Over 1.5 %66%67%65%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %20%17%23%
Scored1.061.121.00
Conceded1.181.041.31
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet32%33%31%
Corners8.00-8.00
Cards3.472.894.05

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod512
80%
2.4
156+9
4.2
100%
100%
60%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
24
12393.01.2
-
2FC SochiFC Sochi512
80%
2.4
114+7
3.0
80%
80%
20%
10.5
100%
5.5
100%
-
0%
29
98112.20.8
-
3Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
4VelesVeles59
60%
1.8
810-2
3.6
100%
80%
40%
3.0
0%
1.0
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
-
5UralUral48
50%
2.0
71+6
2.0
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.2
-
6Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula68
33%
1.3
59-4
2.3
50%
50%
33%
11.0
100%
6.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
50%
7EniseyEnisey46
25%
1.5
85+3
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
50%
8Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma46
25%
1.5
64+2
2.5
75%
50%
50%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
49%
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk46
50%
1.5
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
10FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik66
33%
1.0
411-7
2.5
67%
33%
17%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
51%
11LeningradetsLeningradets45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
50%
0%
10.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
12Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl45
25%
1.2
56-1
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
13FC UFAFC UFA45
25%
1.2
35-2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
10.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
14TekstilshchikTekstilshchik55
20%
1.0
24-2
1.2
20%
20%
20%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.40.8
-
15Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva44
25%
1.0
64+2
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
48%
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk53
20%
0.6
38-5
2.2
60%
40%
20%
6.5
50%
2.5
50%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
50%
17ChelyabinskChelyabinsk43
25%
0.8
410-6
3.5
100%
75%
50%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
18KAMAZKAMAZ52
0%
0.4
48-4
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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