FC UFA are the clear favourites to win at home, with a 56% chance of triumph, 27% for a draw and 17% for a Veles victory. The model projects an average of 2.4 goals, most likely a 1-0 result for the hosts with a 13.4% probability. FC UFA have been scoring 1.38 goals per game and conceding only 1.0 against teams of similar strength, while Veles, on the road, average 1.25 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. The recent form shows FC UFA on a two-game winning streak after a 1-0 win over FK Neftekhimik, and Veles on a three-game winning run following a 1-0 victory over Tekstilshchik. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.1%, Under 6.5 at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.3%, Under 5.5 at 96.4%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.6%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC UFA win
55.5%
Avg Implied 39.8% · @ 2.31
Edge
+15.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.42
Pinnacle
2.41
Marathonbet
2.35
Dafabet
2.29
Superbet
2.27
Draw
27.2%
Avg Implied 30.9% · @ 2.98
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.06
Dafabet
3.05
Superbet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.99
Marathonbet
2.97
Veles win
17.3%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.14
Edge
-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.24
Pinnacle
3.22
Dafabet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC UFA
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.03
1.25
0.88
0.57
1.21
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.75
0.67
0.33
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.09
1.14
1.38
1.00
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Veles
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.53
1.53
0.93
1.20
2.13
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.20
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (25)
1.44
1.60
1.62
0.92
1.25
2.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.2%
@ 1.45+6.8%
Under 1.5
29.8%
@ 2.51-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.65
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.43
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.9%
@ 2.45+4.7%
Under 2.5
57.1%
@ 1.52-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.49
Marathonbet
2.45
Superbet
2.37
Under
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.49
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
22.1%
@ 4.51+1.8%
Under 3.5
77.9%
@ 1.15-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.74
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Superbet
4.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Both teams to score
Yes
44.9%
@ 2.02-0.8%
No
55.1%
@ 1.70+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
No
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.4%@ 5.85+6.1%
1-1
12.7%@ 5.42+4.8%
2-0
11.7%@ 9.80+7.3%
0-0
10.3%@ 6.22+3.4%
2-1
9.3%@ 9.45+4.7%
3-0
6.3%@ 23.35+4.4%
0-1
6.1%@ 7.12+0.0%
3-1
5.0%@ 22.37+3.0%
FC UFA goals ↓
Veles goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
6.1%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
4.6%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.3%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
6.3%
5.0%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.5%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC UFA goals (down), columns = Veles goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
FC UFA is 0.31 points worse than Veles in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 2.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
FC UFA is 0.40 goals worse than Veles in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
FC UFA is 0.43 goals better than Veles in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
FC UFA is 7.0 percentage points worse than Veles in terms of average possession (46% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC UFA
For 4.5 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Veles
For 4.3 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC UFA
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.0
11.0
2.5
2.4
2.6
27.0
-
27.0
vs Stronger (15)
-
-
-
2.5
3.0
2.2
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
10.5
10.0
11.0
2.5
2.2
2.9
27.0
-
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
40%
36%
44%
100%
-
100%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
60%
64%
56%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Veles
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
8.8
8.8
8.9
1.6
1.7
1.5
-
-
-
vs Stronger (8)
10.0
8.0
11.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
8.5
8.9
8.2
1.5
1.6
1.5
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
31%
38%
25%
24%
25%
23%
-
-
-
% under line
69%
62%
75%
76%
75%
77%
-
-
-
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
Arsenal Tula
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Ural
8.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
31.4%
Under 9.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathonbet
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 3.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.0%
Under 21.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC UFA or Draw
82.7%
Avg Implied 70.8% · @ 1.30
Edge
+11.9%
55%
27%
17%
covers FC UFA + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
SBO
1.27
FC UFA or Veles
72.8%
Avg Implied 69.1% · @ 1.34
Edge
+3.7%
55%
27%
17%
covers FC UFA + Veles
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
SBO
1.28
Draw or Veles
44.5%
Avg Implied 60.1% · @ 1.54
Edge
-15.5%
55%
27%
17%
covers Draw + Veles
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
SBO
1.49
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC UFA over/under 0.5
Over
79.9%
@ 1.33+10.7%
Under
20.1%
@ 3.00-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
1xBet
2.93
Marathonbet
2.93
Superbet
2.90
FC UFA over/under 1.5
Over
47.6%
@ 2.67+12.7%
Under
52.4%
@ 1.43-12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
Marathonbet
2.69
Superbet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.42
FC UFA over/under 2.5
Over
21.7%
@ 6.35+7.3%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.07-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.30
Superbet
5.60
Under
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
FC UFA over/under 3.5
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Veles over/under 0.5
Over
54.8%
@ 1.48-7.7%
Under
45.2%
@ 2.46+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.57
Marathonbet
2.43
1xBet
2.43
Superbet
2.37
Veles over/under 1.5
Over
18.9%
@ 3.34-8.9%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.29+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.51
Marathonbet
3.40
Superbet
3.25
1xBet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Veles over/under 2.5
Over
4.6%
@ 8.85-5.7%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Marathonbet
8.60
Superbet
7.60
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Veles over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC UFA, so a minus line means FC UFA give that many goals of a start and Veles receive them. At -1, FC UFA must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC UFA win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC UFA)
FC UFA -2
13.0%
@ 6.70+1.2%
Draw -2
17.5%
@ 4.50-0.1%
Veles +2
69.4%
@ 1.12-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.70
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (FC UFA)
FC UFA -1
30.6%
@ 4.70+11.8%
Draw -1
24.9%
@ 3.74+1.3%
Veles +1
44.5%
@ 1.53-13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.70
Draw
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Marathonbet
1.53
Handicap +1 (FC UFA)
FC UFA +1
82.7%
@ 1.32+15.7%
Draw +1
11.7%
@ 4.45-8.1%
Veles -1
5.5%
@ 6.75-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.32
Draw
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Marathonbet
6.75
Handicap +2 (FC UFA)
FC UFA +2
94.5%
Draw +2
4.3%
Veles -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC UFA
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.33
0.56
0.19
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.12
0.33
0.00
0.20
0.20
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.41
0.62
0.23
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Veles
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.47
0.40
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.72
0.54
0.38
0.50
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
64.0%
@ 1.55+3.6%
Under 0.5
36.0%
@ 2.36-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.47
Superbet
2.32
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.1%
@ 3.36+3.0%
Under 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.25-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.36
1xBet
3.36
Superbet
3.25
Under
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.9%
@ 8.70+0.5%
Under 2.5
89.1%
@ 1.01-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Marathonbet
8.70
Superbet
7.80
Under
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC UFA over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.1%
@ 2.23+5.5%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.59-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.17
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
FC UFA over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.1%
@ 7.60-1.0%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.05+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
FC UFA over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Veles over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.1%
@ 2.59+5.3%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.44-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Marathonbet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Under
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Veles over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.3%
@ 9.85-1.1%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.02+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.70
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Veles over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC UFA
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.69
0.69
0.21
0.71
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.62
0.33
0.33
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.73
0.77
0.77
0.22
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Veles
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.87
1.07
0.53
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.92
0.88
1.08
0.54
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.6%
@ 1.33+8.4%
Under 0.5
22.4%
@ 2.99-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Under
1xBet
2.99
Marathonbet
2.99
Superbet
2.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.3%
@ 2.54+7.2%
Under 1.5
56.7%
@ 1.44-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.54
Marathonbet
2.54
Superbet
2.52
Under
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.5%
@ 5.75+1.8%
Under 2.5
82.5%
@ 1.07-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.75
Superbet
5.50
Under
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC UFA over/under 0.5 2H
Over
61.4%
@ 1.85+11.7%
Under
38.6%
@ 1.83-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
FC UFA over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.3%
@ 5.40+2.2%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.11-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Under
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
FC UFA over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Veles over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.7%
@ 2.13+0.5%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.62-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Under
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Superbet
1.61
Veles over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.0%
@ 7.10-1.0%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.06+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Under
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Veles over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.5%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.4%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.7%
Home +2 handicap
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.7%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.1%
Under 4.5
90.5%
1.01
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
+0.9%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.01
Superbet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-0.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
+1.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.0%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
-
+1.0%
Under 11.5 corners
87.0%
-
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
82.7%
1.30
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
SBO
1.27
-
+11.9%
Home +1 handicap
82.7%
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+15.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.07
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-1.8%
Away under 1.5 goals
81.1%
1.29
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.25
-
+8.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
-2.2%
Under 5.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.9%
1.33
Marathonbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
-
+10.7%
Under 10.5 corners
79.1%
-
Marathonbet
1.37
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.3%
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
-7.3%
Under 3.5
77.9%
1.15
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-1.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
-
-
+8.4%
Over 2.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.8%
1.34
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
SBO
1.28
-
+3.7%
Over 1.5
70.2%
1.45
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
-
+6.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
FC UFA and Veles have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
FC UFA and Veles have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
FC UFA and Veles have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
FC UFA and Veles have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Ural
Torpedo Moskva
Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Spartak Kostroma
Arsenal Tula
FK Neftekhimik
Enisey
Volga Ulyanovsk
Leningradets
KAMAZ
Tekstilshchik
Chelyabinsk
Ska-khabarovsk