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FC Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction & Stats

Date: 06/11/2026
Time: 16:00
FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Vs
30%
24%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FC Urartu’s recent draw streak and modest 1.27 average goals scored at home contrast with Ararat-Armenia’s 1.14 average away goals and only one conceded, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The model predicts a 46% chance of an away win, 29% for a home win and 24% for a draw, making the away victory the favourite. With an expected total of 3.3 goals, the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.7% probability. FC Urartu will average 1.27 goals for and 1.82 against, while Ararat-Armenia will average 1.14 for and 1.0 against against a similarly-matched opponent. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.9%), Under 6.5 (94.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (87.9%), Under 5.5 (87.7%), Away +2 handicap (86.0%), Over 1.5 (85.7%), and Away over 0.5 goals (84.6%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Urartu win
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia win
45.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W02L10W00D05L22D12L30W10W11DH·VAN26/04H·ARA03/05A·ARA10/05A·SHI18/05H·FC 27/05H·PYU02/08A·ARA07/08H·SYU13/08A·SHI22/08H·ALA28/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.002.071.401.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.181.651.102.001.291.14
vs Weaker (13)2.230.154.000.201.120.12
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L43W21W21W02L20W11D11D10W12LA·SHA28/07A·GAN01/08H·CEL04/08H·FC 07/08A·CEL11/08H·VAN15/08A·UNI20/08H·SAR23/08H·UNI27/08A·PYU31/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.971.730.731.671.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.131.131.141.141.121.12
vs Weaker (15)2.270.802.250.382.291.29
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.1%
Under 2.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.1%
Under 3.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
66.3%
No
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
0-0
4.5%
FC Urartu goals ↓
Ararat-Armenia goals →
01234
04.5%5.6%6.1%3.8%1.8%
14.2%11%9.1%5.7%2.6%
23.8%7.2%6.7%4.2%2.0%
31.9%3.5%3.3%2.1%1.0%
40.7%1.3%1.2%0.8%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Urartu goals (down), columns = Ararat-Armenia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
3.00
Pyunik Yerevan
2.50
Sardarapat
2.50
Alashkert
2.17
Ararat-Armenia
2.00
FC Urartu
1.60
Shirak
1.40
BKMA
0.80
Ararat
0.60
Gandzasar
0.60
Syunik
0.20
Van
0.17
FC Urartu is 0.40 points worse than Ararat-Armenia in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
2.60
Sardarapat
2.50
Alashkert
2.33
Pyunik Yerevan
2.25
Ararat-Armenia
2.00
FC Urartu
1.60
Shirak
1.60
Gandzasar
1.20
BKMA
0.80
Syunik
0.60
Ararat
0.60
Van
0.33
FC Urartu is 0.40 goals worse than Ararat-Armenia in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Alashkert
0.33
FC Noah
0.60
Pyunik Yerevan
0.75
FC Urartu
1.00
Sardarapat
1.00
Shirak
1.00
BKMA
1.20
Ararat-Armenia
1.40
Ararat
2.40
Gandzasar
2.40
Syunik
2.60
Van
3.00
FC Urartu is 0.40 goals better than Ararat-Armenia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Urartu or Draw
54.1%
Avg Implied -
30%
24%
46%
covers FC Urartu + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu or Ararat-Armenia
75.7%
Avg Implied -
30%
24%
46%
covers FC Urartu + Ararat-Armenia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ararat-Armenia
70.3%
Avg Implied -
30%
24%
46%
covers Draw + Ararat-Armenia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5
Over
77.3%
Under
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5
Over
43.6%
Under
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 3.5
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5
Over
84.6%
Under
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5
Over
55.8%
Under
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5
Over
28.8%
Under
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 3.5
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Urartu, so a minus line means FC Urartu give that many goals of a start and Ararat-Armenia receive them. At -1, FC Urartu must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Urartu win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Urartu)
FC Urartu -2
5.2%
Draw -2
8.9%
Ararat-Armenia +2
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC Urartu)
FC Urartu -1
14.1%
Draw -1
15.6%
Ararat-Armenia +1
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC Urartu)
FC Urartu +1
54.1%
Draw +1
20.0%
Ararat-Armenia -1
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC Urartu)
FC Urartu +2
74.0%
Draw +2
14.2%
Ararat-Armenia -2
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D00D02L01L11D10W00D10WH·VAN26/04H·ARA03/05A·ARA10/05A·SHI18/05H·FC 27/05H·PYU02/08A·ARA07/08H·SYU13/08A·SHI22/08H·ALA28/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.370.930.400.400.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.590.650.600.600.570.71
vs Weaker (13)0.770.001.600.000.250.00
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L21W11D11D00D00D11D11D00D02LA·SHA28/07A·GAN01/08H·CEL04/08H·FC 07/08A·CEL11/08H·VAN15/08A·UNI20/08H·SAR23/08H·UNI27/08A·PYU31/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.800.470.530.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.530.730.710.710.380.75
vs Weaker (15)0.800.330.880.250.710.43
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L10W00D03L21W01L20W10W01LH·VAN26/04H·ARA03/05A·ARA10/05A·SHI18/05H·FC 27/05H·PYU02/08A·ARA07/08H·SYU13/08A·SHI22/08H·ALA28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.631.131.000.800.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.591.000.501.400.710.43
vs Weaker (13)1.460.152.400.200.880.12
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W22D10W10W02L20W00D00D10W10WA·SHA28/07A·GAN01/08H·CEL04/08H·FC 07/08A·CEL11/08H·VAN15/08A·UNI20/08H·SAR23/08H·UNI27/08A·PYU31/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.430.930.271.130.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.600.400.430.430.750.38
vs Weaker (15)1.470.471.380.121.570.86
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.9%-------
Under 6.594.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals93.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals88.0%-------
Under 5.587.7%-------
Away +2 handicap85.9%-------
Over 1.585.7%-------
Away over 0.5 goals84.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals81.4%-------
Home over 0.5 goals77.3%-------
Home or Away75.7%-------
Under 4.575.3%-------
Home +2 handicap74.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals71.2%-------
Draw or Away70.3%-------
Away +1 handicap70.3%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
SAR (23)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
SYU (23)
€2m
FC Urartu's squad is €3m less valuable than Ararat-Armenia's (€5m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
SAR (7)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
FC Urartu and Ararat-Armenia have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
SAR (4)
€0m
VAN (3)
€0m
FC Urartu's midfield is €1m less valuable than Ararat-Armenia's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
SAR (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
FC Urartu's defence is €1m less valuable than Ararat-Armenia's (€2m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FU wins
1
Draws
5
ARA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Urartu vs Ararat-Armenia · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/26AArarat-Armenia Vs FU2-1
03/05/26HFU Vs Ararat-Armenia0-2
08/11/25AArarat-Armenia Vs FU1-1
14/09/25HFU Vs Ararat-Armenia2-3
05/04/25HFU Vs Ararat-Armenia0-3
25/02/25AArarat-Armenia Vs FU1-2
19/08/24HFU Vs Ararat-Armenia3-1
17/04/24AArarat-Armenia Vs FU2-0

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HFU Vs Alashkert1-1
22/08/26AShirak Vs FU0-1
13/08/26HFU Vs Syunik3-0
07/08/26AArarat-Armenia Vs FU2-1
02/08/26HFU Vs Pyunik Yerevan2-2
27/05/26HFU Vs FC Noah0-5
18/05/26AShirak Vs FU0-0
10/05/26AArarat Vs FU0-1
03/05/26HFU Vs Ararat-Armenia0-2
26/04/26HFU Vs Van2-0

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26APyunik Yerevan Vs ARA2-1
27/08/26HARA Vs Universitatea Craiova1-0
23/08/26HARA Vs Sardarapat1-1
20/08/26AUniversitatea Craiova Vs ARA1-1
15/08/26HARA Vs Van2-0
11/08/26ACelje Vs ARA2-0
07/08/26HARA Vs FC Urartu2-1
04/08/26HARA Vs Celje2-1
01/08/26AGandzasar Vs ARA3-4
28/07/26AShamrock Rovers Vs ARA2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWD1.74
HomeLLDWD1.46
AwayLWDLW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%42%58%
AVG goals2.903.422.42
Over 1.5 %76%83%69%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %32%42%23%
Scored1.762.001.54
Conceded1.141.420.88
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet40%33%46%
Corners---
Cards---
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL2.06
HomeWWWDW2.33
AwayLWLDL1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%71%54%
AVG goals3.023.082.96
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %36%38%35%
Scored1.982.211.77
Conceded1.040.881.19
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet38%42%35%
Corners12.003.0016.50
Cards6.00-6.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah515
100%
3.0
133+10
3.2
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5342.60.6
-
2AlashkertAlashkert613
67%
2.2
142+12
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.30.3
-
3SardarapatSardarapat410
75%
2.5
104+6
3.5
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.0
-
4Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.20.8
-
5Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.4
-
6FC UrartuFC Urartu58
40%
1.6
85+3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
7ShirakShirak57
40%
1.4
85+3
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.0
-
8BKMABKMA54
20%
0.8
46-2
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.2
-
9GandzasarGandzasar53
20%
0.6
612-6
3.6
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.22.4
-
10AraratArarat53
20%
0.6
312-9
3.0
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0120.62.4
-
11SyunikSyunik51
0%
0.2
313-10
3.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1000.62.6
-
12VanVan61
0%
0.2
218-16
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.33.0
-
Armenia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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