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FC Urartu vs FC Noah Result & Analysis

Date: 27/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-5
FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Vs
24%
26%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Noah
FC Noah
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with FC Noah projected to beat FC Urartu 1-1 as the most likely scoreline, a 12.2 % chance. The odds of a home win stand at 24 %, a draw at 26 %, and an away win at 50 %. The expected total is 2.9 goals, with the most probable total of two goals at 24 %. FC Urartu, at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 0.71 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. FC Noah, on the road versus a comparable side, averages 1.33 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded. The model’s single suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with a 79.6 % probability and a hit result. Recent form shows both sides on a two-game winning run, each having won their last match 1-0. The match is expected to be a tight contest, with FC Noah’s better defensive record giving them the edge.

Results analysis

FC Urartu’s 2-game winning streak at home was halted as FC Noah, still riding a 2-game run, delivered a decisive 0-5 victory. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 50 %. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 proved far off, but the model’s single selection, Over 1.5, hit with a 79.6 % chance. The final result matched the model’s expectation of an away triumph, confirming the accuracy of the predictions. The match ended with a heavy away win, underscoring the strength of Noah’s attack and the solidity of their defense.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Urartu win✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Noah win✓ Hit
50.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W10W42W21W13L12L20W02L10W00DH·BKM15/03A·BKM20/03H·GAN05/04A·VAN10/04H·ALA19/04A·PYU23/04H·VAN26/04H·ARA03/05A·ARA10/05A·SHI18/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.031.931.211.310.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.851.540.711.711.001.33
vs Weaker (17)2.180.653.140.711.500.60
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Noah) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NoahFC Noah

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-830W20W30W20W11D00D41W40W83W00DH·SHI22/03H·BKM05/04A·GAN10/04H·VAN20/04A·ALA25/04H·PYU03/05A·GAN06/05A·ARA10/05H·ARA19/05A·PYU23/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.871.930.931.530.80
vs Stronger (3)0.332.001.000.000.003.00
vs Similar (12)1.080.750.830.831.330.67
vs Weaker (15)2.530.732.881.122.140.29
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.3%
Under 2.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
FC Urartu goals ↓
FC Noah goals →
01234
06.6%8.5%8.4%4.9%2.1%
15.2%12%9.7%5.6%2.5%
23.7%6.4%5.6%3.2%1.4%
31.4%2.4%2.1%1.2%0.5%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Urartu goals (down), columns = FC Noah goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ararat-Armenia
2.22
FC Noah
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
2.04
Alashkert
1.96
FC Urartu
1.81
Van
1.15
BKMA
0.85
Gandzasar
0.78
Ararat
0.48
Shirak
0.48
FC Urartu is 0.26 points worse than FC Noah in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 2.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
2.26
Ararat-Armenia
1.85
FC Urartu
1.59
Alashkert
1.56
Pyunik Yerevan
1.37
BKMA
1.11
Van
1.00
Ararat
0.78
Gandzasar
0.74
Shirak
0.63
FC Urartu is 0.67 goals worse than FC Noah in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 2.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pyunik Yerevan
0.67
FC Noah
0.70
Alashkert
0.85
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
0.96
Van
1.48
Gandzasar
1.52
BKMA
1.56
Shirak
1.89
Ararat
2.33
FC Urartu is 0.26 goals worse than FC Noah in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 0.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D31W00D11D01L20W00D00D00DH·BKM15/03A·BKM20/03H·GAN05/04A·VAN10/04H·ALA19/04A·PYU23/04H·VAN26/04H·ARA03/05A·ARA10/05A·SHI18/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.330.860.290.440.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.380.380.290.290.500.50
vs Weaker (17)0.820.291.430.290.400.30
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Noah) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NoahFC Noah

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W10W10W00D00D10W20W31W00DH·SHI22/03H·BKM05/04A·GAN10/04H·VAN20/04A·ALA25/04H·PYU03/05A·GAN06/05A·ARA10/05H·ARA19/05A·PYU23/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.870.600.530.40
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (12)0.420.580.330.670.500.50
vs Weaker (15)1.070.331.380.620.710.00
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W11D21W02L11D00D02L10W00DH·BKM15/03A·BKM20/03H·GAN05/04A·VAN10/04H·ALA19/04A·PYU23/04H·VAN26/04H·ARA03/05A·ARA10/05A·SHI18/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.701.070.930.880.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.461.150.431.430.500.83
vs Weaker (17)1.350.351.710.431.100.30
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Noah) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NoahFC Noah

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W20W10W11D00D31W20W52W00DH·SHI22/03H·BKM05/04A·GAN10/04H·VAN20/04A·ALA25/04H·PYU03/05A·GAN06/05A·ARA10/05H·ARA19/05A·PYU23/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.371.070.331.000.40
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (12)0.670.170.500.170.830.17
vs Weaker (15)1.470.401.500.501.430.29
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
FU (27)
€5m
FC Urartu's squad is €7m less valuable than FC Noah's (€5m vs €12m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
FC Urartu's attack is €2m less valuable than FC Noah's (€2m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
FU (4)
€1m
FC Urartu's midfield is €3m less valuable than FC Noah's (€1m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
FC Urartu's defence is €2m less valuable than FC Noah's (€2m vs €4m).

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FU wins
4
Draws
2
FN wins

Head-to-head

FC Urartu vs FC Noah · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25AFC Noah Vs FU0-0
05/10/25HFU Vs FC Noah0-0
18/05/25HFU Vs FC Noah3-3
01/11/24AFC Noah Vs FU2-1
29/09/24HFU Vs FC Noah2-1
23/04/24HFU Vs FC Noah0-1
22/02/24AFC Noah Vs FU1-1
21/10/23HFU Vs FC Noah1-0

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/26AShirak Vs FU0-0
10/05/26AArarat Vs FU0-1
03/05/26HFU Vs Ararat-Armenia0-2
26/04/26HFU Vs Van2-0
23/04/26APyunik Yerevan Vs FU2-1
19/04/26HFU Vs Alashkert1-3
10/04/26AVan Vs FU1-2
05/04/26HFU Vs Gandzasar4-2
20/03/26ABKMA Vs FU0-1
15/03/26HFU Vs BKMA4-1

FC NoahFC Noah

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26APyunik Yerevan Vs FN0-0
19/05/26HFN Vs Ararat8-3
10/05/26AArarat-Armenia Vs FN0-4
06/05/26AGandzasar Vs FN1-4
03/05/26HFN Vs Pyunik Yerevan0-0
25/04/26AAlashkert Vs FN1-1
20/04/26HFN Vs Van2-0
10/04/26AGandzasar Vs FN0-3
05/04/26HFN Vs BKMA2-0
22/03/26HFN Vs Shirak3-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.84
HomeWWLWL1.70
AwayWWLWD1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%52%56%
AVG goals2.923.432.48
Over 1.5 %74%78%70%
Over 2.5 %54%61%48%
Over 3.5 %34%43%26%
Scored1.842.171.56
Conceded1.081.260.93
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet40%35%44%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Noah
FC Noah
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.86
HomeWWWDW2.23
AwayWDWWD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%69%33%
AVG goals2.922.853.00
Over 1.5 %78%73%83%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %34%27%42%
Scored1.922.041.79
Conceded1.000.811.21
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet44%54%33%
Corners6.506.007.00
Cards4.584.005.17

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia2760
67%
2.2
5025+25
2.8
70%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.90.9
-
2FC NoahFC Noah2756
59%
2.1
6119+42
3.0
81%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5342.30.7
-
3Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan2755
63%
2.0
3718+19
2.0
63%
37%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.40.7
-
4AlashkertAlashkert2753
59%
2.0
4223+19
2.4
74%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.9
-
5FC UrartuFC Urartu2749
52%
1.8
4326+17
2.6
67%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
6VanVan2731
33%
1.1
2740-13
2.5
67%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
7BKMABKMA2723
15%
0.9
3042-12
2.7
81%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
8GandzasarGandzasar2721
19%
0.8
2041-21
2.3
59%
33%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
9ShirakShirak2713
7%
0.5
1751-34
2.5
67%
44%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.9
-
10AraratArarat2713
11%
0.5
2163-42
3.1
81%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
Armenia: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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