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FC Urartu vs Pyunik Yerevan Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 2-2
FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Vs
32%
29%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This match between FC Urartu and Pyunik Yerevan in the Armenia: Premier League is finely balanced, with the home side coming off a defeat against Ararat-Armenia and the away side unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including a convincing 3-0 win against Van. The model's selection is the away win, with a 40% probability, while the home win and draw probabilities stand at 32% and 29% respectively. The expected total goals is 2.6, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a 13.7% probability.

FC Urartu has a mediocre home form, scoring an average of 1.17 goals and conceding 1.67 goals at home, while Pyunik Yerevan has a relatively poor away form, scoring 0.86 goals and conceding 1.14 goals when playing away against similar opponents. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a 74.6% probability and an edge of 7%, and Under 3.5, with a 73.5% probability. The home win percentage is 32%, the draw percentage is 29%, and the away win percentage is 40%.

Results analysis

FC Urartu's unbeaten run at home came to an end as they drew 2-2 with Pyunik Yerevan. The match saw the pre-match favourite, FC Urartu, fail to come through. The model's selection, Pyunik Yerevan's away win, was incorrect. The model had given Pyunik Yerevan a 40% chance of victory. The suggested picks included Over 1.5, which hit with a 74.6% probability, and Under 3.5, which missed with a 73.5% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Urartu win✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.86
Edge
+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.24
Marathonbet
4.15
Pinnacle
4.05
10Bet
4.00
888Sport
3.90
Draw✓ Hit
28.7%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.15
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.28
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Pyunik Yerevan win✗ Miss
39.6%
Avg Implied 47.9% · @ 1.89
Edge
-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.00
Dafabet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.91

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W42W21W13L12L20W02L10W00D05LA·BKM20/03H·GAN05/04A·VAN10/04H·ALA19/04A·PYU23/04H·VAN26/04H·ARA03/05A·ARA10/05A·SHI18/05H·FC 27/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.801.471.130.80
vs Stronger (3)1.002.001.002.501.001.00
vs Similar (8)0.621.880.502.000.751.75
vs Weaker (19)1.890.682.561.001.300.40
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L21W00D01L20W20W00D21WA·SHI06/04H·ARA11/04A·ARA18/04H·FC 23/04A·FC 03/05A·ARA06/05H·BKM09/05A·GAN18/05H·FC 23/05H·VAN27/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.732.000.601.000.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.171.171.570.860.601.60
vs Weaker (18)1.720.442.380.381.200.50
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
@ 1.36+7.0%
Under 1.5
25.4%
@ 2.84-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.40
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
Unibet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
2.94
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.83
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.3%
@ 2.12+5.1%
Under 2.5
51.7%
@ 1.61-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Bet365
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.5%
@ 3.86+2.7%
Under 3.5
73.5%
@ 1.20-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.20
888Sport
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.82
Under
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.1%
@ 1.90+6.2%
No
45.9%
@ 1.74-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.95
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
No
Betfair
1.80
Superbet
1.78
888Sport
1.75
1xBet
1.75
William Hil
1.75

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 5.80+6.3%
0-1
9.0%@ 5.51+1.2%
1-2
8.7%@ 7.90+3.2%
0-0
8.6%@ 7.53+3.0%
1-0
7.8%@ 8.79+2.9%
2-1
7.6%@ 12.50+4.2%
0-2
7.1%@ 7.54+1.4%
2-0
5.5%@ 17.98+3.1%
FC Urartu goals ↓
Pyunik Yerevan goals →
01234
08.6%9.0%7.1%3.3%1.1%
17.8%14%8.7%4.0%1.4%
25.5%7.6%5.3%2.4%0.8%
32.2%3.1%2.1%1.0%0.3%
40.7%0.9%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Urartu goals (down), columns = Pyunik Yerevan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ararat-Armenia
2.22
FC Noah
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
2.04
Alashkert
1.96
FC Urartu
1.81
Sardarapat
1.26
Syunik
1.15
Van
1.15
BKMA
0.85
Gandzasar
0.78
Shirak
0.48
Ararat
0.48
FC Urartu is 0.22 points worse than Pyunik Yerevan in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 2.04).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
2.26
Ararat-Armenia
1.85
FC Urartu
1.59
Alashkert
1.56
Pyunik Yerevan
1.37
Sardarapat
1.17
BKMA
1.11
Syunik
1.07
Van
1.00
Ararat
0.78
Gandzasar
0.74
Shirak
0.63
FC Urartu is 0.22 goals better than Pyunik Yerevan in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pyunik Yerevan
0.67
FC Noah
0.70
Alashkert
0.85
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
0.96
Sardarapat
1.42
Van
1.48
Gandzasar
1.52
Syunik
1.55
BKMA
1.56
Shirak
1.89
Ararat
2.33
FC Urartu is 0.30 goals worse than Pyunik Yerevan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W00D11D01L20W00D00D00D02LA·BKM20/03H·GAN05/04A·VAN10/04H·ALA19/04A·PYU23/04H·VAN26/04H·ARA03/05A·ARA10/05A·SHI18/05H·FC 27/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.800.400.400.33
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.500.001.00
vs Similar (8)0.250.500.250.500.250.50
vs Weaker (19)0.840.261.220.330.500.20
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L00D10W00D01L10W10W00D11DA·SHI06/04H·ARA11/04A·ARA18/04H·FC 23/04A·FC 03/05A·ARA06/05H·BKM09/05A·GAN18/05H·FC 23/05H·VAN27/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.301.130.200.200.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.500.860.290.000.80
vs Weaker (18)0.780.171.380.120.300.20
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.6%1.36
888Sport
1.40
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
Unibet
1.34
+7.0%✓ Hit
Under 3.573.5%1.20
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
-2.7%✗ Miss

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
FU (27)
€5m
FC Urartu and Pyunik Yerevan have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
FC Urartu and Pyunik Yerevan have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
FU (4)
€1m
FC Urartu's midfield is €1m less valuable than Pyunik Yerevan's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
FC Urartu and Pyunik Yerevan have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

FC Urartu vs Pyunik Yerevan · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/26APyunik Yerevan Vs FU2-1
21/11/25HFU Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-1
29/08/25APyunik Yerevan Vs FU1-2
19/04/25APyunik Yerevan Vs FU1-4
09/03/25APyunik Yerevan Vs FU0-3
05/08/24HFU Vs Pyunik Yerevan0-0
28/04/24APyunik Yerevan Vs FU5-0
27/02/24HFU Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-1

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/26HFU Vs FC Noah0-5
18/05/26AShirak Vs FU0-0
10/05/26AArarat Vs FU0-1
03/05/26HFU Vs Ararat-Armenia0-2
26/04/26HFU Vs Van2-0
23/04/26APyunik Yerevan Vs FU2-1
19/04/26HFU Vs Alashkert1-3
10/04/26AVan Vs FU1-2
05/04/26HFU Vs Gandzasar4-2
20/03/26ABKMA Vs FU0-1

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/26HPY Vs Van2-1
23/05/26HPY Vs FC Noah0-0
18/05/26AGandzasar Vs PY0-2
09/05/26HPY Vs BKMA2-0
06/05/26AArarat-Armenia Vs PY1-0
03/05/26AFC Noah Vs PY0-0
23/04/26HPY Vs FC Urartu2-1
18/04/26AArarat Vs PY1-0
11/04/26HPY Vs Ararat-Armenia0-2
06/04/26AShirak Vs PY0-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.78
HomeWLWLL1.62
AwayWWLWD1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%50%54%
AVG goals3.003.502.54
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %36%46%27%
Scored1.822.081.58
Conceded1.181.420.96
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet38%33%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.78
HomeLWWDW2.00
AwayWLDLW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%48%
AVG goals2.683.082.28
Over 1.5 %72%84%60%
Over 2.5 %52%64%40%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.662.001.32
Conceded1.021.080.96
BTTS46%52%40%
Clean Sheet42%40%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah39
100%
3.0
83+5
3.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5342.71.0
-
2Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia39
100%
3.0
84+4
4.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.71.3
-
3AlashkertAlashkert36
67%
2.0
61+5
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.3
-
4SardarapatSardarapat26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
5Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan24
50%
2.0
52+3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.51.0
-
6FC UrartuFC Urartu34
33%
1.3
64+2
3.3
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.3
-
7ShirakShirak34
33%
1.3
44+0
2.7
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
8GandzasarGandzasar33
33%
1.0
66+0
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
9AraratArarat33
33%
1.0
36-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
10BKMABKMA31
0%
0.3
15-4
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.7
-
11SyunikSyunik41
0%
0.2
210-8
3.0
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
12VanVan41
0%
0.2
210-8
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Armenia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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