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FC Urartu vs Syunik Result & Analysis

Date: 13/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Vs
62%
19%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Syunik
Syunik
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FC Urartu is the clear favourite to win at home against Syunik, with a 62% chance of victory. The model rates them highly due to Syunik's struggles away from home, where they've averaged 3.12 goals scored and 1.12 conceded against similar opponents.

In their recent form, FC Urartu has been coming off a defeat but still boasts a strong home record, averaging 0.67 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Syunik, on the other hand, has been struggling, with 2 straight defeats and an average of 1.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded away from home.

The model predicts an expected total of 3.9 goals, with the most likely score being FC Urartu winning 2-1. The model's selection is the home win, with 62% probability. The model also suggests Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals, with probabilities of 91% and 75.1% respectively. The probabilities for each outcome are as follows: home win 62%, draw 19%, away win 19%. The model's selections are Over 1.5 (91%), Over 2.5 (75.1%), and the home win (62%).

Results analysis

The win extends FC Urartu's run, with their recent form reading WLDLD, and coming off a win against Syunik. The final score was 3-0, which aligns with the actual result of a home win. The model correctly predicted the favoured result, with FC Urartu being the pre-match favourite at 62%. The model's selection, home win, was correct.

The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 91%, and Over 2.5 goals also hit, with a probability of 75.1%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Urartu win✓ Hit
62.1%
Avg Implied 64.5% · @ 1.40
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.42
Betano
1.42
Dafabet
1.42
Draw✗ Miss
19.3%
Avg Implied 20.4% · @ 4.44
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
Pinnacle
4.51
BetVictor
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Syunik win✗ Miss
18.6%
Avg Implied 15.1% · @ 5.99
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.45
Pinnacle
6.24
Marathonbet
6.20
Dafabet
6.20

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W13L12L20W02L10W00D05L22D12LA·VAN10/04H·ALA19/04A·PYU23/04H·VAN26/04H·ARA03/05A·ARA10/05A·SHI18/05H·FC 27/05H·PYU02/08A·ARA07/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.132.001.431.120.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.111.721.101.901.121.50
vs Weaker (12)2.170.254.250.251.120.25
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Syunik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SyunikSyunik

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-950W91W42W12L40W23L12L40W03L13LA·BAN08/04H·SHI14/04A·NOA22/04H·BKM26/04A·LER04/05H·PYU11/05A·SAR17/05H·ARA25/05A·FC 02/08A·GAN08/08← First LeaguePremier League →
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.671.072.770.922.591.18
vs Stronger (5)0.802.601.002.500.672.67
vs Similar (10)1.800.902.500.501.331.17
vs Weaker (15)3.870.673.430.714.250.62
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%06%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.0%
@ 1.12+10.3%
Under 1.5
9.0%
@ 4.68-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Superbet
4.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
75.1%
@ 1.48+13.7%
Under 2.5
24.9%
@ 2.35-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Under
10Bet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.3%
@ 2.17+13.3%
Under 3.5
44.7%
@ 1.57-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.21
10Bet
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Superbet
1.56
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.7%
@ 1.62+14.0%
No
30.3%
@ 2.04-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
10Bet
1.62
No
Superbet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.03

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.8%@ 7.47+3.1%
1-1
7.6%@ 8.41+2.5%
3-1
7.5%@ 9.65+3.0%
2-0
6.4%@ 7.30+0.5%
2-2
6.1%@ 14.08+3.0%
3-0 ✓
5.4%@ 9.44+0.9%
3-2
5.2%@ 17.74+2.7%
4-1
4.8%@ 15.82+2.1%
FC Urartu goals ↓
Syunik goals →
01234
02.7%2.0%1.9%0.9%0.3%
14.3%7.6%4.8%2.2%0.8%
26.4%8.8%6.1%2.8%1.0%
35.4%7.5%5.2%2.4%0.8%
43.5%4.8%3.3%1.5%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Urartu goals (down), columns = Syunik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
3.00
Pyunik Yerevan
2.50
Sardarapat
2.50
Alashkert
2.17
Ararat-Armenia
2.00
FC Urartu
1.60
Shirak
1.40
BKMA
0.80
Ararat
0.60
Gandzasar
0.60
Syunik
0.20
Van
0.17
FC Urartu is 1.40 points better than Syunik in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 0.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
2.60
Sardarapat
2.50
Alashkert
2.33
Pyunik Yerevan
2.25
Ararat-Armenia
2.00
FC Urartu
1.60
Shirak
1.60
Gandzasar
1.20
BKMA
0.80
Syunik
0.60
Ararat
0.60
Van
0.33
FC Urartu is 1.00 goals better than Syunik in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 0.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Alashkert
0.33
FC Noah
0.60
Pyunik Yerevan
0.75
FC Urartu
1.00
Sardarapat
1.00
Shirak
1.00
BKMA
1.20
Ararat-Armenia
1.40
Ararat
2.40
Gandzasar
2.40
Syunik
2.60
Van
3.00
FC Urartu is 1.60 goals better than Syunik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L20W00D00D00D02L01L11DA·VAN10/04H·ALA19/04A·PYU23/04H·VAN26/04H·ARA03/05A·ARA10/05A·SHI18/05H·FC 27/05H·PYU02/08A·ARA07/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.400.860.430.440.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.500.670.500.600.500.75
vs Weaker (12)0.830.001.750.000.380.00
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Syunik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SyunikSyunik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W50W30W12L10W01L12L00D02L01LA·BAN08/04H·SHI14/04A·NOA22/04H·BKM26/04A·LER04/05H·PYU11/05A·SAR17/05H·ARA25/05A·FC 02/08A·GAN08/08← First LeaguePremier League →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.471.150.461.240.47
vs Stronger (5)0.401.400.501.500.331.33
vs Similar (10)0.600.500.750.500.500.50
vs Weaker (15)1.870.131.570.142.120.12
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W02L11D00D02L10W00D03L21W01LA·VAN10/04H·ALA19/04A·PYU23/04H·VAN26/04H·ARA03/05A·ARA10/05A·SHI18/05H·FC 27/05H·PYU02/08A·ARA07/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.731.141.000.690.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.611.060.601.300.620.75
vs Weaker (12)1.330.252.500.250.750.25
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Syunik) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SyunikSyunik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W41W12L00D30W22D00D40W01L12LA·BAN08/04H·SHI14/04A·NOA22/04H·BKM26/04A·LER04/05H·PYU11/05A·SAR17/05H·ARA25/05A·FC 02/08A·GAN08/08← First LeaguePremier League →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.601.620.461.350.71
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.501.000.331.33
vs Similar (10)1.200.401.750.000.830.67
vs Weaker (15)2.000.531.860.572.120.50
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Syunik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.0%1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
--+10.3%✓ Hit
Over 2.575.1%1.48
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
+13.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
SAR (23)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
SYU (23)
€2m
FC Urartu's squad is €4m more valuable than Syunik's (€5m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
SAR (7)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
FC Urartu's attack is €2m more valuable than Syunik's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
SAR (4)
€0m
VAN (3)
€0m
FC Urartu and Syunik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
SAR (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
FC Urartu's defence is €2m more valuable than Syunik's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FU wins
0
Draws
0
SYU wins

Head-to-head

FC Urartu vs Syunik · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/26AArarat-Armenia Vs FU2-1
02/08/26HFU Vs Pyunik Yerevan2-2
27/05/26HFU Vs FC Noah0-5
18/05/26AShirak Vs FU0-0
10/05/26AArarat Vs FU0-1
03/05/26HFU Vs Ararat-Armenia0-2
26/04/26HFU Vs Van2-0
23/04/26APyunik Yerevan Vs FU2-1
19/04/26HFU Vs Alashkert1-3
10/04/26AVan Vs FU1-2

SyunikSyunik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26AGandzasar Vs SYU3-1
02/08/26AFC Noah Vs SYU3-0
25/05/26HSYU Vs Ararat II4-0
17/05/26ASardarapat Vs SYU2-1
11/05/26HSYU Vs Pyunik II2-3
04/05/26ALernayin Artsakh Vs SYU0-4
26/04/26HSYU Vs BKMA II1-2
22/04/26ANoah II Vs SYU2-4
14/04/26HSYU Vs Shirak II9-1
08/04/26ABanants II Vs SYU0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL1.72
HomeLWLLD1.54
AwayWLWDL1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%46%54%
AVG goals2.983.502.50
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %34%46%23%
Scored1.782.041.54
Conceded1.201.460.96
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet38%33%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Syunik
Syunik
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL2.20
HomeWWLLW2.30
AwayWWLLL2.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%74%67%
AVG goals3.403.433.37
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %72%65%78%
Over 3.5 %42%39%44%
Scored2.542.702.41
Conceded0.860.740.96
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet46%48%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah515
100%
3.0
133+10
3.2
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5342.60.6
-
2AlashkertAlashkert613
67%
2.2
142+12
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.30.3
-
3SardarapatSardarapat410
75%
2.5
104+6
3.5
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.0
-
4Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.20.8
-
5Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.4
-
6FC UrartuFC Urartu58
40%
1.6
85+3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
7ShirakShirak57
40%
1.4
85+3
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.0
-
8BKMABKMA54
20%
0.8
46-2
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.2
-
9GandzasarGandzasar53
20%
0.6
612-6
3.6
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.22.4
-
10AraratArarat53
20%
0.6
312-9
3.0
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0120.62.4
-
11SyunikSyunik51
0%
0.2
313-10
3.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1000.62.6
-
12VanVan61
0%
0.2
218-16
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.33.0
-
Armenia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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