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FC Urartu vs Van Result & Analysis

Date: 16/10/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Vs
50%
29%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Van
Van
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Urartu win✓ Hit
49.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Van win✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D31W30W20W20W12L12L21W10WH·BAN01/08H·PYU05/08H·ARA19/08A·ALA24/08H·GAN31/08A·SHI14/09H·WES18/09A·BKM25/09H·FC 29/09A·ARA06/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.201.441.061.001.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.331.561.551.271.002.00
vs Weaker (12)1.080.671.200.601.000.71
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VanVan

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D02L11D61W20W60W10W11D30W13LA·BKM24/05H·ARA04/08A·ALA09/08H·GAN16/08A·SHI26/08H·WES31/08A·BKM13/09H·FC 19/09A·ARA23/09H·PYU06/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.401.941.501.071.29
vs Stronger (12)0.921.830.751.881.251.75
vs Similar (18)1.941.113.121.121.001.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%312%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.3%
Under 1.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.0%
FC Urartu goals ↓
Van goals →
01234
010%7.0%3.7%1.1%0.3%
112%14%5.6%1.7%0.4%
210%9.2%4.1%1.3%0.3%
35.0%4.5%2.1%0.6%0.1%
41.9%1.7%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Urartu goals (down), columns = Van goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
2.50
Ararat-Armenia
2.20
FC Urartu
1.97
Pyunik Yerevan
1.77
Van
1.73
BKMA
1.20
Shirak
1.10
Ararat
1.00
West Armenia
0.96
Alashkert
0.79
Gandzasar
0.25
FC Urartu is 0.23 points better than Van in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.73).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
3.07
Ararat-Armenia
2.50
FC Urartu
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
1.97
Van
1.87
BKMA
1.47
Ararat
1.14
Shirak
0.93
West Armenia
0.89
Alashkert
0.72
Gandzasar
0.46
FC Urartu is 0.20 goals better than Van in terms of goals scored per game (2.07 vs 1.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Noah
0.67
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
1.10
Van
1.20
Pyunik Yerevan
1.23
Shirak
1.72
Alashkert
1.79
BKMA
1.80
Ararat
2.03
West Armenia
2.48
Gandzasar
2.50
FC Urartu is 0.10 goals better than Van in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D10W10W10W10W11D11D10W00DH·BAN01/08H·PYU05/08H·ARA19/08A·ALA24/08H·GAN31/08A·SHI14/09H·WES18/09A·BKM25/09H·FC 29/09A·ARA06/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.440.500.430.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.390.830.450.730.291.00
vs Weaker (12)0.500.250.400.000.570.43
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VanVan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L10W41W00D40W10W01L20W02LA·BKM24/05H·ARA04/08A·ALA09/08H·GAN16/08A·SHI26/08H·WES31/08A·BKM13/09H·FC 19/09A·ARA23/09H·PYU06/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.690.750.430.57
vs Stronger (12)0.250.920.250.880.251.00
vs Similar (18)0.780.501.120.620.500.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D21W20W10W10W01L01L11D10WH·BAN01/08H·PYU05/08H·ARA19/08A·ALA24/08H·GAN31/08A·SHI14/09H·WES18/09A·BKM25/09H·FC 29/09A·ARA06/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.601.000.560.570.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.940.721.090.550.711.00
vs Weaker (12)0.580.420.800.600.430.29
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VanVan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L20W20W20W00D10W10W11DA·BKM24/05H·ARA04/08A·ALA09/08H·GAN16/08A·SHI26/08H·WES31/08A·BKM13/09H·FC 19/09A·ARA23/09H·PYU06/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.731.250.750.640.71
vs Stronger (12)0.670.920.501.001.000.75
vs Similar (18)1.170.612.000.500.500.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
FC Urartu's squad is €4m more valuable than Van's (€5m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
FC Urartu's attack is €2m more valuable than Van's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
FC Urartu and Van have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
FC Urartu's defence is €1m more valuable than Van's (€2m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
FU wins
3
Draws
1
VAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Urartu vs Van · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/24AVan Vs FU1-1
30/03/24HFU Vs Van1-1
12/11/23AVan Vs FU2-2
19/09/23HFU Vs Van3-1
02/05/23AVan Vs FU0-5
01/03/23HFU Vs Van2-0
19/10/22AVan Vs FU0-1
13/08/22HFU Vs Van0-1

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24AArarat Vs FU0-1
29/09/24HFU Vs FC Noah2-1
25/09/24ABKMA Vs FU2-1
18/09/24HFU Vs West Armenia1-2
14/09/24AShirak Vs FU0-2
31/08/24HFU Vs Gandzasar2-0
24/08/24AAlashkert Vs FU0-3
19/08/24HFU Vs Ararat-Armenia3-1
05/08/24HFU Vs Pyunik Yerevan0-0
01/08/24HFU Vs Baník Ostrava0-2

VanVan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24HVAN Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-3
23/09/24AArarat Vs VAN0-3
19/09/24HVAN Vs FC Noah1-1
13/09/24ABKMA Vs VAN0-1
31/08/24HVAN Vs West Armenia6-0
26/08/24AShirak Vs VAN0-2
16/08/24HVAN Vs Gandzasar6-1
09/08/24AAlashkert Vs VAN1-1
04/08/24HVAN Vs Ararat-Armenia0-2
24/05/24ABKMA Vs VAN0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.50
HomeDWWLW1.65
AwayLWWLW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals2.742.652.83
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %24%23%25%
Scored1.421.541.29
Conceded1.321.121.54
BTTS60%69%50%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners12.0012.00-
Cards---
Van
Van
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.10
HomeLWWDL1.31
AwayDDWWW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%21%
AVG goals2.843.152.50
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %34%42%25%
Scored1.201.620.75
Conceded1.641.541.75
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet28%23%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah3075
80%
2.5
9220+72
3.7
90%
80%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5343.10.7
-
2Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3066
70%
2.2
7528+47
3.4
93%
80%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.50.9
-
3FC UrartuFC Urartu3059
60%
2.0
6233+29
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.11.1
-
4Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3053
57%
1.8
5937+22
3.2
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5VanVan3052
50%
1.7
5636+20
3.1
87%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.2
-
6BKMABKMA3036
33%
1.2
4454-10
3.3
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.8
-
7ShirakShirak2932
31%
1.1
2750-23
2.7
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.7
-
8AraratArarat2929
28%
1.0
3359-26
3.2
86%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.12.0
-
9West ArmeniaWest Armenia2726
30%
1.0
2467-43
3.4
85%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.5
-
10AlashkertAlashkert2923
17%
0.8
2152-31
2.5
76%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3120.71.8
-
11GandzasarGandzasar287
4%
0.2
1370-57
3.0
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.52.5
-
Armenia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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