This opponent (FC Aarau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Aarau
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.30
2.07
0.93
2.07
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
2.06
1.24
1.89
0.89
2.25
1.62
vs Weaker (13)
2.08
1.38
2.33
1.00
1.86
1.71
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.3%
Under 1.5
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.5%
Under 2.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 3.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.1%
No
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
1-2 ✓
7.0%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
5.0%
2-0
4.7%
2-3
4.2%
FC Vaduz goals ↓
FC Aarau goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.0%
3.0%
3.4%
2.0%
0.9%
1
3.7%
8.7%
7.0%
4.1%
1.8%
2
4.7%
8.2%
7.2%
4.2%
1.9%
3
3.2%
5.6%
5.0%
2.9%
1.3%
4
1.7%
2.9%
2.6%
1.5%
0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Vaduz goals (down), columns = FC Aarau goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Vaduz
2.25
FC Aarau
2.22
Yverdon Sport
1.86
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.39
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.36
Rapperswil
1.22
Étoile Carouge
1.11
FC WIL 1900
1.11
Stade Nyonnais
0.78
Bellinzona
0.64
FC Vaduz is 0.03 points better than FC Aarau in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Aarau
2.14
Yverdon Sport
2.08
FC Vaduz
2.08
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.64
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.53
Rapperswil
1.44
Étoile Carouge
1.28
Bellinzona
1.11
FC WIL 1900
1.08
Stade Nyonnais
0.92
FC Vaduz is 0.06 goals worse than FC Aarau in terms of goals scored per game (2.08 vs 2.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vaduz
1.14
FC Aarau
1.31
Yverdon Sport
1.33
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.42
Étoile Carouge
1.50
FC WIL 1900
1.53
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.56
Stade Nyonnais
1.67
Rapperswil
1.72
Bellinzona
2.14
FC Vaduz is 0.17 goals better than FC Aarau in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Vaduz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
1.36
0.57
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.93
0.56
1.31
0.54
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Aarau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Aarau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
0.93
0.47
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.65
0.67
0.33
1.12
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
0.92
1.33
0.67
0.71
1.14
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Vaduz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
0.93
0.71
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
1.00
0.56
1.00
0.77
1.00
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Aarau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Aarau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.53
1.13
0.47
1.13
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.18
0.59
1.22
0.56
1.12
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.46
1.00
0.33
1.14
0.57
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Vaduz · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcel Monsberger40%
Juan Cabrera40%
Lutfi Dalipi40%
Dominik Schwizer33%
Julian Stark20%
Miloš Cocić20%
Leon Schaffran0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
Mats Hammerich0%
Denis Simani0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Nicolas Hasler0%
Luca Mack0%
Niklas Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Malik Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denis Simani50%
Julian Stark40%
Juan Cabrera40%
Dejan Đokić33%
Malik Sawadogo25%
Marcel Monsberger20%
Nicolas Hasler20%
Luca Mack20%
Lutfi Dalipi20%
Leon Schaffran0%
Dominik Schwizer0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
Mats Hammerich0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Niklas Lang0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Miloš Cocić0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Mattia Walker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lutfi Dalipi60%
Nicolas Hasler40%
Dejan Sorgić33%
Marcel Monsberger20%
Leon Schaffran0%
Dominik Schwizer0%
Mats Hammerich0%
Denis Simani0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Luca Mack0%
Niklas Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Julian Stark0%
Miloš Cocić0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Juan Cabrera0%
Malik Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcel Monsberger60%
Juan Cabrera40%
Lutfi Dalipi20%
Leon Schaffran0%
Dominik Schwizer0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
Mats Hammerich0%
Denis Simani0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Nicolas Hasler0%
Luca Mack0%
Niklas Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Julian Stark0%
Miloš Cocić0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Malik Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (24)
€6m
FV (26)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
BEL (34)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
FC Vaduz and FC Aarau have a similar squad value (both €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FV (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
BEL (11)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
FC Vaduz and FC Aarau have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
BEL (8)
€1m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
FC Vaduz's midfield is €1m more valuable than FC Aarau's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
BEL (15)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FC Vaduz and FC Aarau have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Switzerland: Challenge League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →